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Question: When will price break $4?
December
January
February
March
April
May or later
never

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Author Topic: Prediction contest: when will bitcoin break $4? or will it never break $4?  (Read 7516 times)
Cluster2k
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December 07, 2011, 01:07:10 PM
 #21

$4 on January 5.1

is that like, a stardate?

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December 07, 2011, 01:18:54 PM
 #22

Word.  Think about the guy with the massive wall at 2.90 that got sold into.  He's gonna be itching to get out soon likely, to rebuy lower or whatever.  He's probably just waiting for the right time.
Not necessarily. Some of us have already chosen the long strategy at this point and with that strategy one doesn't sell unless the price is massively higher or at risk to dropping massively lower. The guy at $2.9 could have potentially bought with a long strategy and won't be selling until there's either an imminent super crash or a price increase to double digits and beyond.

If he bought with a short term strategy, then you could obviously expect him to sell in the near future. But we can't really know for sure why he bought. Could be short, mid or long term strategy.

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December 07, 2011, 01:29:09 PM
 #23

Yeah nobody can really know, if we did we wouldn't be speculating.  Time will tell I suppose.  As for me, I'm 25% in, which is mostly my earnings from bitcoinica anyway, so no big loss there. 

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December 07, 2011, 01:34:38 PM
 #24

I'll take a shot - December 28th the $4.00 barrier will be briefly crossed before retrenching to around $3.25-$3.50 for a few months.


or something....

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December 07, 2011, 03:39:48 PM
 #25

Personally I think the latter half of 2012.  People saying December need to wake up, it's taken a long time to get to where we are, will take a long time to build back up.

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December 07, 2011, 03:44:30 PM
 #26

Personally I think the latter half of 2012.  People saying December need to wake up, it's taken a long time to get to where we are, will take a long time to build back up.

nah, just takes the next wave of investors!

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December 07, 2011, 07:38:12 PM
 #27

What effect do you think the holidays will have end of this month on the price?

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December 07, 2011, 07:43:51 PM
 #28

What really matters for the price is whether Keiser is successful in his 1 million bitcoin users campaign (and I suspect he will be).

Expect another bubble, everyone!  This time, you're the early adopters.   Grin

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December 07, 2011, 07:47:14 PM
 #29

April the 1st lol ^^

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December 07, 2011, 07:58:17 PM
 #30

January 2nd, I feel it in my bones.

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December 07, 2011, 08:10:37 PM
 #31

Dec 13 or 14th ... depending on the time zone  Tongue

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December 07, 2011, 08:38:53 PM
 #32

Feb 2nd 2012

 Bonus prediction of daily high of 4.14760
in case you put a second reward for guessing what it breaks 4.00 at. ;p

If you're not excited by the idea of being an early adopter 'now', then you should come back in three or four years and either tell us "Told you it'd never work!" or join what should, by then, be a much more stable and easier-to-use system. - GA
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December 07, 2011, 08:41:21 PM
 #33

January 2nd, I feel it in my bones.

  Didn't they already charge Harding for conspiracy to break legs once already? ;p  *offers you a leg splint*

If you're not excited by the idea of being an early adopter 'now', then you should come back in three or four years and either tell us "Told you it'd never work!" or join what should, by then, be a much more stable and easier-to-use system. - GA
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December 07, 2011, 08:43:40 PM
 #34

Feb 2nd 2012

 Bonus prediction of daily high of 4.14760
in case you put a second reward for guessing what it breaks 4.00 at. ;p

not fair, we're not supposed to compete with time-travelers...  Cheesy

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December 07, 2011, 11:49:00 PM
 #35

Jan 1
sadpandatech
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December 07, 2011, 11:59:50 PM
 #36

Feb 2nd 2012

 Bonus prediction of daily high of 4.14760
in case you put a second reward for guessing what it breaks 4.00 at. ;p

not fair, we're not supposed to compete with time-travelers...  Cheesy

  Is it you that answered my ad next year?  Tongue

If you're not excited by the idea of being an early adopter 'now', then you should come back in three or four years and either tell us "Told you it'd never work!" or join what should, by then, be a much more stable and easier-to-use system. - GA
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BTC_Bear
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December 08, 2011, 12:07:06 AM
 #37

I'm guessing it will be late January or early February, and if I had to pick a day... January 29th.  Anyone else want to guess?  I'll send the winner 5 btc, tiebreaker goes to the first predictor of the winning day.

In b4 "never" - this is a thread for long-term bulls only! Smiley

EDIT: revised poll to add a "never" option for bears, though for obvious reasons, the contest can not be won by "never".


As to your contest:
Quote
pick a day.



I pick   Monday    Grin


Since you didn't request a Date: but a Day


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December 08, 2011, 12:48:59 AM
 #38

@BTC_Bear i think you will have to share the reward if it happens when you said so...  Cheesy

Code:
Dec 12th Crypt_Current, BTC_Bear (Monday)
Dec 13th adamstgBit (depending on the time zone)
Dec 14th adamstgBit ...
Dec 15th kinghajj
Dec 16th antoineph
Dec 19th the joint, BTC_Bear (Monday)
Dec 20th Goat
Dec 21th BTCurious
Dec 25th tulkos
Dec 28th marhjan

Jan 1st RaggedMonk
Jan 2nd Scott J
Jan 5.1 Cluster2k
Jan 13th paraipan
Jan 14th bittenbob
Jan 15th pent (mid Jan)
Jan 16th pent (mid Jan), BTC_Bear (Monday)
Jan 21th payb.tc
Jan 29th old_engineer
Jan 23th ineededausername, BTC_Bear (Monday)

Feb 2nd sadpandatech (prediction of daily high of 4.14760)

Apr 1st Dansker

Jun 27th trogdorjw73

latter half of 2012 BadBear

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December 08, 2011, 12:54:10 AM
 #39

I chose a Monday Sad

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December 08, 2011, 01:43:48 AM
 #40

I think, at the moment it happens, the day will be "today".

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