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Author Topic: Have You Experienced Winning Bets By Upsets  (Read 815 times)
Casdinyard
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May 05, 2023, 07:18:28 PM
 #21

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?


Every so often I bet on underdogs as a means to have fun with myself. I love rooting for the athletes/teams/bands that are in the disadvantage in all manners, so I bet on underdogs and those who have yet to prove themselves to people. Take for example Tank Davis' fight against Ryan Garcia, I made a bet with a friend that is a diehard Davis fan, and played the devil's advocate by choosing to bet on Garcia, not only because I know he's capable but also because against someone without any loss count in his stats and a winstreak with full KO counts, Ryan Garcia is a clear underdog (although again, it needs to be said that both fighters are just as capable and are as powerful to me, it's just record that I based my bet on), and even though Ryan lost, it made me happy.

Of course this thread is about a win, so I'll include my underdog win during LoL Worlds' 2017, where I made a bet on Samsung Galaxy Winning against SKT Telecoms T1, the clear champion during the whole tournament. The bet I made was just between friends as with the former. I bet on Samsung Galaxy and they won by a hair strand after abusing the enemy team's blunder.

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May 05, 2023, 07:52:58 PM
 #22

Everything will return to trying their luck by choosing the underdog, but that doesn't always work because it depends on the strength of each team. The underdog can win easily if there is a chance to beat the favorite but vice versa. And as long as your bet is not big, it's still acceptable because even if you lose, the loss won't be big. But if the favorite has the advantage to win over the underdog, which is obvious, I will not choose the underdog because that would be pointless and only make me lose. I once bet on the underdog, but the win was small because my bet was small, so it didn't matter.

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May 05, 2023, 08:11:36 PM
 #23

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?







I think it goes without saying if anyone has bet on sports one time or another they bet on underdogs.  Have I yeah of course.  Just like with anything ypu balance your odds.  If the odds are good enough and outweigh the possibility of losing then go in on it.  Meaning if ypu think there is a 30% chance they win and you are getting 10-1 odds on the bet then yeah its well worth the chance. 

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May 05, 2023, 08:17:04 PM
 #24

I don't recommend betting on outsiders very often. If you're not afraid of losing your money, then go ahead and bet on the underdog. Of course, there are occasions when such athletes win, but not many people expect that. It rarely happens. So think twice before you place your money on the underdog.

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May 05, 2023, 09:36:48 PM
 #25

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?

I believe gamblers who love to bet on sports, have a long history of betting. One thing I'm sure of, not always the top team will win every match. there will be times where they face difficult opponents, or their performance drops. in this context, football. it would be very natural, where we choose the underdog team over the top team.
I remember last week's match, Sevilla vs Girona, where I bet for Girona with odds @ 4.20. One more thing that I remember the most, the Marocco vs Portugal match, where Marocco was the unfavored team, the "2022 Qatar World Cup" from the two examples I mentioned, I got quite a bit of profit.

As we know, gambling always involves luck. it's just that, that doesn't mean we will bet carelessly and only be tempted by the available odds. that means, we do research for the two teams that will compete. we call it analysis, whether it's in terms of performance, patterns, systems, injured players, or whatever is our material consideration. plus, usually I don't forget to compare with predictions from other alternatives which are always my reference source. so, I think the process is quite complicated. in fact, not infrequently what we predict is far from what we expect. Of course, when there is victory, there must be defeat.  and we experience it in every bet.

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May 05, 2023, 09:49:06 PM
 #26

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

In the sport of basketball, I've already won lots of times betting on the underdog.

I don't consider betting on the underdog as "rare" as that really happened. Much better to just called it instead a "low chance to happen " but not rare to consider. Anyways, one of the notable bets I made betting on the underdog was really impressive and one of the greatest comebacks in basketball history.

I'm talking about the 2016 NBA Finals between the 72-9 Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers. I made 2 bets on this Finals series;

1) place a series bet prior to the Finals where the Cavaliers are the obvious underdog
2) when the Cavaliers are downed by 3-1 and the Warriors are just 1 away

That's a risky move since only a few might put the courage to bet on the Cavaliers winning the championship and no way the Warriors will lose 3 times in a row. But the impossible thing happened and Cavaliers bounce back from a 3-1 deficit and made history as the only NBA team that was able to bounce back on that deficit in NBA Finals history.

Anyways, the site I've played with is one of the famous sports betting sites here before, Directbet.eu.

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May 05, 2023, 09:52:00 PM
 #27

I've experienced wins betting on the underdogs. This used to be fun, because the bet value used to be small. Even the loss doesn't hurt. My experience were placing bets on Tennis matches, and I don't remember the player. It was on women's tennis where the odds were above 10. I placed it on live betting, and to my luck the match got won. These had happened long years back.

