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Author Topic: Godmode Technical Analysis  (Read 8356 times)
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October 28, 2019, 01:12:56 PM
 #381

A question that begs an answer. Again, with the current market, "Is the halving really priced in?"

Or, zoom out, will 2020 be 2016 all over again? Bitcoin was "just OK"/altcoins were surging.

I don't see the Top 15 by market cap alt coins surging until January.  My opinion of course.

i think market is going to price well in advance but still no
maybe after chinese new year because people in crypto tend to give that date lot of importance .. but my is only a guess not supported by any data

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dmwardjr
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October 28, 2019, 01:20:27 PM
 #382

A question that begs an answer. Again, with the current market, "Is the halving really priced in?"

Or, zoom out, will 2020 be 2016 all over again? Bitcoin was "just OK"/altcoins were surging.

I don't see the Top 15 by market cap alt coins surging until January.  My opinion of course.

i think market is going to price well in advance but still no
maybe after chinese new year because people in crypto tend to give that date lot of importance .. but my is only a guess not supported by any data

Also, one thing about 2016 that MUST be taken into consideration is the following:

Bitstamp hack of January, 2016.

BitFinex hack of July, 2016.

The BitFinex hack of 2016 was much larger than the hack of Bitstamp in January, 2016.  In either case, they both affected the market considerably.  I believe bitcoin would have been off to the races in 2016 in a similar fashion as January, 2013 or August/September, 2013 if those hacks had not occurred.  My opinion of course.

Present day; we have not had a large significant hack of a major exchange.  We've had some small hacks that were alleviated but nothing major.  As long as we can avoid a MAJOR hack of a MAJOR exchange, we are off to the races soon in a similar way as January, 2013 and August/September, 2013 in my opinion.

Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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October 28, 2019, 02:45:38 PM
 #383

BTCUSD - NEW VIDEO publication posted just now; titled, "The Long Term Short Squeeze is ON. Be Careful When Shorting!"  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/CQZrobZY-The-Long-Term-Short-Squeeze-is-ON-Be-Careful-When-Shorting/

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October 28, 2019, 03:24:38 PM
Last edit: November 02, 2019, 07:55:43 AM by dmwardjr
 #384

Potential future price movement...


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October 30, 2019, 10:35:49 AM
Last edit: October 31, 2019, 01:29:23 AM by dmwardjr
 #385

Here's a look at the 3-Day TF to show what trading range we likely stay within until the second week of January, 2020.



Expecting the Green Daily 50-MA to act as support.


Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 03, 2019, 08:37:17 PM
 #386

BTCUSD - NEW VIDEO Publication posted just now; titled, "We Will NOT Hit $16k by Year End as Some Are Saying! Here's Why..."  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/MhsOvdIt-We-Will-NOT-Hit-16k-by-Year-End-as-Some-Are-Saying-Here-s-Why/

Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 03, 2019, 09:32:22 PM
Merited by dmwardjr (1)
 #387

BTCUSD - NEW VIDEO Publication posted just now; titled, "We Will NOT Hit $16k by Year End as Some Are Saying! Here's Why..."  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/MhsOvdIt-We-Will-NOT-Hit-16k-by-Year-End-as-Some-Are-Saying-Here-s-Why/

assuming the bull market is back, ranging into year end sounds reasonable. the parallels you're drawing to the mid 2012 and mid 2013 corrections seems spot on. after the bottom was in, we had multiple months of ranging below the yearly highs before things really kicked off again. it's unrealistic to expect the total opposite now---an exponential rise from here. bullish sideways though? that sounds about right.

thanks for sharing!

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November 04, 2019, 08:56:52 AM
 #388

BTCUSD - NEW VIDEO Publication posted just now; titled, "We Will NOT Hit $16k by Year End as Some Are Saying! Here's Why..."  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/MhsOvdIt-We-Will-NOT-Hit-16k-by-Year-End-as-Some-Are-Saying-Here-s-Why/

assuming the bull market is back, ranging into year end sounds reasonable. the parallels you're drawing to the mid 2012 and mid 2013 corrections seems spot on. after the bottom was in, we had multiple months of ranging below the yearly highs before things really kicked off again. it's unrealistic to expect the total opposite now---an exponential rise from here. bullish sideways though? that sounds about right.

thanks for sharing!

Hi FOMA,

Good to see you and thanks for dropping by to comment!   Grin

Yes, you described my thoughts well.  The reason I say we are still "bullish" in a sideways market within a trading range is to emphasize I do not believe we are still in a bear market and destined to fall even further to lower lows as some are still suggesting.

I'm about to make a pot of coffee and work on another video to provide further details as to WHY I'm likely not seeing us go below $8,500 or NOT to $16k before year end.

Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 04, 2019, 10:51:50 AM
 #389

BTCUSD - NEW VIDEO Publication posted just now; titled, "YOU...SHALL NOT...PASS!!! (Not Close Below 20-MA in 3-Day TF)."  A couple of valuable tips in this video regarding Godmode indicator:  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/Ar1s8yop-YOU-SHALL-NOT-PASS-Not-Close-Below-20-MA-in-3-Day-TF/

Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 06, 2019, 01:13:16 PM
 #390

XRPUSD (Left); XRPBTC (Center) and BTCUSD (Right):  NEW VIDEO Publication; titled, "Whales Currently Preparing Bull Trap for XRPUSD & XRPBTC."  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/tY7bzuaQ-Whales-Currently-Preparing-Bull-Trap-for-XRPUSD-XRPBTC/

Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 08, 2019, 02:31:47 AM
Last edit: November 08, 2019, 03:27:33 PM by Wexlike
 #391

BTCUSD - NEW VIDEO Publication posted just now; titled, "We Will NOT Hit $16k by Year End as Some Are Saying! Here's Why..."  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/MhsOvdIt-We-Will-NOT-Hit-16k-by-Year-End-as-Some-Are-Saying-Here-s-Why/

assuming the bull market is back, ranging into year end sounds reasonable. the parallels you're drawing to the mid 2012 and mid 2013 corrections seems spot on. after the bottom was in, we had multiple months of ranging below the yearly highs before things really kicked off again. it's unrealistic to expect the total opposite now---an exponential rise from here. bullish sideways though? that sounds about right.

thanks for sharing!

I very much agree as well with the trading range that you two are expecting. Can't see much hype currently in the cryptosphere, but I am very surprised how well we manage to hold the 9ks while the mempool being almost empty(I did several 1sat/byte transactions a few days ago without any delay).

Waiting currently for a drop down to 8600$, but quite not sure anymore. End of year is always pretty bullish and I see more and more media picking up the stock to flow charts and therefore also the big halving next year.

Edit: There it was. Smiley
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November 08, 2019, 06:02:49 PM
Last edit: November 08, 2019, 06:20:09 PM by dmwardjr
 #392

BTCUSD - NEW VIDEO Publication posted just now; titled, "We Will NOT Hit $16k by Year End as Some Are Saying! Here's Why..."  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/MhsOvdIt-We-Will-NOT-Hit-16k-by-Year-End-as-Some-Are-Saying-Here-s-Why/

assuming the bull market is back, ranging into year end sounds reasonable. the parallels you're drawing to the mid 2012 and mid 2013 corrections seems spot on. after the bottom was in, we had multiple months of ranging below the yearly highs before things really kicked off again. it's unrealistic to expect the total opposite now---an exponential rise from here. bullish sideways though? that sounds about right.

thanks for sharing!

I very much agree as well with the trading range that you two are expecting. Can't see much hype currently in the cryptosphere, but I am very surprised how well we manage to hold the 9ks while the mempool being almost empty(I did several 1sat/byte transactions a few days ago without any delay).

Waiting currently for a drop down to 8600$, but quite not sure anymore. End of year is always pretty bullish and I see more and more media picking up the stock to flow charts and therefore also the big halving next year.

Edit: There it was. Smiley

Hi Wexlike,

Apologies for the delayed reply.  I've been super busy and just now got around to checking for replies on bitcointalk.org.

We see we have come down to my Yellow 0.142 FIB's and the 50-MA in the Daily; which I believe will act as support.  This was mentioned in the second chart in post #385 (above).  I suppose we will find out soon enough.

Stay Awesome!

Daily (24h) TF:



12h TF:

Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 09, 2019, 05:22:24 PM
 #393

First possible chance for upward pressure may be in 19 hours.  We have 7 hours remaining in the current 12h candle and the next 12h candle may be when downward pressure may begin to subside.  It's possible we may have to wait for the next 12 hour candle after that but it's looking like within the next 19 hours.


Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 10, 2019, 01:56:44 PM
Last edit: November 10, 2019, 02:37:51 PM by dmwardjr
 #394

Cardano - ADAUSD (Left); ADABTC (Middle) and BTCUSD (Right):  "Upward Pressure Continues with ADAUSD till end of November, 2019."  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ADAUSD/LeYOxFz9-Upward-Pressure-Continues-with-ADAUSD-till-end-of-November-2019/

I covered BTCUSD a little bit in the video publication linked above.  I mentioned upward pressure continuing for ADAUSD till possibly just after Thanksgiving with consolidation occurring most of December before our big push up into Official Altcoin Season the first or second week of January, 2020.  It's possible ADAUSD may go up a similar percentage as BTCUSD the remainder of November before having another period of consolidation in December.  Which means ADABTC would remain relatively flat (sideways) within a tight trading range if ADAUSD and BTCUSD went up a similar percentage.  Here's a visual of what Altcoin Season could look like for Cardano:

