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Author Topic: Summer dip?!, December price outcome? ---> JOIN and guess the price GO!  (Read 7083 times)
El duderino_ (OP)
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June 26, 2021, 08:07:17 PM
Last edit: October 20, 2021, 01:09:38 PM by El duderino_
Merited by klarki (11), Welsh (10), 1miau (10), Phil_S (10), LoyceV (8), malevolent (7), Mbitr (6), theymos (5), cygan (5), hosseinimr93 (5), shahzadafzal (5), DdmrDdmr (4), Charles-Tim (4), LFC_Bitcoin (3), pooya87 (3), Quickseller (3), bitmover (3), Tytanowy Janusz (3), Nomad88 (3), cabalism13 (3), Buchi-88 (2), buwaytress (2), Farma (2), $crypto$ (2), o_e_l_e_o (2), fillippone (2), Upgrade00 (2), poptok1 (2), PrimeNumber7 (2), vapourminer (1), philipma1957 (1), JayJuanGee (1), babo (1), SFR10 (1), Lafu (1), sheenshane (1), Bthd (1), goldkingcoiner (1), ivomm (1), dragonvslinux (1), BTCLiz (1), Kylapoiss (1)
 #1

Mods: theymos gave permission to keep this topic in Speculation. Please don't move it.



Summer dip, December 7th Game

what will the price be on December 7th  ......  00.00 CET  December 7th "2021"

The one guessing closest to the end price of that given date..... Wins 0.077BTC from me  (⬅ winner takes that price )

-You can give your price prediction until: 10-07(July)-2021  13.00 CET

-to participate you must HAVE 250 EARNED MERIT and at least 100 ACTIVITY

-(once the price is on the LIST, it cannot be changed anymore, so think deep very DEEP before adding on Roll Eyes )

-BITSTAMP PRICE to be clear!!!

I want to reach persons who cares to share there thinking reasoning, could be enjoyable for more people to read and maybe learn from... So to participate there must be somekind of effort why the price is chosen...

---> As I hope some fellow sources are not gonna let some good effort, thoughts, TA, reasonings  go by unnoticed... Grin


^I like this photo which crossed my path and want the game a bit following the ?  Cool

I also want to protect some peoples guesses so therefore more MERIT needed. I want every member to have 2% margin for there guess, so it can't be closely "surrounded" by other guesses.



See LoyceV's post for the fine print.



  https://shahzadafzal.github.io/bitciontalk-summer-game-winner-dec-2021.html

XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!!  Thanks Bro
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LoyceV
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June 26, 2021, 08:07:48 PM
Last edit: June 27, 2021, 12:26:15 PM by LoyceV
Merited by El duderino_ (10), hosseinimr93 (5), Mbitr (5), malevolent (4), 1miau (4), pooya87 (3), Buchi-88 (2), DdmrDdmr (2), bitmover (2), o_e_l_e_o (2), Tytanowy Janusz (2), vapourminer (1), philipma1957 (1), JayJuanGee (1), LFC_Bitcoin (1), Bthd (1), Nomad88 (1), shahzadafzal (1)
 #2

El duderino_ asked me to keep track of all predictions, and play "bad cop" by adding a fine print: I can reject anyone who I think did not earn his Merit. Example: this guy got most of his Merit by abusing the system. If I reject someone, I'll post my reasoning for doing so.
But it's El duderino_'s game, so he gets to be "good cop". El duderino_ can overrule any of my rejections by allowing the user to join anyway.

Users with negative feedback or trust flags may be rejected or allowed, depending on circumstances.

Please don't post "Reserved", just post when you're ready to make a prediction. First come, first served!

