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Author Topic: Tips on how to place sports bets  (Read 546 times)
KTChampions
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April 17, 2021, 07:35:07 PM
 #61

My idea is that by collecting and analyzing information about the club and the players, we can get some information about their chances and if we are super successful in this, we can beat the bookmaker (theoretically), but this is not a strategy in the conventional sense this word. The strategy is very versatile, which can be applied in different conditions and should lead to approximately the same result. There is nothing like this in betting.

and remember, betting in sports, if you are truly familiar with such sport, has better chance of winning. rather than playing those luck-based games. if you breath and live a particular sport, you will know the potential of the club/players when they are already on the field. so the chance of winning is higher. this is why there are a lot that can make a living via sportsbetting.

By the way, I read the twitter of a former tennis pro - Kafelnikov, and sometimes he gives predictions for various sporting events (mainly tennis, but not only) and he turns out to be right very often. I have not checked how much stronger his predictions are from the bookmakers, but at first glance, he could beat them.

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April 18, 2021, 05:11:54 AM
 #62

My idea is that by collecting and analyzing information about the club and the players, we can get some information about their chances and if we are super successful in this, we can beat the bookmaker (theoretically), but this is not a strategy in the conventional sense this word. The strategy is very versatile, which can be applied in different conditions and should lead to approximately the same result. There is nothing like this in betting.

and remember, betting in sports, if you are truly familiar with such sport, has better chance of winning. rather than playing those luck-based games. if you breath and live a particular sport, you will know the potential of the club/players when they are already on the field. so the chance of winning is higher. this is why there are a lot that can make a living via sportsbetting.

By the way, I read the twitter of a former tennis pro - Kafelnikov, and sometimes he gives predictions for various sporting events (mainly tennis, but not only) and he turns out to be right very often. I have not checked how much stronger his predictions are from the bookmakers, but at first glance, he could beat them.
There are certain people giving perfect prediction on the outcome of the game. We don't know whether it is some sort of coincidence or it is the result predicted after hard analysis. It is always a good choice to follow these people before making bets. Myself used to check with different sites and place the bets based on the winning probability for the match made based on viewers thought.

KTChampions
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April 18, 2021, 10:24:21 PM
 #63

By the way, I read the twitter of a former tennis pro - Kafelnikov, and sometimes he gives predictions for various sporting events (mainly tennis, but not only) and he turns out to be right very often. I have not checked how much stronger his predictions are from the bookmakers, but at first glance, he could beat them.
There are certain people giving perfect prediction on the outcome of the game. We don't know whether it is some sort of coincidence or it is the result predicted after hard analysis. It is always a good choice to follow these people before making bets. Myself used to check with different sites and place the bets based on the winning probability for the match made based on viewers thought.

I don't trust any of the professional forecasters - they only advertise themselves or some courses or sell the "right" bets, this is an information business on a gullible audience. Kafelnikov interested me by the fact that he does it just for the sake of entertainment and his predictions surprise with the percentage of correct guesses.

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April 18, 2021, 10:46:29 PM
 #64

There are certain people giving perfect prediction on the outcome of the game. We don't know whether it is some sort of coincidence or it is the result predicted after hard analysis. It is always a good choice to follow these people before making bets. Myself used to check with different sites and place the bets based on the winning probability for the match made based on viewers thought.
I long stop following predictions from anyone whenever I do bet, it's just sometimes it's not for me that I don't even win or whenever I follow them I just don't win, it will better to trust instincts and research about the team or players to really win. When there is a chance to watch previous games of both contender that's the only time we can decide even we hear or read predictions of what may happen on the game.

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April 19, 2021, 09:07:11 AM
 #65

There are certain people giving perfect prediction on the outcome of the game. We don't know whether it is some sort of coincidence or it is the result predicted after hard analysis. It is always a good choice to follow these people before making bets. Myself used to check with different sites and place the bets based on the winning probability for the match made based on viewers thought.
I long stop following predictions from anyone whenever I do bet, it's just sometimes it's not for me that I don't even win or whenever I follow them I just don't win, it will better to trust instincts and research about the team or players to really win. When there is a chance to watch previous games of both contender that's the only time we can decide even we hear or read predictions of what may happen on the game.

