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Author Topic: WHAT ARE U GUYS WAITING FOR?  (Read 2246 times)
Cassius
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March 22, 2014, 07:51:36 PM
 #21

I've got to say I'm curious to know what will happen at the end of the year when big money starts to get access. Second Market retail investors, maybe Winklevii ETF, who knows what else.

It's probably priced in already.

No, the hope of it - or some of the hope - might be priced in by small investors.
The real money can't be, because it hasn't happened yet. Potentially lots of regular-Joe investors who want to buy bitcoins but are scared of unregulated exchanges doing it this way. We won't know how many until we get there. But it cannot be priced in, because this is a new tranche of money from a new demographic that doesn't currently have/want access to bitcoin.
That's how I see it, anyway. Tell me why I'm wrong (in a helpful Socratic-method kind of way, ideally, rather than inane trolling, but I'll take what I can get).
Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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exocytosis
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March 22, 2014, 07:56:42 PM
 #22

I've got to say I'm curious to know what will happen at the end of the year when big money starts to get access. Second Market retail investors, maybe Winklevii ETF, who knows what else.

It's probably priced in already.
Unlikely, it hasn't happened yet and confirmed sources have not ensured that it will.


The Winklevii ETF won't get approved this year. (Or ever.) And the SecondMarket thing has been known for a while, no? (I read an article on it today, which seemed to state that it's basically approved, and therefore probably priced in.)

Known bullish events are priced in already.
I suspect BTC ATH happened in November 2013.
But there's still a lot of room for volatility, which will be triggered by new massive thefts, hacker attacks, government clampdowns and general mischief and fraudulent activities from various third parties in the BTC ecosystem. However, I expect this volatility to take place along a mostly bearish trendline.
TERA
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March 22, 2014, 11:27:06 PM
 #23

I'm waiting for macd

What one?

4hr, 6hr, 12hr, 1 day, 1 week?
I have my trading funds split into 3 groups. One is for the 4h, one is for the 1d, and one is for the 3d.   With the 1w I start using leverage.
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