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Author Topic: 55% of bitcoin circulating supply have not moved since 2018  (Read 223 times)
MrcMrc (OP)
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March 17, 2021, 08:26:37 AM
Last edit: April 20, 2021, 10:56:57 PM by MrcMrc
 #1

Data have shown how more than half of bitcoin circulating supply have not been moved from their host wallet since the bitcoin deep of 2018, this has shown great length how die hard holders can go a long way down the road without moving their bitcoin from one wallet to another or to exchange despite the current bitcoin market price.At this moment those wallets have done 17× profits and still, the long-term holders (LTH) are not given up on the race to becoming the steel hands, bitcoin holders.Credit:https://news.bitcoin.com/btcs-hands-of-steel-37-bitcoins-supply-hasnt-moved-2017-55-sat-idle-2018s-bottom/

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March 17, 2021, 08:31:34 AM
 #2

It is a good thing that they are hodling because this means that the supply is slowly going lower and with that the demand increases because of the low supply. I am quite surprised that 55% of bitcoin hasn't moved, that is quite a lot of bitcoin for it to not moved, they might have included the lost coins in this percentage.

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March 17, 2021, 08:38:09 AM
 #3

In 2018 during a bear market the only option was to HODL even though a lot of people
panicked ans sold out making a loss after buying in the previous year at high prices.

We who held our Bitcoin are being rewarded no for the work of Holding and adding
cheap Bitcoin and Satoshi's.

The strategy of HODL also works in Bull markets.

R


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March 17, 2021, 09:40:27 AM
 #4

It is clear that the data shows a trend but we must not forget that there are many Bitcoins that do not move, simply because the keys have been lost. Neither have they moved recently nor will they ever move. Some estimates put the number of lost Bitcoins as high as 4 million. If we take this into account, we would conclude that the Bitcoins that can be moved and have not been moved since 2018 are 33%.


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March 17, 2021, 09:49:36 AM
 #5

Data have shown how more than half of bitcoin circulating supply have not been moved from their host wallet since the bitcoin deep of 2018, this have shown grreat length how die hard hodlers can go a long way down the road without moving they bitcoin from one wallet to another or to an exchange despite the current bitcoin market price.
At this moment those wallets have done 17× profits  and still the long term hodlers (LTH) are not given up on the race to becoming the steel hands bitcoin hoders.
Credit:
https://news.bitcoin.com/btcs-hands-of-steel-37-bitcoins-supply-hasnt-moved-2017-55-sat-idle-2018s-bottom/



Is that bad or is it good? Can't decide it
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March 17, 2021, 09:54:02 AM
 #6

Is that bad or is it good? Can't decide it

Good if you're more of a "bitcoin is for store of value" guy.

Bad if you're more of a "bitcoin is for payments" guy.

Good if you think that people should just use bitcoin for whatever purpose they want.

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March 17, 2021, 10:00:41 AM
 #7

They've hold it for more than 3 years now, I doubt that they are going to move it just because we have reach $60k. Those long term holders are either waiting for the right price to sell or they are really going to hold it for the next 10 years to give them a good profit that can sustain and have a good life in the future.

There even a data that there are less crypto investors holding their bitcoin in an exchange and moving it on a wallet that they have total control. Sign that we in still in the bullish phase.

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March 17, 2021, 10:20:55 AM
 #8

Data have shown how more than half of bitcoin circulating supply have not been moved from their host wallet since the bitcoin deep of 2018, this have shown grreat length how die hard hodlers can go a long way down the road without moving they bitcoin from one wallet to another or to an exchange despite the current bitcoin market price.
At this moment those wallets have done 17× profits  and still the long term hodlers (LTH) are not given up on the race to becoming the steel hands bitcoin hoders.
Credit:
https://news.bitcoin.com/btcs-hands-of-steel-37-bitcoins-supply-hasnt-moved-2017-55-sat-idle-2018s-bottom/


They are experience guys so expect this to be happen but I just wondering on how those guys can able to hold their patience since even at this point they already earn so big and imagine how lucky they are if bitcoin price reached at triple digit. Hopefully manipulators won't use this news if they start to move their bitcoins on open market.

