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Author Topic: Are you a Top-down or Bottom-up bettor?  (Read 174 times)
Russlenat
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October 26, 2023, 03:40:12 PM
 #21

In top-down betting you find a reliable source of information which is often sharp sportsbooks and look for better odds elsewhere which creates positive expected value bets.

What do you mean by sharp sportsbooks? is it just a typo error, or you mean sharp bettors?

As for me, I don't think I belong to that (top-down betting )category. My betting approach is pretty simple. I stick to a particular gambling site that I'm comfortable with, and I don't shop around for odds on different sportsbooks. I believe that if there are differences in odds, they are usually minimal. I do a bit of research, but most of the time, I trust my instincts.

The one thing I do apply with great discipline is bankroll management. To me, that's the most critical aspect, right alongside selecting the winning bets.

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October 26, 2023, 04:42:58 PM
 #22

The two methods in sports betting which most of use but are not aware of are the top-down or bottom-up betting method. In top-down betting you find a reliable source of information which is often sharp sportsbooks and look for better odds elsewhere which creates positive expected value bets. The advantages of top-down betting is that those who have used it have a proven track record of success, and with it, you only need minimal sports domain knowledge. The only disadvantages I have seen with this method is that it can be time-intensive and may lead to limitations with certain sportsbooks. In bottom-up betting method, you form your own opinion about the odds by building models or using qualitative insights and tools, which can be particularly useful in less efficient or derivative markets. The advantage of this betting method is that the bettor has a greater control over their analysis, it is suitable for inefficient markets. However, it can require more resources, domain knowledge, and may be harder to quantify the edge. I think most punters are bottom-up bettor. So which are you, a top-down or bottom-up bettor?


I think I would consider myself as a bottom-up bettor.
As what you have mentioned, top bottom would require you a lot of effort and is time consuming. Considering not everyone has the time to look and search for sportsbook and look for better odds, and it seems like this will be just an additional work for you. Not unlike in bottom-up where you can freely make your own analysis about the game which makes it more interesting. And I think this will be more enjoyable because you are allowing yourself to analyze the game or the team that you are betting on, and at the same time you are held accountable on your bets because you are making your own decisions. But I think, bottom-up betting method is best when used by a bettor who are into sports because he can make his/her own analysis and opinion about the game. And the possibility of winning is much bigger.



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October 28, 2023, 07:04:31 PM
 #23

In my opinion, I think I've tried both, it just depends on my interest in the sport I want to bet on. For example, if I don't know much about a sport but want to try it, and maybe I'm tempted to bet on it, or perhaps because I see others showing interest in it, but that rarely happens. Most of the time, I still make my own analysis when betting, I make my own decisions and I think about who has the guts to win. So yeah, maybe I can consider myself a bottom-up bettor too.
There are really sports that we don't know but others know really well, and we shouldn't follow them because the chance for us to lose is high if we will only depend on our own ability or instinct.

If you want to do it badly, then maybe you can be a top-down bettor for that game and do adequate research or analysis only to increase your chances of winning. Not only you but I think almost all of us already tried both of the betting types but we may have stick on one type only as the time passes by. Maybe only few left who up until now are doing both types because like the OP said or described, each of them has their own advantages and disadvantages.

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October 28, 2023, 07:10:35 PM
 #24

I do a lot more sports betting than I do of any other type of gambling.  For me betting NFL Football is my favorite type of gambling.  I guess I'm embarrassed to say that I don't do either Top-down or Bottom-up gambling, as I just use my knowledge of the game and make bets based off of that.  I am pretty obsessive when it comes to the NFL, I have 6 fantasy football teams/leagues and I watch all day long every Sunday, so I do pretty well all things considered.  I should look in to this to give myself an advantage.

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October 28, 2023, 07:32:10 PM
 #25

Most of the time I’m a bottom-up type of better as I do always make my own analysis based on my own research. Finding a reliable source when it comes to bettings seems not easy for me and I can’t trust any source easily especially in betting when your chance of winning are more high since you can analyze and decide on your own. Betting is risky as well, if you trust any betting suggestion then you are increasing the risk of losing the money.
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October 28, 2023, 08:44:01 PM
 #26

From the given explanation, I can say I am one of those bottom-up bettor,  Since more like I  analyze the incoming event and formulate my own analysis before betting.

Finding a reliable source when it comes to bettings seems not easy for me and I can’t trust any source easily especially in betting when your chance of winning are more high since you can analyze and decide on your own.

It is indeed hard to find a reliable source since we have the tendency not to trust others analysis when we ourselves are capable to do so.  Aside from that I also think that it is ok to have a lost bet as long as I used my own understanding and analysis on the game than using other peoples prediction.
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October 28, 2023, 09:34:35 PM
 #27

Maybe we all just need to understand the various patterns in gambling that best fit our personal desires, there's a way we can also go about it by creating new ones that we feels will go along way with us each time we are gambling, some people already have taken their own time to make discovery om some of these patterns we all have to depend on today in gambling, this up to buttom is not what is very common like that to someone like me.



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October 28, 2023, 11:59:09 PM
 #28

The explanation is not  clear enough. They cannot just be two approaches to this because I use the both of them and another one. But I do like that you are confident in your bet at the at the end of the day. I didn't think we xannf

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Westinhome
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October 28, 2023, 11:59:35 PM
 #29

The explanation is not  clear enough. They cannot just be two approaches to this because I use the both of them and another one. But I do like that you are confident in your bet at the at the end of the day. I didn't think we xannf

 The gambler should understand the top down approach of the gambling sites.The top to the bottom way was important at the beginning of the game,but the same can be change when the strategy was not the clear and applicable one.This is just the approach for the same game to recover the loss at the extreme time.The gambler should also increase their pocket holding for implementing of the new approach to the game.Unless the new approach will not begin with the loss of the money for the new approach.Some of the gambler will not ready to face the next approach for the same game.

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