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Question: Do you think silver is worth too little or gold is worth too much?
Silver is grossly undervalued relative to the price of gold. - 20 (37.7%)
Gold is hyperinflated, silver price is about right and the gold bubble will pop. - 8 (15.1%)
Silver and gold prices aren't tied to one another at all. - 4 (7.5%)
Both: gold is overvalued and silver is undervalued, they'll meet in the middle. - 6 (11.3%)
Neither, 40:1 will be the new stable ratio. - 0 (0%)
Both are overvalued. - 12 (22.6%)
Silver is overvalued, gold's valuation is correct. - 3 (5.7%)
Total Voters: 52

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Author Topic: Silver undervalued or gold overvalued?  (Read 9382 times)
foggyb
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August 04, 2011, 07:29:14 PM
 #61

What if the opposite happens this time, since everyone is expecting it? Silver is a small market, and can be easily influenced in both directions.
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August 04, 2011, 08:22:25 PM
 #62

When I look at the metals and oil charts I am struck by the huge correction in 2008. Whether crude, platinum, or silver, they all drop by about half their previous price. Except gold.

Industry is turning down production in response to recession. Less people driving, thus demand for all the industry commodities go down (crude, platinum, and silver)


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August 04, 2011, 08:22:41 PM
 #63

When I look at the metals and oil charts I am struck by the huge correction in 2008. Whether crude, platinum, or silver, they all drop by about half their previous price. Except gold.



This is a good comparison, with the exception that this time the metal drop will be more severe. Probably down -80% to -90%, except for Gold, which may only drop -20 to -50% in dollar terms.

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netrin
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August 04, 2011, 08:52:21 PM
 #64

I don't get your logic (unless you are purely and stubbornly contrarian). It is precisely for this lack of correction that I am bearish gold and bullish everything else heavy.

When I look at the metals and oil charts I am struck by the huge correction in 2008. Whether crude, platinum, or silver, they all drop by about half their previous price. Except gold.



This is a good comparison, with the exception that this time the metal drop will be more severe. Probably down -80% to -90%, except for Gold, which may only drop -20 to -50% in dollar terms.

Greenlandic tupilak. Hand carved, traditional cursed bone figures. Sorry, polar bear, walrus and human remains not available for export.
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August 04, 2011, 09:07:51 PM
 #65

We do not have to agree. I am short stocks since DJI 12,600, silver since 43$, EURUSD since 1.47 and those trades run well, and I will stay midterm in those positions (probably until 2014-2016); and additionally do some hedging and playing short term bounces.


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CurbsideProphet
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August 04, 2011, 09:22:15 PM
 #66

Silver Wheaton (NYSE: SLW) is my silver play.  It was down 8.6% today so I opened a position.  I have some physical bullion but I'm not a big end of the world type person so I'm content with owning the miners.  Maybe I'm trying to catch a falling knife, we'll see.

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August 04, 2011, 09:24:36 PM
 #67

Silver Wheaton (NYSE: SLW) is my silver play.  It was down 8.6% today so I opened a position.  I have some physical bullion but I'm not a big end of the world type person so I'm content with owning the miners.  Maybe I'm trying to catch a falling knife, we'll see.
Let's see how it plays out. I shorted Majestic Silver (NYSE: AG) two days ago at 24$. Now down -12 %.

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