UFC 259 - Predictions & discussion to matches w/odds added from different source

[rdbase]

Amanda Nunes is the heavy favorite in this card and no one expects Megan Anderson to defeat her but she has the size and reach advantage and i am expecting the fight to go over 1.5 rounds.
Aljamain Sterling has the grappling advantage and he has a chance to win and the only bet i make is Islam Makhachev which i think is a sure bet .

I took Nunes under 1.5 rounds so expect her to not underestimate this giant and be the slayer just like that beanstalk story, she probably reads to her new kid for a nite-time nursery rhyme to make her fall asleep.

I am actually quite surprised that the vast majority pick Adesanya over Jan.

All the major prediction sites that i follow picked Israel Adesanya to win the fight and some have picked for TKO win but i think Jan Błachowicz is hard to finish unless you are a hard puncher and he has the ground game and everyone is sleeping on the ground game of Jan Błachowicz and we have seen Middle Weight fighters testing Adesanya in striking.

I am not surprised by them picking Nunes to win over Anderson or even mixed picks for Sterling and Yan (in favor of Yan), but with the main fight they all act like Jan is a lamb brought to slaughter. They all credit him as having more power and that just about sums it up, living room to write up about Izzy being the second coming of Jesus. I know Jan an't the best LHW but for f**** sake give the man some chance.

Amanda Nunes is the heavy favorite in this card and no one expects Megan Anderson to defeat her but she has the size and reach advantage and i am expecting the fight to go over 1.5 rounds.
Aljamain Sterling has the grappling advantage and he has a chance to win and the only bet i make is Islam Makhachev which i think is a sure bet .

I don't think Blachowicz will go away silently into the night either.
He will put up a fight and that's why I put to go the distance for my pick on this main event blowout fight between these two light heavyweight contenders.

Hello friends, rdbase!
I'm pretty much an MMA virgin here. I HAVE placed fiat bets before and I spent many, many, MANY nights drinking beer and throwing baht at muay thai fighters in Thailand in the 2000s (total crazy and fun atmosphere, seriously) so I definitely get the buzz around these fights.
But having my own fun here with Sportsbet promos and will be following my picks: Medic, Rakic, Kenney and Yadong on a 7/1 total odds, parlayed with a football win for Spurs (already booked haha).
Good luck!
Yeah mine's still 1.45, and fiat bookie boring at 1.40

Hello again buwaytress!
I went with the underdog to win by decision. They gave too much of high odds to pass it up at @9.80x so we will just need to wait and see if my risk bet pays off for this major upset to happen.
Good luck to you on your predictions as well friend.

I watched Eddie's Stream (co-owner of Stake and the Official betting partner of the UFC) today and he placed a bet on Israel Adesanya to win with a knockout in the first round. I think I am going to do the same, even though I know it is going to be a big call against Mr Strong jaw.  
I hope Israel is quick enough to dodge the power and to find a way through to bring him down early... if the fight goes on too long, he might get lucky and he might get Israel on the ground and use his power to tap him out. (well that is my prediction)  

I have to agree with you on this guess on how the rounds will go.
This Polish guy is massive and is use to fighting at this weight-class as they have just said in the preview on the local channel broadcasted where I got these latest screens from, Adesanya is doing an "experiment" to fight in a weight-class which he is not use to being in.
So it will certainly make it interesting to see how he copes with this monster of a man named Blachowicz.

Here is a screencap of the ones who have done the near impossible in which Israel is looking to do tonight with a win to hold multiple belts in different weight-classes at the same time.
Only four others have done it and she is fighting tonight as well.

You can watch the stats on this link shown below.
source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EW3l2eE-lec

[1715444150]

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[1715444150]

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[boltz]

In my opinion Izzy got this as few of people know that he fought more than 90 times before joining UFC and that is more than enough for me to take him as a winner tonight because Izzy came late into UFC and yet so young.

My biggest pick tonight will be Megan Anderson to win over Nunez as I think it's time for a new champ to rise and this girl is mega tough who is gonna put a one big fight and give all she got in order to secure the win. A pretty bold pick for me but it can pay out really nice.

[Saint-loup]

Hello again buwaytress!
I went with the underdog to win by decision. They gave too much of high odds to pass it up at @9.80x so we will just need to wait and see if my risk bet pays off for this major upset to happen.
Good luck to you on your predictions as well friend.