Your prediction should be one amount in whole dollars (if you post cents, they gets truncated). Don't forget to explain your reasoning behind your prediction, that's a requirement for this game.
There's a 2% "box" per prediction. Only one prediction per box within each range:
Code:
1. $500.00 - $509.99
2. $510.00 - $520.19
3. $520.20 - $530.59
4. $530.60 - $541.21
5. $541.22 - $552.03
6. $552.04 - $563.07
7. $563.08 - $574.33
8. $574.34 - $585.82
9. $585.83 - $597.54
10. $597.55 - $609.49
11. $609.50 - $621.68
12. $621.69 - $634.11
13. $634.12 - $646.79
14. $646.80 - $659.73
15. $659.74 - $672.92
16. $672.93 - $686.38
17. $686.39 - $700.11
18. $700.12 - $714.11
19. $714.12 - $728.40
20. $728.41 - $742.96
21. $742.97 - $757.82
22. $757.83 - $772.98
23. $772.99 - $788.44
24. $788.45 - $804.21
25. $804.22 - $820.29
26. $820.30 - $836.70
27. $836.71 - $853.43
28. $853.44 - $870.50
29. $870.51 - $887.91
30. $887.92 - $905.67
31. $905.68 - $923.78
32. $923.79 - $942.26
33. $942.27 - $961.11
34. $961.12 - $980.33
35. $980.34 - $999.93
36. $999.94 - $1,019.93
37. $1,019.94 - $1,040.33
38. $1,040.34 - $1,061.14
39. $1,061.15 - $1,082.36
40. $1,082.37 - $1,104.01
41. $1,104.02 - $1,126.09
42. $1,126.10 - $1,148.61
43. $1,148.62 - $1,171.58
44. $1,171.59 - $1,195.02
45. $1,195.03 - $1,218.92
46. $1,218.93 - $1,243.30
47. $1,243.31 - $1,268.16
48. $1,268.17 - $1,293.53
49. $1,293.54 - $1,319.40
50. $1,319.41 - $1,345.78
51. $1,345.79 - $1,372.70
52. $1,372.71 - $1,400.15
53. $1,400.16 - $1,428.16
54. $1,428.17 - $1,456.72
55. $1,456.73 - $1,485.86
56. $1,485.87 - $1,515.57
57. $1,515.58 - $1,545.88
58. $1,545.89 - $1,576.80
59. $1,576.81 - $1,608.34
60. $1,608.35 - $1,640.51
61. $1,640.52 - $1,673.32
62. $1,673.33 - $1,706.78
63. $1,706.79 - $1,740.92
64. $1,740.93 - $1,775.74
65. $1,775.75 - $1,811.25
66. $1,811.26 - $1,847.48
67. $1,847.49 - $1,884.43
68. $1,884.44 - $1,922.12
69. $1,922.13 - $1,960.56
70. $1,960.57 - $1,999.77
71. $1,999.78 - $2,039.76
72. $2,039.77 - $2,080.56
73. $2,080.57 - $2,122.17
74. $2,122.18 - $2,164.62
75. $2,164.63 - $2,207.91
76. $2,207.92 - $2,252.07
77. $2,252.08 - $2,297.11
78. $2,297.12 - $2,343.05
79. $2,343.06 - $2,389.91
80. $2,389.92 - $2,437.71
81. $2,437.72 - $2,486.46
82. $2,486.47 - $2,536.19
83. $2,536.20 - $2,586.92
84. $2,586.93 - $2,638.66
85. $2,638.67 - $2,691.43
86. $2,691.44 - $2,745.26
87. $2,745.27 - $2,800.16
88. $2,800.17 - $2,856.17
89. $2,856.18 - $2,913.29
90. $2,913.30 - $2,971.56
91. $2,971.57 - $3,030.99
92. $3,031.00 - $3,091.61
93. $3,091.62 - $3,153.44
94. $3,153.45 - $3,216.51
95. $3,216.52 - $3,280.84
96. $3,280.85 - $3,346.46
97. $3,346.47 - $3,413.39
98. $3,413.40 - $3,481.65
99. $3,481.66 - $3,551.29
100. $3,551.30 - $3,622.31
101. $3,622.32 - $3,694.76
102. $3,694.77 - $3,768.65
