What part will the Lightning Network play in the upcoming bull run?

[mk4]

Lightning network main useful purpose is to buy and sell frequently, even, it is only good for low transactions amount like pay for coffee, paying in the cinema and buying from shopping mall etc. Because bitcoin transaction fee is high, it can not be used for these purpose and that is the main reason for lightning network, because you can use it at a very cheap transaction fee and at faster time. There are many lightning network wallets, it is commonly used in countries that make use of bitcoin daily for frequent transactions. So, seeing this from one side is not enough.

1. It's for sending funds in a fast manner in general. Not necessarily for buying and selling "frequently(?)".

2. Bitcoin transaction fees have been pretty low recently. It's not just as fast and cheap enough for the coffee transactions; but the fees definitely not high. You would know that if you'd at least used bitcoin at least once in the past months.

3. I'd like some data from you about people on whatever country that uses lightning in the daily.

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[davis196]

As we enter the next bull run the price of on-chain TX's will inevitably rise, firstly due to the price & secondly due to network congestion. Also there's quiet a few services that haven't implemented Segwit *cough* Binance.

In my opinion Lightning Network is nowhere near ready for global adoption, however it is a good conduit to free up the TX mempool. There's also a bunch of other off-chain/2nd layer solutions but let's be honest Lightning is currently leading the way.

Personally I've opened a bunch of lightning channels anticipating this fee rise, however it's still an uncertainty how it will all play out. Maybe channels become too expensive to open for the average person & custodial wallets become this next best thing?

Interested in the community's opinion on this.

I don't think that there is a direct correlation between the Bitcoin price going up and the transaction fees going up.Hypothetically,the blockchain might get stuck due to panic selling.The prices will go down,while the increased confirmation time and the fear of losing more value will force the people to choose higher fees and less confirmation time.
I also think that Lightning Network will be suitable only for businesses that require "instant" transactions
with no confirmation time.There are specific niches,where the on-chain transactions can't be used.
Comparing LN with the Bitcoin Core blockchain and thinking that they are actually competing with each other for customer transactions and fees is simply wrong.

[dothebeats]

The lightning network would help facilitate small transactions from point A to point B, but until it proves itself capable of carrying weight and huge values, it wouldn't matter much to the next bull run I'm afraid. Most transactions are just simple exchange - wallet and vice-versa, and I don't think exchanges will be adapting lightning any time soon. It would be additional tweaking and any other changes on the systems of exchanges, and might even open a vector for potential hacks IMO. Familiarity with how to use LN is still not there just yet. Only a handful of veterans and newbies actually know how to use it, and most people doesn't seem to even bother about its existence since on-chain transactions still work well.

[Lucius]

Because Lightning liquidity is only currently OK for small "coffee-transactions", not for traders sending $100,000 of Bitcoins to an exchange, who don't care about the $20.00 on-chain fee.

Good point, those who have a lot of money do not look at large fees in the same way as small users, but it still seems to me that there are a lot more small users than such big players. After all, they just want to make a profit, and they don't really care about the practical application of BTC as a means of payment. But sooner or later there will have to be an adjustment by large exchanges, regardless of the fact that this may mean the loss of part of the income they generate from rather high fees.

[fiulpro]

I do think one should realize that the lightning network does hold a lot of risks . I do not think why whales and other Crypto enthusiasts will actually use the lightning network.
Main problem with the lightning network is :

Security
The nodes are supposed to be online all the time which in turn makes them more vulnerable to attack and therefore I do think one should also think 10 times before exchanging big investments at the time of the bull run .

But at the same time there are wallets who are providing users with the opportunity to use the lightning network along with the normal one.

I do think it does need more development before it can be implemented correctly and used at such an important event.

[sayulita]

I do think one should realize that the lightning network does hold a lot of risks . I do not think why whales and other Crypto enthusiasts will actually use the lightning network.
Main problem with the lightning network is :

Security
The nodes are supposed to be online all the time which in turn makes them more vulnerable to attack and therefore I do think one should also think 10 times before exchanging big investments at the time of the bull run .

But at the same time there are wallets who are providing users with the opportunity to use the lightning network along with the normal one.

I do think it does need more development before it can be implemented correctly and used at such an important event.

The lightning network is very risky to use right now, it is still in the initial stages of development and need a lot of work to be completed.
So no one(a normal day to day) can currently use it now as the technical difficulties involved in it are pretty high and also a while back there was a user who lost huge amount of bitcoins while just trying the lightning network.
The upcoming bull run would need something bigger than just the lightning network for being successful, otherwise it would just be a short pump and then the price would eventually dump.

[Wind_FURY]

Because Lightning liquidity is only currently OK for small "coffee-transactions", not for traders sending $100,000 of Bitcoins to an exchange, who don't care about the $20.00 on-chain fee.

Good point, those who have a lot of money do not look at large fees in the same way as small users, but it still seems to me that there are a lot more small users than such big players. After all, they just want to make a profit, and they don't really care about the practical application of BTC as a means of payment. But sooner or later there will have to be an adjustment by large exchanges, regardless of the fact that this may mean the loss of part of the income they generate from rather high fees.

