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Author Topic: Sports betting strategy.  (Read 1335 times)
hahay
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January 08, 2020, 10:27:41 PM
 #41

forget about getting 2% i lost too much on first day. May be it is wise to change the strategy any way it always pays to try. Here are the results,
https://imgur.com/a/jPFMrKr

I'm not a professional gambler, I'm an amateur, but from what I see of the professional gamblers they can make 25 bets and lose 4 bets and hit 21 bets... Is something amazing. Well I have no way of proving if they are telling the truth. But I can agree with them when they say that for a beginner person should never make too many bets at the same time, beginner person should start with few bets... something like 1 bet or 3 bets. I ask you the following question:

Did you analyze all these games before you bet?
No, I experimented with some odds selections and tried hardcore technical strategy, completely based on math. I did not conduct any fundamental research on team or sports for that matter.
Though I lost but thanks for your inputs.
You shouldn't do that, you have been greedy at the beginning by only choosing the odd @2.xx if you want to try the experiment correctly or not, then try to choose odd @1.xx. I'm sure with experiments like that won't work because in the past I've made experiments like this that even I only chose at odd @1.01, it should be the safest bet, but in sports betting it doesn't guarantee you to win. Lol

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January 08, 2020, 10:34:31 PM
 #42

forget about getting 2% i lost too much on first day. May be it is wise to change the strategy any way it always pays to try. Here are the results,
https://imgur.com/a/jPFMrKr
That's a bad beat. You should really have changed the strategy that you're doing. It's not getting a percentage of your total bankroll but to win as much as you can with your bets every day. Strengthen first your analysis with the teams that you are betting and do research before placing a bet to a match so that you will improve a lot within the next bets that you will do. That's what I can suggest to you, it will not be easy as I say but at least you have the initiative.

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Fundamentals Of
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January 09, 2020, 03:21:35 AM
 #43

Sometimes, it is very easy to tell which team will win. But that is a totally different story when we are confronted with the betting odds.
Your analysis will be challenge once you see the odds, of course if you have the experience in sports betting, you will not just pick the heavy favorites every time with a very small return in case they'll win.

Because your game or match analysis is quite different from your odds analysis. Even picking the heavy favorites for seemingly easy wins will probably end you up losing on the overall rather than winning.

Quote
The sports betting sites makes everything hard for the gamblers. Even the enthusiasts commit errors all the time. That is probably why gambling is never designed for people who are looking for profit. The probability of losing is always found alongside the probability of winning.
It's hard because in reality only few of the sports bettors are really making money, so you need to know your capacity either you play for fun or gamble treating sports betting as your profession.

And I bet there are much fewer professional sports bettors than there are sports bettors making money. As for me, I would rather enjoy my every bet. It is really sad to lose but it is more sad if you are losing without having fun at least.
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January 09, 2020, 09:12:36 AM
 #44

forget about getting 2% i lost too much on first day. May be it is wise to change the strategy any way it always pays to try. Here are the results,
https://imgur.com/a/jPFMrKr

I'm not a professional gambler, I'm an amateur, but from what I see of the professional gamblers they can make 25 bets and lose 4 bets and hit 21 bets... Is something amazing. Well I have no way of proving if they are telling the truth. But I can agree with them when they say that for a beginner person should never make too many bets at the same time, beginner person should start with few bets... something like 1 bet or 3 bets. I ask you the following question:

Did you analyze all these games before you bet?
No, I experimented with some odds selections and tried hardcore technical strategy, completely based on math. I did not conduct any fundamental research on team or sports for that matter.
Though I lost but thanks for your inputs.

See this game:



The odds gave Manchester United a big advantage, it was as if it was impossible for Manchester United to lose this game. But if anyone looked closely at Manchester united they would realize that they won their last games by luck (because their opponents made very serious mistakes in their defenses). And if anyone looked closely at Watford's team, they would realize that they score goals and have only a few defects in defense and that if they improved their defense they would be able to beat manchester united.