103. $3,768.66 - $3,844.03
104. $3,844.04 - $3,920.91
105. $3,920.92 - $3,999.33
106. $3,999.34 - $4,079.31
107. $4,079.32 - $4,160.90
108. $4,160.91 - $4,244.12
109. $4,244.13 - $4,329.00
110. $4,329.01 - $4,415.58
111. $4,415.59 - $4,503.89
112. $4,503.90 - $4,593.97
113. $4,593.98 - $4,685.85
114. $4,685.86 - $4,779.57
115. $4,779.58 - $4,875.16
116. $4,875.17 - $4,972.66
117. $4,972.67 - $5,072.12
118. $5,072.13 - $5,173.56
119. $5,173.57 - $5,277.03
120. $5,277.04 - $5,382.57
121. $5,382.58 - $5,490.22
122. $5,490.23 - $5,600.03
123. $5,600.04 - $5,712.03
124. $5,712.04 - $5,826.27
125. $5,826.28 - $5,942.79
126. $5,942.80 - $6,061.65
127. $6,061.66 - $6,182.88
128. $6,182.89 - $6,306.54
129. $6,306.55 - $6,432.67
130. $6,432.68 - $6,561.33
131. $6,561.34 - $6,692.55
132. $6,692.56 - $6,826.40
133. $6,826.41 - $6,962.93
134. $6,962.94 - $7,102.19
135. $7,102.20 - $7,244.24
136. $7,244.25 - $7,389.12
137. $7,389.13 - $7,536.90
138. $7,536.91 - $7,687.64
139. $7,687.65 - $7,841.39
140. $7,841.40 - $7,998.22
141. $7,998.23 - $8,158.19
142. $8,158.20 - $8,321.35
143. $8,321.36 - $8,487.78
144. $8,487.79 - $8,657.53
145. $8,657.54 - $8,830.69
146. $8,830.70 - $9,007.30
147. $9,007.31 - $9,187.45
148. $9,187.46 - $9,371.19
149. $9,371.20 - $9,558.62
150. $9,558.63 - $9,749.79
151. $9,749.80 - $9,944.79
152. $9,944.80 - $10,143.68
153. $10,143.69 - $10,346.56
154. $10,346.57 - $10,553.49
155. $10,553.50 - $10,764.56
156. $10,764.57 - $10,979.85
157. $10,979.86 - $11,199.45
158. $11,199.46 - $11,423.44
159. $11,423.45 - $11,651.91
160. $11,651.92 - $11,884.94
161. $11,884.95 - $12,122.64
162. $12,122.65 - $12,365.10
163. $12,365.11 - $12,612.40
164. $12,612.41 - $12,864.65
165. $12,864.66 - $13,121.94
166. $13,121.95 - $13,384.38
167. $13,384.39 - $13,652.07
168. $13,652.08 - $13,925.11
169. $13,925.12 - $14,203.61
170. $14,203.62 - $14,487.68
171. $14,487.69 - $14,777.44
172. $14,777.45 - $15,072.98
173. $15,072.99 - $15,374.44
174. $15,374.45 - $15,681.93
175. $15,681.94 - $15,995.57
176. $15,995.58 - $16,315.48
177. $16,315.49 - $16,641.79
178. $16,641.80 - $16,974.63
179. $16,974.64 - $17,314.12
180. $17,314.13 - $17,660.41
181. $17,660.42 - $18,013.61
182. $18,013.62 - $18,373.89
183. $18,373.90 - $18,741.36
184. $18,741.37 - $19,116.19
185. $19,116.20 - $19,498.52
186. $19,498.53 - $19,888.49
187. $19,888.50 - $20,286.26
188. $20,286.27 - $20,691.98
189. $20,691.99 - $21,105.82
190. $21,105.83 - $21,527.94
191. $21,527.95 - $21,958.50
192. $21,958.51 - $22,397.67
193. $22,397.68 - $22,845.62
194. $22,845.63 - $23,302.53
195. $23,302.54 - $23,768.58
196. $23,768.59 - $24,243.96
197. $24,243.97 - $24,728.84
198. $24,728.85 - $25,223.41
199. $25,223.42 - $25,727.88
200. $25,727.89 - $26,242.44
201. $26,242.45 - $26,767.29
