Football/Soccer Winning Strategy

[alegotardo]

So what I did is apply this same strategy on Soccer as well. Remember to do this on live matches.
So when you see game 1-0 and the team that score 1 has the odds of 1.30, I guess this is a good bet already. Just add another of these live games for your multibet and hope to win. Also, make sure it's already 2nd half.

Note: Not Guaranteed But Worth Trying.

I have to disagree with you!

I don't know what hockey matches are like because I don't even follow this sport, but in football I can tell you that it is a very unpredictable sport.
Maybe this changes a lot between countries, but here in Brazil, for example, it's not uncommon to see a favorite team start winning and lose until the end of the game.
In fact, I would list some sports that I consider quite unpredictable and where I would never apply this technique... Firstly, it is Football, in addition to baseball, basketball and American football.

So, I would say you have been lucky so far, be careful with your next bets. Anyway, please keep updating us on your results.... I could be wrong.

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[ralle14]

I used the same strategy a few times to create a small parlay with 2.00+ decimal odds, and it can backfire most of the time because the live odds can bait you into thinking they're that favored while the real odds could be much closer.

You're lucky if you can pull off several small parlay wins through live betting, as blindly taking favored teams can quickly throw away their lead if they're the underdog during the pre-live betting.

Regardless of the downsides, I still recommend the strategy to those who haven't tried it, and always take note of the teams you're live betting.

[bitbollo]

I have always suggested a game mode that I call "elastic bet rule".
Basically you decide what to play based on a certain pattern and then apply it to your games.

....
8° Try to apply a rule in a betting (an elastic rule sound better ) ....
Like... in the horse racing with more of 3 miles with hurdles some one as correlated (with a good R and good causation), when there is no an horse "strong favourite @ < 2" .... the horse quoted from 7 to 10 are really favourite, also when a 3 -6.99 horse run. Yes I know it's sound strange, but It can really work in a long period....
Another 2 easy example, in a dog greyhound, very often the position 3-6 are (no handicap) are unlike by the runners, due the high number of collisions during the run...
In wta tennis, the top ten after winning a set are really favored to take a final win....
....

only problem in this specific case: low odds + parlay bets.

But I'm more concerned about the parlay bet aspect.... Maybe this rule works in 75% of cases, but with a parlay bet you risk losing because you include the 25% of cases in which it doesn't work.

[Bananington]

Surely, It might prove difficult to play according to any strategy when betting mostly when it is supposed to be a game that is thought to be as easy as hockey.
To me even second half betting isn't a thing anymore for many Sportsbooks site and if the goal is to win easily, stick to popular games that may be easier to understand or just better play for the fun of it.

[pinggoki]

That actually does make sense about the first team to score is the likely winner of the game but I'm kind of on the fence with this one because I want to make sure that this is true because there's the factor of comebacks and underdogs taking the wins, it's a devastating thing to jump in with this really good advice if you don't know what you're talking about. I might've just found a new thing to do, watching matches and seeing if this is true to some level, might not post my result though as I'm not yet sure if this will work. Most of the time that I do bets, I almost always go for the lowest odds since they're most likely to win, safe gaming has been my thing so I'm not keen on trying something new.

[Jawhead999]

Has anyone seen any statistics on how often the teams that take the lead first end up winning? Would be interesting to see.

There was a study in 2016 that make a research to 5 domestic leagues, when a team score first the chance to win is 76.25%, if we calculate the odds using this winning percentage, the odds will be @1.33.

It's not really a winning strategy because the bookie already calculate the odds correctly, so the risk to reward ratio is fair. We could say it's a winning strategy if the odds is higher than what the bookies calculated, which mean we're have the advantage.

The study published in the magazine International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport in 2016, was based on the analysis of all the matches played during the 2014/15 season in the English Premier League (n=380), the Italian Ligue 1 (n=380), the Spanish La Liga (n=380), the Italian Serie A (n=380), and the German Bundesliga (n=306). The results show that if home teams score first, they finally win 84.85% of the matches. On the other hand, if the visitor scores first, 76.25% of them finally win the match.

[Julien_Olynpic]

In my opinion, this is a rather controversial strategy. Even if a team scores 1 goal, this does not mean that it will score a second. And the odds for the winning team of 1.3, in my opinion, are quite small. It is hardly worth playing with such small odds. After all, your possible win is 3 times less than your possible loss. This is not something to follow. Even if you win 3 times in a row on bets with odds of 1.3, then 1 loss is enough to destroy all your winnings.
 As for the probability of victory for a team that has already scored 1 goal, then it is necessary to collect reliable statistics. Has anyone collected such statistics?

[temple]

In my opinion, this is a rather controversial strategy. Even if a team scores 1 goal, this does not mean that it will score a second. And the odds for the winning team of 1.3, in my opinion, are quite small. It is hardly worth playing with such small odds. After all, your possible win is 3 times less than your possible loss. This is not something to follow. Even if you win 3 times in a row on bets with odds of 1.3, then 1 loss is enough to destroy all your winnings.
 As for the probability of victory for a team that has already scored 1 goal, then it is necessary to collect reliable statistics. Has anyone collected such statistics?

