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Author Topic: I have $150,000 US dollars and my target is a 10x gain. Stop me going all in now  (Read 745 times)
kryptqnick
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April 10, 2021, 08:57:52 AM
 #21

Op, I don't know your financial situation, but if $150k is literally all of your savings, it's already a very solid sum, and why risk losing it? Why not take half of it to spend on something now (in my country, one could buy a great flat in a good neighborhood for that money), and then use another half for this long-term hodling Bitcoin experiment?
Nobody knows how high Bitcoin can go or how low it can fall in the future, but I do think it's likely that we'll see it growing at least 5x over the next few years, so the idea itself might not be so bad. I just don't understand why you'd go all-in if you can enjoy some wealth you've already accumulated AND invest in BTC.

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April 10, 2021, 10:32:17 AM
 #22


4. If I want to pursue some alt coins, and again, I have a high risk profile, what % mix would you recommend?  33% alt-coins and 66% bitcoin, or 50-50, etc?  


Thank you!!
even you have a risk profile its not make sense if despite you really want to gain in the future instead of losing..  Just forget investing in alts, if you don't want to waste your time in it. instead focus in BTC which for sure can give you good return in the future. As you said you are good at waiting, even 10 years.. So definitely a good decision to invest with it.  Since bitcoin always make a break out every year. Best of luck on your journey bro.
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April 10, 2021, 06:24:33 PM
 #23


4. If I want to pursue some alt coins, and again, I have a high risk profile, what % mix would you recommend?  33% alt-coins and 66% bitcoin, or 50-50, etc?  

Thank you!!
even you have a risk profile its not make sense if despite you really want to gain in the future instead of losing..  Just forget investing in alts, if you don't want to waste your time in it. instead focus in BTC which for sure can give you good return in the future. As you said you are good at waiting, even 10 years.. So definitely a good decision to invest with it.  Since bitcoin always make a break out every year. Best of luck on your journey bro.
Right you say, focusing on BTC will give you a more definite advantage...
in the next 10 years, the Bitcoin price will definitely be 5x-7x from the current price, which means that the value of your investment will increase sharply. $ 150k in the capital should be enough to get you a million dollars in the next 10 years.



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April 10, 2021, 06:27:22 PM
 #24

Don’t go and be withdrawing your old retirement fund just to invest them in Bitcoin, maybe you can go ahead and invest the $150,000 that you mentioned at first, but leave your retirement fund where it is, that’s very important, don’t take much risk more than you can handle when things goes wrong.

Moreover $150 thousand is enough investment , when price goes up you will make enough profit, more than the 8% you have been making in the past eight years as you have said. And I can imagine that the price will be higher than what it is now in the next five years, not to talk of the next ten years.

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April 10, 2021, 08:16:25 PM
 #25

1.  Starting today on April 10, 2021 if I invested 150k in bitcoin, how much do the gurus expect me to have in 1, 2, 5, and 10 years? Like would any idiot who just invested today and didn't sell expect a 5x increase within the next 10 years?
Invest in Bitcoin for years while expecting 10x is not an idiot strategy because its something alot of people has been over the years but it good to understand the market halving season.

2.  I would use dollar cost averaging, but over what time horizon?  Invest 150k over the next six months?  Or just invest it all today since we all know it's going up?
Time horizon doesn't come to play, the market trend is what you need to put into consideration cause the best time to invest is when people panic sell.

3.  I could withdraw the old retirement fund and get the initial investment up to 300k.  Would you go all in using that?  I would not have much of a backup plan for retirement if this is the case, but like I said I have a high risk profile.  I do believe this is once in a lifetime.
Going all in every investment setting is a wrong decision and I will advise you to invest 75K while you set aside 75k to buy more when there's some dump price in the market. Mind you, the first 75K was for long term investment while the 75K is for short/seizing the market opportunity and selling at profit price.

