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Author Topic: Does knowing your sport and teams really make you better at betting on them?  (Read 1340 times)
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February 11, 2021, 05:57:10 PM
 #21

you wouldn't randomly pick a side and then hope for a win but you'll likely go pick a winning team when you learned that they are currently the champ and the top badass belongs in that football team. because you know you have a higher chance of winning. everybody wants to win and make money in gambling.

i chose to pick the game that i know and the local team that I'm a fan because its worth losing than betting on another team and lose.









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February 11, 2021, 06:51:43 PM
 #22

With sports betting we've got two options to choose the odds. One is based on the knowledge and the other is a random pick. When we go with the knowledge based odd selection we need to take into consideration different factors. Based on the players associated with the game and previous few matches history it is possible to have precise prediction about the end result of the game. With random pick of odds, the winning is purely upon the luck of the user himself.

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February 11, 2021, 07:08:44 PM
 #23

As far as I have experienced, when betting on sports basically I can't just rely on analysis and also, can't just rely on odds. At least both have to be equally good if we want to get good results too, but something that makes me wonder when betting randomly regardless of analysis and also odds, sometimes this method can give a win that was not expected at all because it is just a random bet. Even some of my friends don't really understand about football and also, even he doesn't know the team he put in the bet which team is from which country and what league, he really doesn't know about that. But luck has always been on her side so I use such methods many times and thus, I believe any bet is about luck.

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February 11, 2021, 07:39:41 PM
 #24

~Snip
What's your experience and opinion on the relation between knowing the sport and betting on it?

In my experience, whenever you invest time to learn about anything, it usually turns out alright in the end. This applies not just to gambling but to life itself..  Before I talk about my experience about football betting, I want to talk about mt most recent experience with placing bets on NBA games.

Earlier this year, I picked an NBA Basketball games and started placing bets on it. At first, I just picked teams blindly based on the odds (smaller odds high probability). However, it didn't take me long to incur dozens of losses. It got to a point that I had to stop betting altogether. So what I did was to take out time to learn about NBA. I started with the Wikipedia page and gradually started learning about the top teams, the underdogs, mid-range teams and the various markets available for these games and how to take advantage of them. I even started watching NBA games which I usually have fun watching.

To cut the long story short, I'd say that taking out time to learn about the sport and other details plays a key role in improving one's chances to predict the outcomes.

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February 11, 2021, 08:44:48 PM
 #25

I think it's a no-brainer if someone will say no. Even I want to respect their stand I don't buy the idea that knowledge of the game doesn't play a role in sports betting. Random betting is not a cool thing to do for me.

Having knowledge is an advantage. It's not that we can always win but we are not just picking teams based on odds.

Why not just both? Knowledge of the game + better pick of odds.

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February 11, 2021, 08:51:52 PM
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 #26

I see that you posted pphoto from Superbru predictor. I also can share my example from it. I play in 3 pools there - EPL, La Liga and Serie A. Andmy results in it is completely different. La Liga is my preferred league, I follow it most and nothing surprising, I collected most points there - 202.5. Then EPL, I have just 175.5 point, despite that follow this league closely too, though not that much as La Liga. And in Serie A I have 182.5 point, despite that my knowledge about this league isn't good, except some main teams. And same like in predictor, these results reflect in my betting stats, I'm doing best in La Liga.
If you will start betting on some random football league that you don't watch at all, I doubt that you will do very well. Yes, you can follow odds, check squads, list of injury players, recent results and other research on apps like Flashscore, but it won't be same as following that league closely

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February 11, 2021, 08:52:56 PM
 #27

~

YES! Knowing each and every little bit of aspect that could affect the run of a certain game would have a huge impact on the outcome of your prediction. You cannot just bet on basketball just because one told you so, you must bet on teams that you know were good and not because of the team's hype and popularity. Also, certain games really requires bettors to gain further knowledge before they bet as even a little news like changes in training regime of players could deal an impact to what could possibly happen in the game.
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February 11, 2021, 09:09:02 PM
 #28

Even luck is needed in sportsbetting but having knowledge would really give you the advantage compared if you dont have any idea on whats your betting on. Knowledge is advantage because betting on sports isnt something similar to luck based ones on where you do just bet and roll.

You should know those details to make you aware on whats happening into your team such as injuries, switched players or whatsoever connection to that. Its an edge that you would be aware.

Betting without any basis is just similar when you are playing luck based ones though odds wont
be thesame somehow.

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February 11, 2021, 09:12:40 PM
 #29

~snip~ However, if you have some basic knowledge of the game and teams, is it enough to become good at betting? If you really know the teams and follow what's happening to them (injuries and stuff like that), does it really make you good at betting?
These two questions are enough for me to consider that even you are a new bettor you will make a better bettor.

Okay, if you have these, a basic knowledge of the game and of course you are following the team and of course the opponent team has a great advantage in picking which team will have potential to be a winner. There's no need to have to dig more, that information is enough for your to analyze which team will be going to win. If you are a good bettor don't follow your emotion over your knowledge, don't bet if you know the team is an underdog situation just because you are one of their fans, not like that.

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February 11, 2021, 09:26:28 PM
 #30

It gives you a certain edge, as you nill know how certain teams do well against eacher, and you will also know what factors affect their strategy mid game so that you can get better judgment on who to play your money to. It isn't always 100% guarantee that your bet will win, but it foes help you lessen blind picking on someone just because lo ove the team.

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February 11, 2021, 09:49:05 PM
 #31

It gives you a certain edge, as you nill know how certain teams do well against eacher, and you will also know what factors affect their strategy mid game so that you can get better judgment on who to play your money to. It isn't always 100% guarantee that your bet will win, but it foes help you lessen blind picking on someone just because lo ove the team.

