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Author Topic: Quantum computing is not really a Bitcoin problem.  (Read 317 times)
aardvark15 (OP)
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November 21, 2019, 03:45:02 PM
 #1

I’m no computer expert, but my understanding is that several years from now or even a couple of decades, quantum computers will be able to crack Bitcoin private keys therefore jeopardizing security or our wallets.

I would contend that the security of Bitcoin and altcoins is not the only thing we should worry about. All the passwords we use every day for bank accounts, emails, etc. will be much easier to crack than a Bitcoin private key.  Those less secure passwords are the most vulnerable.

I think that as this becomes more realistic, there will be defenses put in place to protect all types of passwords, not just Bitcoin private keys.

Please share your thoughts and correct me where I’m wrong

Thanks
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Once a transaction has 6 confirmations, it is extremely unlikely that an attacker without at least 50% of the network's computation power would be able to reverse it.
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November 21, 2019, 04:02:50 PM
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 #2

Don't worry about Bitcoin, a small niche. The world will have BIGGER problems to worry about with the arrival of quantum computers. Hahaha.

The world will be able to fix the quantum issue and implement a quantum secure mode through rewinding, freezing, correcting accounts. But Bitcoin can't ...

They can immediately change to quantum resistant signature systems, but their data is very big for a blockchain.
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November 21, 2019, 05:28:59 PM
 #3

Currently, Google has launched its own quantum computer and many newspapers have reported that the rest of the world's bitcoin will be mined within 2 minutes. I do not believe it will happen because it is a hypothesis. Google will probably make more money if they don't mine the rest because their search, advertising, and translation services have helped them make more money and stability than the money they dig. If they own the remaining 3 million bitcoins, they cannot liquidate them for a while.

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November 21, 2019, 05:58:22 PM
 #4

I’m no computer expert, but my understanding is that several years from now or even a couple of decades, quantum computers will be able to crack Bitcoin private keys therefore jeopardizing security or our wallets.

I would contend that the security of Bitcoin and altcoins is not the only thing we should worry about. All the passwords we use every day for bank accounts, emails, etc. will be much easier to crack than a Bitcoin private key.  Those less secure passwords are the most vulnerable.

I think that as this becomes more realistic, there will be defenses put in place to protect all types of passwords, not just Bitcoin private keys.

Please share your thoughts and correct me where I’m wrong

Thanks

True indeed! If quantum computer becomes powerful enough to break bitcoin's security, it will be way easier for it to break banking network! Also it's very unlikely that quantum computer will fall in the hands of wrong people who would use it for such activities!

Big conglomerates like IBM and Google are investing behind it and they will have complete control over its usage! No way, these companies are going to destroy crypto encryption or banking networks. It's no way a threat to cryptos!

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November 21, 2019, 06:04:01 PM
 #5

Currently, Google has launched its own quantum computer and many newspapers have reported that the rest of the world's bitcoin will be mined within 2 minutes. I do not believe it will happen because it is a hypothesis. Google will probably make more money if they don't mine the rest because their search, advertising, and translation services have helped them make more money and stability than the money they dig. If they own the remaining 3 million bitcoins, they cannot liquidate them for a while.

So are quantum computers theoretically going to be able to both hack private keys and mine Bitcoins faster?  I was not aware of the mining aspect, but it makes sense. What about the cost of mining with quantum computers? Will it cost more or less to mine?
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November 21, 2019, 07:43:18 PM
 #6

You're correct, theoretically, Quantum computers should be able to break Bitcoin encryption, and pretty much any other encryption for that matter.

Quantum computers dont need to go through the old brute forcing way of doing things, they're able to collapse the number of possibilities down to far fewer, and resolve the solution directly.

However, there are plenty of ways to secure data that simply doesn't use encryption. Before we had encryption, we used to use cold-storage type systems to protect data (e.g. filing cabinets).

