Fact is nobody on the planet can predict bitcoin and it's movement.
Fact, people like facts and the unfortunate belief we as humans have any absolute perfect knowledge. We dont, we have probable outcomes and thats all we are ever trying to predict to improve chances on a guess which way we go up or down on various time scales.
There is really not much excuse to be negative at present, only the simple take that after a great rise you have more basis to sell from and reason to take profits. Ultimately and we can forget the idea that BTC usage is the true price movement. I speculate on a price but I sell to use the profits for actual goods or services I wish to use and consume. If BTC is not on my list to consume as a product then its not relevant, however owning the asset involves paying miner fees and so on but imo its still applicable we have 2 distinct dynamic in speculative and actual fundamental usage of BTC.