Russia going offline?

[pakhitheboss]

See: https://fortune.com/2022/03/07/russia-runet-disconnect-ukraine-dns-chernenko-letter/

From there on, some people have picked-up on the above, and tweeted the date as a done deal. Local’s should be able to elaborate more on what truth and extent the quoted text and alleged document implies:
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1500553480548892679/photo/1

The Fortune article suggest that they really aren’t 100% ready to make the move yet, and that it’s might be more of a contingency plan scenario.

I do not think they will completely ban the internet. For now, they are banning Instagram from 14th and we might hear the names of other big internet giants in the coming days.

https://www.theverge.com/2022/3/11/22972869/instagram-ban-russia-ukraine-facebook-whatsapp-meta

[Pmalek]

In all of the many years I've been admin, I don't think that anything has touched/disturbed me more than knowing that there are many veteran forum members whose countries are currently at war. It's insane that we have several people here who are literally under artillery bombardment and are being forced to defend their homes from soldiers. How is humanity so messed up that an entire bureaucracy and chain of command filled with hundreds of thousands of people are helping to commit this atrocity?

And where did the evolution go wrong that certain groups of people (lets call them people because they resemble homo sapiens in the physical sense) can take to the streets and protest in favor of the Russian aggression on Ukraine? They call it a much-welcomed cleansing from Nazis and their supporters. Such shameful gatherings have been seen in parts of Bosnia and Serbia, namely in Trebinje, Banja Luka, and Belgrade. Counter-protests were obviously also organized, but it's still embarrassing to all the people.

Russia can of course cut the gas lines and global internet connection. It will hurt the west but it will hurt Russia as well. The West needs its gas and Russia needs the revenue it generates. I wonder how much the Russian people are ready to suffer before they turn against this sad little dictator.

[Botnake]

That's not possible as some businesses are relying online and they could not sustain their operation without the internet. I'm not sure, but I think the source is unreliable unless we read and hear this kind of information from mainstream media since this is big news, Russia going offline is just like separating from the world.

You think the deluded Dictator in Russia gives a fuck about the businesses relying on Internet? You are very wrong if you believe so. I am not from Russia, but based on the news I have watched about how the Country is being run, I would not be surprised if it happened.

If someone can send his army to another country to bomb the shit out of Kindergartens, civilian apartments, Hospitals and then claim they did bomb anything, then what else is he not capable of doing?

Yeah, I know he was crazy but shutting down the internet would also mean that they were not able to access the internet themselves. Unlike in North Korea which is also under a dictator leader, they only censor the internet AFAIK but the government has access to the internet, it's a way for them to be aware of what is happening outside and they'll be able to prepare for it.

Nowadays, the internet is the best means of communication, without it, things would be harder.

[Coyster]

Such shameful gatherings have been seen in parts of Bosnia and Serbia, namely in Trebinje, Banja Luka, and Belgrade.

Quite a lot of people do not understand the horrors of a war, especially when it is far from their doorsteps, they just tend to read whatever propaganda they see on the media available to them and blindly pick a side, it is wrong to pick a side during a war, the only 'side' you should be on is peace, and a stop to the senseless bombardment and debacle.

Russia can of course cut the gas lines and global internet connection. It will hurt the west but it will hurt Russia as well. The West needs its gas and Russia needs the revenue it generates.

Isn't it surprising how the Russian government is willing to 'suffer' through sanctions just in a bid to keep up with this unnecessary war, but to what end.

I wonder how much the Russian people are ready to suffer before they turn against this sad little dictator.

Longer than you and i can imagine, cause it is not something that can come easy, and to be honest i do not even pray for it, cause it will lead to numerous loss of lives.

[Findingnemo]

Probably remove the internet service is the only solution because blocking websites with the help of ISP may not work completely, for example China banned everything but still people from China is accessing everything in someway, probably not going to be easier for a common man but it's not really a big task for the techies.

What is actually happening in Russia right now, they are banning everything or its just a rumour?

[Lucius]

Such shameful gatherings have been seen in parts of Bosnia and Serbia, namely in Trebinje, Banja Luka, and Belgrade. Counter-protests were obviously also organized, but it's still embarrassing to all the people.

I am not at all surprised by such behavior, because Serbs are brothers to Russians (by religion) and by weapons. If we remember what Serbs did from 1991 onwards in Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Kosovo, then it is no different from what their Russian brothers do in Ukraine. What is far more dangerous at the moment is Russia's support for the secession of Republika Srpska, which wants to be part of Serbia, which without a doubt starts a new war in the Balkans.

Offcourse it makes more damages than gives benefits. Actually, it's difficult to find benefits in complete isolation besides censorship. But it's difficult to find much logic in Russia actions now which is simply killing their economy.

But can't censorship be achieved the way China has been doing for some time? Keeping a country like Russia completely separate from the world would certainly not be easy unless they plan to implement the methods that North Korea has. That would mean sending millions of the problematic to labor camps, and exploiting them there to the death.

[suchmoon]

Not quite what the OP is claiming but it looks like the "pipes" are being cut from the other end:

https://twitter.com/briankrebs/status/1502298540701323264

But that's only a couple of sanctioned telecoms and they'll still have links through Asia.

I wonder how much the Russian people are ready to suffer before they turn against this sad little dictator.

Yeah that's a bit of a problem, isn't it. This won't be easy until Putin runs out of money to pay OMON and you know these will be the last people he'll keep paying. Russians missed their chance of deposing Putin ~10 years ago, he's tightened the screws a lost since then - constitution has been amended, duma votes 100% with him, etc.

