Halving, who's closest with actual Nrs TAKE A CHANCE on the LIST !!!

[vapourminer]

Damn 4 players that won before all gone with lower-ish prices... where are all the other previous winners ??

How quickly 6K's becomes seen as a low price
Not too fast, not too soon.  You know, 7K  IS the moon had we never been in the 20K bubble. It was only a few years ago that we were buying full coins for 1K and less, in a few more years it will be the same.

EDIT: this post not directed at anyone in particular, it just reminded me of the following. mic, if its off topic,  shoot me a pm or whatnot and ill delete it.

a few years ago (well more like 5ish) i mined coins for ~$2 USD. and it didnt take long for its value to shoot up once it started its roll. just need good seat belts for the ride, unless holding on with finger and toenails is your thing.

TL;DR honey badger does whatever it wants, in whatever timeframe it wants, for no particular reason other than.... its what honey badgers do. you know, cuz its fun for them.

so, pick a number, any number. maybe the honey badger will smile on you.

[1714050260]

1714050260

[1714050260]

1714050260

[1714050260]

1714050260

[1714050260]

1714050260

[1714050260]

1714050260

[7jaka7]

Sorry, I don't have time for TA (and it wouldn't help me with my price prediction anyway). I spent enough time to find free "box". So I choose 7651- 7700.
Thank you, Mic for the game. I wish everyone happy and successful new year.

[Buchi-88]

Thank you for this game, i trust my last tip

13.451 - 13.500 (13,475) - Buchi-88

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5188987.msg52611872#msg52611872

regards

[El duderino_]

Participants list GL


3151-3200          KTChampions *
5051-5100          fabiorem
5151-5200          sgbett *
5451-5500          cabalism13
5801-5850          makrospex
5901-5950          Mbitr
6001-6050          tyKiwanuka *
6051-6100          tweetious
6251-6300          Heisenberg_Hunter *
6301-6350          Spray. *                      -A previous winner-
6451-6500          Icygreen *
6501-6550          haloxon
6651-6700          Corrosive
6701-6750          Polar91
6751-6800          theymos *
6801-6850          bbc.reporter *
6851-6900          ChuckBuck
6901-6950          Biodom
6951-7000          Last of the V8s
7001-7050          tvplus006
7051-7100          sirazimuth                               -A previous winner-
7101-7150          GazetaBitcoin
7151-7200          unsoindovo
7201-7250          hosseinimr93 *
7251-7300          wheelz1200
7301-7350          dragonvslinux *
7351-7400          Cryptotourist
7401-7450          android17
7451-7500          bct_ail
7501-7550          iasenko
7551-7600          xyz
7601-7650          sheenshane
7651-7700          7jaka7
7701-7750          Lauda
7751-7800          ezeminer *
7801-7850          Globb0 *                                     -A previous winner-
7851-7900          teeGUMES
7901-7950          tg88
7951-8000          leea-1334 *
8001-8050          HairyMaclairy *
8051-8100          wachtwoord
8101-8150          brobbel
8151-8200          gentlemand                                -A previous winner-
8201-8250          Ryker1
8251-8300          JSRAW
8301-8350          marlboroza
8351-8400          efialtis
8401-8450          TopTort777
8551-8600          kurious  *
8601-8650          oscar2000 *
8651-8700          mindrust
8701-8750          Phil_S *
8751-8800          abel1337
8801-8850          malevolent *
8851-8900          mu_enrico
8901-8950          stompix
8951-9000          Mitchell
9001-9050          Dunkelheit667 *
9051-9100          actmyname
9151-9200          somac.
9201-9250          psycodad
9251-9300          Tytanowy Janusz
9301-9350          hatshepsut93 *
9351-9400          BobLawblaw
9401-9450          Febo
9451-9500          buwaytress *
9501-9550          FutureBitcoin
9551-9600          Vispilio
9601-9650          1miau
9651-9700          DragonDance
9701-9750          JimboToronto *
9751-9800          AlcoHoDL
9801-9850          wwzsocki
9851-9900          thisisntbic
9901-9950          DeathAngel
9951-10000        GrosWesh
10001-10050      jojo69
10051-10100      Pamoldar
10101-10150      Lanatsa
10151-10200      krogothmanhattan
10201-10250      vapourminer
10251-10300      JanEmil
10301-10350      BitcoinPenny
10351-10400      cryptobaboon
10401-10450      RapTarX
10451-10500      ivomm *
10501-10550      DireWolfM14
10551-10600      F2b
10601-10650      hacker1001101001
10651-10700      LoyceV *
10701-10750      xLays
10751-10800      d_eddie
10801-10850      SPQRCoin
10851-10900      akhjob
10901-10950      Dabs
10951-11000      wh1rlw1nd *
11001-11050      RaspoBTC
11101-11150      slaman29 *
11151-11200      Searing
11201-11250      FontSeli
11251-11300      LFC_Bitcoin
11301-11350      Real-Duke
11351-11400      geophphreigh
11401-11450      Sat0shisGhost
11451-11500      bitmover
11501-11550      LUCKMCFLY *
11601-11650      STT *
11651-11700      bitserve
11701-11750      johhnyUA *
11751-11800      xenon131
11901-11950      P_Shep
11951-12000      WhiteManWhite
12001-12050      Stedsm
12051-12100      Soonandwaite
12101-12150      naska21
12201-12250      Lesbian Cow
12251-12300      Darker45 *
12301-12350      o_e_l_e_o
12351-12400      Lakai01
12401-12450      NeuroticFish
13001-13050      Hhampuz
13051-13100      jokers10
13101-13150      hanspeter77
13301-13350      JollyGood
13451-13500      Buchi-88
13501-13550      epis11
13951-14000      igor72
14001-14050      klaaas
14201-14250      Hueristic
14401-14450      mole0815
14451-14500      Koal-84
14501-14550      qwk
14901-14950      Steamtyme
15001-15050      tranthidung
15151-15200      zasad@
16351-16400      xhomerx10
17451-17500      friends1980
17501-17550      minerjones
18801-18850      Wind_FURY
20001-20050      ChefImGartenPavillion
21951-22000      bitcoinPsycho *
24501-24550      VB1001