202. $26,767.30 - $27,302.63
203. $27,302.64 - $27,848.69
204. $27,848.70 - $28,405.66
205. $28,405.67 - $28,973.77
206. $28,973.78 - $29,553.25
207. $29,553.26 - $30,144.31
208. $30,144.32 - $30,747.20
209. $30,747.21 - $31,362.15
210. $31,362.16 - $31,989.39
211. $31,989.40 - $32,629.18
212. $32,629.19 - $33,281.76
213. $33,281.77 - $33,947.40
214. $33,947.41 - $34,626.34
215. $34,626.35 - $35,318.87
216. $35,318.88 - $36,025.25
217. $36,025.26 - $36,745.75
218. $36,745.76 - $37,480.67
219. $37,480.68 - $38,230.28
220. $38,230.29 - $38,994.89
221. $38,994.90 - $39,774.79
222. $39,774.80 - $40,570.28
223. $40,570.29 - $41,381.69
224. $41,381.70 - $42,209.32
225. $42,209.33 - $43,053.51
226. $43,053.52 - $43,914.58
227. $43,914.59 - $44,792.87
228. $44,792.88 - $45,688.73
229. $45,688.74 - $46,602.50
230. $46,602.51 - $47,534.55
231. $47,534.56 - $48,485.24
232. $48,485.25 - $49,454.95
233. $49,454.96 - $50,444.05
234. $50,444.06 - $51,452.93
235. $51,452.94 - $52,481.99
236. $52,482.00 - $53,531.63
237. $53,531.64 - $54,602.26
238. $54,602.27 - $55,694.31
239. $55,694.32 - $56,808.19
240. $56,808.20 - $57,944.36
241. $57,944.37 - $59,103.24
242. $59,103.25 - $60,285.31
243. $60,285.32 - $61,491.02
244. $61,491.03 - $62,720.84
245. $62,720.85 - $63,975.25
246. $63,975.26 - $65,254.76
247. $65,254.77 - $66,559.85
248. $66,559.86 - $67,891.05
249. $67,891.06 - $69,248.87
250. $69,248.88 - $70,633.85
251. $70,633.86 - $72,046.53
252. $72,046.54 - $73,487.46
253. $73,487.47 - $74,957.21
254. $74,957.22 - $76,456.35
255. $76,456.36 - $77,985.48
256. $77,985.49 - $79,545.19
257. $79,545.20 - $81,136.09
258. $81,136.10 - $82,758.82
259. $82,758.83 - $84,413.99
260. $84,414.00 - $86,102.27
261. $86,102.28 - $87,824.32
262. $87,824.33 - $89,580.80
263. $89,580.81 - $91,372.42
264. $91,372.43 - $93,199.87
265. $93,199.88 - $95,063.87
266. $95,063.88 - $96,965.14
267. $96,965.15 - $98,904.45
268. $98,904.46 - $100,882.54
269. $100,882.55 - $102,900.19
270. $102,900.20 - $104,958.19
271. $104,958.20 - $107,057.36
272. $107,057.37 - $109,198.50
273. $109,198.51 - $111,382.47
274. $111,382.48 - $113,610.12
275. $113,610.13 - $115,882.33
276. $115,882.34 - $118,199.97
277. $118,199.98 - $120,563.97
278. $120,563.98 - $122,975.25
279. $122,975.26 - $125,434.76
280. $125,434.77 - $127,943.45
281. $127,943.46 - $130,502.32
282. $130,502.33 - $133,112.37
283. $133,112.38 - $135,774.62
284. $135,774.63 - $138,490.11
285. $138,490.12 - $141,259.91
286. $141,259.92 - $144,085.11
287. $144,085.12 - $146,966.81
288. $146,966.82 - $149,906.15
289. $149,906.16 - $152,904.27
290. $152,904.28 - $155,962.36
291. $155,962.37 - $159,081.60
292. $159,081.61 - $162,263.24
293. $162,263.25 - $165,508.50
294. $165,508.51 - $168,818.67
295. $168,818.68 - $172,195.04