[DaveF]

Not quite what the OP is claiming but it looks like the "pipes" are being cut from the other end:

https://twitter.com/briankrebs/status/1502298540701323264

But that's only a couple of sanctioned telecoms and they'll still have links through Asia.

I wonder how much the Russian people are ready to suffer before they turn against this sad little dictator.

Yeah that's a bit of a problem, isn't it. This won't be easy until Putin runs out of money to pay OMON and you know these will be the last people he'll keep paying. Russians missed their chance of deposing Putin ~10 years ago, he's tightened the screws a lost since then - constitution has been amended, duma votes 100% with him, etc.

OK, this is going to be one of those posts that most non nerds have their eyes glaze over before the end of it.
Others will bitch and complain that what I am saying is not accurate¹

Loosing peering is not the removal of the internet, it's the removal of certain internet connections.
It is far from fatal, and probably will not be noticed by most people. Since...wait for it....it's just peering not routing.

Routing is when your PC sends a packet of data to your internet provider who then has to figure out how to get that packet to where you wanted it to go. Since as I mentioned above moving data does cost money they want it to go in the most efficient path possible. LCR (lowest cost routing) think of it as trying to make the shortest trip possible in your car to save gas.

What peering accomplishes or at least tries to, is have many many many of the largest players in the data world have connections all in the same spot. So instead of:
your pc -> your cable company -> across the internet someplace can be many many many hops between providers [which slows things down and costs money]-> google.com
it cuts out that last step before google.com and your cable company more or less is plugging into google.

So with peering you have:
 your pc -> your cable company -> cheap peering net ->google.com

Now, this is not exactly accurate but you get the general idea (I hope). LINX / The London Internet Exchange has hundreds and hundreds of the largest internet providers all in on place. So if you are hooked to them everyone is just one data hop away. Now for most people the cost to do peering in terms of money and equipment is a lot. But for major and even large minor players the cost still saves them money. A lot of money.

Loosing LINX will just slow them down, and cost them more money.
More eye glossing geek speak:
What is really going to cause issues is as more and more places stop routing all the data coming out of Russia.
There are things called ASN (Autonomous System Numbers) those are the 2 numbers shown in the document in the tweet AS 31133 and AS 12389 more or less for people who provide data on internet with their own IP space it's the ID of the system. Big core data routers have a list of ASNs and the IPs that go with them. So a quick lookup at he.net (thank you hurricane for this really useful service) https://bgp.he.net/AS31133 you can see that they have ~ 790,00 IPs and who else they are connected to.

What is being discussed on many networking and routing forums (and actually being done) is just dumping all those IPs connected to any Russian ASNs and their associated routes into a black hole.

That will cause a ton of issues. Since it's almost impossible to diagnose and fix. Russian PC looking for something-> local provider -> the internet -> suchmoon net -> nowhere....
OK, no big deal they can route around that.... So now Russian PC looking for something-> local provider -> the internet -> any route but suchmoon net -> where they want to go.

HOWEVER, the return route to the PC may not be the same one it took to get there..... So where they wanted to go -> suchmoon net or some other provider who decided to block those ASNs/ IPs -> nowhere.....

-Dave

¹ For all the routing geeks, yeah I know it's not a perfect description of how it works, but if you can do it better feel free. It does give the general idea however.

[Pmalek]

I am not at all surprised by such behavior, because Serbs are brothers to Russians (by religion) and by weapons. If we remember what Serbs did from 1991 onwards in Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Kosovo, then it is no different from what their Russian brothers do in Ukraine. What is far more dangerous at the moment is Russia's support for the secession of Republika Srpska, which wants to be part of Serbia, which without a doubt starts a new war in the Balkans.

Interestingly, both Russians and Ukrainians are Orthodox. Majority of the population is orthodox, making them even closer than the Balkan peoples where we have two major religions and the fourth less-represented one. The situation in Bosnia and Republika Srpska is a bit different now than it was back in the 90s. There is no JNA anymore to provide the needed firepower. People got burned by all their political and religious representatives of the past and the atmosphere doesn't smell of war. Not yet at least. Those who are educated and qualified are looking to leave the region to have better lives in Western countries. This is common to all the three countries, people, and religions.

I came across a few posts on social media where some individuals are renting out parcels of their land to the Russians to place their artillery to point towards NATO nations if such thing becomes necessary. Not sure how authentic those are or if people are just joking around and sharing propaganda. Pathetic and sad.     

[MCVXYZ]

Such shameful gatherings have been seen in parts of Bosnia and Serbia, namely in Trebinje, Banja Luka, and Belgrade. Counter-protests were obviously also organized, but it's still embarrassing to all the people.

I am not at all surprised by such behavior, because Serbs are brothers to Russians (by religion) and by weapons. If we remember what Serbs did from 1991 onwards in Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Kosovo, then it is no different from what their Russian brothers do in Ukraine. What is far more dangerous at the moment is Russia's support for the secession of Republika Srpska, which wants to be part of Serbia, which without a doubt starts a new war in the Balkans.

Offcourse it makes more damages than gives benefits. Actually, it's difficult to find benefits in complete isolation besides censorship. But it's difficult to find much logic in Russia actions now which is simply killing their economy.

But can't censorship be achieved the way China has been doing for some time? Keeping a country like Russia completely separate from the world would certainly not be easy unless they plan to implement the methods that North Korea has. That would mean sending millions of the problematic to labor camps, and exploiting them there to the death.

They are brothers by religion? As I heard Russian Army bombed church and Mosque two days ago, I don't know exactly if it is right or not but Russian Army has nothing  to Christianity, I think they have no religion when they are bombing churches,mosques and children.