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Author Topic: Are there any truly safe bets in sports betting?  (Read 1943 times)
ralle14
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September 14, 2020, 10:49:59 PM
 #61

I had a 2 leg multi few days ago(with one underdog and favorite) that lost and it gave me a lesson on why I shouldn't take or parlay favorites with very low odds.

When pre live odds are that low (1.2-1.3) it's better to skip or if you can't stop yourself from placing a bet then wait on their live odds to swing a bit more (they're not safe) but you'll usually get more value with that strategy.


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September 14, 2020, 11:09:19 PM
 #62

If we are in the midst of gambling, there are no safe bets not unless the game has been tampered. The casinos are putting the best odds in order to get a diversion
to the bettors so there is no safe betting even if you are winning the past bets that you had but there is always a time that you can lost.

That's how game is, the ball is circle especially if we are talking about basketball. I am not a good bettor as I always lost also especially in basketball choices but
what I can say to you is that you should make sure that you will only bet the money that you can afford to loss as I fully believe that there is no safe bets in gambling.

Very true. I don't think there are safe bets in sportsbetting.
Even if you play safe when you bet on low odds, which usually means they have higher chance of winning.
Still you can't be 100% sure that you will win as you said, the ball is circle.
You can only be sure once the game is over.
But if you know very well the sports, in all angles possible, your chance of winning just got high.
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September 14, 2020, 11:49:23 PM
 #63

I had a 2 leg multi few days ago(with one underdog and favorite) that lost and it gave me a lesson on why I shouldn't take or parlay favorites with very low odds.

When pre live odds are that low (1.2-1.3) it's better to skip or if you can't stop yourself from placing a bet then wait on their live odds to swing a bit more (they're not safe) but you'll usually get more value with that strategy.


when you are gambling like that then you should be able to pay attention to the odds that really determine your destiny in the gambling place, sometimes many people don't care about that they try to find ways of setting up suitable odds that can bring a lot of profit. unfortunately it requires a lot of money to try it.

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September 14, 2020, 11:56:19 PM
 #64

The Brisbane Broncos Rugby League team have now lost ten fixtures in a row, so it's almost guaranteed betting against them will pay off, so it might be a small return, but it's almost a sure thing.

Although I am not into rugby betting, I cannot imagine how low the odds would be in this case if you prefer to just bet on win or lose. I bet it is not worth risking. Sometimes, a team with nothing to lose, with every game they play just a mere game, would surprisingly upset an opposing team which is much stronger. 

If the odds would be ≤1.10, that wouldn't be worth betting at all. Better be risking and bet on handicap with higher odds than stay safe with very low odds but still not 100% sure of winning.

I'll keep that in mind, there's only two or three more games in the regular season then the finals.  (which they won't be a part of because of their poor performance.

The Parramatta Vs Brisbane match this week is paying $ 1.13 / $ 6.00 according to the TAB site: https://www.tab.com.au/sports/betting/Rugby%20League/competitions/NRL

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September 14, 2020, 11:56:25 PM
 #65

If we are in the midst of gambling, there are no safe bets not unless the game has been tampered. The casinos are putting the best odds in order to get a diversion
to the bettors so there is no safe betting even if you are winning the past bets that you had but there is always a time that you can lost.

That's how game is, the ball is circle especially if we are talking about basketball. I am not a good bettor as I always lost also especially in basketball choices but
what I can say to you is that you should make sure that you will only bet the money that you can afford to loss as I fully believe that there is no safe bets in gambling.

Very true. I don't think there are safe bets in sportsbetting.
Even if you play safe when you bet on low odds, which usually means they have higher chance of winning.
Still you can't be 100% sure that you will win as you said, the ball is circle.
You can only be sure once the game is over.
But if you know very well the sports, in all angles possible, your chance of winning just got high.

When it comes to sports betting where analysis is really much needed and you do have the chances on winning at the end of the game.This is where we do see favorites and underdogs.
Safe word isnt really that much fit here on gambling but at least we can make our choices depending on the statistics of the team get involved..We can see both team
which is the favorite one and which do had least.Bookies do set out odds depending on which one will be placed on such position.If you dont have much knowledge on sportsbet
then you can choose up the favorite for having higher chance of winning but to ask.Are those odds really worth to risk on?

