sports betting - football/soccer

[walktall]

Off to a bad start hehe. I lost that one too but that's fine. What do you have next?

indeed a bad start. I was a bit shocked on the results as I've tried recovering the loss from the 1st match with the 2nd one as they were scheduled at different hours. ended up losing more. life goes on.

before posting the matches I am focused on today I would like to remind you and anyone else for that matter, that in case you would like predictions for a specific match you can input the match here without a problem. that was the main purpose of the post, for users who interact to come with the challenges so to speak. it doesn't matter when the match is scheduled or from what competition. of course, I am not 24/7 here so maybe post it with a few hours before it starts.

Italy - England [ over 8.5 corners @1.85 ]
Portugal - Lichtenstein [ over 5.5 goals @1.65 ]

The confrontation between Italy and England will as always be one of a high level. At the same time, both teams are highly tactical, so imo betting on corners would be the best bet here. Regarding Portugal, they are lucky to have an easy match (in theory) against Lichtenstein. It's rumored that CR7 has announced his availability for the match and he does want to up his stats for his national team. I will admit that "asking" Portugal to net 6 goals against Lichtenstein might be a bit difficult in comparison to the odd that bookies give for this event but decided to go with it eventually.


*Again I will mention that this is not a financial advice and that you are entirely responsible in regards to any decision you might take about the posted matches above.

[1715660800]

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[Hirose UK]

Off to a bad start hehe. I lost that one too but that's fine. What do you have next?

Losing a bet is not a bad start for gamblers who want to learn all types of bets.
By using the experience of losing, the gambler has valuable learning, he can learn from defeat to be able to get a win on the next bet.
Apart from learning from the defeats of every gambler before getting defeated, they still have the opportunity to analyze and do research to be able to determine which team is worthy and has a big chance of winning, but only a few gamblers can realize it.
The average gambler bets only based on the feelings and predictions of other people, not on the predictions they make.

[walktall]

Italy - England [ over 8.5 corners @1.85 ]
Portugal - Lichtenstein [ over 5.5 goals @1.65 ]

just as I suspected, Portugal did not have the precision to score the 6 goals needed, even though they had 11 shots on target against Lichtenstein. the other prediction was an easy win, and also a very good odd for 9 corners per game. moving further.

[QueenVera]

Nonetheless, I would personally like if you (or other people considering to open a similar thread like this one) could provide some math on their efficacy on predictions and sport-betting, as well as some small proof they have been in sport-betting as long as they claim.

Yeah I agree with you on this very one and you atleast ought to show us some lroves of the 600 thousand bets you claimed to have placed in previous times because that will go a very long way to build ones confidence and trust in you and your predictions because over the time, we've seen some persons come out with claims of longer gears in betting and predictions and just end up giving us mess, please don't get me wrong and I do appreciate your work and I will be looking out for this thread.
Op also mentioned not to get his reward from forum members and I hope that stands for long as this thread is active and not behave like others who claimed their predictions were free but ended up asking people to join some private telegram group and make some payment but I trust op will be different.

[harapan]

but what I am trying to emphasize is the fact that sports betting after a certain degree of experience is not gambling anymore.

I don't understand what you mean by this.
Sports betting will always be gimbling no matter the amount of experience you have. Gambling is simply playing a game of chance for money. No matter how experienced in football and gambling is you can never predict the outcome a game at all time. Its always a game of chance to a certain degree. You just predict a certain game based on your understanding of the game (this is were the experience comes in) but yo still need a certain degree of luck.  So I would like to understand how you mean when you say  "sports betting after a certain degree of experience is not gambling anymore".

[rahmad2nd]

Italy - England [ over 8.5 corners @1.85 ]
Portugal - Lichtenstein [ over 5.5 goals @1.65 ]

just as I suspected, Portugal did not have the precision to score the 6 goals needed, even though they had 11 shots on target against Lichtenstein. the other prediction was an easy win, and also a very good odd for 9 corners per game. moving further.