"Even if you win 3 times in a row on bets with odds of 1.3, then 1 loss is enough to destroy all your winnings."

That is probably the best explanation why this "strategy" won't work out long-term. Coincidence can be running against you all the time and what Julien_Olynpic brought up here is important to consider. Even if you find one game with odds of 1.3 where you think that the bookmaker is getting it slightly wrong to the players' favor, in the long run if you play 100 games with odds of 1.3 the bookmaker is also less likely to get it wrong, meaning that the remaining margin for the player (if there is any) will approach zero, the more games are being played at that odds range.

@cybron wouldn't the best way to find out be to simulate it? You could go for it and behave "as if" you were placing bets exactly as you described and then share the results here. I am quite sure that over time the strategy will play out against you. The problem is that you shouldn't even vary your bet size, which makes it boring as it would purely be a bankroll game, hoping that due to pursuing that strategy you got an edge over the house. But I have seen 1.3 go wrong so many times that 3-way-parlays aren't even that promising at all.

[Gozie51]

So here are his words: Find a sport like Hockey where teams normally just score a few and usually the first team that scores wins the game.

I understand this and it is not unusual. It is actually a winning strategy even in football betting to check for teams that doesn't score much goals to bet on them on under and also to look at scoring teams like Manchester city to bet on over. You are likely to win bets like this if you have analyzed it and bet it as single bet but some gamblers don't like single games because the potential winning amount will be lower.

And then find a casino that lists live matches. And then Parlay on 2-3 games. Don't go more than that or it gets riskier he emphasizes.

It is quite a winning strategy to bet on fewer games because if you bet on multiple, you are likely to be unlucky that some of the games will not turn out successful but 2/3 games are easy win and professional bettors are cashing out more on this way of betting than those who go on multiple.

[Apocollapse]

Nothing different with bet favorite teams, of course the winning percentage is high, but we don't know when our luck will run out.

Even if you win 3 times in a row on bets with odds of 1.3, then 1 loss is enough to destroy all your winnings.

It's incorrect, if I win 3 times in a row, I would still in profit even though I loss in one match.

1.3^3 = 2.197, I still earn 0.197 even though I loss in the next match.

As for the probability of victory for a team that has already scored 1 goal, then it is necessary to collect reliable statistics. Has anyone collected such statistics?

Actually the poster above your post already pointed out the statistic.

[Frankolala]

OP, you only told us about your wins on two days, so I would like to know the results of the other days that you didn't mention, or is these two days your first try, and you haven't tried it again. It might work for you at the first time, does not mean that it is a good strategy that can always give you wins.

You talked about using this strategy in football, when the game is in the second half, have you forgotten that recently, the teams that are always on the lead in the first half, sometimes loses the gmatch in the complete 90 minutes due to substitution of players and the team losing can take advantage of the second half to play better than the did in the second half.

Gambling is a game of luck, and whatever strategy that we implement that works for us, is based on luck and not our strategy of understanding how the game works or coming up with any trick of winning.

[temple]

Nothing different with bet favorite teams, of course the winning percentage is high, but we don't know when our luck will run out.

Even if you win 3 times in a row on bets with odds of 1.3, then 1 loss is enough to destroy all your winnings.

It's incorrect, if I win 3 times in a row, I would still in profit even though I loss in one match.

1.3^3 = 2.197, I still earn 0.197 even though I loss in the next match.

As for the probability of victory for a team that has already scored 1 goal, then it is necessary to collect reliable statistics. Has anyone collected such statistics?

Actually the poster above your post already pointed out the statistic.

What you said is true, but I think that Julien_Olynpic was more talking about the ballpark and how much margin there is left for a player, which is pretty close to zero.

The only scenario where I think using these margins as a winning strategy is when we look at high stakes players and how they generate extra benefits through their rollover. But as far as I know if bookmakers detect strategies like that and someone perfectly sticks to it, they could just limit your account to certain thresholds and take away some of the potential to add benefits to narrow margins.

A player who is only betting small stakes would literally have to pursue a full time job finding 1.3's that make sense to make an extra dollar at the end of the day. You would also have to be able to catch several 1.3's at the same time that fulfill the aforementioned requirements. I have never tried it, but I am sure that it is not that easy to find three 1.3's at the same time and to not have any interferences with the submission. Someone would have to closely monitor several leagues at once and probably several sports in order to be able to play a good number of parlays on a day that fulfill the conditions.

[EluguHcman]

There is no different strategy here in comparing to the popular prediction strategies which usually insights that the lesser odd you go for and lesser number of games you picks is the more advantage you would stand chances of winning but in all it never works.

In football match which I know very well, a team can be on 2-0 but before the end of the game it ends in the odd times it could end up 2 - 2+ with a winning advantage of the team that was initially loosing.

The rightful strategy to be confident in winning in the gamble can never be revealed because such never existed.