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September 15, 2020, 02:45:02 AM
Merited by Timelord2067 (1)
 #66

The Brisbane Broncos Rugby League team have now lost ten fixtures in a row, so it's almost guaranteed betting against them will pay off, so it might be a small return, but it's almost a sure thing.

Although I am not into rugby betting, I cannot imagine how low the odds would be in this case if you prefer to just bet on win or lose. I bet it is not worth risking. Sometimes, a team with nothing to lose, with every game they play just a mere game, would surprisingly upset an opposing team which is much stronger. 

If the odds would be ≤1.10, that wouldn't be worth betting at all. Better be risking and bet on handicap with higher odds than stay safe with very low odds but still not 100% sure of winning.

I'll keep that in mind, there's only two or three more games in the regular season then the finals.  (which they won't be a part of because of their poor performance.

The Parramatta Vs Brisbane match this week is paying $ 1.13 / $ 6.00 according to the TAB site: https://www.tab.com.au/sports/betting/Rugby%20League/competitions/NRL

I've just taken a quick look at the Rugby NRL stats. And I would say ML betting in this particular match may be considered relatively safe if you are with the Eels. After all, the game is between the 4th rank vs. the 15th rank (2nd to the last). And the last time the 2 teams met, the game ended with Parramatta ahead by 28 points.

Which brings me to conclude that even betting with Asian Handicap odds with the maximum + for the Broncos might not bring you closer enough to getting a win. And so I placed a little bet for the Eels (-8.5) with 1.43 odds, still low but probably an easy and safe win for me, especially since ML betting on this one is definitely not worth it when it comes to money.

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September 15, 2020, 07:42:09 AM
 #67

This type of betting is not profitable on a long term basis having a series of losing streaks will wipe out your funds, forget about the fact that small odds has the chances of winning a bet or safe bet, there is no any proven record to back up those claims except you are well versed in a particular sport.
A thorough Analysis of a particular Sport or League is the best bet of winning consistently eg using EPL as an example teams like Liverpool, Man City, Chelsea, Man utd and Arsenal are teams with a strong squad in EPL will definitely have lower odd however the chances of winning a bet on them is brighter than betting on unfamiliar teams with low odds.

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September 15, 2020, 08:59:12 AM
 #68

This type of betting is not profitable on a long term basis having a series of losing streaks will wipe out your funds, forget about the fact that small odds has the chances of winning a bet or safe bet, there is no any proven record to back up those claims except you are well versed in a particular sport.
A thorough Analysis of a particular Sport or League is the best bet of winning consistently eg using EPL as an example teams like Liverpool, Man City, Chelsea, Man utd and Arsenal are teams with a strong squad in EPL will definitely have lower odd however the chances of winning a bet on them is brighter than betting on unfamiliar teams with low odds.
Yes, it does not mean low odds always win in every bet. There are always surprises into this kind of event and that when high odds bet winning.

Always remeber that this is gambling mean that you bet in exchange for a desired result taking risky action as per google dictionary. Yet, there are really lucky gambler that are always win. But their wins does not consider as safety bets. They just being lucky enough.
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September 15, 2020, 02:17:18 PM
 #69

I've just taken a quick look at the Rugby NRL stats. And I would say ML betting in this particular match may be considered relatively safe if you are with the Eels. After all, the game is between the 4th rank vs. the 15th rank (2nd to the last). And the last time the 2 teams met, the game ended with Parramatta ahead by 28 points.

Which brings me to conclude that even betting with Asian Handicap odds with the maximum + for the Broncos might not bring you closer enough to getting a win. And so I placed a little bet for the Eels (-8.5) with 1.43 odds, still low but probably an easy and safe win for me, especially since ML betting on this one is definitely not worth it when it comes to money.

Let's hope you have a win.  Personally, I think the BNE Broncos decided to throw the season because of their coach and the season long Covid Lockdown/Quarantine they have been in for many months now.