I didn't watch this match, but in theory Portugal should be able to score more than 4 goals. because, these two squads have a very obvious gap. Portugal is ranked 9th, while Lichtenstein is ranked 198th. So, these two teams have a very significant gap. and if I refer to the available statistics, Portugal has a lot of opportunities. recorded, they had 35 total shots, 11 of which were on target, 13 shots off target, 11 shots blocked. with this statistical data, Portugal should be able to score more than 6 goals.

Apart from that, it seems that one thing has escaped your consideration, that this match is Portugal's first match. that is, the players need adjustments to the other players. plus, their new coach. however, the results could have been different if the coach had included Gocalo Ramos, after Ronaldo scored in the 63rd minute.

But at least, another bet is as you would expect for the over corner from Italy - England.

[walktall]

had a few days off. enjoyed a lot of results this past weekend, hope you guys did too.

Nonetheless, I would personally like if you (or other people considering to open a similar thread like this one) could provide some math on their efficacy on predictions and sport-betting, as well as some small proof they have been in sport-betting as long as they claim.

Yeah I agree with you on this very one and you atleast ought to show us some lroves of the 600 thousand bets you claimed to have placed in previous times because that will go a very long way to build ones confidence and trust in you and your predictions because over the time, we've seen some persons come out with claims of longer gears in betting and predictions and just end up giving us mess, please don't get me wrong and I do appreciate your work and I will be looking out for this thread.
Op also mentioned not to get his reward from forum members and I hope that stands for long as this thread is active and not behave like others who claimed their predictions were free but ended up asking people to join some private telegram group and make some payment but I trust op will be different.

QueenVera (& Hispo as well as others), I have the feeling we're not on the same page here. you guys asked me to "prove" my past experience, while I tried to explain to you that in this day in age there's no proofed way through which I could do that. I could post here some predictions I've made in the 2014-2015-2016-2017-2018,etc timeline. and? even if I would post those past predictions, either as text from a database, or images, people could still come and claim that the data is altered/edited/manipulated, etc. therefore I come again with the basic question - how could I prove my experience to you?

secondly, I have started this post on my own, for the challenges I was expecting to get from it. not for profit. not to prove anyone anything. I did claimed to have over 600k predictions under my belt with a decent win rate. still up until now, no one has taken the post as it was meant, and thereby place a match or multiple matches here as a request for a prediction(s). I can understand the level of uncertainty yet no one has tested me so far, right? instead of asking for proof (which again, imo can simply not be provided even if we include blockchain's immutability on the table), you could simply post 2, 3, 5, 10 matches. I'll do my best to give you a prediction on those and I guess afterwards things would move forward. or not.

I don't understand what you mean by this.

harapan, in direct comparison to the (casino) gambling world, in sports betting there are no guaranteed statistical odds set against you. this implies directly the fact that sport betting is skill based more than gambling. and I would like to add a question here for you: is stock/crypto investment gambling?

Italy - England [ over 8.5 corners @1.85 ]
Portugal - Lichtenstein [ over 5.5 goals @1.65 ]

just as I suspected, Portugal did not have the precision to score the 6 goals needed, even though they had 11 shots on target against Lichtenstein. the other prediction was an easy win, and also a very good odd for 9 corners per game. moving further.

I didn't watch this match, but in theory Portugal should be able to score more than 4 goals. because, these two squads have a very obvious gap. Portugal is ranked 9th, while Lichtenstein is ranked 198th. So, these two teams have a very significant gap. and if I refer to the available statistics, Portugal has a lot of opportunities. recorded, they had 35 total shots, 11 of which were on target, 13 shots off target, 11 shots blocked. with this statistical data, Portugal should be able to score more than 6 goals.

Apart from that, it seems that one thing has escaped your consideration, that this match is Portugal's first match. that is, the players need adjustments to the other players. plus, their new coach. however, the results could have been different if the coach had included Gocalo Ramos, after Ronaldo scored in the 63rd minute.