This is true!

Even if you do love a certain team but you have seen that they are on big disavantage then you would really be betting on the other side. So this would be a question if youre a solid fan or loyal or just simply like them but you can bet against them depending on the situation.
You will really be needing these kind of information to apply it into your analysis and would make final decisions basing off on what you had seen.

Being a good bettor would reallly be having this kind of qualities even op do have some losses or still im doubt on those betting behavior but still you can see the win.lose ratio does show that he's on the good side and would really have room to improve.

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February 11, 2021, 09:54:47 PM
 #32


YES! Knowing each and every little bit of aspect that could affect the run of a certain game would have a huge impact on the outcome of your prediction.

If you have good insight with the game, knowing which team or player is more superior than the other one, you can give higher chances with your bet to win.

Quote
You cannot just bet on basketball just because one told you so, you must bet on teams that you know were good and not because of the team's hype and popularity.

It's very important to have an idea with the team that you are betting with, not just because someone shared some tips means that it automatically will win, you need to have your own analysis before placing your money.

Quote
Also, certain games really requires bettors to gain further knowledge before they bet as even a little news like changes in training regime of players could deal an impact to what could possibly happen in the game.

Agree to that, with deeper knowledge in regards to specific team or players, it will gives you better chance to pick the right
selections that may give you good benefits, though it's also needs to anticipate that shit can always happened when you
are dealing with gambling.


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February 11, 2021, 10:04:14 PM
 #33


So from worse than average I went to top-20. Perhaps it's just luck or some random factors, and I'm not really getting better at it. What's your experience and opinion on the relation between knowing the sport and betting on it?

Knowledge is power and you are always on the edge especially in sports betting, if you are familiar with every team and you can compare the strength of one team to another, you will not get lost on who and what to bet, than relying on other people's opinion, so much depends on the knowledge of the sports than on luck when it comes to sports betting, I usually bet on a boxer that turns out to be the winner because of my analysis.
When it comes to sports betting knowledge is everything, a great deal of the decision of whether or not to bet on a team or the other is to be ale to tell if the odds given by the casino are fair, for example many think that the odds given by the casino are exclusively the chances a team will win or not but this is not the case, people have a tendency to bet in those that are the favourites to win so most of the time the odds they are given are worst than what they should be, which means that betting on the underdogs is almost always a better proposition but even then you need to use your knowledge to know if the odds are high enough to justify a bet.

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February 11, 2021, 10:10:44 PM
 #34

I guess a gambler who have an experience and been gambling consistently would understand that it does not guarantee or will make your better as a bettor by just knowing the game and the teams. That's a false belief, we think it's easy to gamble but it's not, and we can only tell that based on our experience.

Sports betting is a billion dollar industry and this industry is booming, meaning a lot of people are losing money in sports and I expect that most of them knows the sports and team very well, and yet they still lose.
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February 11, 2021, 10:47:46 PM
 #35

Betting is different from just watching the game and choosing the winner,  we are talking of betting odds here and a team needs to win or cover in order for us to win, I guess, non sports bettor would not understand that and they thought betting on which team will win is the way to play the game and it has the same odds.

No, it would not increase our winning chances if we only rely on those things, there's a lot of information we need to know and analyze in order to win, we will not win all the time but this would help us throughout our long journey as a bettor.

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February 11, 2021, 11:26:46 PM
 #36

Only somewhat.

The fact is that the odds provided by the market already reflect a very efficient estimate of the probabilities of the outcomes. It is very rare that there will be a huge underestimation/overestimation of the odds of a particular outcome by the market.

In fact, knowing your sport/team could introduce an element of bias that could negatively impact you.

So unless you are a professional tipster with rigorous modelling, it barely matters whether or not you know the sport you're betting on imo.
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February 11, 2021, 11:41:14 PM
 #37

Exactly
How can we bet on soemthing that we don't know? If we know the team and sport, it will help us to analyze the chance of them winning or lose. We can see the chance of every betting that we want to join at the live time. Because, the chance of every game may be different depending on the condition of the sport and team at the time, depending on the other club or team to compete or play. This will really give an impact if we know the condition of the team that we support. 

R


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February 12, 2021, 12:05:36 AM
 #38

The higher knowledge you have on that sport, the higher chance you will be getting on winning your bets. It is been the usual setup with sports betting. Analysis on the team comp and also considering the history they are having at the moment is really helpful. Been doing some bets on esports and that knowledge is really paying off.

There are some of those times that you also lost with an upset but still, that happens rarely.

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February 12, 2021, 12:42:54 AM
 #39

Well naturally, since you know the advantages and disadvantages of their habits. Like for example, I only know a paltry amount of tennis knowledge, but a player that specializes in drop and volley could easily defeat someone that has, maybe, slow speed, or can't read the enemy properly (this is just me assuming, idk if this is a fact, the only thing I really know was the drop and volley). Those kinds of things let you identify whether a match up is advantageous or not. Ofc, experience is also taken into account, but most of the time it wouldn't make much influence especially if the player themselves is really skilled. There are also a lot of factors, but knowledge of the game and of the players should be more than enough to identify who's advantageous over the other.

R


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February 12, 2021, 01:06:52 AM
 #40

I guess interest is enough, I mean serious interest. I know of a few friends who are not really that good in basketball, one or two are not even playing, but they are so interested in the NBA that their predictions could be considered more or less reliable. They closely follow players, their games, teams, trades, chemistry, defense and offense analyses, and so many other statistics among players and teams.

If you don't have "the slightest idea of how the game works," then why are you betting in the first place? You are just like playing a game of dice in that case. Sports betting is not meant to be just a random betting which is only based on luck. It is meant to be gambling based on analyses.  

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