Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +100,003 units

[buwaytress]

Damn Lille, but yay Angers! Too late right now to bet on Monaco, and live is annoying with timing me out even though the match's still young, but I've got 2 specials on Sportsbet I think are worth taking!

100 units each at Sportsbet:
Neymar to score and PSG win @10.00. Betcoin neymar score odds: 2.45. PSG win: 8.06
Bet ID: 5f3e125847a86bec604a48f2
Neymar to score and Bayern win @7.50. Betcoin neymar score odds: 2.45. Bayern win win: 2.08 = 5.10
Bet ID: 5f410038c1067e112831e55d

Total odds advantage: 194+240 = 434

Loads of Ligue 1 and 2 action, I'd like to double down on Bayern AND parlay them with some home wins, please!
Game 1: PSG vs Bayern. Bayern WIN @2.07. Betcoin odds: 2.08
Game 2: Olympique Nimes vs Stade Brestois 29. Nimes WIN @2.31. Betcoin odds: 2.23
Game 3: OGC Nice vs RC Lens. Nice WIN @2.09. Betcoin odds: 2.05
100 units parlay at Sportset @9.99. Betcoin parlay: 9.51
Bet ID: 5f4251c2c1067e844b322e50

Odds advantage: 48

Running advantage after 417 bets: +13,286.78 (434+48=+482)
All-time cumulative: +35,286
Running units after 414 bets (71W|343L): +13,117.15 (+200)

[buwaytress]

Oops Neymar, but hey we got our Bayern win in, so that's nice no?

I've got an ambitious one here today with plenty of risk and 3 friendlies in there, couldn't ignore Real Madrid youth odds!

1 leg miss = insurance too;)

Game 1: New York City FC - Columbus Crew. NY WIN @2.55. Betcoin odds: 2.52
Game 2: FC Salzburg - Liverpool FC. Liverpool WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.52
Game 3: Tranmere Rovers - Preston North End. Preston WIN @1.61. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 4: Erzgebirge Aue - 1. FC Magdeburg. Erzgebirge WIN @1.69. Betcoin odds: 1.69
Game 5: SL Benfica - Real Madrid. Real WIN @3.20. Betcoin odds: 3.18
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @36.59 Betcoin parlay: 32.94
Bet ID: 5f43ee5bd2cd710943660fc9

Odds advantage: 434

Running advantage after 417 bets: +13,720.78 (+434)
All-time cumulative: +35,720
Running units after 417 bets (72W|345L): +13,816.15 (+699)

[buwaytress]

Looking good so far, NYC won that just about, so we now hope the friendlies and youth matches give us the upset we deserve;) I could be tempted to cash out if all the friendlies hit!

Simple parlay today on CL qualifications, just about to kick off!

Game 1: Tirana vs Red Star Belgrade: RS WIN @1.29. Betcoin odds: 1.21
Game 2: Riteriai vs Derry. Derry WIN @2.49. Betcoin odds: 2.39
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @3.21 Betcoin parlay: 2.89
Bet ID: 5f45107244d1fd983d348eca

Odds advantage: 32

Running advantage after 419 bets: +13,752.78 (+32)
All-time cumulative: +35,752
Running units after 417 bets (72W|345L): +13,816.15 (+-0)

[buwaytress]

Damn it, if Liverpool had at least won, we'd have got our insurance back, and how about that, typical our underdog picks win and the favourites don't! That's what I get for betting on friendlies. And Derry lost, but they weren't necessarily expected to win anyway.

So heads up then.

Game 1: NK Celje - Molde FK. Molde WIN @1.86. Betcoin odds: 1.83
Game 2: Qarabag FK - FC Sheriff Tiraspol. Qarabag WIN @1.58. Betcoin odds: 1.56
Game 3: Legia Warszawa - AC Omonia Nicosia. Warsaw WIN @1.68. Betcoin odds: 1.66
Game 4: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb - SK Rapid Wien. Wien WIN @1.82. Betcoin odds: 1.80
Game 5: FK Suduva Marijampole - Maccabi Tel Aviv FC. Tel Aviv WIN @1.78. Betcoin odds: 1.79
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @17.11 Betcoin parlay: 15.27
Bet ID: 5f463b0bdf6cf837b062eec4

Odds advantage: 184

Running advantage after 420 bets: +13,936.78 (+184)
All-time cumulative: +35,936
Running units after 419 bets (72W|347L): +13,616.15 (-200)

[buwaytress]

The Poles killed me. Should have taken the cashout option at half time, after booking the first 4 legs nicely, but since I like riding to the end, I watched Warsaw get the red card and then it all went downhill... to the 6th placed team in Cyprus!

