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Author Topic: Do wager affect outcomes in any provably fair games  (Read 1186 times)
uneng
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August 03, 2023, 05:07:03 PM
 #61

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?
Coincidence. Forcing patterns into something we don't understand is something normal so I understand you forcing it like this, but it doesn't really happen. Each bet is, in essence, a separate chance from its previous bets, unless the game states otherwise. The calculations behind it afaik uses algorithms that create pseudo-random results based on, well, randomness. In essence seeing a pattern is just your brain playing with you. I'm pretty sure you wouldn't have noticed that a lot of your other losses/wins had no patterns as well since, well, they were random. And we don't use that to argue that bets are completely random no?
The best example that it's purely coincidence is the fact gamblers use potential patterns on both directions to justify the game is rigged somehow. Like, some say when they raise their bets they start losing, because the house becomes greedy and steal them, while others say they have to raise the size of the bet in order to be rewarded by the casino, otherwise the winnings don't come to the player. Others say it's not about the bet size, but about the time you are playing.

There are theories of every kinds in an attempt to find a pattern on the game, but after all none of them work, because it's everything about luck and randomness.

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August 03, 2023, 06:43:20 PM
 #62

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?

     -    I don't notice what you're saying mate, as long as I play gambling it's just a game without seriousness as it's really just entertainment, there's no calculation going on. like, if I win, thank you, and if I lose, thank you priest. because I was still entertained, there was no resentment or regret for the money I used to match.

Because of the games you mentioned, I only play dice games there from time to time, I also often win there but I only get a small amount and not a large amount either.

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Wiwo
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August 03, 2023, 06:53:21 PM
 #63

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?
My own understanding of your statement is that the casino determine the outcome of a bet and you have more chances of winning when you wager your bet, I don't think that's possible because the outcome of gambling predictions are always determined by skills, strategies and luck and I don't think there's an interrelationship between the outcome of different bets, because the various outcomes can be determined by luck or your skills, and not the server.
 Sometimes what you believe on works for you and that belief might attract goodluck and make you successful sometimes, according to your statement I've notice that you indirectly have a believe in wagering your bets and it works sometimes for you, this is not something that happens in general because some people might try this method and be unsuccessful but I work for you cause that's what you believe on therefore if you add some good skills to your believe you might be very lucky to win a jackpot someday.
Truth is that the higher your wagering the higher your chances of losing the bets and that is why most gamblers prefer to wager less since the chance of winning are limited with multiple wagering,  and for that, we must have to state categorically that wagering has nothing to do with the outcome of the game.

But more also we have to be clear that wagering in multiple times reduces your chances of winning since there is no guarantee of repeated winning
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August 03, 2023, 07:17:39 PM
 #64

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?

Casinos have spent decades, if not centuries, researching and optimizing many various psychological tricks that will entice players into spend more money with them. Every day they have vast pools of additional data to mine through and determine the patterns that an average player will take in all aspects of their account ownership. The flashy games and special promotions are all part of the act, but they are doing their best to manipulate you into spending more and luring you with false promises of victory. Even without any mechanisms that might be manipulating you automatically in the background, the simple fact is that every single bet is independent of the others and each one is weighted towards the house, so they always win in the end - they are completely upfront about the RTP percentage.

R


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BitcoinPanther
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August 03, 2023, 07:30:31 PM
 #65

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?
Coincidence. Forcing patterns into something we don't understand is something normal so I understand you forcing it like this, but it doesn't really happen. Each bet is, in essence, a separate chance from its previous bets, unless the game states otherwise. The calculations behind it afaik uses algorithms that create pseudo-random results based on, well, randomness. In essence seeing a pattern is just your brain playing with you. I'm pretty sure you wouldn't have noticed that a lot of your other losses/wins had no patterns as well since, well, they were random. And we don't use that to argue that bets are completely random no?
The best example that it's purely coincidence is the fact gamblers use potential patterns on both directions to justify the game is rigged somehow. Like, some say when they raise their bets they start losing, because the house becomes greedy and steal them, while others say they have to raise the size of the bet in order to be rewarded by the casino, otherwise the winnings don't come to the player. Others say it's not about the bet size, but about the time you are playing.

There are theories of every kinds in an attempt to find a pattern on the game, but after all none of them work, because it's everything about luck and randomness.

This simply means that gambling result on luck-based games is random, so yeah I agree with you.  We can have a good gambling experience today and tomorrow then have a bad gambling session the next days on the same slot and provider.  It was explained that luck or chance-base game result is dependent on RNG, so no matter what is our strategy or pattern we try to implement, we will never be sure about the result of the game.