If they loose the rest of the season, then the "State of Origin" will be a white wash 2-1 or even 3-0 to NSW.

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September 16, 2020, 02:06:31 PM
 #70

Thanks everyone! I understand that there are no completely safe bets, I meant relatively safe ones. I also agree that gambling always involves risks and thus betting on what one cannot afford to lose is unacceptable.
No, they are not safe Smiley For beginners or not so advanced betting people, I would even recommend to not go with this strategy, since the bookmakers/markets tend to put more value into the higher odds, because a lot of people do actually play these small odds. So the less value they put there, the better for the bookmaker longterm. When a team like Liverpool, Kansas City, Barcelona lose, this is always payday for bookmakers. And these <1.20 bets lose more often than you would think Wink

But you can find value in all odds, can be 1.01 or 1000, it's just harder to spot the value in these low odds for beginners.
Yeah, I has concerns that it might be true with these seemingly safe bets. Thanks for the insight.
Safe bets does not excess in sports betting, every bet you'll make regardless of the odds are always risky. Man, I'm done with that experiment and I tell you it does not work on my end, what strategy I'm using now which is I am comfortable is betting on odds 1.90 and above.
Maybe you're right, but I have to try for myself to see how it plays out for me. In the meantime, I'm taking part in the EPL prediction pool, so predicting the score of each match there is obviously not the low-risk bets I'm used to, and I can see and compare how it works for me.
Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

There's no way I will do that kind of betting. Not worth a reward.

Well, if it's 1.2, you make 5 bets and you're in 2x profit. I'm also considering multi-betting on such bets.

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September 16, 2020, 04:35:47 PM
 #71

There is relatively no safe bets in sports betting and any other kinds of bet game for there are really certain risks involve in any betting game you will play. Such strategies might work for a short term and must be dependent and expect that it would always work on the same manner. Odds on sport bets does not always guarantee that you will be able to win everytime because that's not how betting game always works. Maybe you are just lucky to win on observance that you are relying on witnessing and seeking for low odds bets but this would not always work for there are instances in gambling that we must expect the unexpected outcome for there is an open chances and probability that what we expect won't reflect the result or the outcome.
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September 16, 2020, 05:15:31 PM
 #72

Choosing the game with lower odds seems predictable but it is really not going to give decent profits but the profit of 10 wins can go by single lose with this strategy so net profit will be none at the end of the day.Go with slightly higher odds and predict based on your own analysis which could be the worthy sport betting.
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September 16, 2020, 06:35:15 PM
 #73

I personally don’t think that there are any safe bets in sports betting. You may find a strategy that could keep you winning for a time but the odds doesn’t really guarantee winning. After all this is gambling and risk is a major companion in every move you take.

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September 16, 2020, 11:31:57 PM
 #74

I personally don’t think that there are any safe bets in sports betting. You may find a strategy that could keep you winning for a time but the odds doesn’t really guarantee winning. After all this is gambling and risk is a major companion in every move you take.

If you will able to bet in a sports you're familiar with, with players or teams you tend to follow and believes in their skills, actually it can be a safer bet. In these way you will not weigh too much your bet and will just seem to support the team. Like here in my country when it's league time and people mostly just bet in the team they wanted even they lose it still seems fine as they were really a supporters of those team.
Betting in sports is much safer than doing any bets in casino as we can track the record of the players and the team.

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September 16, 2020, 11:48:57 PM
Last edit: September 17, 2020, 12:10:05 AM by Shasha80
 #75

I personally don’t think that there are any safe bets in sports betting. You may find a strategy that could keep you winning for a time but the odds doesn’t really guarantee winning. After all this is gambling and risk is a major companion in every move you take.

If you will able to bet in a sports you're familiar with, with players or teams you tend to follow and believes in their skills, actually it can be a safer bet. In these way you will not weigh too much your bet and will just seem to support the team. Like here in my country when it's league time and people mostly just bet in the team they wanted even they lose it still seems fine as they were really a supporters of those team.
Betting in sports is much safer than doing any bets in casino as we can track the record of the players and the team.