The underdog? You really think Błachowicz can win against Adesanya? You don't think he is way too slow to be able to do something against him? IMO it will be an easy win for Adesanya. I've bet on him, and even put a small stake on a victory by KO.
I've bet on Amanda Nunes too and a victory before the bell because I think Megan Anderson is just sparring partner for her, she's really courageous indeed.

[vennali]

Rakic vs Santos, was that a fight or some sort of interpretive dance? I'm not sure.

Islam Makhachev is the real deal..who knew hugging people can also win fights. #makelovenotwar
Kidding, but top tier grappling from Makhachev. Future champ right there.

What a crazy end to Yan vs Sterling's fight. I thought Yan had the win guaranteed after 3 rounds. Unfortunate for him. There should be a rematch soon.

Its so sad to watch womens division. Nobody really knows how to fight other than Nunes. 

[electronicash]

Hello again buwaytress!
I went with the underdog to win by decision. They gave too much of high odds to pass it up at @9.80x so we will just need to wait and see if my risk bet pays off for this major upset to happen.
Good luck to you on your predictions as well friend.

The underdog? You really think Błachowicz can win against Adesanya? You don't think he is way too slow to be able to do something against him? IMO it will be an easy win for Adesanya. I've bet on him, and even put a small stake on a victory by KO.
I've bet on Amanda Nunes too and a victory before the bell because I think Megan Anderson is just sparring partner for her, she's really courageous indeed.

that two matches is where i bet as well but for Blackowics just to be entertained and big hit but by KO i bet for Nunes and Petr Yan. there are really good matches here but there is just too much to bet i have no funds in my Stake account anymore to bet unless i win big after the 259.

Blackowics has 50/50 chance of course Adesanya is quicker but since he added some pounds to his weight I'll risk this time.

[Bttzed03]

I watched Eddie's Stream (co-owner of Stake and the Official betting partner of the UFC) today and he placed a bet on Israel Adesanya to win with a knockout in the first round. I think I am going to do the same, even though I know it is going to be a big call against Mr Strong jaw. 

I'm not surprise with him picking Israel as the winner but the manner of finish and the time is too ambitious. You are better off with just a win by KO.

I hope Israel is quick enough to dodge the power and to find a way through to bring him down early... if the fight goes on too long, he might get lucky and he might get Israel on the ground and use his power to tap him out. (well that is my prediction) 

This is basically the reason why I picked Jan to win the fight. I don't think IA can knock him out but he can win on points. The chances of Jan catching him in five rounds is higher.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Hello again buwaytress!
I went with the underdog to win by decision. They gave too much of high odds to pass it up at @9.80x so we will just need to wait and see if my risk bet pays off for this major upset to happen.
Good luck to you on your predictions as well friend.

The underdog? You really think Błachowicz can win against Adesanya? You don't think he is way too slow to be able to do something against him? IMO it will be an easy win for Adesanya. I've bet on him, and even put a small stake on a victory by KO.
I've bet on Amanda Nunes too and a victory before the bell because I think Megan Anderson is just sparring partner for her, she's really courageous indeed.

that two matches is where i bet as well but for Blackowics just to be entertained and big hit but by KO i bet for Nunes and Petr Yan. there are really good matches here but there is just too much to bet i have no funds in my Stake account anymore to bet unless i win big after the 259.

Blackowics has 50/50 chance of course Adesanya is quicker but since he added some pounds to his weight I'll risk this time.

According to an ESPN2 commentator, he said that Adesanya is taller, has the body to beat the Pole, that fights are not won by muscles, Adesanya fully has the conditions to win. Besides that he has a lot of speed, that is a plus in favor of Adesanya.

The match is almost starting, the statistics for now are favoring Adesanya.

[rdbase]

Yan losing his belt and title due to an illegal knee to the head while Sterling was down was the biggest upset in tonight's matches so far.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Yan losing his belt and title due to an illegal knee to the head while Sterling was down was the biggest upset in tonight's matches so far.

It is like that, he did not want to put the Champion belt and threw it into the octagon, I do not know if it was an act of groceries, but it was not something very correct, however they must meet again in another fight, things cannot continue like this. Now that Nunes and Anderson are fighting, the main course is last with blachowicz and Adesanya.

The Power of Amanda with tremendous Lever makes the fight end !! Incredibly ... The good is coming !!

