🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈

[ralle14]

@ralle14. Are the injuries from very important players?

Yes, from what I recall they were missing their starting players mainly the wide receivers as morvillz mentioned and their QB. Thankfully that match went as expected and smoothly for the Packers.

Couple of safe bets for today:

I'm also taking the Texans even though they had one of the toughest schedule facing the Ravens, Chiefs, Packers and Steelers they still look decent.

Here's my three team parlay (Chiefs, Ravens, Texans). Ravens is the only match that could go both ways but I think they have the edge against the Colts.

Edit: Chiefs and Texans made me sweat a little bit at the end there but the parlay hits.  

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[South Park]

I am currently watching the Ravens vs Colts game and despite being 7-10 the Colts were dominating the game on the first half but the fumble returned for a TD became at least a 10 point swing, also I could not stop laughing when Rivers was trying to make a tackle and fell down on his own, lets see if the Colts do not end up lamenting not putting away the game while they could.

Also what do you think of the NFL contingency plan for the playoffs in the case not all games can be disputed? They are considering the possibility of expanding from 7 to 8 teams per conference and changing the seeding format by winning percentage.
Source: https://www.nfl.com/news/competition-committee-discusses-16-team-playoff-contingency-plan

[tyKiwanuka]

Didn't find anything worth posting for today, though I had some bets. Played the over 51 for SNF, but wouldn't recommend to follow, but for me this 3-4 points too low. ML odds look ok on paper, though I have the feeling Saints might win this in the end.

Watched the Chargers game today and I am getting more and more a fan of Herbert. I really like the way he plays and I think he will be(-come) a very good NFL QB. Still needs some polish, but it's amazing what he is doing as a rookie and I always have a good feeling when he is throwing. Not that my feeling matters (), but for me this is somehow important when judging a QB, lol.

Tua did very well overall today too, it was an improvement from last week imo. I don't know how the Dolpins won that game, because ARZ was playing well, but they did it. All those missed 4th downs probably made the difference. And the defense scoring a TD always helps a bit of course. Dolphins are on a pretty good streak and it's no fluke I think. Next week we will see Tua vs Herbert then.

Cardinals over 7.5 @1.84 (they had 5 wins last season and I expect them to improve further, they have one of the easiest schedules with Washington, Lions, Panthers, Jets, Dolphins, Patriots (sorry Pats fans^^), Giants, Rams²)
Bills over 9 @1.87 (Easy division this year, kept most of their players, had 10 last year)
Carolina under 5.5 @2.21 (not expecting anything from them this season and 6 is a lot, when you are likely to go 0-6 in your division already)
Raiders over 7.5 @2.04 (I think Raiders will be good this season, don't ask me why)
Vikings over 9 @2.13 (They will win NFC North imo, last season 10 wins and they will be better this season overall)
Patriots under 9 @1.62 (so many players opted out, no Brady, getting 10 wins will be super hard, 9 is a push then, but I am expecting less)
Giants over 6 @1.84 (fanboy, lol)

Around half-time for this season and I was checking my outright o/u bets.

Cardinals 5-3: They will still play Patriots, 2x Rams, Giants, 49ers, Eagles, so I am optimistic for 3 more wins.
Bills 7-2: Looking good, 3 more wins needed, which they should get @49ers, vs Chargers and vs Dolphins. They will only play one more top team with the Steelers.
Carolina 3-6: Carolina suprised me this season. Even without CMC they were doing good and they seem to get stronger and stronger. With Broncos, Lions and Washington still on the menu, they could get to 6. The other games are: Packers, Bucs, Saints and Vikings.
Raiders 5-3: Only top team they still have to play are the Chiefs, so they should be able to get 3 more.
Vikings 3-5: This is nearly impossible and 99% lost, overrated them.
Patriots 2-5: They would have to win 7 of the remaining 9 to make this a push, very unlikely with all the personnel trouble the Pats have.
Giants 2-7: I see only one remaining game (Cowboys in week 17) with a realistic chance for a W. Losing this bet serves me right for being a blind fanboy

Looks like I will make a small profit with these, but you never know until week17 of course

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. Are the injuries from very important players?

Yes, from what I recall they were missing their starting players mainly the wide receivers as morvillz mentioned and their QB. Thankfully that match went as expected and smoothly for the Packers.

I made a big mistake. Yahoo Sports app had Jimmy Garoppolo listed as part of the line up. I was shocked to see it was a different quarterback after making the bet and began watching the game hehehe.

In any case, Josh Allen MVP!