296. $172,195.05 - $175,638.95
297. $175,638.96 - $179,151.72
298. $179,151.73 - $182,734.76
299. $182,734.77 - $186,389.45
300. $186,389.46 - $190,117.24
301. $190,117.25 - $193,919.59
302. $193,919.60 - $197,797.98
303. $197,797.99 - $201,753.94
304. $201,753.95 - $205,789.02
305. $205,789.03 - $209,904.80
306. $209,904.81 - $214,102.90
307. $214,102.91 - $218,384.95
308. $218,384.96 - $222,752.65
309. $222,752.66 - $227,207.71
310. $227,207.72 - $231,751.86
311. $231,751.87 - $236,386.90
312. $236,386.91 - $241,114.64
313. $241,114.65 - $245,936.93
314. $245,936.94 - $250,855.67
315. $250,855.68 - $255,872.78
316. $255,872.79 - $260,990.24
317. $260,990.25 - $266,210.04
318. $266,210.05 - $271,534.24
319. $271,534.25 - $276,964.93
320. $276,964.94 - $282,504.23
321. $282,504.24 - $288,154.31
322. $288,154.32 - $293,917.40
323. $293,917.41 - $299,795.75
324. $299,795.76 - $305,791.66
325. $305,791.67 - $311,907.50
326. $311,907.51 - $318,145.65
327. $318,145.66 - $324,508.56
328. $324,508.57 - $330,998.73
329. $330,998.74 - $337,618.71
330. $337,618.72 - $344,371.08
331. $344,371.09 - $351,258.50
332. $351,258.51 - $358,283.67
333. $358,283.68 - $365,449.35
334. $365,449.36 - $372,758.33
335. $372,758.34 - $380,213.50
336. $380,213.51 - $387,817.77
337. $387,817.78 - $395,574.13
338. $395,574.14 - $403,485.61
339. $403,485.62 - $411,555.32
340. $411,555.33 - $419,786.43
341. $419,786.44 - $428,182.16
342. $428,182.17 - $436,745.80
343. $436,745.81 - $445,480.72
344. $445,480.73 - $454,390.33
345. $454,390.34 - $463,478.14
346. $463,478.15 - $472,747.70
347. $472,747.71 - $482,202.65
348. $482,202.66 - $491,846.71
349. $491,846.72 - $501,683.64
350. $501,683.65 - $511,717.32
351. $511,717.33 - $521,951.66
352. $521,951.67 - $532,390.70
353. $532,390.71 - $543,038.51
354. $543,038.52 - $553,899.28
355. $553,899.29 - $564,977.27
356. $564,977.28 - $576,276.81
357. $576,276.82 - $587,802.35
358. $587,802.36 - $599,558.39
359. $599,558.40 - $611,549.56
360. $611,549.57 - $623,780.55
361. $623,780.56 - $636,256.17
362. $636,256.18 - $648,981.29
363. $648,981.30 - $661,960.91
364. $661,960.92 - $675,200.13
365. $675,200.14 - $688,704.14
366. $688,704.15 - $702,478.22
367. $702,478.23 - $716,527.78
368. $716,527.79 - $730,858.34
369. $730,858.35 - $745,475.51
370. $745,475.52 - $760,385.02
371. $760,385.03 - $775,592.72
372. $775,592.73 - $791,104.57
373. $791,104.58 - $806,926.66
374. $806,926.67 - $823,065.20
375. $823,065.21 - $839,526.50
376. $839,526.51 - $856,317.03
377. $856,317.04 - $873,443.37
378. $873,443.38 - $890,912.24
379. $890,912.25 - $908,730.48
380. $908,730.49 - $926,905.09
381. $926,905.10 - $945,443.20
382. $945,443.21 - $964,352.06
383. $964,352.07 - $983,639.10
384. $983,639.11 - $1,003,311.88

