I really hope this strategy is something that could really be instrumental in your Bitcoin trading, it really defines the trend in an easy to follow and effective way helping you follow the trend of bitcoin with seemingly ease.
I'm not having any confusion to predict the bitcoin's trend because in long term it is always in upward direction. Only for the short term traders, I believe these kinds of strategies are required because they only need to catch up the exact turning points of bitcoin tends. All the above, I am also making use of trend but in long term. For example I have sold one bitcoin around $16k levels by the times of 2017 November and then bought around 3 bitcoins for the prices around $5k levels by the times of earlier of this year. This could elaborate anyone how to make use of trend in long-term.
I will never trade first. The trend is really unpredictable now, lot of flash dumps or flash pumps nowadays, saw those huge didl candles? That will going to rekt you.
All these confusion are applicable only for short-term traders who may be having whatever strategy like trend riding or support resistance based trading. When you switch over to long-term trading, it will be much easier and you never need to get confused by any wrong signal.