Physically isolated digital filing cabinets exist today, these are called secure chips, I imagine we could stick one of these in every miner to stop the network being cracked.
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November 21, 2019, 08:16:22 PM
 #7

Currently, Google has launched its own quantum computer and many newspapers have reported that the rest of the world's bitcoin will be mined within 2 minutes. I do not believe it will happen because it is a hypothesis. Google will probably make more money if they don't mine the rest because their search, advertising, and translation services have helped them make more money and stability than the money they dig. If they own the remaining 3 million bitcoins, they cannot liquidate them for a while.

So are quantum computers theoretically going to be able to both hack private keys and mine Bitcoins faster?  I was not aware of the mining aspect, but it makes sense. What about the cost of mining with quantum computers? Will it cost more or less to mine?

Yes, and i would say it is easier to mine faster than crack keys. How fast i don't know, but maybe its a bit slower than "2 mins the reminder of coins". Until the diff adjusts they will be able to mine quite fast, but if they don't finish before the next diff adjust, i'm sure the diff will go "moon" and slow them down to 10 mins again Smiley

Suffice to say, this would kick out everyone else from mining, at least everyone doing it for profit... I can imagine someone in control of such computer to attempt and mine some bitcoin just for fun, but they need to code their miner first. The current quantum computers are still too primitive to worry, but in a few decades they might be able to mine bitcoin just fine. I guess that is yet another nail in the mining for profit coffin... Actually, some software for quantum computers has been written but it is theoretical, as the computers that would run them don't exist yet...

For this there is no solution but to change the algorithm. I doubt that will happen, it is the same argument to the "why not change the algo to be asic resistant?" I guess quantum computers will put an end to asic mining. I doubt that will be very profitable to justify some mad whale investing in building a quantum computer for that reason. But i can imagine someone operating an institutional one giving it a try "for testing".

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November 21, 2019, 08:47:15 PM
 #8

That's a really fair point, that people are so worried about Bitcoin getting cracked by superqantum computers, they should be more worried about their passwords getting cracked and their personal data getting stolen to perpetrate fraud, crime, etc.

By the way, see this guy get taken down in typical Antonoupoulos fashion: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/dzgb3m/many_people_still_think_that_bitcoin_can_be

P.S. And the Pentagon and crypto holders are the worst password offenders: https://www.infosecurity-magazine.com/news/kayne-pentagon-crypto-worst/

So yeah, let's worry about passwords first before we worry about quantum computing cracking Bitcoin.

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November 21, 2019, 09:26:26 PM
 #9

I’m no computer expert, but my understanding is that several years from now or even a couple of decades, quantum computers will be able to crack Bitcoin private keys therefore jeopardizing security or our wallets.

I would contend that the security of Bitcoin and altcoins is not the only thing we should worry about. All the passwords we use every day for bank accounts, emails, etc. will be much easier to crack than a Bitcoin private key.  Those less secure passwords are the most vulnerable.

I think that as this becomes more realistic, there will be defenses put in place to protect all types of passwords, not just Bitcoin private keys.

Please share your thoughts and correct me where I’m wrong

Thanks

I guess you are right. The first one to be receive and attack are the ones less secured network like banks, and financial institutions aside from crypto. If ever they had invented quantum computers, the people on the revolution like satoshi would come up with a strategy and counter it, I think he is smart enough to think ahead, they are a genius after all.
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November 21, 2019, 09:26:42 PM
 #10

Currently, Google has launched its own quantum computer and many newspapers have reported that the rest of the world's bitcoin will be mined within 2 minutes.

my reply to the fud

no
googles quantum computer solved a qubit problem in 3 minutes that would have taken a binary system 10,000 years

its like saying to  raise their hand when a drum beats.
the test is designed for a hearing person (quantum) but if they then put another person its not designed for to the test. and the DEAF person(binary) is not sure so he just raises his hand 10000times until he gets his hand up in sync with a drum beat

yes there are things that quantum computers. once programmed what to look for can b faster. but depnding on the problem and the solution required can make the difference of a factor of 2x or a factor of 1752000000x

but even if 10,000 years does translate to 3 minutes
thats still a  bitcoin problems that is
5664354297767760000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 year problem in binary translated to a
1699306289330328000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 minutes problem in qubit
(1939847362249233000000000000000000000000000000000000 centuries)