The following link provides examples of Different Wyckoff Accumulation Schematicss with their phases identified: https://i.imgur.com/D1fHpTN.jpg


Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 12, 2019, 12:09:44 AM
 #395

First possible chance for upward pressure may be in 19 hours.  We have 7 hours remaining in the current 12h candle and the next 12h candle may be when downward pressure may begin to subside.  It's possible we may have to wait for the next 12 hour candle after that but it's looking like within the next 19 hours.

any thoughts on that pump-and-dump yesterday? after we hit $9150 and closed strong, i figured the market had followed through on the daily bullish harami and a bullish reversal had occurred. now we're seeing new lows?!

needless to say, my stops were run and i'm licking my wounds now, not sure where we are headed next. was this a stop run before we move up, or something else?

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November 12, 2019, 01:48:21 PM
 #396

First possible chance for upward pressure may be in 19 hours.  We have 7 hours remaining in the current 12h candle and the next 12h candle may be when downward pressure may begin to subside.  It's possible we may have to wait for the next 12 hour candle after that but it's looking like within the next 19 hours.

any thoughts on that pump-and-dump yesterday? after we hit $9150 and closed strong, i figured the market had followed through on the daily bullish harami and a bullish reversal had occurred. now we're seeing new lows?!

needless to say, my stops were run and i'm licking my wounds now, not sure where we are headed next. was this a stop run before we move up, or something else?

Hi FOMA,

Apologies for the delay. Had stuff going on with relatives (nephew getting married, my grandmother's youngest sister who used to baby sit me passed away, etc...). Here's a quick chart for you to ponder while I work on another video publication to post within the next 60 minutes.


Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 12, 2019, 02:34:23 PM
 #397

First possible chance for upward pressure may be in 19 hours.  We have 7 hours remaining in the current 12h candle and the next 12h candle may be when downward pressure may begin to subside.  It's possible we may have to wait for the next 12 hour candle after that but it's looking like within the next 19 hours.

any thoughts on that pump-and-dump yesterday? after we hit $9150 and closed strong, i figured the market had followed through on the daily bullish harami and a bullish reversal had occurred. now we're seeing new lows?!

needless to say, my stops were run and i'm licking my wounds now, not sure where we are headed next. was this a stop run before we move up, or something else?

Hi FOMA,

Sorry to hear you got stopped out.  However, I'm happy to hear you use a stop loss to keep losses small and gains large.  The following video is a near term outlook for BTCUSD...

"Part 1: $8,340 to $8,440 by Nov. 14; Then Reversal by Nov. 15" -    https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/g8pixykt-Part-1-8-340-to-8-440-by-Nov-14-Then-Reversal-by-Nov-15/

Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 12, 2019, 03:43:29 PM
 #398

Part 2: Let's Look at Worse Possible Case Scenario.  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/n13eZ9st-Part-2-Let-s-Look-at-Worse-Possible-Case-Scenario/

Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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November 13, 2019, 10:01:41 AM
 #399

I'm rather bearish short term and this worst case scenario is quite likely. We are seeing lower and lower highs since end-of-October pump to 10k. If we don't break that declining resistance, it could easily fall to 7500 as you mention.
However volume is quite low so big moves are possible and why not upward. I'm missing the 5 digits 😔

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November 13, 2019, 10:13:32 AM
 #400

I'm rather bearish short term and this worst case scenario is quite likely. We are seeing lower and lower highs since end-of-October pump to 10k. If we don't break that declining resistance, it could easily fall to 7500 as you mention.
However volume is quite low so big moves are possible and why not upward. I'm missing the 5 digits 😔

We will have to see what price level we push up to once we have a reversal to upward pressure some time between November 14 and November 16, 2019.  The Daily (24h) and the 2-Day time frames both show a chance for reversal to upward pressure within the dates previously mentioned.  

I wish we had margin trading back in 2012 and 2013.  If we had, I would have a better idea of what may or may not occur when comparing to history.  The margin short contracts are approximately four times LESS than margin long contracts on Bitfinex at this writing.  However, I've chosen to ignore the HUGE spread between margin short and long contracts and focus my energy on the indicators; which was shared in my video publications.

Cheers,

David




Follow me on Trading View for excellent signals in Bitcoin/US dollar - Bitstamp - https://www.tradingview.com/u/WyckoffMode/.  Will be on a paid subscription website soon with trading signals and technical education using Wyckoff Method in conjunction with Godmode and Stochastic RSI indicators for many more crypto currency pairs besides BTCUSD.
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