No problem, we got our bet back as insurance, and place it on tonight:

Sportsbet parlay boosted is good: 100 units @10.0 at Sportsbet: NYC FC, Philadelphia Union, Portland Timbers, Columbus Crew to WIN.
Betcoin parlay: 9.82
Bet ID: 5f47bd25df6cf800b4634227

Odds advantage: 18

Running advantage after 421 bets: +13,954.78 (+18)
All-time cumulative: +35,954
Running units after 420 bets (72W|348L): +13,616.15 (-0)

[buwaytress]

I'm hoping for Lyon to have a sort of hangover from getting to the UCL semis and then losing the way they did, so could Dijon spring an unlikely upset tonight? I got a good one.

100 units at FortuneJack on Dijon to WIN vs Lyon @12.00. Sportset odds: 11.00
Bet ID: 10470646

Odds advantage: 100

Running advantage after 422 bets: +14,054.78 (+100)
All-time cumulative: +36,054
Running units after 420 bets (72W|348L): +13,616.15 (-0)

[buwaytress]

Ouch Dijon. False hopes for me in the end har har.

Simple one for me today first:

Game 1: Arsenal FC - Liverpool FC. Pool WIN @1.65. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 2: RC Strasbourg Alsace - OGC Nice. Strasbourg WIN @2.31. Betcoin odds: 2.21
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @3.66. Betcoin parlay: 3.54
Bet ID: 5f48c18013349c6de5814acc

Odds advantage: 12

Running advantage after 423 bets: +14,066.78 (+12)
All-time cumulative: +36,066
Running units after 421 bets (72W|349L): +13,516.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Not so simple after all, though the draw was never what I'd have predicted. Oh well! Also, Portland drew so the parlay from the day before is also out, even though the Columbus game was called off.

I got a nice parlay here with the cup final in Australia, for some fairly conservative odds.

Game 1: Sydney FC - Melbourne City FC. Sydney WIN @2.60. Betcoin odds: 2.52
Game 2 Jiangsu Suning FC vs Henan Jianye. Jiangsu WIN @1.47. Betcoin odds: 1.45
Game 3: Shanghai Shenhua vs Guangzhou Evergrande. Guangzhou WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.50
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.81. Betcoin parlay: 5.48
Bet ID: 5f4b5bfc10df7a11c920a6f5

Odds advantage: 33

Running advantage after 424 bets: +14,099.78 (+33)
All-time cumulative: +36,099
Running units after 423 bets (72W|351L): +13,316.15 (-200)

[buwaytress]

OK, out of character today after yesterday's loss... which we would have won if Sydney had scored the goal 10 minutes earlier! Bloody AET wins.

So we'll go for one tough nut in Chinese Super League, followed by should-be-easy wins in friendlies and youth games:

Game 1: Cercle Brugge vs Kmsk Deinze U21. Brugge WIN @1.21. Betcoin odds: 1.22
Game 2: RSC Anderlecht vs KAS Eupen. Anderlecht WIN @1.33. Betcoin odds: 1.30
Game 3: Lierse SK vs Jeugd Antwerp. Antwerp WIN @1.48. Betcoin odds: 1.45
Game 4: Fenerbahce vs Antalyaspor AS. Fenerbahce WIN @1.55. Betcoin odds: 1.56
Game 5: Shijiazhuang Ever Bright vs Hebei China Fortune FC. Hebei WIN @2.61. Betcoin odds: 2.50
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @9.23. Betcoin parlay: 8.97
Bet ID: 5f4c9fe613349c634a820c81

Odds advantage: 26

Running advantage after 425 bets: +14,125.78 (+26)
All-time cumulative: +36,125
Running units after 424 bets (72W|351L): +13,216.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Serves me right, KO'd on the very first leg of the parlay. But here's another proper 5-leg one with insurance and boost courtesy Sportsbet. Friendlies!