I agree that sports betting is safer than other gambling games, because if we have good knowledge about the team or player
who will play which one is better, it's easier to win in sports betting. The key to winning in sports betting is our knowledge in
the sports world. Your country's citizens are extraordinary, willing to lose to support the team they wanted. True loyal supporters,
the possibility of your country's population is quite prosperous due to financial matters.

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September 17, 2020, 12:01:09 AM
 #76

Choosing the game with lower odds seems predictable but it is really not going to give decent profits but the profit of 10 wins can go by single lose with this strategy so net profit will be none at the end of the day.Go with slightly higher odds and predict based on your own analysis which could be the worthy sport betting.
Things should be have on consideration when dealing up with low odds.Always think that one loss will surely eat up all of your profits on the games you had won. Odds of 1.1-1.3 i dont see it for me to be interested into these numbers but if i cant find a better one then i might consider for this time but
depending on the game ive been following.If your on that uneasy or in doubt then better to skip out on that day.

I personally don’t think that there are any safe bets in sports betting. You may find a strategy that could keep you winning for a time but the odds doesn’t really guarantee winning. After all this is gambling and risk is a major companion in every move you take.

Thats why its called gambling because nothing is assured when it comes to winning.You might win and on a streak but doesnt mean

that you would experience it forever.There would be a time that you would lose even if you do always follow on favorite teams.

Game can turn upside down and thats why each bet should really be accompanied with good analysis from time to time.
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September 17, 2020, 12:58:15 AM
 #77

I personally don’t think that there are any safe bets in sports betting. You may find a strategy that could keep you winning for a time but the odds doesn’t really guarantee winning. After all this is gambling and risk is a major companion in every move you take.


The odds to win is greater if you know the game and the teams that are competing, of course you are going to lose sometimes, because there is such a thing like upsets, where people are confident in one team or a player and losses because of an upset, sports bettors never overlooked upsets it's part of the game, there is really no safe bets but there are good odds to win a bet.

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September 17, 2020, 02:57:13 AM
 #78

I personally don’t think that there are any safe bets in sports betting. You may find a strategy that could keep you winning for a time but the odds doesn’t really guarantee winning. After all this is gambling and risk is a major companion in every move you take.


The odds to win is greater if you know the game and the teams that are competing, of course you are going to lose sometimes, because there is such a thing like upsets, where people are confident in one team or a player and losses because of an upset, sports bettors never overlooked upsets it's part of the game, there is really no safe bets but there are good odds to win a bet.

That is why we need to know each team that will match to increase the odds of winning. But that will not always guarantee to win because sometimes the situations can change, and the weak team can win easily because of a small mistake. Perhaps, the safe bets will be related to the amount of money that we use to bets, so we don't place bigger bets. The losing money from that bets will not be too big, and we only place a bet with the money we can afford. If you can do that, you will not have to feel sad if you lose the money.
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September 17, 2020, 06:44:05 AM
 #79

For gamblers who have less experience maybe yes but it's a joke if you believe that "safe bet" do exist.

The fact that we are gambling, we are facing the risk already based on the odds we are betting, the higher the odds, the lower the risk and same goes with the opposite. As a gambler it's important that we should act mature so we make a mature decision, it's not necessary to learn from our mistakes as we can learn from other people's mistake and the first thing we need to learn is understand the basic especially the risk involve in betting.

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September 17, 2020, 07:14:42 AM
 #80

Safe bets does not excess in sports betting, every bet you'll make regardless of the odds are always risky. Man, I'm done with that experiment and I tell you it does not work on my end, what strategy I'm using now which is I am comfortable is betting on odds 1.90 and above.
Maybe you're right, but I have to try for myself to see how it plays out for me. In the meantime, I'm taking part in the EPL prediction pool, so predicting the score of each match there is obviously not the low-risk bets I'm used to, and I can see and compare how it works for me.


Okay, please share your experience then, I suggest you make your own thread to track your experiment, this is all about betting on low odds right?
Good luck on that, that seems to be a hard mission so just don't get too aggressive.

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