[7788bitcoin]

Israel Adesanya was like a duck stuck in a cage in the fourth round the weight of Jan Błachowicz which i was talking about was showing in the fight and if Jan Błachowicz can continue that in the final round he can retain the belt  .

Edit: The final round was the same, the Polish power showed how he can control Israel Adesanya and he did that in the feet and in the ground he dominated as Adesanya was pinned to the ground and won the fight without any challenge  .

[LUCKMCFLY]

Go that Adesanya cost him when Jan was on top of him, apparently the weight did affect the category very well, from the 4th Raound Jan's strategy was to throw him to the ground and from there apply force and use all his weight , really there if he dominated the Polish. Adesanya couldn't contain being shot down, it was a very strategic fight. I hope to see the rematch again, they are actually different categories, the difference was seen, there was a lot of respect between them in the same way.

[electronicash]

Go that Adesanya cost him when Jan was on top of him, apparently the weight did affect the category very well, from the 4th Raound Jan's strategy was to throw him to the ground and from there apply force and use all his weight , really there if he dominated the Polish. Adesanya couldn't contain being shot down, it was a very strategic fight. I hope to see the rematch again, they are actually different categories, the difference was seen, there was a lot of respect between them in the same way.

Adesanya just can't take the weight, it's too abrupt for him to really get used to the body weight. he could have fought someone else yet in the light heavyweight and not the champ right away. he is new in the division and then Dana just put him right against Blachowicz. anyway, lose with Petr Yan. it's disappointing to see that Yan is winning, he is good at boxing but then violates a rule all of a sudden and lost it.

[Saint-loup]

Israel Adesanya was like a duck stuck in a cage in the fourth round the weight of Jan Błachowicz which i was talking about was showing in the fight and if Jan Błachowicz can continue that in the final round he can retain the belt  .

Edit: The final round was the same, the Polish power showed how he can control Israel Adesanya and he did that in the feet and in the ground he dominated as Adesanya was pinned to the ground and won the fight without any challenge  .

You're not really nice with our new Stake ambassador 7788bitcoin   If Blachowicz won without any challenge why he has not been able to finish him in 5 rounds?
I'm a little bit disappointed because I think Adesanya has been overhyped by those promotions. Congrats to bettors who kept their heads cool despite all this hype.  

[yazher]

Israel Adesanya was like a duck stuck in a cage in the fourth round the weight of Jan Błachowicz which i was talking about was showing in the fight and if Jan Błachowicz can continue that in the final round he can retain the belt  .

Edit: The final round was the same, the Polish power showed how he can control Israel Adesanya and he did that in the feet and in the ground he dominated as Adesanya was pinned to the ground and won the fight without any challenge  .

That was one of the most exciting fights in the UFC that's how you use your skill and Damn, he was like a kid who got bullied by a big man. That was something you don't expect when you see such fighters who haven't taste defeat in their career taste his first loss. No need for 2nd fight with this one since it didn't even come to a close fight it's a one-man wrecking machine and Adesanya got Wreck today.

[cabron]

Israel Adesanya was like a duck stuck in a cage in the fourth round the weight of Jan Błachowicz which i was talking about was showing in the fight and if Jan Błachowicz can continue that in the final round he can retain the belt  .

Edit: The final round was the same, the Polish power showed how he can control Israel Adesanya and he did that in the feet and in the ground he dominated as Adesanya was pinned to the ground and won the fight without any challenge  .

That was one of the most exciting fights in the UFC that's how you use your skill and Damn, he was like a kid who got bullied by a big man. That was something you don't expect when you see such fighters who haven't taste defeat in their career taste his first loss. No need for 2nd fight with this one since it didn't even come to a close fight it's a one-man wrecking machine and Adesanya got Wreck today.

FYI Adesanya once lost already but not in UFC. I saw the fight on youtube where he was knocked out by a left cross. This time is the UFC but its just one loss anyway besides its a reasonable loss. He could come back with vengeance soon, I could say it really needs a rematch until there is a real knockout.

Blachowicz really proved himself this time to be the Polish power and he had done so in the past despite his age.

[TheNineClub]

I don't think Blachowicz will go away silently into the night either.
He will put up a fight and that's why I put to go the distance for my pick on this main event blowout fight between these two light heavyweight contenders.

Israel Adesanya was like a duck stuck in a cage in the fourth round the weight of Jan Błachowicz which i was talking about was showing in the fight and if Jan Błachowicz can continue that in the final round he can retain the belt  .

