Whats ironic is its less idiotic to believe the lows then accepting the highs are accurate, we have it upside down very often; attention is best paid after a fall and/or with the lowest prices.
What I noticed in 2017 year start was that the lowest prices are far more reliable then the highest prices, the trend followed on the lows is really regular and dependable. Of course its hard to tell in the moment especially when everyone feels negative but again in 2021 I think we should be having more confidence thats the lows are quite reliable vs the highest prices which whip back and forth pretty wildly often.
Its hard for me to tell if price suffers at 45k from further negativity but I hope to not doubt so much when we are closer to the lower price range; it tends to be more solid foundations for all the other prices that occur above.
Theres nothing on this picture bar the 50 week average but look how consistent the price (closing) was when in that area, it varied but ultimately we tended to hit bottom and rise back to about the 35k area. That year average is going to be at about 39k for this month end September, I would guess thats the true fight when volume and momentum clash. Again it'll be red at the time but Im trying to remember how often the lowest prices tend to catch hold and stick in pattern better then the flaky higher price trend. I think 39k to 35k is going to be a proper fight, each weekly bar may struggle submerged below the yearly average but I'm looking for buoyancy to resolve above that MA ultimately.