It is very common to see gamblers betting on the underdogs. Recently during the FIFA World Cup we had few matches that were completely unexpected and gamblers who had gone with the underdogs have won big.

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May 05, 2023, 10:25:45 PM
 #28


i tried betting a small amount for the underdog to win.
when i saw 3x for the underdog to win regardless of the method, i bet $5 just to try it. i have won some but most of my bet for the underdog is a loss. it just means that you gotta believe what the bookmakers are saying about the odds. i just can't get out my head that sometimes the most unexpected happens.



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May 05, 2023, 10:48:33 PM
 #29


i tried betting a small amount for the underdog to win.
when i saw 3x for the underdog to win regardless of the method, i bet $5 just to try it. i have won some but most of my bet for the underdog is a loss. it just means that you gotta believe what the bookmakers are saying about the odds. i just can't get out my head that sometimes the most unexpected happens.
Yeah I guess the unexpected things in gambling are the reasons gambling feels like so much fun. And the bookmakers are not always correct when it comes to fixing of odds, you can take for example the series of loses that Chelsea have experience these past weeks, the odds given to them to win these games were actually smaller than their opponent like for example the game between them and these two teams ASTON VILLA and BRENTFORD. In these two matches the odd given to chelsea was smaller meaning that have higher chances of winning but both games ended a loss for them.

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May 05, 2023, 11:21:03 PM
 #30

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?

There was a time where I voted for a team in Dota 2 where it the team was against a full-house of all superstar players. The odds were like 95-5 and I MISTAKENLY betted $200 worth of items on the weak team. Since the odds were that high, betting $200 would yield me like $10 worth of items assuming that the super team won. Fortunately, I won and I received around $2,000 worth of items that I quickly sold to the steam market.

Most of the time, betting on underdogs is a risky move given the fact that they are considered by many as the weak team. With the current data on hand, it is a no-brainer to bet on the super-team but then again, the odds are the odds.
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May 05, 2023, 11:44:16 PM
 #31

I've seen many games in which there were comebacks in the final minutes, and I've asked myself many times if there were people who watched soccer games to bet on the final minutes because they believed there would be a turnaround, but when I think about it, then these people who what they do is relying on luck, what they do is the same thing as buying lottery tickets and waiting to win if they hit the jackpot, there are few games where there are twists, but when there are twists the odds are very high, but even if the odds are very high in the end, it doesn't pay to keep making this type of bets

for example if a person is watching 10 soccer games waiting for an opportunity to hit a chance of some game to have a turnaround, is that person able to lose in the 10 games, and then bet on another 10 games and lose again, and when he hits it does not it will pay off, and when the person continues to play he will be losing even more, in my opinion it is better for the person to place bets normally and not enter this type of bets that will depend a lot on luck to get it right. something funny is that in the beginning when I started to make sports bets I lost a lot so I started to bet when the game only had 10 minutes left to end, I bet on the team that was winning the game, but even so I lost a lot and gave up do that

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May 05, 2023, 11:47:02 PM
 #32

I sometimes parlay underdogs for the fun of it, and I usually do this on NBA games which I know has a chance to be a winning game, especially if the opposing favorite team has some key players that are missing but are still considered the favorites for some reason. I won two times from doing this, and the returns are quite handsome as you say it, although you must really be aware that there is a huge possibility of you losing your money that easily.

There are some sports that I'm eyeing on wherein the underdogs are usually the winners (Korean Baseball). It is a very tempting market, and there are a lot of games that you can pick and that is where you can gain some knowledge on the teams you would like to follow.
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May 05, 2023, 11:56:30 PM
 #33

Many, many times.
NBA, boxing, and UFC. This is where I am always betting for underdog teams, boxers, and fighters. There's always that chance to turn the game/fight around, especially in UFC and boxing. Just that one good hit in the perfect body part could end the game, or the perfect submission could turn the tables around.
What made me bet on them? Instincts will be part of it. Another reason is the biased support for them, and when we get emotionally glued as a fan of the team or the fighter.
The fight with Alexa Grasso who won in an upset was one of my biggest wins in UFC, if I remember it right it was from @7.00-8.00 odds and I took it without any doubt. There's also my bet for the underdog Leon Edwards against Kamaru Usman on their second meeting which is a big win. Totally, big upset because there's only 1 minute left in the clock before he knocked out Usman.

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May 05, 2023, 11:56:47 PM
 #34

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?