[nutildah]

Tua did very well overall today too, it was an improvement from last week imo. I don't know how the Dolpins won that game, because ARZ was playing well, but they did it. All those missed 4th downs probably made the difference. And the defense scoring a TD always helps a bit of course. Dolphins are on a pretty good streak and it's no fluke I think. Next week we will see Tua vs Herbert then.

I just watched one game this week and it was this one. I have to cheer for Hawaii people when they hit the NFL because it doesn't happen too often. Tagovailoa had a great game - great passes, great rushes - for the moment it looks like he can do it all. Need a new QB to cheer for that Marcus Mariota has been moved to a 2nd string position. It's the first time I actively cheered for Miami in a long time.

[xxjumperxx]

What a crazy game day...

Steelers were looking like a mess.. yes they won but come on, its the Cowboys?
They looked sloppy and Big Ben called them the "worlds Team" after the game, dude really?

I fell for that -14 Line, ouch.

Back to my Dolphins, #tuatime.
It was nice to see that he had a 180° turn and he showed what he can do.
I see a bright future if our Line can protect him!

Colts had a shitfit, at the beginning of the 4th quarter, they had 1yard Offense in the 2nd half... like really?

[South Park]

What a crazy game day...

Steelers were looking like a mess.. yes they won but come on, its the Cowboys?
They looked sloppy and Big Ben called them the "worlds Team" after the game, dude really?

I fell for that -14 Line, ouch.

This just shows how difficult it is to predict NFL games, the Steelers despite having a 8-0 record are looking more vulnerable with each passing week, I could understood if they had problems if Dak was the QB but they were facing the 4th QB of the Cowboys, it should have been an easy game and yet it came down to the last play to know I they would hold the advantage.

And the Sunday night game between the Saints and the Buccaneers was a complete disappointment, it is very rare for me to stop watching a NFL game but after half I knew the game was over and decided to watch something else.

[Hueristic]

Everyone got their bets in for the Toilet Bowl?

Should be the Jets only* win this year!

*they do get another try at the Pats wk17

[vella85]

Everyone got their bets in for the Toilet Bowl?

Should be the Jets only* win this year!

*they do get another try at the Pats wk17

Just for fun I'm going to take the Jets at the ML @4.50 as I think that they have a shot at causing a upset tonight. I do think that they will cover the spread at +10.5 and on some books its +10. Don't tail me as its just for fun at the ML for the Jets, good luck to the ones having a bet.

[tyKiwanuka]

Everyone got their bets in for the Toilet Bowl?

Should be the Jets only* win this year!

*they do get another try at the Pats wk17

Hehe, fans tend to overreact, in a positive and negative way If everything goes normal, the Pats will win this. With all the issues they have, they are still the better team, but who is not when compared to the mighty Jets What I do think though, is that the Jets odds are valuable. 4.60-ish is too high for this divisional matchup with two struggling teams. The Jets can afford a win looking at the draft, because they are the only winless team so far; Jags have 1 win, the rest already 2 at least. This is a prime time game and Jets will be pumped to win this - if just being pumped is enough to win this, is yet to be seen, but they will try and they will be competitive me thinks. They can keep on losing tanking afterwards again, but this is their personal SuperBowl today. So I am putting some money on the Jets as well

And the Sunday night game between the Saints and the Buccaneers was a complete disappointment, it is very rare for me to stop watching a NFL game but after half I knew the game was over and decided to watch something else.

If someone told me before that the Saints will score 38 points, but my over 51 will lose, I would have called him crazy Just a single FG in the last minutes of the game for the Bucs is really pathetic. As I said before, the NFC is weak/unpredictable this year and this could help TB in the PO, but a really good team doesn't lose 3-38 at home no matter the opponent. Lets see, how the Panthers will do against them next week, odds above 3.00 look huge after yesterdays performance.

[Hueristic]

Hehe, fans tend to overreact, in a positive and negative way If everything goes normal, the Pats will win this.

I'd like to see FitzMagic, Cam is a loser at least Fitz makes things interesting. We need to trade for him Lol.

So I am putting some money on the Jets as well

Smart bet I think and if someone told me last year I'd be saying that this year I'd have bust a nut laughing at them

And the Sunday night game between the Saints and the Buccaneers was a complete disappointment, it is very rare for me to stop watching a NFL game but after half I knew the game was over and decided to watch something else.

I gotta say this was the most dumbfounding game I have seen in as long as I can remember!
I can find zero logic in what happened in that *cough game.

[ralle14]

With how the underdogs kept the games very close yesterday it kind of makes me think that the Jets will cover today as well but i'll just back their team total which is currently at 16.5. I really like the over and for some reason I expect both teams to score at least two touchdowns and keep it close just like the game between the Jags and Texans.