Updated

[brobbel]

...
8101-8050          brobbel
...

I guess you mean 8101-8150 

[hosseinimr93]

micgoossens, you should replace following participants with each other.

21951-22000      bitcoinPsycho *
20001-20050      ChefImGartenPavillion

bitcoinPsycho has predicted  bigger price, so should be placed under ChefImGartenPavillion.

[Majormax]

Some have said that this halving won't have as much effect as the last two, but it's still a reduction in monetary inflation from 3.7%/yr to 1.8%/yr, which is far from nothing, and in fact I see it as permanently bringing BTC out of the inflationary era and into the deflationary era. I'm not sure that we'll see 20k again in 2020 (though it could happen), but I think that 10k+ is quite likely several months after the halving. Historically, the post-halving runup has happened some time after the halving, presumably after people started to really feel the reduced supply.

For now though I don't see enough enthusiasm or other upward pressure. To the institutional investors who most push the market, BTC is largely seen as "leveraged gold", but the US/worldwide economy looks fine for now on its surface, fiat inflation isn't a widespread concern, etc. (BTC also has fundamental value beyond its value as "gold" -- a hedge against inflation and fiat collapse --, but this is a large component of the price currently.) So absent any major news, I think that the trendline is slightly downward for now. ("Major news" would be mostly regulatory-related, such as an approved BTC ETF or increased regulatory pressure. Probably the downside risk is higher than the upside risk here.)

One point of upward pressure is that there may have been some tax-loss-harvesting sales in Q4, which would now disappear. Not sure how big of an effect this was. And you might justify early-year volatility as people locking in gains ASAP in tax year 2020.

I predict that we'll sit in the 6k-7k range for some time between now and the halving, and although I wouldn't be too surprised to see prices in the lower half of that range, I'll guess near the high end, leading to my prediction of 6751-6800 on April 1. On the other hand, I predict that the supply reduction as well as mounting worldwide economic shakiness will cause a large runup (at least above 10k) in the second half of 2020. In the unlikely event that I win, please donate the BTC to a BTC-accepting charity of your choice (eg. intelligence.org or fee.org).