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?
My own understanding of your statement is that the casino determine the outcome of a bet and you have more chances of winning when you wager your bet, I don't think that's possible because the outcome of gambling predictions are always determined by skills, strategies and luck and I don't think there's an interrelationship between the outcome of different bets, because the various outcomes can be determined by luck or your skills, and not the server.
 Sometimes what you believe on works for you and that belief might attract goodluck and make you successful sometimes, according to your statement I've notice that you indirectly have a believe in wagering your bets and it works sometimes for you, this is not something that happens in general because some people might try this method and be unsuccessful but I work for you cause that's what you believe on therefore if you add some good skills to your believe you might be very lucky to win a jackpot someday.
Truth is that the higher your wagering the higher your chances of losing the bets and that is why most gamblers prefer to wager less since the chance of winning are limited with multiple wagering,  and for that, we must have to state categorically that wagering has nothing to do with the outcome of the game.

But more also we have to be clear that wagering in multiple times reduces your chances of winning since there is no guarantee of repeated winning

I would like to take it as the higher the amount we wager the higher the amount we are about to lose  Grin.  Since luck-based gambling games depends on the RNG and not on the size of our bet except when the provider itself integrated a code/script to give a set of bonus percentage on winning when wagered higher amount of money(which I think is non-existent).
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August 03, 2023, 10:10:39 PM
Last edit: August 03, 2023, 10:22:23 PM by TimeTeller
 #66

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?

Casinos have spent decades, if not centuries, researching and optimizing many various psychological tricks that will entice players into spend more money with them. Every day they have vast pools of additional data to mine through and determine the patterns that an average player will take in all aspects of their account ownership. The flashy games and special promotions are all part of the act, but they are doing their best to manipulate you into spending more and luring you with false promises of victory. Even without any mechanisms that might be manipulating you automatically in the background, the simple fact is that every single bet is independent of the others and each one is weighted towards the house, so they always win in the end - they are completely upfront about the RTP percentage.

The OP is talking about if the more we wager, the better we have the chance to hit the winnings.
Which for me is not the case here, as it is gambling, so it is based on luck and the house edge of the game.
And if it is provably fair system, your wagering amount has nothing to do with the outcome of your bets.
Check about their RTP percentage and you will understand more about the results of your games.
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August 04, 2023, 01:56:18 AM
 #67

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?

Obviously the longer you gamble, the higher the probability becomes that you will hit win. Unless you are implying that there are casinos that manipulate the game to keep you playing? Of course the reputable casinos would not participate in manipulation so obviously shady and public that it would ruin their reputation if they got caught. And eventually everyone gets caught. But also, the games themselves are usually from third party providers, right? So there must be oversight for fairness. Neither the casino nor the game provider would want to look bad in front of the other. So there are eyes everywhere.

Coming back to your question, there are casinos which have an open source policy. That means you can take a look behind the curtain of inner workings of their games, as long as you can read and understand the code. If not, then there are always people who can understand it and explain it to you.
 

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August 04, 2023, 02:41:47 AM
 #68

No, the outcome has nothing to do with your wager or how long you play. They are absolutely random; you can try employing techniques or patterns, but the results will always be random. Well, I can't blame or prevent anyone from believing that a specific instance could influence the outcome because I'm guilty of thinking the same way occasionally or most of the time, possibly due to emotions.
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August 04, 2023, 03:35:16 AM
 #69

No, the outcome has nothing to do with your wager or how long you play. They are absolutely random; you can try employing techniques or patterns, but the results will always be random. Well, I can't blame or prevent anyone from believing that a specific instance could influence the outcome because I'm guilty of thinking the same way occasionally or most of the time, possibly due to emotions.
When we are new to gambling and have not matured yet, we might think that our experience will lead us to a consistent outcome. Unfortunately, it does not work that way, as every game has its own house edge, which always favors the house. We might win sometimes, but if we continue and consider it a long-term activity, I'm pretty sure we will all end up losing money.

Some might boast because they are winning in gambling, but no gamblers consistently win, especially in games that have a house edge. There might be exceptions for skill-based games like sports betting or card games, particularly poker.

In the end, we will realize that it's better to carefully study the game and our chances to have a realistic approach.

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August 04, 2023, 03:44:55 AM
 #70

Wagering doesn’t at all affect the outcomes of the next bets. It’s just our feelings that gets lucky and we think that. You can yourself verify that sometimes, when we auto bet with small amounts in higher multiplier, it gots hit after 10-20 bets. But majority of the time the multiplier doesn’t gets hit, and we bust the balance. So this proves that no matter how much you wager or how many bets you play, if the client seed is not in favour of yours, then definitely you will lose the balance. So OP this is a myth which is busted.

