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Question: What do you think difficulty will be at on the date of April 27th 2014 Huh (4 months)  (Voting closed: January 10, 2014, 07:02:43 PM)
4180923195 - 2 (6.3%)
6180923195 - 4 (12.5%)
8180923195 - 3 (9.4%)
10180923195 - 2 (6.3%)
12180923195 - 1 (3.1%)
14180923195 - 1 (3.1%)
16180923195 - 3 (9.4%)
18180923195 - 3 (9.4%)
20180923195 - 1 (3.1%)
22180923195 - 12 (37.5%)
25180923195 - 0 (0%)
30180923195 - 0 (0%)
Total Voters: 32

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Author Topic: Difficulty Increase Prediction Poll  (Read 1485 times)
Skaterdiejosh
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December 27, 2013, 07:02:43 PM
 #1

At current rates difficulty has about doubled every 30 days!! How high do you think it will be by the end of April, only 4 months from today ?? Come this March Will 2 th/s make you about the same as 200 gh/s today Huh Or maybe bitcoin will hit 4000 by then ?? Comment exact amount if you want to predict a exact number.. Closest to the correct difficulty on the date of April 27 th wins huge bitcoin prize lol J/k Smiley

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December 27, 2013, 09:52:03 PM
 #2

Something to note: going by the price of 1 GH/s, cex.io miners believe that the difficulty will be below 4,000,000,000.

Also, your last two numbers are messed up.

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Skaterdiejosh
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December 27, 2013, 10:36:50 PM
 #3

Thx I fixed it had extra number lol

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empoweoqwj
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December 28, 2013, 01:44:49 AM
 #4

I think it will keep doubling. Lots of hashing coming online this quarter. Might even be more than doubling this quarter Sad
Skaterdiejosh
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January 02, 2014, 05:35:30 PM
 #5

Kinda suprised so many votes have been the highest difficulty i put on list lol Smiley Might be about right after you take in count all the 2 Ths miners that will go online soon ....

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howardb
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January 02, 2014, 05:38:21 PM
 #6

Thats a bit like guessing what's under the clothes by looking at the face! It's meaningless by itself. Try guessing the $/GH/S/Day to give it some substance.
Kluge
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January 02, 2014, 05:46:41 PM
 #7

Yeah... I remember when Bitcoin was first mined, late 2012.
Skaterdiejosh
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January 02, 2014, 05:57:21 PM
 #8

If your waiting for a Pre orderd 2 Ths miner that you might not get till march 1st Im pretty sure where the difficulty will be at time of delivery will be far from meaningless. But I do agree it is harder to predict then you would think.


FYI - I was a little late to get on the bitcoin wagon and I could not afford to get on a Pre-Order !!

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January 04, 2014, 02:35:13 AM
 #9

If your waiting for a Pre orderd 2 Ths miner that you might not get till march 1st Im pretty sure where the difficulty will be at time of delivery will be far from meaningless. But I do agree it is harder to predict then you would think.


FYI - I was a little late to get on the bitcoin wagon and I could not afford to get on a Pre-Order !!

You might well be better off this quarter having not got on a pre-order Wink
Skaterdiejosh
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January 04, 2014, 03:58:15 AM
 #10

Yeah no shit im kicking myself for the vote i casted on my own damn poll lol. The more i think about the whole defficulty rating explosion the more I think you all are right with those votes of the highest difficult i put on list!! Make sure you count  the decimal places cause that last difficulty on this poll is fucking insane high !! I think a lot of people in the bitcoin scene dont talk enough about 30% increases of difficulty twice per month!! It's like a blessing and a curse at the same time Smiley

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Skaterdiejosh
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January 07, 2014, 10:49:54 PM
 #11

Only 3 Days left to Vote !!! Thanks to everyone who voted .....    Smiley

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January 08, 2014, 12:22:53 AM
 #12

You need to add 25-30 Petahash diff Roll Eyes

15 PH will be reached by late this month,early Feb  Cry

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January 08, 2014, 03:34:37 AM
 #13

You need to add 25-30 Petahash diff Roll Eyes

15 PH will be reached by late this month,early Feb  Cry

Bit late to add it now. Start a new poll with higher numbers is Smiley
Skaterdiejosh
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March 21, 2014, 11:22:39 PM
 #14

Update !!!  Current difficulty at 4250217919 as of today !! Looks like lots of votes way to high but theres still over a month to go ...  Smiley  Thanks to everyone who voted on my first poll .....

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Skaterdiejosh
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March 21, 2014, 11:25:14 PM
 #15

For the record my vote was at the 18 ph level so I was pretty high on my vote also but could be close by end of April !!!

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March 22, 2014, 12:31:40 PM
 #16

And people are saying a 51% attack by a large entity is not possible, yet the rate doubles every 50 days or so

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