But at least, another bet is as you would expect for the over corner from Italy - England.

you summarized things flawlessly. I would however argue on the fact that it was Portugal's first match in the qualification campaign for Euro 2024. imo Portugal had something more similar to a training match opportunity against Lichtenstein, and based on the huge amounts of occasions they should have scored a higher number of goals with ease. I did mentioned that I am not bullish on the prediction itself but decided to publish it anyway. in a match with a higher stake and where possibly goals would matter in the standings, I am quite sure Portugal would have scored even double the goals they scored in that match. As for Italy - England, things were peachy!


Adding two selections for today:
Poland - Albania [ Poland to score over 1.5 goals @1.80 ]
Netherlands - Gibraltar [ over 5.5 goals @1.50 ]

I expect for Poland to score at least 2 goals against Albania, especially after they lost with Czech Republic.
Netherlands were also beaten by France so they should in theory consider the match against Gibraltar an opportunity to benchmark their potential.

*Again I will mention that this is not a financial advice and that you are entirely responsible in regards to any decision you might take about the posted matches above.

[Slow death]

Adding two selections for today:
Poland - Albania [ Poland to score over 1.5 goals @1.80 ]
Netherlands - Gibraltar [ over 5.5 goals @1.50 ]

I expect for Poland to score at least 2 goals against Albania, especially after they lost with Czech Republic.
Netherlands were also beaten by France so they should in theory consider the match against Gibraltar an opportunity to benchmark their potential.

*Again I will mention that this is not a financial advice and that you are entirely responsible in regards to any decision you might take about the posted matches above.

the games are over and these were the results:

Netherlands 3 - 0 Gibraltar

I don't understand why you chose to bet on over 5.5 goals knowing that in the last 5 games the netherlands didn't even have more than 4 goals, the netherlands can't score 4 goals in any game, at least it was like that in the last 10 games, so I don't see reason to expect that the netherlands were able to score 5 or 6 goals in this game, also knowing that gilbratar also cannot even score 2 goals against weak teams, so this was a game for under over 5.5 goals

Poland 1 -0 Albania

in the last 9 games poland managed to score 2 goals in just one game, poland is a disaster in attack while albania has shown good defense in the last few games, so in my opinion to expect poland to score 2 goals was a mission impossible, well I'm just giving my opinion since I'm not a professional gambler yet, I still have many years of practice left. Predicting the results of Euro qualifying games is not an easy task when you have games like these.

[walktall]

confirming the red results unfortunately.

Netherlands 3 - 0 Gibraltar

Poland 1 -0 Albania

appreciate you've posted your thoughts. now allow me to post mine.

I've noticed that in both cases you took recent stats into consideration. that is what bettors in general do. however, a more important aspect to be considered imo is the match weight (what do they win on a win) and also the opponent gap (difference between home team - away team). going further, Netherlands did not managed to score more than 4 goals indeed, however their match was against Gibraltar. moreover, stats show a 72% possession which translates to - they had the ball for 80 minutes out of the total 90. 49 goal attempts, 11 shots on goal, 22 shots off goal, 19 corner kicks. show me another match in football/soccer history with similar stats (+/- 5% tops), that ended 3-0. I can bet you right now you won't find more than 5, in a history spanning 50+ years. also quite clear with those stats that Gibraltar had close to 0% in scoring any goals. bottom line is the fact that Netherlands should have netted more goals, the math behind this statement is there.

in regards to Poland vs Albania, I will agree with you that Albania played very well their defensive tactics, especially on Poland's star, Lewandowski. in terms of stats, Poland was at best 5-6% over Albania as the stats of the match are pretty squared. I've mostly based my prediction on two elements: Lewa's presence in the lineup + Albania's ability to score 1 goal against Italy. I considered that Albania will manage to score 1 goal, and this meant "by default" that Poland will need to go for at least 2 goals. match proved to be quite balanced and ended up on 1-0 for Poland.

any match has difficulties in predicting it, however as you could probably notice in many cases teams let us by. it was so the cases with Portugal, Netherlands and even Poland to an extent. in essence, sports betting is nothing but a fun social way of upping the emotional stakes of a viewing experience. or at least that is how I see it.

would you like to post one or more matches from today's Euro qualifying round? maybe even prediction(s) for the match(es). I'll upload mine in about 4 hours from now, still can't decide which of the 4 I have shortlisted should be posted.