Talking about sport bets such as football, you can only secure some chances to win when you bets on the big teams against smaller teams but yet not still a 100% assurance.

[MAAManda]

So what I did is apply this same strategy on Soccer as well. Remember to do this on live matches.
So when you see game 1-0 and the team that score 1 has the odds of 1.30, I guess this is a good bet already. Just add another of these live games for your multibet and hope to win. Also, make sure it's already 2nd half.

Too many conditions must be met first such as the match must be 1:0 or 0:1, ensure the odds are not more than @1.3 and ensuring that bets are placed in the second half. You know that actually betting with odds of @1.1 doesn't make you an absolute win, right?

I'll be watching a few games this weekend to see how accurate this strategy is, and I have 1 question about the percentages, so far have you gotten at least 90% wins from this strategy?

[KTChampions]

It worked for some time that I turned my $5 to $40 in 2 days of betting. This is just a test of it as I learn this from someone as well. He didn't teach me the entire strategy but just gave me a hint on how to do it.  So maybe if you can improve this sports betting strategy, you may as well contribute to this evolution.

So here are his words: Find a sport like Hockey where teams normally just score a few and usually the first team that scores wins the game. And then find a casino that lists live matches. And then Parlay on 2-3 games. Don't go more than that or it gets riskier he emphasizes.

So what I did is apply this same strategy on Soccer as well. Remember to do this on live matches.
So when you see game 1-0 and the team that score 1 has the odds of 1.30, I guess this is a good bet already. Just add another of these live games for your multibet and hope to win. Also, make sure it's already 2nd half.

Note: Not Guaranteed But Worth Trying.

I didn't quite understand the meaning of the strategy to be honest. The trick is that the team that leads is most likely to win? Yes, this is true, but this probability is already reflected in the coefficient. And by the way, the closer the end of the game is, the smaller the odds for the leading team to win, so it seems to me that it will be difficult to find what you advise (1.3 odds plus the second half of the game).

[cabron]

^ Doesn't have to be 1.3m could be 1.20 or 1.25 as long as below 1.3. If you are adventurous enough you can try 1.50.
But as I said, the strategy is no guarantee but this is worth trying.

So what I did is apply this same strategy on Soccer as well. Remember to do this on live matches.
So when you see game 1-0 and the team that score 1 has the odds of 1.30, I guess this is a good bet already. Just add another of these live games for your multibet and hope to win. Also, make sure it's already 2nd half.

Too many conditions must be met first such as the match must be 1:0 or 0:1, ensure the odds are not more than @1.3 and ensuring that bets are placed in the second half. You know that actually betting with odds of @1.1 doesn't make you an absolute win, right?

I'll be watching a few games this weekend to see how accurate this strategy is, and I have 1 question about the percentages, so far have you gotten at least 90% wins from this strategy?

Not really 90% I think I lost countless bets as well but over all I'm winning with this strategy. There are tons of soccer games on every betting platform. I tried this on FiFA, those teams are just too pro I guess that even the underdog in the first half can beat the fave in the 2nd half.

You may try it on different platforms https://www.betcoin.ag for instance has 63 live soccer games while some other casinos have just 28 live matches so there are lots of teams to pick from even when you are in local betting platforms, there are more than 10 live soccer games.

[yudi09]

-snip- And then find a casino that lists live matches. And then Parlay on 2-3 games. Don't go more than that or it gets riskier he emphasizes.

I only dare to include up to 5 matches in a parlay bet if 2-3 games are not enough odds for a bet list.

So what I did is apply this same strategy on Soccer as well. Remember to do this on live matches.
So when you see game 1-0 and the team that score 1 has the odds of 1.30, I guess this is a good bet already. Just add another of these live games for your multibet and hope to win. Also, make sure it's already 2nd half.

Note: Not Guaranteed But Worth Trying.

I've done it before and it's worth a try. Betting during a live match by trying to see if the score is still not above 2, there is a chance of winning the bet even though the odds are low for the team that is ahead. For matches played by well-known teams, it is not necessarily the right target, but in matches teams from the league are not taken into account, just look at the standings table and the statistics of the goals they scored and then make a decision to place a bet on the team that has a 1-0 lead.

[Slow death]

In the past I did this and if I was lucky the first time I turned my 1$ into 10$, I bet on live games. First I analyzed the game a lot and then I watched the game while analyzing how each team was defending and attacking, after a team scored a goal and I concluded that that team had the conditions to win, so I bet on that team and managed to get it right. After I won a bet, I took all the winnings and put them into another live bet. I did this until I won 10x the amount I deposited. But then came the sequence of defeats that I started to question about the effectiveness of this strategy

because what happened was that I analyzed the games before they started and saw that team x had a greater chance of beating team z, but during the live game team z dominated the game and scored the goal first and I bet on team z, but when it reached the 80th minute, team x scored a lot of goals and won the game. This happened so many times that it made me think that the best option was to bet before the game started because it would have decent odds and less risk of making the same mistake as in the past. while betting live if you have low odds and high risk