Game 1: Middlesbrough FC - Newcastle United FC. Newcastle WIN @1.69. Betcoin odds: 1.67
Game 2: Millwall FC - Crystal Palace FC. Palace WIN @1.91. Betcoin odds: 1.89
Game 3: Birmingham City - Walsall FC. Birmingham WIN @1.54. Betcoin odds: 1.55
Game 4: Derby County - Sheffield United FC. Sheffiled WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 5: Besiktas JK - Sivasspor. Besiktas WIN @1.81. Betcoin odds: 1.77
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @15.60. Betcoin parlay: 13.85
Bet ID: 5f4e18c610df7a44732126ad

Odds advantage: 175

Running advantage after 426 bets: +14,300.78 (+175)
All-time cumulative: +36,300
Running units after 425 bets (72W|353L): +13,116.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Thanks Newcastle for ruining it all for us. I know, Besiktas lost too, but 5-1 to Middlesbrough? Really.

Anyway, here's something a little different, Nations League tomorrow but an early bet with presentable odds (sorry Robbo, I don't think your team can win).

Game 1: Latvia vs Andorra. Latvia WIN @1.53. Betcoin odds: 1.50
Game 2: Scotland vs Israel. Israel WIN @4.80. Betcoin odds: 4.79
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @7.34. Betcoin parlay: 7.19
Bet ID: 12214917

Odds advantage: 15

Running advantage after 427 bets: +14,315.78 (+15)
All-time cumulative: +36,315
Running units after 426 bets (72W|354L): +13,016.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

Um, thanks Latvia. You did try 10 shots on goal to none, but should have put in that penalty haha. Oh well.

OK so Netherlands should win nicely today but Lewandowski's had such a strong season, I think it's worth a punt for an upset by the Poles, yeah?

100 units at Sportsbet on Poland to WIN vs Netherlands @8.49. Fairlay is @8.45
Bet ID: 5f51d9fa44d1fd2d4837209f

Units advantage: 4

Running advantage after 428 bets: +14,319 (+4)
All-time cumulative: +36,319
Running units after 427 bets (72W|355L): +12,916.15 (-100)

Note: I've now just rounded up decimals. Headache haha.

[Trofo]

Um, thanks Latvia. You did try 10 shots on goal to none, but should have put in that penalty haha. Oh well.
OK so Netherlands should win nicely today but Lewandowski's had such a strong season, I think it's worth a punt for an upset by the Poles, yeah?

Only problem Lewandowski is on extended leave after winning Champions League and there is no chance he is playing today
I wanted to play both to score on this game but after seeing this news I will probably opt for Netherlands win. Not so good odds but should be quite safe.

I am also looking at Norway-Austria both to score.

[EdenHazard]

Whoops i never knew you are doing this during this time mate @buwaytress

You know that I'm a big fan of those crazy huge odds. Make it happen in the first week of EPL and LaLiga acca pls i might pick some from yours later  .
About the Netherlands match .. they might in beast mode in the last couple of matches by consistently scoring multiple goals in a match but yeah the long covid19 break absolutely reset it all.
I'm with you straight for poland to moneyline.
Goodluck mate.

[buwaytress]

Only problem Lewandowski is on extended leave after winning Champions League and there is no chance he is playing today
I wanted to play both to score on this game but after seeing this news I will probably opt for Netherlands win. Not so good odds but should be quite safe.

I am also looking at Norway-Austria both to score.

Eff me man, I really need to research shit before this. Especially games where the team lineups aren't even serious. To be fair, Netherlands BARELY won this one haha.

Whoops i never knew you are doing this during this time mate @buwaytress

You know that I'm a big fan of those crazy huge odds. Make it happen in the first week of EPL and LaLiga acca pls i might pick some from yours later  .
About the Netherlands match .. they might in beast mode in the last couple of matches by consistently scoring multiple goals in a match but yeah the long covid19 break absolutely reset it all.
I'm with you straight for poland to moneyline.
Goodluck mate.

Me too man, me too. I don't go 100x or even 50x but just love the matches where you know the ookies hugely overfavour the underdog! Remember, I'm not a good tipster at all, but I do love betting on those longshots.

Sportsbet has a weekly multi, on the favourites, boosted odds. That's always good value for me, for example.

Sorry about Poland. Iceland today? Hahahaha....