[walktall]

almost late so will keep the post short and on point.

Kosovo - Andorra [ over 0.5 goals in 1st half @1.35 ]
Scotland - Spain [ Spain @1.60 ]
Turkey - Croatia [ Croatia @2.30 ]
Wales - Latvia [ over 0.5 goals for Wales in 1st half @1.50 ]




*Again I will mention that this is not a financial advice and that you are entirely responsible in regards to any decision you might take about the posted matches above.

[rahmad2nd]

you summarized things flawlessly. I would however argue on the fact that it was Portugal's first match in the qualification campaign for Euro 2024. imo Portugal had something more similar to a training match opportunity against Lichtenstein, and based on the huge amounts of occasions they should have scored a higher number of goals with ease. I did mentioned that I am not bullish on the prediction itself but decided to publish it anyway. in a match with a higher stake and where possibly goals would matter in the standings, I am quite sure Portugal would have scored even double the goals they scored in that match. As for Italy - England, things were peachy!

For me it's important, that's why I don't bet and just want to know the result. because referring to their performance in the last Qatar world cup, Portugal did not appear very consistent.  I mean, for the pure strikers they have, but not for the other players. actually the most basic thing that became my consideration was that Portugal had just changed its coach. therefore, I am more interested to see the system they implement and how the players adapt to it. plus, teamwork.
but so far, in his two bouts it seems the scenario is running smoothly. in fact, in the match against Luxembourg, Portugal was able to overthrow its opponent with a bigger score. this is important for me, to be a benchmark in the actual match when the big teams meet later.

Adding two selections for today:
Poland - Albania [ Poland to score over 1.5 goals @1.80 ]
Netherlands - Gibraltar [ over 5.5 goals @1.50 ]

I expect for Poland to score at least 2 goals against Albania, especially after they lost with Czech Republic.
Netherlands were also beaten by France so they should in theory consider the match against Gibraltar an opportunity to benchmark their potential.

*Again I will mention that this is not a financial advice and that you are entirely responsible in regards to any decision you might take about the posted matches above.

Again, I'm not following the qualifying progress for Euro 2024. but that doesn't mean I don't have the latest information regarding the qualifying matches. well, it seems, your prediction missed again.

By the way, in a few days the European Leagues will be rolled out again soon. I want to know your predictions for European teams.  so, we will wait for you.

[kenshi222]

Sportsbet is the favourite one because of the soccer involved in that gamble bet.As compared to the normal gambling like slot games,the betting is purely based on luck on that day.But soccer can be predicted by the players of two teams.If one of the team had Lionel Messi,So we can blindly keep the Messi without hesitation.As to the results 99 percentage of Messi matches was in top standard.So Messi will get you some good winnings in one day.But in slot game it’s totally different one.The slot game is based on RNG,but sportsbet is purely based on the knowledge you occur from the matches you watched before.The winner is based on the goals scored by the selected team members and performance of the player,if he is from the defence background.Because defensive game also the important one for the game.Some game was decided with 1-0 win only by the full defensive game of the team which scored goal.

[walktall]

matches finished, results posted below.

Kosovo - Andorra [ over 0.5 goals in 1st half @1.35 ]
Scotland - Spain [ Spain @1.60 ]
Turkey - Croatia [ Croatia @2.30 ]
Wales - Latvia [ over 0.5 goals for Wales in 1st half @1.50 ]

well, it seems, your prediction missed again.

I beg to differ, 50% is not bad considering the 2.30 odd was nailed safely.

By the way, in a few days the European Leagues will be rolled out again soon. I want to know your predictions for European teams.  so, we will wait for you.

as I stated when I started this post, please input your match requests here and I'll try to do my best. if you can post the matches 1 day ahead, that would be awesome.