You can still predict any price you want, your guess does not claim the entire 2% "box". The 2% is only meant to evenly spread out predictions, the "2% boxes" will be ignored when deciding who's closest to the winning price.
Example: User A predicts $505. User B predicts $512. If the Bitcoin price when the game ends is $509.35, User B is the winner.

If you're crazy enough to predict under $500 or above $1,003,311.88, the 2% distance rule no longer applies. Those are uncharted territories.

No alt accounts allowed! El duderino_ organizes very generous giveaways for the community. Please play nice.

I'm mentioning all users with at least 250 earned Merit (data from last week) so if they use a bot for it, they'll receive a notification about this topic:
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Good luck!

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June 26, 2021, 08:08:02 PM
Last edit: July 10, 2021, 12:39:23 PM by LoyceV
Merited by DdmrDdmr (3), philipma1957 (1)
 #3

Prediction overview

158. $12,200 PrimeNumber7
171. $14,687 wwzsocki
175. $15,800 sabotag3x
188. $20,500 mu_enrico
192. $22,000 Ratimov
193. $22,580 Buchi-88
195. $23,500 0x256 (second post)
197. $24,317 icopress
200. $26,242 Charles-Tim
204. $28,000 1miau
207. $29,792 Captain-Cryptory
208. $30,746 bakasabo
209. $31,342 poptok1
210. $31,500 bullrun2020bro
211. $32,339 ivomm (second part)
214. $34,200 Smartprofit
216. $35,500 Koal-84
217. $36,700 soliton
218. $37,000 malevolent
219. $38,000 sheenshane
222. $39,997 $crypto$
223. $40,975 Coin-1
224. $42,042 Hhampuz
225. $43,000 Globb0 (second part)
226. $43,210 o_e_l_e_o
227. $44,444 BTCLiz
228. $45,666 STT
229. $46,464 Icygreen
230. $47,500 goldkingcoiner
231. $47,777 bitebits
232. $48,999 DdmrDdmr
233. $50,000 JanEmil
234. $51,000 Mbitr
235. $52,000 shahzadafzal
236. $53,300 Tytanowy Janusz
237. $54,545 mole0815
238. $54,666 mikeywith
239. $55,700 Lafu
240. $57,777 Kylapoiss
241. $58,683 Altryist
242. $60,000 vapourminer
245. $63,000 bct_ail
246. $64,935 xhomerx10
247. $65,430 alegotardo
248. $66,666 Hueristic
249. $68,655 tweetious
250. $70,000 philipma1957
251. $72,046 theymos
252. $72,435 cygan
253. $73,500 yhiaali3
254. $74,991 willi9974
255. $77,217 witcher_sense
256. $78,483 -doubleU-
257. $80,000 AlcoHoDL
258. $82,212 MinoRaiola
259. $84,400 SFR10
260. $86,000 LFC_Bitcoin
261. $86,888 psycodad
262. $88,888 Vispilio
263. $90,001 babo
264. $93,013 Nomad88 (first post in 5 months)
265. $94,199 nelson4lov
266. $96,000 tranthidung
267. $97,988 Bthd
268. $98,989 aoluain
269. $102,345 buwaytress
271. $105,000 hosseinimr93
272. $108,633 Upgrade00
273. $110,262 fillippone
274. $112,124 mocacinno
275. $114,500 strawbs
276. $116,195 xandry
277. $120,001 Wekkel
278. $120,666 d_eddie
281. $128,218 NeuroticFish
282. $132,000 Phil_S
286. $143,220 HairyMaclairy
289. $152,904 Dabs
297. $178,845 LoyceV
299. $183,000 DeathAngel
309. $225,309 Arriemoller
321. $288,000 marcus_of_augustus
324. $300,500 CryptopreneurBrainboss
326. $315,000 kurious
329. $333,333 Wind_FURY
341. $420,000 pooya87

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June 26, 2021, 08:13:28 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (3)
 #4

I think the price will be at $50000
We hyped to get to ATH high. When we go to up next time it will be more solid. I think ATH will be end year. December 7th will be around $50k

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June 26, 2021, 08:19:48 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (3)
 #5

Such a generous dude, thanks.