It would be huge if Jets gets a miracle win nearly half of the entries took the Pats in their survivor pool.  

[Hueristic]

It would be huge if Jets gets a miracle win nearly half of the entries took the Pats in their survivor pool.  

That would be amusing.

[morvillz7z]

Hey hey hey, can we stop with all that Jets positive vibes and wishes in this thread, i really need them to lose tonight, and they need to lock that number one draft pick, that's a win-win.

Had a pretty rough betting weekend, lost a 9.50 ticket because freaking D.Slayton received only one target (9 vs Bucs last week), my Texans/Jags ticket lost because D.Johnson was concussed early in the game, otherwise he would've get his by the half, Broncos/Falcons parlay went to shit cuz of J.Jones, who finished with just 54 yards (i needed 75+ and they didn't even have Ridley available), a 7.00 ticket on the Bills/Seahawks game where i had both Metcalf and Diggs to catch a TD, and despite having the most targets and most rec yards Diggs did not score, everyone and their mamas had one, he did not.

What i have left is a 3 team parlay from TNF with Packers/Steelers/Patriots to win with a bigger stake.
Steelers almost got me a heart attack last night, Conner is trash, Steelers rush d is getting exposed, and going on 4th and 1 with 40 seconds left while being just 5 pts up (and not taking the FG) was tipping point. Had to fkn pray Garrett Gilbert does not make that pass in the end to win the game.

Joe Flacco in for Darnold   we got this! GO Patriots!

edit; c'mon Jets don't do it, 0-9 is better than 1-8

[xxjumperxx]

Well the Jets sure gave away that win in the 4th Quarter...
Gase will always be a loser, so glad the Dolphins got rid of this douchebag.

[wheelz1200]

Giants 2-7: I see only one remaining game (Cowboys in week 17) with a realistic chance for a W. Losing this bet serves me right for being a blind fanboy

Well I'm a giants fan as well and I dont by any chance think they can go over 6 they can certainly win more than just the cowboys games.  Next game is against the Eagles, they were an Engram dropped pass away from beating them last game they certainly can beat them this time around.  Also the Bengals aren't really putting fear in anyone.  While I like Burrow and think he is gonna be a good one, the giants have just as good of a chance to win as they do.  So best case I think they can be 5-11 worst case obviously 2-14.  I see them ending the year 4-12, beating the cowboys and one of the games I mentioned.  Either way back for another top draft pick...again.

[wheelz1200]

Well the Jets sure gave away that win in the 4th Quarter...
Gase will always be a loser, so glad the Dolphins got rid of this douchebag.

At this point the jets might as well lose.  Either take your next qb or trade the pick to someone for a boatload of first and second round picks.  Someone hard up for a qb

[vella85]

My money on the Jets at the ML was looking good heading into the 4th quarter with a 10 point lead but I was never confident that they could hold on for the win which is why I even said that I played the ML for fun but did think they could cover the spread at +10 which they did easy. My outlay was a lot more on the spread as that's what I felt confident about but did put a small amount at the ML. Congrats to the ones that took the Jets to cover as its never easy betting on these poorly ranked teams even to cover.

[xxjumperxx]

At this point the jets might as well lose.  Either take your next qb or trade the pick to someone for a boatload of first and second round picks.  Someone hard up for a qb

I will always say its Gase...
That guy seems to be cancer on any team he coaches.
He sucked at the Dolphins when we had Tannehill (Tannehill is doing pretty good now!) and the the Dolphins are doing good/better without him.
Ever since he got the Jets, they have been sucking.

He is a terrible coach und it surprises me he has a job!

[morvillz7z]

My money on the Jets at the ML was looking good heading into the 4th quarter with a 10 point lead

I think Jets played an excellent 4th quarter, that was textbook tanking, you can't script it any better than this.
Patriots were so bad all game long it took them 8min drive to the redzone only for Cam to slip on a 3rd and short and they had to kick a FG.
What did the Jets do, 12 man on defense, automatic first down.  (i knew at that moment they were going to lose). Patriots only got a FG.
Next play, Flacco throws a deep bomb (as if they were down 10, instead of milking the clock) into double coverage, bam interception.
Tie game, Jets with a chance to do something with less than 2min, Flacco gets sacked on a 2nd and short (that was Pats first of the game)
And Cam's final pass to Meyers, Jets corner and safety intentionally left him wide open, there was no one near him, 5 yards clear...

i'm not stressing about it as i got my 3-team parlay, but that was a bad look for the Jets, way too obvious i know they are bad but this was something else. Jags are still a threat @1-7...so better not compromise our perfect record.