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Author Topic: Forecasting Altcoin "Daily Price Change" Winners and Losers  (Read 4270 times)
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March 20, 2014, 11:25:14 PM
 #61

+1 for the OP for putting this thread together I know I appreciate it.  Bringing such useful information like this to the masses, it is what the forum needing for sure
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March 21, 2014, 01:02:46 AM
 #62

following...
bitinlet (OP)
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March 25, 2014, 01:23:07 AM
 #63

Ok. So, I took the weekend off. I'm back with some picks....

Losers   Price Now
Grumpycoin   0.0000013
Kittehcoin   0.000058
Gridcoin   0.012
Murraycoin   0.0048
Nyancoin   0.00061
      
   
   
Winners   Price Now
UltraCoin   0.11
42 Coin   40438
FlorinCoin   0.0035
Vertcoin   1.66
Cryptographic Anomaly   0.88

   
   
Bitcoin   581.83
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March 26, 2014, 04:37:11 AM
 #64

BTC Angry Sad
bitinlet (OP)
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March 27, 2014, 12:41:31 AM
 #65

Yesterday's picks didn't do as well as past picks (winner's were down 2% on average when I re-ran the model). I feel like when the model isn't re-ran twice during the day, the picks aren't as accurate.

Today, I reran the model 3x so, with these picks, I'm pretty confident. Let's see how these picks turn out:

Here's today's picks:


Losers   Price Now
Pesetacoin   0.032
Marscoin   0.016
ORObit   0.0033
Pxlcoin   0.017
FlappyCoin   0.0000046

   
   
   
   
Winners   Price Now
 Ixcoin   0.03
Elacoin   0.18
CasinoCoin   0.0016
Joulecoin   0.0023
DigiByte   0.0002
   
   
Bitcoin   581.64

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March 31, 2014, 07:45:11 AM
 #66

Aww I haven't been on much so haven't been checking in here much.

How's the picks been?
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March 31, 2014, 07:54:08 AM
 #67

Interesting  Smiley

bitinlet (OP)
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April 01, 2014, 05:46:55 PM
 #68

Today, I've decided to post the entire model results (rather than a couple picks), so people get an idea of what's actually occurring behind the scenes. So, the price listed is the price that was modeled. It was obtained from coinmarketcap within the past hour of this post. I ran that last price through the model (using the other variables in the model as well) and out we receive a percentage for each coin. That percent is the predicted percentage gain over the next day. Here's the results:

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April 01, 2014, 06:37:04 PM
 #69

Nice thread.Thanks for this.
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May 23, 2014, 07:26:18 PM
 #70

So you've got about 20 days of data? Hows the ROI on average for the winners/losers?
Obviously it is very difficult if not impossible to create a model that can predict a winner with historical data but it is fun and mighty interesting to try nonetheless. Good luck!
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May 30, 2014, 09:54:34 PM
 #71

have a look at this listing of winners & losers for the 24H / week / month

https://www.cryptonator.com/winners-losers

      ███████████████████████
     ███▄ ▄▄▄▄   ▄▄▄█▀▀  █████
    ███  █▀  ▀█▀▀▀       ▐█ ███
   ███  ▄██▄▄█▀▄▄▄        █▌ ███
  ███ ▄█▀  █     ▀█▄▄     ▐█  ▐██
 ███▄█▀    █        ▀█▄▄  ▄▄▄ ██
████▀      █           ▀██▀   ▀█ ██
 ██▀█▄     █          ▄█▀▀█▄▄▄█▀██
  ██ ▀█▄   █      ▄▄█▀▀    ▐█  ██
   ██  ▀█▄█▀▀█▄▄█▀▀        █▌ ██
    ███  █▄  ▄█▀█▄▄▄      █▌███
     ███  ▀▀▀▀     ▀▀▀█▄▄▐████
      ███████████████████████

 ▄▄       ▄▄▄        ▄▄   ▄▄▄▄▄ 
  ▀█▄   ▄█▀ ▀█▄    ▄█▀ ▄█▀▀   ▀▀█▄
    ▀█▄█▀     ▀█▄▄█▀  ▐█         █▌
    ▄█▀█▄      ▄█▀    ▐█         █▌
  ▄█▀   ▀█▄  ▄█▀       █▄       ▄█
▄█▀       ▀██▀          ▀▀█▄▄▄█▀▀


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June 29, 2014, 01:41:35 AM
 #72

Nice thread. Thank you. Please do your best!
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