How "small" is small? I believe many of us plebs who have started "our Bitcoin journey" before 2017 would be HODLing more than an average of $10,000. That's not "small".

[DaveF]

The lightning network is very risky to use right now, it is still in the initial stages of development and need a lot of work to be completed.
So no one(a normal day to day) can currently use it now as the technical difficulties involved in it are pretty high and also a while back there was a user who lost huge amount of bitcoins while just trying the lightning network.
The upcoming bull run would need something bigger than just the lightning network for being successful, otherwise it would just be a short pump and then the price would eventually dump.
[/quote]

I use it just about every day. There are several easy to deploy lightning in a box things that let you host your own node that you fund and connect to. And unless you do something stupid it's safe.
There are also a few wallets like bluewallet that let you fund them and use lightning while it's all handled by them on the back end.

Even when mucking about trying to get my node to respond on tor and totally screwing up the config I was still able to get my funds out with no problem.

-Dave

[barto123]

I see a lot of replies, Lightning Network is risky. Yes definitely riskier than Bitcoin on chain, but way safer than most alts IMO.

I think there are a lot of solutions making it much easier & safer. I'm using Casa's solution. I'm not technically minded and I'm running 2 nodes. I carry out transactions with them on a very regular basis. Yes I only have a small percentage of my Bitcoin sitting in channels, however I definitely find the Lightning Network (even at this point in time) very useful. I have my seed which restores all my channels & funds if the node's HDD becomes corrupt or faulty.

Personally I think Lightning will see a massive surge in adoption when on chain fees go up in the next bull run. I think it will been seen as saving grace and very necessary tech.

A lot of people are betting Ethereum could help scale Bitcoin...Ethereum could run into a lot of problems. Their devs are cowboys compared to Bitcoin (IMO).

[danielchris]

My opinion is that lightning networks, has played good roles in the upcoming bull run. Who have big  money to invest money large scale instead of medium families. It's fact,l think so.lot of people want to wait & watch police adopted generally.

[barto123]

For the first time, the Lightning Network has truly realized the ideal peer-to-peer cash payment system of Satoshi Nakamoto. It is a channel for Bitcoin to circulate in daily life. I think that in the upcoming bull market, it will greatly promote Bitcoin’s Circulation, thereby promoting the application of Bitcoin in real world life.

Agreed, Lightning is starting to gain traction now. I think it'll play a huge role in the upcoming bull run. Bitfinex just implemented Wumbo allowing their users to transact 2 BTC on Lightning. This is a step in the right direction, I'm expecting other exchanges to follow as it'll be a massive benefit to users when on-chain fees are high & the mempool is clogged.

[int03h]

I think Lightning Network just makes Bitcoin a little less congested. There is still another solution to reduce congestion on the Bitcoin network.
Miners have evolved, and it helps to process transactions faster than the old generation.
Wrapping Bitcoin on other blockchains will reduce the burden on the Bitcoin network.
Forms of OTC transactions already present on centralized exchanges seem to be more popular with people than older OTC buying and selling sites.
I don't think bitcoin will be congested in the coming bull run.

[ilovealtcoins]

I think Lightning Network just makes Bitcoin a little less congested. There is still another solution to reduce congestion on the Bitcoin network.
Miners have evolved, and it helps to process transactions faster than the old generation.
Wrapping Bitcoin on other blockchains will reduce the burden on the Bitcoin network.
Forms of OTC transactions already present on centralized exchanges seem to be more popular with people than older OTC buying and selling sites.
I don't think bitcoin will be congested in the coming bull run.

Agree with all of your comments.
It is clear that compared to 2017, bitcoin is now better known for its degree of saturation. They have been able to learn bitcoin from 2017 so far, and they bought Bitcoin when it was lower now.
The current demand for Bitcoin is saturated and there is no possibility of further growth. We expect only the entry of major institutions and corporations for Bitcoin.
They buy Bitcoin in bulk, not small, like most people in 2017. We have more ways to buy Bitcoin than transact directly in the Bitcoin network via Bitcoin and OTC on CEX. With the advancement of miners, the potential for network congestion is lower.

[wack slacker]

Lightning is a solution to speed up Bitcoin launched a few years ago.
Currently, the demand for Bitcoin is not the same as it used to be. People already know bitcoin, most of them buy Bitcoin for storage rather than for transactions.
I don't think Bitcoin will have a hard time in the next bull run. Because if they go up in price, people will sell Bitcoin through OTC channels or directly on CEX.

[shield132]

Lighting network isn't really adopted by most bitcoin related services companies, including trading websotes and places where there is high volume of transactions. What gives me some hope is that if for example there will be some contract between top exchanges and wallets like free or discounted instant transactions without actual transaction on blockchain (for example you can send btc for free from xapo to xapo and transaction is done inside without actually moving bitcoins). This will help us to decrease number of transactions. At the same time in some places lighting network is implemented... At least we are more prepared in this case if something similar may happen because past experience was terrible and that was one of the reason of creating BCH and etc.