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Author Topic: Prices to fall below $50  (Read 2021 times)
ElectricMucus
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July 08, 2013, 02:02:41 AM
 #21

Speculation at its finest.

Indeed he's desperately trying to shift the debate from the being about the occurrence of the Bug to how it was fixed.
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July 08, 2013, 02:05:59 AM
 #22

Not really desperate. I just understand what happens when making complicated software because I have a degree in it.


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Wagner2014 (OP)
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July 08, 2013, 02:45:16 AM
 #23

I strongly doubt so, I think it is rebounding right now


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July 08, 2013, 03:43:03 AM
 #24

I strongly doubt so, I think it is rebounding right now


It *IS* a CAT... and it *IS* BOUNCING.



Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
smoothie
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July 08, 2013, 07:30:18 AM
 #25

I strongly doubt so, I think it is rebounding right now


It *IS* a CAT... and it *IS* BOUNCING.




all in the way you see things. lol +1

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July 08, 2013, 10:03:12 PM
 #26

Do you actually know the nature of the bug? They used the wrong data format.
This is not chance, it's human error.


Nope. Not what happened. As I've noticed with you in the past, you're obscuring detail in order to strengthen your perceived point. IIRC...there was a size limitation in the implementation of BerkeleyDB that the v<=0.7 reference client used which caused blocks with more transactions than that limit to be rejected by v<=0.7 yet generated and accepted by 0.8 nodes. So the combination of an obscure limitation AND the happenstance that almost exactly half the network was upgraded were the factors that led to the fork with competing chains. That's VERY different than "used the wrong data format". If I were core dev and you trivialized the issue to that and called me incompetent because of it, I'd tell you to go f*ck yourself.

Additionally, if you think or thought that these things should never happen, then you are simply naive. Large software systems are complicated. Issues are going to arise. Everyone (who's rational) involved in this space understands that. If the inevitability of software issues in cryptocurrencies makes you think they should have little value, that's fine. I personally think such would be an unworkable opinion (generally in modern society), but that would at least be a consistent and non-misleading subjective stance.

Now I think you owe core dev an apology.

Bitcoin is the first monetary system to credibly offer perfect information to all economic participants.
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July 08, 2013, 10:56:50 PM
 #27

Check out this blog. Here's the chart:



http://afbitcoins.wordpress.com/tag/channel/

What the heck is that supposed upper bound, its utterly meaningless...

Anyways this indicates that the price supposedly doubles every 6 months even if it stays on the lowest trendline? Huh, if I have to wait until we go down to 40-whatever but then we're sure to get $100 in like 8 months and like $200 in a year, I guess I'm k with that.

The lower line is the lower limit. Probably the lowest limit possible due to the actual usage of bitcoin at the moment.

My opinion is the lower trendline is growing a little slower (to be expected) than the line shown.
But, the price incorporate the actual value perceived by the buyers and sellers and the projected value in the future perceived by the buyers and the sellers.
On the lower trendline bitcoin is just actual value o little more, so the pressure to the price to incorporate the future value in greater.
This imply the probability of correction higher are greater near the base line than when the price is higher than the baseline.

With the current book of MtGox 10 M$ are enough to clean up 100.000 BTC and bring the price to 158$, double the sum to clean up all other exchanges.
20-22 M$ to double the price.

200K BTC is 1% of all bitcoins possible, around 2% of the actually existing now bitcoins, but given the number of BTC stored in addresses never touched or rarely touched, 2% is more like 5% or more.
Anyone thinking bitcoin have a bright future in the realm of 100K$ to 1M$ (or more it could be more) would be hard presses to not buy when the BTC is very undervalued.

We MUST always remember that bulls runs are born in desperation and die in euphory.
When all run for the exit it is time to enter and when all want enter it is time to exist.

When will see people battling to change their fiat for millibitcoin or microbitcoin, then it is time to spend our bitcoin.
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July 08, 2013, 11:30:09 PM
 #28

that graph has us at $500 by april 2014
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