If you bet on the viewers thought you may win more often than you lose, but the payouts are probably very little if you always go with the opinion of the majority.

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April 19, 2021, 09:21:25 AM
 #66

There are certain people giving perfect prediction on the outcome of the game. We don't know whether it is some sort of coincidence or it is the result predicted after hard analysis. It is always a good choice to follow these people before making bets. Myself used to check with different sites and place the bets based on the winning probability for the match made based on viewers thought.
I long stop following predictions from anyone whenever I do bet, it's just sometimes it's not for me that I don't even win or whenever I follow them I just don't win, it will better to trust instincts and research about the team or players to really win. When there is a chance to watch previous games of both contender that's the only time we can decide even we hear or read predictions of what may happen on the game.

If you bet on the viewers thought you may win more often than you lose, but the payouts are probably very little if you always go with the opinion of the majority.
But it is more winnable when you are betting towards your Instinct ..

I also love betting in Low odds because i am looking for more Higher winning..









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April 19, 2021, 04:54:53 PM
 #67

By the way, I read the twitter of a former tennis pro - Kafelnikov, and sometimes he gives predictions for various sporting events (mainly tennis, but not only) and he turns out to be right very often. I have not checked how much stronger his predictions are from the bookmakers, but at first glance, he could beat them.

This is another good point, there are people out there who are above average at selecting winners. It's a slightly self defeating idea in some ways however, because if they are really that good at predicting outcomes then A) they would likely just make it into a profitable career and keep their ideas to themselves or b) be found by bookmakers who would take their long term winning streaks into consideration when determining fair odds. We all need to remember that bookmakers are using some of the most sophisticated prediction software, with decades worth of historical analysis, when automatically pricing and updating the bets they will take - with a margin of safety added on top. However, if you are content and willing to grind out low profits across many bets, this kind of strategy might work - just make sure you track the profitability outcome over time.

R


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April 20, 2021, 06:20:11 AM
 #68

There are certain people giving perfect prediction on the outcome of the game. We don't know whether it is some sort of coincidence or it is the result predicted after hard analysis. It is always a good choice to follow these people before making bets. Myself used to check with different sites and place the bets based on the winning probability for the match made based on viewers thought.
I long stop following predictions from anyone whenever I do bet, it's just sometimes it's not for me that I don't even win or whenever I follow them I just don't win, it will better to trust instincts and research about the team or players to really win. When there is a chance to watch previous games of both contender that's the only time we can decide even we hear or read predictions of what may happen on the game.

If you bet on the viewers thought you may win more often than you lose, but the payouts are probably very little if you always go with the opinion of the majority.
But it is more winnable when you are betting towards your Instinct ..

I also love betting in Low odds because i am looking for more Higher winning..

Instinct in betting is not necessarily the best way to go about it. Sometimes yes, but you can easily confuse instinct with luck. If you think in soccer there will be a corner in the first 5 minutes for the home team and it happens, would you call it instinct or luck?

Sometimes the in game situation gives you a certain feeling, I think that is what you mean. Need to be brave enough then though to eventually place the bet!

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April 22, 2021, 08:24:22 PM
 #69

By the way, I read the twitter of a former tennis pro - Kafelnikov, and sometimes he gives predictions for various sporting events (mainly tennis, but not only) and he turns out to be right very often. I have not checked how much stronger his predictions are from the bookmakers, but at first glance, he could beat them.

This is another good point, there are people out there who are above average at selecting winners. It's a slightly self defeating idea in some ways however, because if they are really that good at predicting outcomes then A) they would likely just make it into a profitable career and keep their ideas to themselves or b) be found by bookmakers who would take their long term winning streaks into consideration when determining fair odds. We all need to remember that bookmakers are using some of the most sophisticated prediction software, with decades worth of historical analysis, when automatically pricing and updating the bets they will take - with a margin of safety added on top. However, if you are content and willing to grind out low profits across many bets, this kind of strategy might work - just make sure you track the profitability outcome over time.

Yes, I understand that due to the mathematical advantage over the long distance, the coolest player will most likely lose to the bookmaker, but apparently there are segments when a person is maximally involved in a certain sport and can calculate the odds more accurately than the bookmaker. And by the way, we all know that any software sometimes makes dramatic mistakes, so a person always has a chance (not at a distance, but at separate intervals).

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