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Author Topic: How to get the best odds on sports betting  (Read 253 times)
vennali
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April 05, 2021, 10:44:25 AM
 #21

These are website specific

Often the best odds can be found at sites where betting is thinnest. For example Futuur have recently opened bitcoin markets, and the odds of Man City winning the English Premier League are only 53%, despite them being almost certain to win. Note that unless you have an account and can select bitcoin as your betting currency, the link below takes you to the play-money market, which has more bets and is 99% for Man City.

https://futuur.com/q/119057/who-will-be-the-champion-of-premier-league-20202021
Yeah 100% agreed. People can take advantage of new or less popular sportsbooks because of the less statistical research they use for setting the odds(by the provider). Now a days it is very narrowed down though since there are sites that could help you arbitrage. Some websites apparently dont like if the player arbitrages within the site itself. ie. bet on pre match and then counter it live. I have seen cases where a few users were banned. I would consider banning the players for that reason as bad practice though and those sportsbooks should be avoided. 

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April 05, 2021, 04:21:58 PM
 #22

There are comparison shopping websites that list odds different books offer for the same sporting event.

https://www.oddsmarket.com/tennis/

https://i.imgur.com/vLRSiBr.jpg
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I was surprised to see such a dramatic difference in the odds offered  Shocked
I don't know how the 5.4 and 8.59 odds for the same event by different bookmakers can be explained  Smiley One gets the impression that some bookmakers have insider information for some matches, although I do not believe in this at such a high level.

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April 05, 2021, 09:44:04 PM
 #23

What I do when sports betting is only bet when the team I did an extensive research on is playing. I know it's gonna cripple my chances of raking in more wins but at the very least, the games that I do bet on are almost always guaranteed a win, because I know the ins and outs of the team I am rooting on and who they are better or worse.
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April 05, 2021, 10:32:45 PM
 #24

Odds on sports betting will be connected with the match scenario. When both the teams are of equal strength, the odds will be close with very minimal difference. These matches were of high risk involved, whereas one sided games will have have big difference in the odds. With these games most of the time the low odds will make a winning.
You're partially right on that but still it can happen on any given match. It just depends on the sportsbook you're using because not everyone have the same vig.

On Fortunejack if you check their Champion's league odds between Liverpool and Real Madrid very even match yet there's still a noticeable odds difference when you compare DNB and the +/- 0 handicap.


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April 05, 2021, 10:35:06 PM
 #25

The important ways to determine odds is taking all possible step towards every team that you're going to bet with.
Gather all data on every game results in order to find out a preferred analysis, then tabulate them all to have definite prospects.
Always make sure you're a good fan of that sports game, because that's a good formula in achieving your decision making and could help you finding best odds.
Data gathering is the important thing in selection of odds. Only through this data it is possible to get a detailed information about the games played by both the teams as well as the win rate. Through this one can make guess the winning probability and choose the odds.

Apart from this form of odd selection random odd selection is preferred by users who prefer to go with their luck. I've done this and got wins out of luck from tennis games where I don't have any idea about. Most of the time I prefer to go with the low odds provided, which means increased winning chance.
I agree with you but where do you find your datas personally? What are your data sources?
Moreover not all datas are usable to make a bet with, you have to sort them, and it's not so easy to choose which data is relevant and which data is useless.

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April 05, 2021, 10:37:40 PM
 #26

I usually prefer to compare the odds before betting on the specific market because of the different odds providers. The reputable sports bookies take the best odds from the market and they never try to reduce the juicy odds before the event depending on the demand/supply. The best odds can be found on oddsportal and oddscompare websites, usually, Pinnacle is the only winner as the best odds provider. There is no reason to go for another sports bookie if Pinnacle gives us what we want since they accept cryptocurrencies as the payment method.

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April 08, 2021, 12:09:15 AM
 #27

There are mathematically good suggestions at first post in the thread. Although I think most important thing with football (or soccer) betting is to play with middle rank teams in table. They are unpredictable in eye of gambling sites, even though being around middle rank means they are sort of good at winning. Their general win bets are gonna be good to play for.
That is an interesting strategy, we know that casinos give on purpose worst odds to the favourites as they know people have a greater tendency to bet on them, and bad teams regardless of the odds they receive have very low chances of actually giving you a win, but teams on the middle of the rankings have a good enough performance and they do not receive the handicap good teams receive, if I remember correctly there was someone on the forum that made a similar experiment to this and he had good results.
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April 18, 2021, 06:31:51 AM
 #28

-snip-
Arbitrage opportunities appear all the time but close just as fast as there is always someone looking for them, I really think that we are getting to the point in which sport gamblers that want to take advantages of such windows need to create their own bots similarly to what it is happening already with trading, besides casinos do not like this so they could limit your account or close it as they do not like gamblers that always take the best possible lines they offer.

Doubt that this could be automated.

The differences are so subtle in these that unless a significant amount was invested in the arbitrage bot, it is very unlikely it'll be picked up. These unique combinations of complementary/supplementary bets can really be picked out by a human.

The fact that OP can consistently find these odds hiding in plain site should be enough proof that arbitrageurs, including botters, simply aren't picking these things up quickly enough to turn a profit. Hence what I said earlier about a *potentially* profitable opportunity.
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April 18, 2021, 09:24:09 AM
 #29

Doubt that this could be automated.

The differences are so subtle in these that unless a significant amount was invested in the arbitrage bot, it is very unlikely it'll be picked up. These unique combinations of complementary/supplementary bets can really be picked out by a human.

The fact that OP can consistently find these odds hiding in plain site should be enough proof that arbitrageurs, including botters, simply aren't picking these things up quickly enough to turn a profit. Hence what I said earlier about a *potentially* profitable opportunity.

I don't see any problems with automation from a technical point of view. This is quite easy to do and small differences in the odds do not prevent you from making huge profits, since the bot can complete many transactions in one day. The main problem is that bookmakers chase and ban all fans of guaranteed bets (surebets), regardless of whether they work manually or with the help of bots.

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