I’m going to say $86,000. I’m hoping we repeat the 2013 bull run so we’ve seen the big, mid cycle dip. I hope we slowly start to climb before a massive blow off top of about $200,000 but my December 7th prediction is $86,000.

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June 26, 2021, 08:22:24 PM
Last edit: June 26, 2021, 08:41:50 PM by poptok1
Merited by El duderino_ (3)
 #6

$31,342.13 and if I understood correctly that would be box 209.
Thanks for running this!

edit:
My reasoning: Some time ago i was shocked to discover that despite all the volatility, bitcoin remains the most stable asset ever to exist, surpassing (slightly) even that of gold. Some mental gymnastic is necessary to get to this conclusion, nevertheless with some technical analysis techniques not so hard to notice. I think that some serious price spike awaits us very soon and, like every year around x-mas, price will drop again, to settle on that prediction given.

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June 26, 2021, 08:24:14 PM
Last edit: June 29, 2021, 07:07:10 PM by jojo69
 #7

$87,450


This is not some pseudoeconomic post-modern Libertarian cult, it's an un-led, crowd-sourced mega startup organized around mutual self-interest where problems, whether of the theoretical or purely practical variety, are treated as temporary and, ultimately, solvable.
Censorship of e-gold was easy. Censorship of Bitcoin will be… entertaining.
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June 26, 2021, 08:24:39 PM
 #8

Thank you the dude.

Stand by to receive data..........
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June 26, 2021, 08:25:10 PM
Last edit: June 26, 2021, 09:59:23 PM by LoyceV
 #9

$31,342.13 and if I understood correctly that would be box 209.
Decimals get ignored. I'm not sure yet if predictions without reasoning behind it are allowed. I'll ask El duderino_.
Update: See below: tell us why!

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June 26, 2021, 08:27:39 PM
Merited by LoyceV (4), Hueristic (1)
 #10

$31,342.13 and if I understood correctly that would be box 209.
Decimals get ignored. I'm not sure yet if predictions without reasoning behind it are allowed. I'll ask El duderino_.

I want to reach persons who cares to share there thinking reasoning, could be enjoyable for more people to read and maybe learn from... So to participate there must be somekind of effort why the price is chosen...

To participate there MUST be ......


XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!!  Thanks Bro
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June 26, 2021, 08:32:08 PM
Last edit: June 26, 2021, 08:48:33 PM by witcher_sense
Merited by El duderino_ (3)
 #11

I am pretty sure Bitcoin will be at 77217$.

EDIT: My prediction is mostly based on Stock-to-flow model by PlanB because this is the only model that should work in the long-term horizon. I also multiplied the price predicted by that model by the coefficient I calculated empirically. I also used witcher senses to make sure I predicted correctly.

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buwaytress
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June 26, 2021, 08:32:47 PM
Last edit: June 27, 2021, 11:25:08 AM by buwaytress
Merited by El duderino_ (5)
 #12

Thank you duderino, haven't played this in a long time (and thanks for the tag Loyce, that's precisely how I saw this, via notification!). Can't squeeze any more merits to give, but I won't forget!

I've always played this with a bit of overestimation, but

Box 269. $102,345 -- edited from Box 270

is my pick. And here's my pretend-expert analysis.

1. There's been a big bet floating around on one of my bookies on Dec 31 price to be over $100k. It even pays out a cheeky 1/100 if it wins. So if a big bookie believes in it, who am I a mere mortal not to?
2. Death crosses leading to the real rally? We've just had one and 63k ATH has got to be such a downer that I'm gunning for a "true rally"... en route to the "true winter".