I DO NOT TRADE OR ACT AS ESCROW ON THIS FORUM EVER.
Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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November 21, 2019, 11:58:41 PM
 #11

Currently, Google has launched its own quantum computer and many newspapers have reported that the rest of the world's bitcoin will be mined within 2 minutes. I do not believe it will happen because it is a hypothesis. Google will probably make more money if they don't mine the rest because their search, advertising, and translation services have helped them make more money and stability than the money they dig. If they own the remaining 3 million bitcoins, they cannot liquidate them for a while.
If Bitcoin is fully mined using quantum computers, the Crypto market could collapse really because of the motivation to keep the value for bitcoin to an end.  Over the years, mining companies have spent large sums of money to mine Bitcoin and help Bitcoin increase its value continuously.  If Bitcoin is fully mined, a group of people will panic because of the risk that Google could sell all Bitcoin mining and reduce the value of Bitcoin.
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November 22, 2019, 12:32:28 AM
 #12

I agree to the OP and this is what I have also been thinking regarding this Google's 'Quantum Supremacy'. Besides that, I don't think Google would outright do it in fradulent attacks. It's much worse if they lose investors and customers that what would they get from stealing cryptocurrencies. Also, quatum-proof algorithms are already undergoing research by some experts in universities that would utilize quantum computer's capability against them to provide more secure framework all-in-all.



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aardvark15 (OP)
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November 22, 2019, 02:30:24 AM
 #13

So if quantum computing are used for mining, what is the cost of mining?  If it’s still very expensive to mine, then does it really matter if Google mines all the remaining Bitcoins? What I mean is if one entity spends 1 billion dollars to mine 1 billion dollars worth of Bitcoins, then did they really gain anything?
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November 22, 2019, 03:19:01 AM
 #14

I’m no computer expert, but my understanding is that several years from now or even a couple of decades, quantum computers will be able to crack Bitcoin private keys therefore jeopardizing security or our wallets.
It doesn't really make sense though, because of course technology is going to evolve to a point where our current security is going to be useless for the future, and bitcoin keys will be crackable for sure, but there's the argument that a lot of other stuff will be as well.

If someone finds access or creates quantum computer, would they use it for bitcoin at first? Of course not.

They'd look at other options like hacking bank accounts, stealing government secrets, messing around with businesses and a whole lot worse stuff then just going around and busting some private keys.


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November 22, 2019, 02:02:30 PM
 #15

I’m no computer expert, but my understanding is that several years from now or even a couple of decades, quantum computers will be able to crack Bitcoin private keys therefore jeopardizing security or our wallets.

I would contend that the security of Bitcoin and altcoins is not the only thing we should worry about. All the passwords we use every day for bank accounts, emails, etc. will be much easier to crack than a Bitcoin private key.  Those less secure passwords are the most vulnerable.

I think that as this becomes more realistic, there will be defenses put in place to protect all types of passwords, not just Bitcoin private keys.

Please share your thoughts and correct me where I’m wrong

Thanks
I think that there is a whole lot of Fear, Uncertainty, and doubt lingering around quantum physics, especially within the sector of computing. now, I know these threats should be taken seriously, but lets be real, most of our suspicions are based of science fiction dystopian future elements. The current state of quantum computers can do mind boggling calculations but are limited to a narrow field of use. Bitcoin will continue to be devolved and will most likely adopt some quantum proof protocol in the future, same as Bitcoin lighting upgrade, something will come that will help from these "what if" scenarios from happening!

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November 27, 2019, 03:03:18 PM
 #16

Blockchain latest news: a state-owned quantum computer could break blockchains in as little as three years  https://www.computing.co.uk/ctg/news/3033006/state-owned-quantum-computer-break-blockchains-three-years 'A commercially viable quantum computer is still probably a decade away but the first rudimentary, state-owned device capable of breaking common one-way encryption algorithms like AES and elliptic curve cryptography could be with us much sooner.'
'Whoever achieves it first - and it could be within as little as three years according to Cheng - don't expect to learn about it in the news.'