4. If I want to pursue some alt coins, and again, I have a high risk profile, what % mix would you recommend?  33% alt-coins and 66% bitcoin, or 50-50, etc?  
Altcoin are high manipulated coins but since you have a high-risk profile, you can invest 20% in altcoin like BNB (keep on  Binance to get some free coins which you can sell asap), ETH, Link, and DOT.

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April 10, 2021, 08:35:25 PM
 #26

Does anyone here think this l0x gain is very reasonable in a decade?  I dont think that is possible... i think at at best probably 6x?
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April 10, 2021, 08:41:09 PM
 #27

~snip~

From the OP profile I think he is an experienced investor, if he talks about being patient up to 10 years in his investment it is because he could have had an investment in the stock market, which gives profits in 8 to 10 years if he invests in the correct stock.

The profit you can get in Crypto, especially if you invest in Bitcoin, is 3-4 years following the order of Accumulation - Distribution Stage. At the moment the market is experiencing changes that have never been experienced, a pandemic time and in most countries confinement, but it has been proven that this is beneficial for bitcoin, which can give it benefits in the short to medium term respectively, this scenario is very likely.

When you talk about alternative cryptocurrencies you must bear in mind that they all depend on the movement of Bitcoin, that bitcoin is the only currency that has a life of its own, there are many currencies based on very good projects, which are giving a lot of good profits, but you must be careful because in an eventual correction or fall of bitcoin, altcoins radically bleed.

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April 10, 2021, 09:14:41 PM
 #28

Since you have mentioned already that you have a high risk profile, then it will be up into you if you will go all out in just one set or you will gradually put up investment depending on your chosen time frame. To tell you frankly, no one exactly knows how much you can make after 1-5 years and even 10 years investing with crypto. Only time will tell what can possible to happen when we are already right there in the situation. Also, it is just up into you on what percentage partition you would allot for Bitcoin and Altcoins depending on how you assess the market since you seems like to be showing interest on having both.

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April 10, 2021, 09:31:55 PM
 #29

Welcome aboard! Congratulations on investing in bitcoin. You have shared your past investment experiences. A return on your equity investments "8%" in an average time of four years. The price of bitcoin on December 16, 2017, was at $ 19,345.49 and today it is for $ 58,724.65 an average of 300% profit only holding bitcoin.
A long-term investment in bitcoin is the most recommended. Don't worry if the price of bitcoin falls due to a correction. Take a look at what possible happened days ago.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ninabambysheva/2021/03/15/22-billion-bitcoin-liquidation-may-have-caused-10-correction/amp/

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April 10, 2021, 09:58:37 PM
 #30

I don't know if the total amount of money you have us the your life time money, if it is, then it's not advisable to use to invest in bitcoin, study shows that a good entrepreneur is an average risk taker, I'm scared of you been a high risk profile person, but I'm happy that you are a patient person that can wait for even 10 years, that's awesome to hear.

Do you know that since 2017 that's approximately 4 years now, bitcoin price was $19,000 if you have bought it that time you would have gotten a profit of $307,000 that's huge right. If bitcoin can give that in 4 years, now let try that in the next four year if btc price be at $90k as the case may be, that would be roughly $82k , is that huge in 4 years? meaning in 10 years will be higher than that. Sure.

It's up to you to decide your investment plan., go for bitcoin alone and not altcoin, if alt, then consider investing in BNB.
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April 10, 2021, 11:39:42 PM
Last edit: April 11, 2021, 12:03:59 AM by Trixoempire
 #31

Don't put all on BTC mate..