 

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fillippone
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June 26, 2021, 08:37:15 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (3)
 #13

USD 110,262.
Because I am a stock to flow zealot. This is the model prediction.
This is a difficult time for S2F believer, but I want this model to succeed.


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philipma1957
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June 26, 2021, 08:37:50 PM
Last edit: June 26, 2021, 08:51:45 PM by philipma1957
Merited by El duderino_ (3)
 #14

70k


I will look for the box #

250 I think

I picked 70k based on my early prediction of 70k when we got to 64k.

So basically I am always picking 70k in all contests until we get there. Grin

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June 26, 2021, 08:47:20 PM
Last edit: June 26, 2021, 09:03:51 PM by willi9974
Merited by El duderino_ (2)
 #15

My tip is

Box 254. 74,957.22 $ - $ 76,456.35 —> 74,991.01 $

I trust in Bitcoin and follow the Stock to flow Model.
The actual dip is only a short time and the Price will go up in this or next year and follow the S2F modell

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.BLACKJACK ♠ FUN.
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June 26, 2021, 08:47:50 PM
Last edit: June 26, 2021, 09:04:20 PM by marcus_of_augustus
Merited by LoyceV (5), El duderino_ (3)
 #16

$288,000 box 321

PlanB S2FX

I think the model is still on track, institutional buying is getting lined up once china is no longer dominant mining nation they can enter. US BTC ETFs come online, dollar inflation proves NOT to be transitory but takes off. Geopolitical instabilty becomes more widespread with increasing currency attacks/tensions between failing central banks. More minor nations hop on ES btc legal tender bandwagon. Will be near the top of this bull run.

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June 26, 2021, 08:50:50 PM
Last edit: June 27, 2021, 11:20:34 AM by Charles-Tim
 #17

201 200. $26,242

It has been May 2020 Bitcoin mining reward halved which do resulting to price increase as people usually fomo around that time, the price has increased drastically and significantly and reach all time high on April 15th, 2021. Bitcoin price later decreased from the all-time-high to around $31000, I believe the bull market is over for now and will begin very significant around ending of December to maybe February 2022. I am even still thinking the price of bitcoin can still decrease below $31000 for now because I believe just decreasing to just half price of the all-time-high is still not enough for the dip, there should still be further decrement while the bull run will start not at the beginning of December but at the ending time. This makes me take $26,242 to likely be its price at the time.

Edit:
201. $26,242
Your prediction fits in box 200.
Corrected. Thanks.

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Upgrade00
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June 26, 2021, 08:54:22 PM
 #18

I want to reach persons who cares to share there thinking reasoning, could be enjoyable for more people to read and maybe learn from... So to participate there must be somekind of effort why the price is chosen...
Sharing the reason for a certain price prediction does help improve the discussion, but I do not think one can simply pick an amount down to the hundreds without there being a large element of randomness. I could expect Bitcoin to be pretty high and in a bull run at the end of the year, due to growing adoption levels, BIPs, and the current price trend which has resisted sustained dips below $30k, but I don't have any rationale for saying it will be at $108,633.

My prediction:
$108,633
Box 272

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..BUY/ SELL CRYPTO..
tweetious
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June 26, 2021, 08:57:54 PM
 #19

$68,655

On Tuesday December 7th 2021, is the "National Cotton Candy Day".

"Machine-spun cotton candy was invented in 1897 by dentist William Morrison and confectioner John C. Wharton, and first introduced to a wide audience at the 1904 World's Fair as "Fairy Floss" with great success, selling 68,655 boxes at 25¢ (equivalent to $7.2 in 2020) per boxGrin

Sources:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cotton_candy
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June 26, 2021, 09:00:37 PM
 #20

254. 74,957.22 $ - $ 76,456.35
You need to predict a price, not a range.

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