Post quantum we will have lots of forks. But the quantum upgraded original chain with all the mined coins will be the strongest. Anyone who has the privatekey of an old address can now move their coins and they will be quantum secure. Otherwise they are 'shalecoins' and have no owner and will be 'fracked'. These coins are the reward of their 'frackers'. If some think that the 'shalecoins' should be locked/destroyed, they can use the fork with excluded 'shalecoins'. They are already discussing such things: Fork and Destroy Satoshi's 1 million Bitcoin? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5131393.0

No matter what, a decade is not such a long time. We should be discussing this stuff today.
Yes, squatter.
Quantum computers will surprise the Bitcoin community. The 'shalecoins' will be moved and will become active. Thereafter BTC owners will decide, which fork they want to use.

I have no idea and I just learned it from this thread. Those coins in Satoshi's wallet will then be activated which sooner there might not have forgotten coins after all. I guess we can all say Bitcoin will live on to be 21M in total. Nothings wasted and SAtoshi has really thought all of these will happen one day.

Quantum computers will surprise the Bitcoin community? Yes.
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November 27, 2019, 04:06:15 PM
 #17

True indeed! If quantum computer becomes powerful enough to break bitcoin's security, it will be way easier for it to break banking network! Also it's very unlikely that quantum computer will fall in the hands of wrong people who would use it for such activities!

Big conglomerates like IBM and Google are investing behind it and they will have complete control over its usage! No way, these companies are going to destroy crypto encryption or banking networks. It's no way a threat to cryptos!
i knew it , all of these quantum computer issues shouldn't be main cryptocurrency concern.

media loves playing a fairy tale stories as they get pennies from it. it is not something like the end of bitcoin era, it is just the beginning instead. some crazy wild opinion talking about how quantum computer could mining millions bitcoin in a couple seconds.
that is completely madness.

a non-computer savvy will draw conclusion easily about this quantum computer could kill bitcoin , but the real tech savvy knew what quantum computer are really capable of.
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November 27, 2019, 04:23:46 PM
 #18

Potential negative implications of quantum computing wouldn't be seen just yet knowing that we're still on the 'baby steps' of this huge leap in terms of computing. If ever quantum computing becomes widespread, we still have the option to transfer over to a quantum-resistant algorithm and let things be. For the mean time, there's not much to worry about quantum computing for bitcoin's security. Brute-forcing private keys would still be a long way to go and an exhaustive process for anyone who tries to do so.

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November 27, 2019, 04:30:45 PM
 #19

I also do not believe that quantum computers will be such a big problem for bitcoin, it will be able to evolve.
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November 27, 2019, 04:38:49 PM
Merited by aardvark15 (1)
 #20

Currently, Google has launched its own quantum computer and many newspapers have reported that the rest of the world's bitcoin will be mined within 2 minutes. I do not believe it will happen because it is a hypothesis. Google will probably make more money if they don't mine the rest because their search, advertising, and translation services have helped them make more money and stability than the money they dig. If they own the remaining 3 million bitcoins, they cannot liquidate them for a while.

So are quantum computers theoretically going to be able to both hack private keys and mine Bitcoins faster?  I was not aware of the mining aspect, but it makes sense. What about the cost of mining with quantum computers? Will it cost more or less to mine?
Most probably, yeah. But I highly have doubts on getting into it, Google admitted  that their sycamore processor has only 54 qubits, so threat for cryptography would be at less since for a computer to break cryptography's security it should be on a higher scale meaning from 100 up to thousands. Supercomputer for bitcoin mining won't be able to perform coz it can't afford the hashrate that the bitcoin network has, Supercomputer can possibly mine but with higher electricty consumption with the same rate for bitcoin mining rigs. That' is why it is not suitable for mining.
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