150K is good amount I would do something like this:


50K BTC (Will be 1-5 million dollar in the next 5-10 years)
30K ETH Will  likely have better return than bitcoin
30K CARDANO can make you 50-100x within 5-10 years. good tehcnology .  many will dump eth for ada.
20K THETA
20K BNB


This is safe investment. These projects stay for the next 5 years 99%
You will get the best gains rather then just put all in in Bitcoin it has already big Market cap and low roi.
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April 11, 2021, 02:49:42 AM
 #32

50K BTC (Will be 1-5 million dollar in the next 5-10 years)
30K ETH Will  likely have better return than bitcoin
30K CARDANO can make you 50-100x within 5-10 years. good tehcnology .  many will dump eth for ada.
20K THETA
20K BNB
That is an almost perfect plan, but I suggest him to have some cash for backup just in case if the price of all the investment drops, so he can buy back at a low price. Besides that, if he can have backup money, he will see another chance to buy the other coin, so that can help him to diversify the investment and he can add more coins as the investment. But if he does not want to prepare backup money, that will not be a problem, but I hope he still has more money to cover his daily life.

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April 11, 2021, 03:29:46 AM
 #33

Don't put all on BTC mate..


150K is good amount I would do something like this:


50K BTC (Will be 1-5 million dollar in the next 5-10 years)
30K ETH Will  likely have better return than bitcoin
30K CARDANO can make you 50-100x within 5-10 years. good tehcnology .  many will dump eth for ada.
20K THETA
20K BNB


This is safe investment. These projects stay for the next 5 years 99%
You will get the best gains rather then just put all in in Bitcoin it has already big Market cap and low roi.

This sounds attractive enough but it has a glaring problem. I'd increase the BTC part to > 50%.

ETH is alright because it has a huge community of developers behind it. It will continue to attract investments.

BNB is mostly centralized and has a figurehead called CZ from Binance. He is a Chinese businessman with no qualms about crypto having a soul. His only motive is profit and he takes shrewd steps to ensure that. Essentially, it is the biggest corporate-linked crypto you can buy today.

Do not know much about THETA and CARDANO.

As far as the timing is concerned, please consider that we are in a bull run right now supported by corporates buying into BTC and DeFi run on ETH/ BNB. This is not the time to go all-in. Invest a part of it now and wait for the next crypto-winter to buy up some more.

Not financial advice. DYOR. This is a VERYYY mercenary space. People will shill you their Alts so that their own bags can pump. On Youtube, you will find videos about "New bull run coming, retail investors coming". You are the "retail investor" these people have been waiting for 3 years. So, please beware.
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April 11, 2021, 05:00:14 AM
 #34

Yes. Versus Bitcoin, a significant % of the alts had a downfall of over 90%. I'd say it's not worth it.
Exactly this.
The fact about altcoins has always been that they are ALWAYS getting dumped over the long haul. The ONLY reason why they show gains in terms of USD is because bitcoin price is rising and nothing else.
All of them are useless and majority of them either have unlimited supplies (natural inflation) or enormous supplies which does the same thing.

If bitcoin were to become stable today and remain stable for at least 6 months we would start seeing what the real bloodshed looks like in altcoin market. It should remain stable for long because for short term stability altcoins get massively pumped, for example when bitcoin stabilizes for a month people start pumping altcoins but after that the dump continues and since bitcoin price is stable the altcoin prices in both BTC and USD continues dropping. But luckily for altcoins bitcoin USD price keeps going up and it masks the fact that they are dumping against BTC by showing small gains.

Keep in mind that it would actually be a net gain in altcoins IF their price went up as much as bitcoin price did or more. But when the USD gain is smaller than BTC price rise it shows that the net gain was negative meaning they are indeed dumping.
For example if bitcoin price goes up 10% the altcoin USD price should also go up 10% (remain stable) or 11% (gain value) and higher. But when it goes up 9% or less that shows that the altcoin was actually dumped.

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April 11, 2021, 05:18:25 AM
Merited by LoyceV (4)
 #35

~
4. If I want to pursue some alt coins, and again, I have a high risk profile, what % mix would you recommend?  33% alt-coins and 66% bitcoin, or 50-50, etc? 
You will obviously get different takes on this one especially here on this forum. Since you are planning to hold for a long time, I would say put 80% to BTC while 15% to high cap altcoins of your choice and 5% to mid caps. I have a few of them in mind but I would rather let you look into them.