..Stake.com..   ▄████████████████████████████████████▄
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January 09, 2020, 09:28:07 AM
 #45

forget about getting 2% i lost too much on first day. May be it is wise to change the strategy any way it always pays to try. Here are the results,
https://imgur.com/a/jPFMrKr

I'm not a professional gambler, I'm an amateur, but from what I see of the professional gamblers they can make 25 bets and lose 4 bets and hit 21 bets... Is something amazing. Well I have no way of proving if they are telling the truth. But I can agree with them when they say that for a beginner person should never make too many bets at the same time, beginner person should start with few bets... something like 1 bet or 3 bets. I ask you the following question:

Did you analyze all these games before you bet?
No, I experimented with some odds selections and tried hardcore technical strategy, completely based on math. I did not conduct any fundamental research on team or sports for that matter.
Though I lost but thanks for your inputs.
You shouldn't do that, you have been greedy at the beginning by only choosing the odd @2.xx if you want to try the experiment correctly or not, then try to choose odd @1.xx. I'm sure with experiments like that won't work because in the past I've made experiments like this that even I only chose at odd @1.01, it should be the safest bet, but in sports betting it doesn't guarantee you to win. Lol
You are right, even small odds I usually combine into a parlay at least if lose of course just a little unlike him who made 21 bets with an average bet of 0.001. 2x odds are still difficult to predict. in my opinion making 2% in gambling that way is really bad.
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January 09, 2020, 05:45:04 PM
 #46

forget about getting 2% i lost too much on first day. May be it is wise to change the strategy any way it always pays to try. Here are the results,
https://imgur.com/a/jPFMrKr

I'm not a professional gambler, I'm an amateur, but from what I see of the professional gamblers they can make 25 bets and lose 4 bets and hit 21 bets... Is something amazing. Well I have no way of proving if they are telling the truth. But I can agree with them when they say that for a beginner person should never make too many bets at the same time, beginner person should start with few bets... something like 1 bet or 3 bets. I ask you the following question:

Did you analyze all these games before you bet?
No, I experimented with some odds selections and tried hardcore technical strategy, completely based on math. I did not conduct any fundamental research on team or sports for that matter.
Though I lost but thanks for your inputs.
You shouldn't do that, you have been greedy at the beginning by only choosing the odd @2.xx if you want to try the experiment correctly or not, then try to choose odd @1.xx. I'm sure with experiments like that won't work because in the past I've made experiments like this that even I only chose at odd @1.01, it should be the safest bet, but in sports betting it doesn't guarantee you to win. Lol
You are right, even small odds I usually combine into a parlay at least if lose of course just a little unlike him who made 21 bets with an average bet of 0.001. 2x odds are still difficult to predict. in my opinion making 2% in gambling that way is really bad.
Rather than such a strategy it is good to risk it on Dice or other casinos. with sports betting if the plan is being done as the same, the chances of winning out the games were very low. With sports betting 2% profit is truly bad after applying such strategy.

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January 09, 2020, 05:53:32 PM
 #47

Here is my strategy, I am expecting 2% per day, starting bank roll = 0.02btc. I will be attaching screen shots of my bets each day.  
https://imgur.com/wkDh1Cx

2% per day profit is not good at all. If you lose few matches, you will probably end up more in losing, rather than winning. If you can predict sports betting, you should aim for 20-50% profit weekly. You only need to bet on matches in which you are confident about the winner and also you do not need to bet daily.

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January 09, 2020, 07:38:13 PM
 #48

forget about getting 2% i lost too much on first day. May be it is wise to change the strategy any way it always pays to try. Here are the results,
https://imgur.com/a/jPFMrKr

I'm not a professional gambler, I'm an amateur, but from what I see of the professional gamblers they can make 25 bets and lose 4 bets and hit 21 bets... Is something amazing. Well I have no way of proving if they are telling the truth. But I can agree with them when they say that for a beginner person should never make too many bets at the same time, beginner person should start with few bets... something like 1 bet or 3 bets. I ask you the following question:

Did you analyze all these games before you bet?
No, I experimented with some odds selections and tried hardcore technical strategy, completely based on math. I did not conduct any fundamental research on team or sports for that matter.
Though I lost but thanks for your inputs.

See this game:



The odds gave Manchester United a big advantage, it was as if it was impossible for Manchester United to lose this game. But if anyone looked closely at Manchester united they would realize that they won their last games by luck (because their opponents made very serious mistakes in their defenses). And if anyone looked closely at Watford's team, they would realize that they score goals and have only a few defects in defense and that if they improved their defense they would be able to beat manchester united.

