Yes, the geopolitical issues weren't making a big knock over the bitcoin market. Just think of the starting days of the war. The market crashed and further it moved forward. Now what is happening with the market looks like the cyclic pattern of growth where the market turns bearish at certain time interval. Compared to the past days, we can experience the external connectivity of the market. However the influence isn't experienced much over the market. The occasion at that moment is connected with the market trend and for inflation and increase in interest rates were connected.
And main problem is that you never know what is on the mind of whales: they can decide to reverse the trend any time. Of course I expect them to wait until despair will be very strong but I was wrong with big bear market forecasting so many times that now I'm sure in just one: I'm not sure in any trend!
Whales "can" do that if they want to, but sometimes it is easier for them to do that whereas sometimes it is even harder. I know for a fact that it is not going to be that easy for them to drop it even further for example. Because the price is already low, so in order to sell and drop it, they would have to accept the fact that their bitcoins will be sold for a very cheap price, whereas what we are talking about here is making a good return if they just wait up, or even buy.
So, if you were a whale, which one would you prefer, hoping to make a profit by selling for cheap and others would follow your lead? Or would you just buy more and hope that it would go up even more getting everyone hyped?