Agree almost entirely. This year is most likely to see a low volatility market, with long held support at ~6400. Resistance is at 7600, so that range could see a lot of trading time. Any significant runup in the last half of the year.

Any new ATH will likely have to wait until 2021-2022. Usual caveats/other risks still apply.  The price chart cycles are getting longer, and that is only to be expected , as the heavier market cap acts as a damper to volatility.

[El duderino_]

Let me guess 11751-11800   

The HAT xhomerx10 made?? Or a sidechain ?? 

[rdluffy]

My guess: 18851-18900 

[bitserve]

Let me guess 11751-11800   

The HAT xhomerx10 made?? Or a sidechain ?? 

Look at the missing shades... it's a forked hat.

[dothebeats]

From what I gathered from the last 2 events of bitcoin halving, there hasn't been that much of a price difference a month or two before the actual events started. Many will say that the dynamics and the economy have changed massively since 2012 and 2016, still I believe that some traders are still using the graphs of the previous halving religiously to position themselves accordingly for the event. I'm banking heavily on the psychological aspect of the 2 previous halving events and not necessarily on graphs and TA because that's what I understand best--and I'd like to dig a different hole than what others have already made within this thread, so there's that.

While general market sentiment over a particular trading scenario is unwise to use/rely for market positions, we already saw that it has made a pattern, and Man has been known to follow naturally-occurring pattern since ancient times, so I'd like to dwell on that urge of Man to follow what exactly has been drawn on the graph.

$6201-$6250 would be my take, 16.6% lower than the current trading price of bitcoin. I would love to go lower but my target of 5801-5850 has been taken already.

Good luck to everyone who participated!

EDIT: Few words

[Majormax]

6551-6600

[xhomerx10]

Let me guess 11751-11800   

The HAT xhomerx10 made?? Or a sidechain ?? 

 Definitely a sidechain.

[cygan]

12451-12500

[El duderino_]

I have to admit there are much more "*" in the bearish predictions as in the bullish ones

[Majormax]

I have to admit there are much more "*" in the bearish predictions as in the bullish ones

How do you calculate that ?  I see much more bullish in the * members. Current price ~7500.

I observe  21 *  predictions above 7500, only 12 * predictions below 7500.

[El duderino_]

I have to admit there are much more "*" in the bearish predictions as in the bullish ones

How do you calculate that ?  I see much more bullish in the * members. Current price ~7500.

I observe  21 *  predictions above 7500, only 12 * predictions below 7500.

Yeah in your way that true.... but you know me, I do understand many opinions etc

But for me personal as an to BULLish person then I just talk BULLish as in higher prices

Even 7.5 is relatively high and surely if we see the start of 2019 ..... but still BULL prices I sometimes confuse the for MOON prices probably

But I think you know what I mean’t

[bitebits]

Nice game Mic, liking the new format

6601-6650

Why? Since I am always too bullish short term, and too bearish long term.

[fronti]

my tip is 14701-14750  why, because qwk is 200 below...

[El duderino_]