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March 17, 2021, 10:43:41 AM
Last edit: April 20, 2021, 10:52:25 PM by MrcMrc
 #9

It is clear that the data shows a trend but we must not forget that there are many Bitcoins that do not move, simply because the keys have been lost. Neither have they moved recently nor will they ever move. Some estimates put the number of lost Bitcoins as high as 4 million. If we take this into account, we would conclude that the Bitcoins that can be moved and have not been moved since 2018 are 33%.
Be more accurate in your figure according to the statistics  37% not 33% as you put and the total amount is $7 million against the $4 million you stated here.Although the data comprises both active and inactive wallets, if you do your math very well you will still arrive at a significant percentage of active wallets holding their bitcoin compare to the inactive wallets.


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March 17, 2021, 10:45:52 AM
 #10

What I find strange about the article is that it uses as a heading a conclusion that seems to be draws from early March 2020 (see https://medium.com/glassnode-insights/breaking-up-on-chain-metrics-for-short-and-long-term-96337cc0cf6d).  Assuming the conclusions are from data that is at least 2 weeks old, bitcoin was around 10K at the time, and with the current price, things are bound to have changed.

Furthermore, the heading is derived from this quote:
Quote
Around 37% (~7 million) of the existing Bitcoin supply hasn’t moved since the last ATH in December 2017. Similarly, more than half of circulating bitcoins (55%) have not moved since the market bottom in late 2018 more than a year ago. Clearly, these numbers illustrate that there is a substantial amount of investors committed to hodl over long periods of time, i.e. Long Term Holders (LTH).
The bolded statement confirms what I said time wise, and points to the conclusion being from around early 2020.
The article does juggle some 2021 data in certain places, and honestly, I don’t follow it all, but the opening heading seems stuck in time, and does not account for recent events.
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March 17, 2021, 10:49:38 AM
 #11

To be honest, I really salute them for not moving their bitcoin from a long time ago and still had that bitcoin. It is really hard to hold this time, especially since the bitcoin price now is $50k. We do not know who they are, and although we can still see how many bitcoins in the wallet, that will be a mystery to us to know the owner. But I do not want to know who they are since that can be any one of us who still keeps that bitcoin on that wallet. Or maybe that people lost the keys, so they can not access the wallet.

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March 17, 2021, 10:53:27 AM
 #12

If that's an accurate data, it is still known that many are not wanting to sell even if we're on the ATH. In that case, those wallets that haven't been touch for so long, the owners of it have the plan to hold for long term.

But what if bitcoin hits $100k? we will know if those wallets won't move a single bitcoin and will keep on holding it.

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March 17, 2021, 11:55:20 AM
 #13

Data have shown how more than half of bitcoin circulating supply have not been moved from their host wallet since the bitcoin deep of 2018, this have shown grreat length how die hard hodlers can go a long way down the road without moving they bitcoin from one wallet to another or to an exchange despite the current bitcoin market price.
At this moment those wallets have done 17× profits  and still the long term hodlers (LTH) are not given up on the race to becoming the steel hands bitcoin hoders.
Credit:
https://news.bitcoin.com/btcs-hands-of-steel-37-bitcoins-supply-hasnt-moved-2017-55-sat-idle-2018s-bottom/


I assume that a big part of them have lost access to their wallets. Grin
Anyway,it's obvious that the army of HODLers are the main force behind the massive Bitcoin price growth.
Don't get me wrong,the institutional investors are pumping the Bitcoin price,but we would never reach 60K USD,if the circulating Bitcoin supply was higher and the HODLers were less.
How more people will be motivated to buy BTC and HODL in the long term,which means that less supply combined with increased demand is a guaranteed Bitcoin price to the moon. Grin

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March 17, 2021, 01:45:40 PM
 #14