[EdenHazard]

Me too man, me too. I don't go 100x or even 50x but just love the matches where you know the ookies hugely overfavour the underdog! Remember, I'm not a good tipster at all, but I do love betting on those longshots.

Sportsbet has a weekly multi, on the favourites, boosted odds. That's always good value for me, for example.

Sorry about Poland. Iceland today? Hahahaha....

I'm done with pro tipster or whatever .. in the end they are gambling just like us. They just had a lot more data than us which still it's not help much lol
That's why i rather picking other people's opinion and mix things up elicited from just guts! and yeah too bad about poland ... they just lucky to not get humiliated.

Iceland next? Hell yeah man , the last time both meets are on EURO 2016 where Iceland shock england in a 1-2 comeback , the odds stand around 11 i guese for the Iceland moneyline. I might going for handicap too this time. Let's do this.

[buwaytress]

Let's go for the favourites today and give them a parlay. Sportsbet's gone and done a nice one and I'm still way in profit for following them.

100 units at Sportsbet for England, Belgium, France & Georgia to win at 8.00. Betcoin odds: 7.78
Bet ID: 5f51da1644d1fd282f3720a6

Odds advantage: 12

100 units at Fairlay on Iceland to WIN vs England @11.68. Sportsbet odds: 9.80

Odds advantage: 188

Total odds advantage: 200 (so nicely rounded!)

Running advantage after 430 bets: +14,519 (+200)
All-time cumulative: +36,519
Running units after 428 bets (72W|356L): +12,816.15 (-100)

[buwaytress]

I'm done with pro tipster or whatever .. in the end they are gambling just like us. They just had a lot more data than us which still it's not help much lol
That's why i rather picking other people's opinion and mix things up elicited from just guts! and yeah too bad about poland ... they just lucky to not get humiliated.

Iceland next? Hell yeah man , the last time both meets are on EURO 2016 where Iceland shock england in a 1-2 comeback , the odds stand around 11 i guese for the Iceland moneyline. I might going for handicap too this time. Let's do this.

Seriously, I no longer look at tips as well, except for those who actually give me a good analysis, as that's entertaining. Pro tipsters are ok, but the crypto ones especially don't even seem to be giving analysis or even an inkling of bankroll strategy. I'm happy with my niche personal space of doing big odds and hitting it with very low frequency.

Pity about Iceland too, but my "hedge" parlay shone through yay!

[buwaytress]

Well that Iceland match was in real danger of losing both our single and our hedge parlay, but in the end, Sterling's penalty saw us through -- though Gomez somehow conspired to almost let Iceland share the haul, phew!

I'm going for another "easy" one today.

Game 1: Switzerland vs Germany. Germany WIN @1.86. Betcoin odds: 1.84
Game 2: Spain vs Ukraine: Spain WIN @1.42. Betcoin odds: 1.40
Game 3: Malta vs Latvia. Latvia WIN @2.33. Betcoin odds: 2.22
100 units parlay at FortuneJack @6.15. Betcoin parlay: 5.72
Bet ID: 11377534

Odds advantage: 43

Running advantage after 431 bets: +14,562 (+43)
All-time cumulative: +36,562
Running units after 430 bets (73W|357L): +13,416.15 (+600)

[buwaytress]

Right, so Nations League has been pretty kind, took a few good singles not posted here, including Italy at over 3/1, so let's try for an insured parlay. Betcoin seems to have some good odds but Sportsbet's boost works out even better.

The risk here is Georgia, but they were really good to me in first Nations League qualifiers anyway, so here goes.

Game 1: Georgia - North Macedonia. Georgia WIN @2.37. Betcoin odds: 2.41
Game 2: Denmark - England. England WIN @2.02. Betcoin odds: 2.02
Game 3: France - Croatia. France WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.64
Game 4: Sweden - Portugal. Portugal WIN @1.80. Betcoin odds: 1.79
Game 5: Portsmouth FC - Colchester United. Portsmouth WIN @1.62. Betcoin odds: 1.66
100 units parlay at Sportsbet (boosted) @24.20. Betcoin parlay: 23.72
Bet ID: 5f571baff307f519e12594cd

Odds advantage: 48

Running advantage after 432 bets: +14,610 (+48)
All-time cumulative: +36,610
Running units after 431 bets (73W|358L): +13,316.15 (-100)