It doesnt really guarantee everything yet upset do really happen unexpectedly even the odds do really favor into a certain team.
Yeah i'd able to watch this game too and have the same inputs or insights and the outcome is different on what most do presume.
Its not that fundamentals are necessary but we should include this to our analysis.Unexpected events do happen though and we
cant do anything about this.Well, this is how gambling works.

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January 09, 2020, 08:35:30 PM
 #49

Here is my strategy, I am expecting 2% per day, starting bank roll = 0.02btc. I will be attaching screen shots of my bets each day.  
https://imgur.com/wkDh1Cx

2% per day profit is not good at all. If you lose few matches, you will probably end up more in losing, rather than winning. If you can predict sports betting, you should aim for 20-50% profit weekly. You only need to bet on matches in which you are confident about the winner and also you do not need to bet daily.
Based on the screen shot I think the OP is very good in sport betting and I believed he should stick with the 2% profit per day thus not to take a higher risk by aiming and betting with your preferred profit of 20%-50% daily, if properly done with a good money management that 2% will amount to bigger profit in a long run.

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January 09, 2020, 08:50:07 PM
 #50

Based on the screen shot I think the OP is very good in sport betting and I believed he should stick with the 2% profit per day thus not to take a higher risk by aiming and betting with your preferred profit of 20%-50% daily, if properly done with a good money management that 2% will amount to bigger profit in a long run.

How come those large sets of bets become good in sports betting? Sticking with a 2% profit per day is a risk compare when doing a single bet. I'd rather target a 50% profit in a month compare 2% per day.

Good money management shouldn't be done like that. OP just put money on random picks just to target that 2% profit daily which is not a good idea.

Well, it's OP money so wishing him good luck.
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January 09, 2020, 08:51:38 PM
 #51

Here is my strategy, I am expecting 2% per day, starting bank roll = 0.02btc. I will be attaching screen shots of my bets each day.  
https://imgur.com/wkDh1Cx


If you are will earn 2% daily, that means you will okay with high amount of money. 2% of $100 is $2. That means if you bet once in a day, it will take you 50 days to earn 2 odds. Are you telling us you will be that perfect not to lose a bet in 50 days? And if you lose ones in 50 days, that means your net profit is still a loss. This could lead to an addiction.

I only play with little amount of money, I lose a lot but the amount is so small. One day I could win but the win will cover my losses and will make me be a rich person in life.

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January 09, 2020, 10:03:08 PM
 #52

Here is my strategy, I am expecting 2% per day, starting bank roll = 0.02btc. I will be attaching screen shots of my bets each day.  
https://imgur.com/wkDh1Cx

2% per day profit is not good at all. If you lose few matches, you will probably end up more in losing, rather than winning. If you can predict sports betting, you should aim for 20-50% profit weekly. You only need to bet on matches in which you are confident about the winner and also you do not need to bet daily.
It just like OP is having fun with his betting odds.
And yes, 2% is not good at all if you only have a small amount to bet but you have $1000, that was $20 per day if he has a winning streak. Or even he loses in the next round, he is still be gaining. But the risk is too high also and we know already that gambling won't warrant anything to win all the time.
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January 09, 2020, 10:08:21 PM
 #53

Here is my strategy, I am expecting 2% per day, starting bank roll = 0.02btc. I will be attaching screen shots of my bets each day.  
https://imgur.com/wkDh1Cx

2% per day profit is not good at all. If you lose few matches, you will probably end up more in losing, rather than winning. If you can predict sports betting, you should aim for 20-50% profit weekly. You only need to bet on matches in which you are confident about the winner and also you do not need to bet daily.

