The positive price action is pointing to some positive price rise. The Cryptocurrency market is unpredictable and we may or may not see Bull market this year. If we were to go by Cryptocurrency market circle, the bull market previously had should be the end for this circle. But things are changing, and new influencer like Elon is disrupting Cryptocurrency norms. I hope things change for better in Cryptocurrency market because my portfolio is already eroded by this bear market.
You forgot there are no clear rules or a fixed cycle for the crypto market. everything can happen and from the beginning, we can't predict everything based on the habits that occur in the market.
each moment will have different action and response. we now have a different and more powerful market. however, we will not really know what will happen in the future. predictions will not always be correct. we can only try the best we can do.