Edit: The final round was the same, the Polish power showed how he can control Israel Adesanya and he did that in the feet and in the ground he dominated as Adesanya was pinned to the ground and won the fight without any challenge  .

That was one of the most exciting fights in the UFC that's how you use your skill and Damn, he was like a kid who got bullied by a big man. That was something you don't expect when you see such fighters who haven't taste defeat in their career taste his first loss. No need for 2nd fight with this one since it didn't even come to a close fight it's a one-man wrecking machine and Adesanya got Wreck today.

FYI Adesanya once lost already but not in UFC. I saw the fight on youtube where he was knocked out by a left cross. This time is the UFC but its just one loss anyway besides its a reasonable loss. He could come back with vengeance soon, I could say it really needs a rematch until there is a real knockout.

Blachowicz really proved himself this time to be the Polish power and he had done so in the past despite his age.

Izzy just looked overpowered, not just in a punching sense, but also in his ability to predict Jqans game plan, and not being able to adjust accordingly. He really did look stuck in that cage, I think it was not having the range advantage that screwd up his game. As for Jan, he might be in the upper range regarding his age, but for LHW and HW this is common, the smaller divisions burn out younger (Aldo looks like he's 47 and just turned 30 or something). Jon Jones on Twitter really blasting Izzy right now, rightfully so, and I think any chance of that fight happening any time soon is nonexistent. IMHO Izzy's stock fell hard, but that's how it goes, he took a bet on himself and lost. If he'd won that that bet would be worth it. 

[Saint-loup]

FYI Adesanya once lost already but not in UFC. I saw the fight on youtube where he was knocked out by a left cross. This time is the UFC but its just one loss anyway besides its a reasonable loss. He could come back with vengeance soon, I could say it really needs a rematch until there is a real knockout.

Blachowicz really proved himself this time to be the Polish power and he had done so in the past despite his age.

Adesanya lost in which sport? What you're saying is a little bit surprising because his record was virgin of defeat in MMA until now. He was officially undefeated in 20 MMA fights until this contest.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel_Adesanya

[YuginKadoya]

That is why I am having doubts that Adesanya can win against Blachowics that is why I have stayed away from betting that my boy Adesanya can win this, now Israel Adesanya had a 1 lost record a really bad decision in storming into a different division while he thinks just beating Paul Costa would certainly get it done, Blachowics was a different person when he faces Reyes and I think that Jan Blachowics really have given Adesanya a good beating from the strikes and submission, but I am guessing that there might be a rematch.

[rdbase]

That is why I am having doubts that Adesanya can win against Blachowics that is why I have stayed away from betting that my boy Adesanya can win this, now Israel Adesanya had a 1 lost record a really bad decision in storming into a different division while he thinks just beating Paul Costa would certainly get it done, Blachowics was a different person when he faces Reyes and I think that Jan Blachowics really have given Adesanya a good beating from the strikes and submission, but I am guessing that there might be a rematch.

This is why I went with the option Will this match go the distance? because from my previous post right before the match started I was having doubts on who was going to win it too. Because as we all know the odds do not dictate what the outcome of the match will be.
That is certainly obvious with the these odds on every site they were offered on and the option I picked on both my betslips were just about the same amount of odds as a straight win for the underdog @2.65x on stake and @2.56x on sportsbet (was on a nunes multibet so won a bit more on this betslip then just the single I had on stake).

[7788bitcoin]

~
You're not really nice with our new Stake ambassador 7788bitcoin   If Blachowicz won without any challenge why he has not been able to finish him in 5 rounds?

It is a fight and we are betting on it and the fight result will not change if i praised him or not, if Israel Adesanya stayed in the Middle Weight division he can win all the fights and Israel Adesanya wanted challenges and i was hoping for a great fight and we saw a great fight and i was vocal why Jan Błachowicz will win in the main thread. It was a technical fight and it is not about power and finishes all the time.

I'm a little bit disappointed because I think Adesanya has been overhyped by those promotions. Congrats to bettors who kept their heads cool despite all this hype.  

Israel Adesanya is the real deal, he was not over hyped. You underestimated Jan Błachowicz and you were doubting it will be impossible for him to beat Israel Adesanya but you forgot to understand that it is not a striking competition and you forgot the ground skills of Jan Błachowicz or you have not watched his past fights and moving up is not an easy task if the opponent has a ground advantage.