Participants list GL


3151-3200          KTChampions *
5051-5100          fabiorem
5151-5200          sgbett *
5451-5500          cabalism13
5801-5850          makrospex
5901-5950          Mbitr
6001-6050          tyKiwanuka *
6051-6100          tweetious
6201-6250          dothebeats *
6251-6300          Heisenberg_Hunter *
6301-6350          Spray. *                      -A previous winner-
6451-6500          Icygreen *
6501-6550          haloxon
6551-6600          Majormax *
6601-6650          bitebits
6651-6700          Corrosive
6701-6750          Polar91
6751-6800          theymos *
6801-6850          bbc.reporter *
6851-6900          ChuckBuck
6901-6950          Biodom
6951-7000          Last of the V8s
7001-7050          tvplus006
7051-7100          sirazimuth                               -A previous winner-
7101-7150          GazetaBitcoin
7151-7200          unsoindovo
7201-7250          hosseinimr93 *
7251-7300          wheelz1200
7301-7350          dragonvslinux *
7351-7400          Cryptotourist
7401-7450          android17
7451-7500          bct_ail
7501-7550          iasenko
7551-7600          xyz
7601-7650          sheenshane
7651-7700          7jaka7
7701-7750          Lauda
7751-7800          ezeminer *
7801-7850          Globb0 *                                     -A previous winner-
7851-7900          teeGUMES
7901-7950          tg88
7951-8000          leea-1334 *
8001-8050          HairyMaclairy *
8051-8100          wachtwoord
8101-8150          brobbel
8151-8200          gentlemand                                -A previous winner-
8201-8250          Ryker1
8251-8300          JSRAW
8301-8350          marlboroza
8351-8400          efialtis
8401-8450          TopTort777
8551-8600          kurious  *
8601-8650          oscar2000 *
8651-8700          mindrust
8701-8750          Phil_S *
8751-8800          abel1337
8801-8850          malevolent *
8851-8900          mu_enrico
8901-8950          stompix
8951-9000          Mitchell
9001-9050          Dunkelheit667 *
9051-9100          actmyname
9151-9200          somac.
9201-9250          psycodad
9251-9300          Tytanowy Janusz
9301-9350          hatshepsut93 *
9351-9400          BobLawblaw
9401-9450          Febo
9451-9500          buwaytress *
9501-9550          FutureBitcoin
9551-9600          Vispilio
9601-9650          1miau
9651-9700          DragonDance
9701-9750          JimboToronto *
9751-9800          AlcoHoDL
9801-9850          wwzsocki
9851-9900          thisisntbic
9901-9950          DeathAngel
9951-10000        GrosWesh
10001-10050      jojo69
10051-10100      Pamoldar
10101-10150      Lanatsa
10151-10200      krogothmanhattan
10201-10250      vapourminer
10251-10300      JanEmil
10301-10350      BitcoinPenny
10351-10400      cryptobaboon
10401-10450      RapTarX
10451-10500      ivomm *
10501-10550      DireWolfM14
10551-10600      F2b
10601-10650      hacker1001101001
10651-10700      LoyceV *
10701-10750      xLays
10751-10800      d_eddie
10801-10850      SPQRCoin
10851-10900      akhjob
10901-10950      Dabs
10951-11000      wh1rlw1nd *
11001-11050      RaspoBTC
11101-11150      slaman29 *
11151-11200      Searing
11201-11250      FontSeli
11251-11300      LFC_Bitcoin
11301-11350      Real-Duke
11351-11400      geophphreigh
11401-11450      Sat0shisGhost
11451-11500      bitmover
11501-11550      LUCKMCFLY *
11601-11650      STT *
11651-11700      bitserve
11701-11750      johhnyUA *
11751-11800      xenon131
11901-11950      P_Shep
11951-12000      WhiteManWhite
12001-12050      Stedsm
12051-12100      Soonandwaite
12101-12150      naska21
12201-12250      Lesbian Cow
12251-12300      Darker45 *
12301-12350      o_e_l_e_o
12351-12400      Lakai01
12401-12450      NeuroticFish
12451-12500      cygan
13001-13050      Hhampuz
13051-13100      jokers10
13101-13150      hanspeter77
13151-13200      Captain-Cryptory
13301-13350      JollyGood
13451-13500      Buchi-88
13501-13550      epis11
13951-14000      igor72
14001-14050      klaaas
14201-14250      Hueristic
14401-14450      mole0815
14451-14500      Koal-84
14501-14550      qwk
14701-14750      fronti
14901-14950      Steamtyme
15001-15050      tranthidung
15151-15200      zasad@
16351-16400      xhomerx10
17451-17500      friends1980
17501-17550      minerjones
18801-18850      Wind_FURY
18851-18900      rdluffy
20001-20050      ChefImGartenPavillion
21951-22000      bitcoinPsycho *
24501-24550      VB1001


Updated