Sports betting is really more on your knowledge of the particular sport. Better place your bets to those matches that you feel you have high chance of winning and aim for much higher profit. But maybe, the OP is only conservative in his calculations. We really don't know how far is his knowledge to the sports he is betting with.
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January 09, 2020, 11:43:21 PM
 #54

Sports betting is really more on your knowledge of the particular sport. Better place your bets to those matches that you feel you have high chance of winning and aim for much higher profit. But maybe, the OP is only conservative in his calculations. We really don't know how far is his knowledge to the sports he is betting with.
I agree with this statement. This happens to those who just go with the flow and ride the bandwagon. If you dont play basketball and just picks on who is popular, definitely you will lose, its not a popularity game. Also, if you place a bet on a team that is currently on top of the list but they sidelined their top player because of an injury, more likely that team will lose. Think first before placing a bet.
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January 10, 2020, 03:09:45 AM
 #55

forget about getting 2% i lost too much on first day. May be it is wise to change the strategy any way it always pays to try. Here are the results,
https://imgur.com/a/jPFMrKr
In my opinion putting random matches for your sport bets is quite danger so just stick to your favourite sports will be good because more knowledge you to particular sports then you can minimize your lost during bets for sport events and i can see most of your bets have high odds more than @2 and this is not safe bets even more likely to risky and if you want to safe bets then choosing low odds is more good as 2% daily profit can be achieved even it from low odds 

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January 10, 2020, 03:42:55 AM
 #56

forget about getting 2% i lost too much on first day. May be it is wise to change the strategy any way it always pays to try. Here are the results,
https://imgur.com/a/jPFMrKr
In my opinion putting random matches for your sport bets is quite danger so just stick to your favourite sports will be good because more knowledge you to particular sports then you can minimize your lost during bets for sport events and i can see most of your bets have high odds more than @2 and this is not safe bets even more likely to risky and if you want to safe bets then choosing low odds is more good as 2% daily profit can be achieved even it from low odds  

If you are betting in sports randomly and with odds as high as 2.0, you are simply throwing away money. It is much better if you use that in playing dice. The prizes and the chances of winning are much better.
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January 10, 2020, 04:06:43 AM
 #57

Here is my strategy, I am expecting 2% per day, starting bank roll = 0.02btc. I will be attaching screen shots of my bets each day.  
https://imgur.com/wkDh1Cx
there are many ways you can do in determining sports betting strategies, percentages, for sure.
Most often what most people use the Kelly and Over / Under.

Over / Under betting, of course, which is often used, but I often bet in looking for opportunities for an average percentage of 5%, 6% of this percentage will have a greater chance of winning for me.
In guessing the highest score can also have a good chance in sports betting.
Maybe you did a good thing for your bet, your idea is also ok.

R


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January 10, 2020, 08:23:13 AM
 #58

Hmm you just put small bet to all those matchs and waiting for the result. I thought you were all in with your 0.02 btc to a match which you really think it would be win. If you are throwing your bet like that, for me it's like you only depends from your luck to win the bet
Yeah agree but since the game is base on skills I think he just wants to spread all of his bet so that if he loses the other bet it can lesser the loss amount. Compared to just bet it on a single team and if you lose then you lose everything without chances of winning on the next sports/fight.
Spreading them is just the way to get a lesser risk to lose.
Well I also agree that OP is just depending on luck on this strategy.
It is like randomly picking and letting it all go if that is how you want to play then why not try the dice game instead of sports betting?
It is more essential to study the teams properly to win in sports betting rather than depending on luck like playing a dice game.

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January 11, 2020, 07:38:13 PM
 #59

Well I also agree that OP is just depending on luck on this strategy.
It is like randomly picking and letting it all go if that is how you want to play then why not try the dice game instead of sports betting?
It is more essential to study the teams properly to win in sports betting rather than depending on luck like playing a dice game.
The chance with sportsbetting is always about 50/50 if you are relying to your luck. Only two teams are there so it's basically like that but if you add anaylsis to each of your bet, the chance of winning will increase. I thought that OP will show an accurate and good picks on this but it looks like he's struggling and he just want to show how he bet. But, I hope this will not disappoint him to improve.

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January 11, 2020, 11:10:38 PM
 #60

Sports betting is having a little bit different from the other forms of gambling. I believe sports betting is not about 50/50 chances to win instead, our chances of winning are pretty high over of losing. Yes, we only have 2 possible results in here either to win or lose but the good thing about sports betting is we can able to raise our chances of winning if we particularly know who's the team that we put our bets on. If you are a wise gambler, you should never put your bets if you are not sure about the team capabilities.
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