Sportsbet is the favourite one because of the soccer involved in that gamble bet.As compared to the normal gambling like slot games,the betting is purely based on luck on that day.But soccer can be predicted by the players of two teams.If one of the team had Lionel Messi,So we can blindly keep the Messi without hesitation.As to the results 99 percentage of Messi matches was in top standard.So Messi will get you some good winnings in one day.But in slot game it’s totally different one.The slot game is based on RNG,but sportsbet is purely based on the knowledge you occur from the matches you watched before.The winner is based on the goals scored by the selected team members and performance of the player,if he is from the defence background.

not sure what you mean. you mentioned "slot game" and this has nothing to do with sports betting (football/soccer).

regarding Messi, I presume the last match PSG had with Rennes is part of the 1% right? jokes aside, truth be told Messi and CR7 are talents the sport gives every few decades.

[dravenbtc]

greetings everyone!

new here. over 600.000 predictions made in the past decade with decent win rate. will try to predict any football/soccer match (prediction examples: winner, number of goals, corners, cards, HT/FT, etc; however not all type of predictions for every match you might request). can present summary for each prediction.

awaiting challenges.

Okay, in weekend will be a big match in Germany, Bayern - Borussia, waiting on your prediction! 

[alegotardo]

There are already topics with lots of posts about match predictions but it doesn't hurt to have a dedicated thread as it's sometimes hard to catch up on those mega threads. You probably have more experience than me so I'd love to see how you will perform. You'll probably get some haters or critics here and some may even ask for proof of your experience but you can ignore them. Just keep on posting.

In fact, there are numerous prediction/betting threads, most of which are football.

I've been thinking here....
Nobody ever thought of creating some kind of tournament?
Take one of the main football championships in Europe and for each match users publish their bets (it cannot be just guesses, you need to prove that the bet was actually made) and at the end of the tournament who has the most hits or the most points (you have to think in some scoring rule) would win the prize.

This prize could be sponsored by someone or by some casinos, or even an entry fee could be charged to anyone who wanted to sign up.

[tusandii]

Okay, in weekend will be a big match in Germany, Bayern - Borussia, waiting on your prediction! 

The Bayern vs Dortmund match will take place tomorrow and this will be an interesting match to watch and bet on.
In tomorrow's game it looks like Bayern have more advantages than Dortmund and from their last 5 matches Bayern are superior to 4 wins and 1 draw.
Bayern has prepared everything for tomorrow's match against Dortmund so there will be a greater chance of beating Dortmund.
I would bet Bayern with a final score of 2 - 1 and all these goals came in the second half.

[walktall]

I've been busy the past few days as I am working on a project and something came up.

greetings everyone!

new here. over 600.000 predictions made in the past decade with decent win rate. will try to predict any football/soccer match (prediction examples: winner, number of goals, corners, cards, HT/FT, etc; however not all type of predictions for every match you might request). can present summary for each prediction.

awaiting challenges.

Okay, in weekend will be a big match in Germany, Bayern - Borussia, waiting on your prediction! 

Bayern - Dortmund was a beast of a match. Really sorry I could not be here in time to give my thoughts on it.

There are already topics with lots of posts about match predictions but it doesn't hurt to have a dedicated thread as it's sometimes hard to catch up on those mega threads. You probably have more experience than me so I'd love to see how you will perform. You'll probably get some haters or critics here and some may even ask for proof of your experience but you can ignore them. Just keep on posting.

In fact, there are numerous prediction/betting threads, most of which are football.

I've been thinking here....
Nobody ever thought of creating some kind of tournament?
Take one of the main football championships in Europe and for each match users publish their bets (it cannot be just guesses, you need to prove that the bet was actually made) and at the end of the tournament who has the most hits or the most points (you have to think in some scoring rule) would win the prize.

This prize could be sponsored by someone or by some casinos, or even an entry fee could be charged to anyone who wanted to sign up.

There are such contests around the internet. On a personal note, I would say "why limit a contest to X competition/league/cup?". I can understand that for example Premier League, LaLiga or Bundesliga are highly watched, tracked, etc. but maybe someone likes for example Serie A more, or Ligue 1. Things would get more interesting imo if the contest itself would be about final odds and not the competitions themselves.

[FUCKBSVFUCK]

I don't think there is any way to predict a football match. It's just a matter of luck and luck will play a role in the match. If you are lucky enough to win the match, you can make a prediction that will be the winner of the match. But in this case, the odds are different.