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Author Topic: 3 smart ways to bet on the upcoming bitcoin halvening with options  (Read 882 times)
vennali (OP)
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May 08, 2020, 08:36:16 AM
 #61

Yeah, many people are ignoring this but its a unique event that occurs every 4 years which means you have to wait foreseemingly long before you can buy at lower prices one more time. It is tendency of bitcoin to fall in value before and after the halving for short period of time. I believe the period of "before"has already passed since we are just few days shorter from the next halving. Those who already bought it last couple of weeks ago are already enjoying their profits in the pockets. It wouldn't be long when they will double it sooner or later. I am pretty much sure history will repeat itself when it already did the same thing for the last two halvings. Its just gonna be more better than this time too. Profits baby!


In case you are wondering how BTC price actually transpired around halving.

The problem is, you never know when the price would actually go down and when do you get the best value out of it while buying or selling. You see that there's a trend but always the uncertainty of when the trend starts. Also, like you said, those who bought BTC few weeks ago are enjoying profits. Now Imagine if they would have bought calls for BTC instead of just HODLing? They would have amplified the profits to a much larger one. Its because of the uncertainty, that it is a bit risky and people should straddle.

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May 08, 2020, 09:08:34 AM
 #62

The blog you placed has a lot of emphasis towards the site, I think that the best strategy for now for the Halving of Bitcoin is simple, buy Bitcoin what you can and hodl. If the price goes up you win, if it goes down it does not matter, you have your bitcoin there, I know that it will increase at some point and if the price is maintained it is not bad.

Reviewing the history in the previous Halving, the probability of a price increase is high, it may repeat itself despite the fact that the market is very volatile and unpredictable.

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vennali (OP)
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May 08, 2020, 10:09:31 AM
 #63

The blog you placed has a lot of emphasis towards the site, I think that the best strategy for now for the Halving of Bitcoin is simple, buy Bitcoin what you can and hodl. If the price goes up you win, if it goes down it does not matter, you have your bitcoin there, I know that it will increase at some point and if the price is maintained it is not bad.

Reviewing the history in the previous Halving, the probability of a price increase is high, it may repeat itself despite the fact that the market is very volatile and unpredictable.
The point of Options trading is to either enhance your trades or to secure your crypto from potential swings. Like the halving event. I'm sure most of the people were bullish. Imagine just a week or two ago you have bought calls. I'm sure you would have had over 300% returns instead of maybe 20-30%? I think its a lot risky and not advisable to just go all in on 1 trade. That is where you straddle. Insure your bitcoins in case of a downfall and with the premium you are given to keep for free, you buy calls and enhance your trades. There are a lot of other ways of utilizing Options but these are the basic ways and I'm sure it can be very useful to a lot of people.

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May 08, 2020, 08:50:27 PM
 #64

There is no "smart" way to bet on halving. Not with options, not with anything, because halving is a very dangerous thing right now, we do not know if it will cause a skyrocketing price that will peak at 20k, we also do not know if it will be a disappointment that will result with prices going down.

You could think you know what is about to happen, you may think that you figured out everything but at the same time we are not really doing anything that is substantial that will figure out what will happen, we are just looking at some charts and some indicators and so forth to see what is going on and that's it. Long story short we should definitely be careful and not go with options or betting, we should basically just buy bitcoin or sell bitcoin at maximum and nothing else.

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vennali (OP)
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May 14, 2020, 07:58:27 AM
 #65

Well, most of us were at least expecting BTC to go up during and after halving. There has always been a bump here and there but thats how it has always panned out. With that info, imagine you had bought some calls when BTC was at 6k? or even 7k?

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May 14, 2020, 12:45:12 PM
 #66

Well, most of us were at least expecting BTC to go up during and after halving. There has always been a bump here and there but thats how it has always panned out. With that info, imagine you had bought some calls when BTC was at 6k? or even 7k?

To be honest, it doesn't seem at all impossible that people who have been around crypto for years didn't know that this was coming. By this I mean how the market drops before and during halving and how from the past has recovered. With that in mind it wold have been easy for traders alike to invest by buying at the dumps and. selling at the highs which are yet still to come.





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May 14, 2020, 01:22:18 PM
 #67

Well, most of us were at least expecting BTC to go up during and after halving. There has always been a bump here and there but thats how it has always panned out. With that info, imagine you had bought some calls when BTC was at 6k? or even 7k?

I guess he will make a big profit if he sells it right now because, with the gap in the price at let's say $2,500, he books a good profit which he cannot always get. But the problem that profit will be at the people who already bought 1 bitcoin so they can feel that big profit. The other people who bought bitcoin at a  fraction can still enjoy their profit but not as much as people who have big money to buy bitcoin before. What I am worried now is bitcoin price will have another correction which we don't know how deep the price will go down.

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May 16, 2020, 04:48:51 PM
 #68

Well, most of us were at least expecting BTC to go up during and after halving. There has always been a bump here and there but thats how it has always panned out. With that info, imagine you had bought some calls when BTC was at 6k? or even 7k?

Most of us expect that, at least us who were here before! We have the same situation now, and surprisingly price is holding good after halving, I expected to see some drop… maybe we need to wait to see that drop!
I don't have to imagine buying at low prices, I bought and sell many times since that time! Many of us are in for a long time, and this halving is just an event, but real changes will come after some time, and we are aware that we need to wait that. In the meantime the price will go up and down, and make some silly moves, but most of us knows that next year will be one of the best years for crypto!


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May 16, 2020, 08:40:55 PM
 #69

I still believe this that now is a good time for bitcoin investment. As price was low around $6k, it was to the benefit of risk takers. Now is still worth it.

Well, most of us were at least expecting BTC to go up during and after halving. There has always been a bump here and there but thats how it has always panned out. With that info, imagine you had bought some calls when BTC was at 6k? or even 7k?

I guess he will make a big profit if he sells it right now because, with the gap in the price at let's say $2,500, he books a good profit which he cannot always get. But the problem that profit will be at the people who already bought 1 bitcoin so they can feel that big profit. The other people who bought bitcoin at a  fraction can still enjoy their profit but not as much as people who have big money to buy bitcoin before. What I am worried now is bitcoin price will have another correction which we don't know how deep the price will go down.

Well no matter the price or fraction you buy, the profit and loss will be same as what is invested. So buying one bitcoin or fraction has it advantage and disadvantages too.

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May 18, 2020, 06:54:36 AM
 #70

I still believe this that now is a good time for bitcoin investment. As price was low around $6k, it was to the benefit of risk takers. Now is still worth it.

Well, most of us were at least expecting BTC to go up during and after halving. There has always been a bump here and there but thats how it has always panned out. With that info, imagine you had bought some calls when BTC was at 6k? or even 7k?

I guess he will make a big profit if he sells it right now because, with the gap in the price at let's say $2,500, he books a good profit which he cannot always get. But the problem that profit will be at the people who already bought 1 bitcoin so they can feel that big profit. The other people who bought bitcoin at a  fraction can still enjoy their profit but not as much as people who have big money to buy bitcoin before. What I am worried now is bitcoin price will have another correction which we don't know how deep the price will go down.

Well no matter the price or fraction you buy, the profit and loss will be same as what is invested. So buying one bitcoin or fraction has it advantage and disadvantages too.


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