If I may add, you could also play with altcoins for short term and move them back to BTC (making your port 100%). Many altcoins are performing better than bitcoin in USD value and also doing well against BTC but that trend won't last long. It could end in six months time.
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April 11, 2021, 08:38:17 AM
 #36

~snip~
This is safe investment.
Allow me to add a warning here: don't believe anyone who tells you an investment is safe! There is no "safe" on the stock market, and there definitely is no "safe" in crypto!

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April 11, 2021, 08:57:07 AM
 #37

There is absolutely no problem having a high risk portfolio, but your exposure to high risk should not exceed 30% of your total portfolio. I would never give anyone advice to tell them to go "all-in" on Crypto currencies on their whole portfolio, because that would just be reckless.

This coming from someone who invested 30% of my investment funds in Bitcoin when the price was still $300+ ..... my gains since then has been phenomenal and I will never regret not going in with my whole portfolio. (The urge to sell, grow when you risk more... If I did invest everything, I would have probably exited years ago)  Roll Eyes

Be responsible ..... Go 30% and no more, sell and profit and buy more then.  Wink

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April 11, 2021, 12:26:18 PM
 #38

Possible to get 10x or even more. It's not something you can't reach since you are talking about crypto and more specifically bitcoin. Weeks ago my friend started with a few bucks and I got more than 30x by only trading bitcoin. You can have your own strategy and stick to it. For example, if you want to buy and sell bitcoins weekly/daily to increase the number of your bitcoins that would be very much risky but if you want to just hold bitcoin and aim for the long term you can have safe profits in long term. Generally, I suggest you to have a plan and stick to your strategy that's how the market gives you the reward.

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April 11, 2021, 01:01:13 PM
Merited by LoyceV (4)
 #39

Having 9 years of experience in cryptocurrency sector, I would like to point out two things (which you may or may not listen to). First of all, going for long term hold doesn't mean that you need to hold 100% of your coins until 2031. You should be having incremental targets and small amounts of coins can be sold once these targets are achieved. And secondly, I am not a big fan of altcoins from my experience with them during the last decade. I would suggest splitting your investment in a 80-20 ratio (BTC - 80%, alt - 20%), or even a 90-10 ratio. While investing in altcoins, always go for coins that have real life usage and high liquidity.
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April 11, 2021, 01:25:49 PM
 #40

1.  Starting today on April 10, 2021 if I invested 150k in bitcoin, how much do the gurus expect me to have in 1, 2, 5, and 10 years?  Like would any idiot who just invested today and didn't sell expect a 5x increase within the next 10 years?

Yes, sure. Most of us in this forum believe that Bitcoin will be much higher than $300k in the next ten years. If you stay for a while in the forum you will see it and will see the reasons why. There are also many people who have had Bitcoin for a long time, and have multiplied their holdings by much more than 5X.

2.  I would use dollar cost averaging, but over what time horizon?  Invest 150k over the next six months?  Or just invest it all today since we all know it's going up?

DCA is simply to stay calm. If you can psychologically withstand a sharp drop in the market, better lump sum, if not, DCA.

3.  I could withdraw the old retirement fund and get the initial investment up to 300k.  Would you go all in using that?  I would not have much of a backup plan for retirement if this is the case, but like I said I have a high risk profile.  I do believe this is once in a lifetime.

Not at all. If you hear Michael Saylor, you will end up doing that and taking a mortgage on your already paid for house to invest in Bitcoin, but I think you have to apply a precautionary principle and diversify, no matter how much most of us here believe that Bitcoin will remain the most profitable asset over the next decade.

4. If I want to pursue some alt coins, and again, I have a high risk profile, what % mix would you recommend?  33% alt-coins and 66% bitcoin, or 50-50, etc? 

Fuck shitcoins! If you want to diversify a little, put like 90% in Bitcoin and play roulette with the other 10%.

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