Data have shown how more than half of bitcoin circulating supply have not been moved from their host wallet since the bitcoin deep of 2018, this have shown grreat length how die hard hodlers can go a long way down the road without moving they bitcoin from one wallet to another or to an exchange despite the current bitcoin market price.
At this moment those wallets have done 17× profits  and still the long term hodlers (LTH) are not given up on the race to becoming the steel hands bitcoin hoders.
Credit:
https://news.bitcoin.com/btcs-hands-of-steel-37-bitcoins-supply-hasnt-moved-2017-55-sat-idle-2018s-bottom/

The whales wait for the exact moment to cash out thier profits in the market.The prices wer low in 2018 after the market crash of 2017 and Bitcoin was tumbling between $8-$9k and the only option available with them was to HOLD until the right time and 2020 pandemic give boost to the prices and now see they are above $60k and their funds increased 8-9 times from initial investment.It was good move on the other hand as it would contribute more to the panic selling at that time.The also know about supply becoming scarce day by day and they want to have large part of Bitcoin with them.

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buwaytress
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March 17, 2021, 01:54:32 PM
 #15

Steel hands? After only 2+ years and buying at that 2018 winter? Nah. You survive buying at one ATH and hold through a 90% "deep" and then you can apply for strong hands. It should have been really easy to buy in 2018 and hold on through the next two years, seeing as it would have been awesome figures (although credit for not panicking in March last year).

P.S. Anyone else notice the "deep" squad going around today? Or is it just my eye catching it more than it should?Wink

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March 17, 2021, 02:06:44 PM
 #16

Let us see this coming bear market that I expect 2022 or 2023, well, just how bitcoin cycles in the past and based on the s2f model. Though some argue that it wouldn't be the same as the 2018 bear market and how huge that markdown was, it's still questionable in its sense but everything can happen in crypto.
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March 17, 2021, 02:21:52 PM
 #17

Data have shown how more than half of bitcoin circulating supply have not been moved from their host wallet since the bitcoin deep of 2018, this have shown grreat length how die hard hodlers can go a long way down the road without moving they bitcoin from one wallet to another or to an exchange despite the current bitcoin market price.
At this moment those wallets have done 17× profits  and still the long term hodlers (LTH) are not given up on the race to becoming the steel hands bitcoin hoders.
Credit:
https://news.bitcoin.com/btcs-hands-of-steel-37-bitcoins-supply-hasnt-moved-2017-55-sat-idle-2018s-bottom/


I am not sure about the integrity of this data but if it is true, it shows that people are considering bitcoin purely as an invest rather than a currency. So I believe what Mr. Nakamoto dreamed about bitcoin, is failed miserably! Because people are indeed considering it as an investment only!

So there's nothing to feel proud about! Not a great progress in anything rather than price!

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March 17, 2021, 02:29:21 PM
 #18

You can never really blame them, knowing that they are already HODL-ing the right way, and that's always the best way to invest. Continuously buy no matter what the value the asset has. That has always been an effective way of investing. I hope that people would start to see the value of Bitcoin Holding as well. This is the new gold for everyone.

Expect everyone to have different needs and applications of BTC. At least this information is something I haven't expect to check. Maybe check also, even the older ones?

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March 17, 2021, 02:33:16 PM
 #19

that way, the more bitcoins stuck in the wallet, the higher the potential price over time. Long-term holders like to hoard bitcoins for long-term provision. Given the scarcity and dwindling supply, they wanted to keep it longer. this is a huge hoard of bitcoins. We hope that as it gets out of hand, these long-term holders will be very satisfied in the future.
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March 17, 2021, 03:04:18 PM
 #20

But what if bitcoin hits $100k? we will know if those wallets won't move a single bitcoin and will keep on holding it.

I think, real hodlers won't even care of $100k as they know the potential of bitcoin. If bitcoin hits 100k, all those wallet will be on more than 27x  within 3 years. Than, everyone can imagine where it'll go in the next 5 years, even there is a major possibility of a bear market. But at the end, bitcoin's movement will uptrend as it's never disappointed any hodlers ,even anyone buy it at the top pick on any bull run.

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