I have been in such situations many times but most of the times I lost and my betting wallets were almost empty. I mainly like sportsbetting and mostly betting at club level. I've also betted PSG with Underdogs Odds quite a few times and I've almost had zero in this case. Also, several times at the club level, I almost lost my betting and won the match at the end and I made a lot of profit. But one thing I would like to point out is that those who are regulars in casinos and betting sites may have to face any situation, for those who are professionals and always have a risk-taking mindset, such situations do not matter.

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May 06, 2023, 12:03:00 AM
 #35

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?
Yes, but don't win often. In my opinion, betting on an underdog team is really playing your luck. because you ignore all analysis and know you will be lost. So that situation, many gamblers play with little money and hope to be multiplied to return back your capital which lost in the previous bet. However, bet in an underdog team becomes a favorite if such a team gets a prediction to be The Dark Horse or make a surprise to win the trophy.

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May 06, 2023, 01:43:09 AM
 #36

The occasions I have decided to bet on Football I have not gone for underdogs. I always try to go with the logical reasoning and put the money on the team I feel has more changes to bring me a victory and some profit.

I view betting as a possibility to include reason and statistics and try to predict an outcome more accurately, something we would not be able to do while playing dices or slots.

Anyways, I am not completely closed to the possibility of betting in favor of underdogs for fun and if I have some money to spare and I would not mind to lose in a fun night with friends at some sport bar.  Smiley

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May 06, 2023, 02:14:06 AM
 #37

I guess bettors who have been doing their thing for quite a while already have already won upset bets. That's normal. We don't bet on favorites all the time, after all. I can't remember how many times I have already won by upsets.

The last time I placed a bet on a heavy underdog, though, was on DOTA II. I placed a bet on T1. I forgot who they're up against but they've already lost on their first match. That was a TI qualifier game or a major, if I'm not mistaken. The odds was north of 7.0. That was a live bet and I made it because I was watching the picks and I was convinced that with their heroes T1 could have a very good chance.

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May 06, 2023, 02:33:46 AM
 #38

Because I have a strong belief in the potential of that athlete, I had previously placed a wager on an underdog. Even though I had heard a lot of predictions that the fighter I had bet on might lose during that time, it was one of the most anticipated boxing events ever, so I took the chance. I didn't place a very large wager because I had some reservations, but to my amazement, it has paid off. I have tried the same thing once more without success. I believe that occasionally taking a bigger risk will be acceptable, but it won't always pan out, and there will also be instances where we must pay attention to the prognoses of sports analysts.

I'm glad it worked out on you on some instances. Betting on the underdog is a risk especially if there is a huge favor on the side of the very well-known and reputable opponent in terms of odds. But sometimes, it's worth the shot to risk on uncertain situations especially if you really believe the capabilities of the underdog you are planning to bet on. After all, it's not always the one in the spotlight wins. Some players become complacent on their skills and thus, do not train enough resulting to lack of preparing ahead that could cost the fight. If the you know that the other player is complacent while the underdog is determined and has continuously shows potential, then perhaps trying to bet on him won't be so bad. Just do proper analysis and of course, bet responsibly.
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May 06, 2023, 03:11:17 AM
 #39

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?
I have never participated in a wager with the underdogs. I mostly use sports side for betting. I bet with a small amount of valence on sports sites. I have a friend who bets with the underdogs. He bets with the underdogs but has never won a big bet. That friend of mine told me many times but I didn't agree with him. Because I know I won't be so lucky. But I'm always happy with small wins.
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May 06, 2023, 04:24:28 AM
 #40

Upsets are rare and profitable and not everyone has the courage to take a risk and bet on the underdogs, but those who do are rewarded with huge profits.

So I'd like to ask

Have you bet on the underdogs and won?

How many times you did this?

And what made you bet on the underdogs is it because of insider tips or just an insight based on your analysis?

Your level of risk when betting for underdogs in the hope of winning by upsets?
Any Dota player would probably know about OG's Cinderella story back in TI8 (which was my most remembered underdog bet). I was one of the few who doubted them at first, but heck, I went yolo and bet on them to win in the finals, and boy, was it hype, both the matches themselves and the result of my win. The funny thing is it wasn't even based on insights or insider tips, it was just because I wanted to root the hell out of the underdog after making it to the finals after all the ups and downs they've had, both before and during the TI.

After that, I often took the time to watch match upsets on tournaments I want to bet in, and try to get a story out of any underdog that I can find. I actually throw away caution in those cases and just bet on them if the story I found (and probably assumed) was enough to touch me, after all, I'm still waiting for another instance of that OG TI8.

R


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