It's the pace of the rise while allowing for normal market movements, not absolute values.
Oh btw I estimate now that 3 has noteworthy support, at least according to bitcoinca candlestick charts. "hammered in". But that support depends upon the pace of further upside. If we shoot up again in a hyperbolic move we could swing back below it.
I have not seen or ever used bitcoinica but I am guessing the candlestick charts are much like those on bitcoincharts. I am glad you are on board with the $3 support now though. It has been a hard ride trying to convince you. I am not hoping for a hyperbolic move either... at least not until i get my hands on a significant quantity of bitcoin lol. If we hit $20 again you are probably right about going back down again but if we hit such a parabolic high the new low might still only be $3 or 4. I still think the $3-$4 range is where bitcoins belong though. Only time will tell.
Since you and Im sure other skeptics have now changed their minds should I reset the poll? I am considering it.