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August 04, 2023, 03:53:32 AM
 #71

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?
I don't think that was designed that way, maybe it was just a coincidence on your side that you feel it that way. I think this theory of yours will be invalidated when a new account hit some wins and I think when I started playing crypto gambling I never experienced that much lose but after some time, it started to decline.
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August 04, 2023, 05:50:00 AM
 #72

There are theories of every kinds in an attempt to find a pattern on the game, but after all none of them work, because it's everything about luck and randomness.
It's because gamblers are usually desperate to find the so called 'winning strategy' in order to earn big money, but end up getting disappointed later on when such strategies fail in the long-term thanks to the house edge.

Yolo gambling and fixed unit betting are way better in comparison if you ask me.

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August 04, 2023, 06:27:41 AM
 #73

There are theories of every kinds in an attempt to find a pattern on the game, but after all none of them work, because it's everything about luck and randomness.
It's because gamblers are usually desperate to find the so called 'winning strategy' in order to earn big money, but end up getting disappointed later on when such strategies fail in the long-term thanks to the house edge.

Yolo gambling and fixed unit betting are way better in comparison if you ask me.
Indeed , In gambling it is hypocrite to deny that we are aiming for winning but let us also consider the sideways in which the word called LOSING , because in gambling it is more to earn losses than winning and that is the sad reality.
if we will engage in gambling then best also to accept the fact that there are only few who are being friend with luck and we are just looking to be one.
YOLO might be the best to expect .









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August 04, 2023, 08:55:51 AM
 #74

No, the outcome has nothing to do with your wager or how long you play. They are absolutely random; you can try employing techniques or patterns, but the results will always be random. Well, I can't blame or prevent anyone from believing that a specific instance could influence the outcome because I'm guilty of thinking the same way occasionally or most of the time, possibly due to emotions.
The result will show how much we win or lose. But your wager shows how much money you use to bet. But most of the results will be lost because in gambling, the percentage of our losses can be greater than wins, so we must limit the number of bets or wagers. If you use small money, your bet or wagers will not be too big. But if you keep betting for a long time, the bet amount will increase and that will also happen with the wagers only because you can gamble for a long time. And it's different if you increase the bet amount and it will take effect quickly. So it is true that the bet will have no effect on the outcome and it is up to us to use the money.

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August 04, 2023, 02:16:37 PM
 #75

No, the outcome has nothing to do with your wager or how long you play. They are absolutely random; you can try employing techniques or patterns, but the results will always be random. Well, I can't blame or prevent anyone from believing that a specific instance could influence the outcome because I'm guilty of thinking the same way occasionally or most of the time, possibly due to emotions.
The result will show how much we win or lose. But your wager shows how much money you use to bet. But most of the results will be lost because in gambling, the percentage of our losses can be greater than wins, so we must limit the number of bets or wagers. If you use small money, your bet or wagers will not be too big. But if you keep betting for a long time, the bet amount will increase and that will also happen with the wagers only because you can gamble for a long time. And it's different if you increase the bet amount and it will take effect quickly. So it is true that the bet will have no effect on the outcome and it is up to us to use the money.

If a wager requires a specific amount of money which is always a multiple of the bonus amount or bonus winnings from betting that a player must make during online betting, before such a player can withdraw the wins as cash, when the player bets or wagers, it is expected that during loss or wins, that certain limit will be there. The frequency of wagering while betting on an online site, should be more than sufficient to turn your bonus money into real money.
In support to what is said, a wager does little to nothing in affecting the outcome of any probably fair game. It makes instead a players withdrawal of bonuses possible.

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August 04, 2023, 03:08:32 PM
 #76

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?
Coincidence. Forcing patterns into something we don't understand is something normal so I understand you forcing it like this, but it doesn't really happen. Each bet is, in essence, a separate chance from its previous bets, unless the game states otherwise. The calculations behind it afaik uses algorithms that create pseudo-random results based on, well, randomness. In essence seeing a pattern is just your brain playing with you. I'm pretty sure you wouldn't have noticed that a lot of your other losses/wins had no patterns as well since, well, they were random. And we don't use that to argue that bets are completely random no?
The best example that it's purely coincidence is the fact gamblers use potential patterns on both directions to justify the game is rigged somehow. Like, some say when they raise their bets they start losing, because the house becomes greedy and steal them, while others say they have to raise the size of the bet in order to be rewarded by the casino, otherwise the winnings don't come to the player. Others say it's not about the bet size, but about the time you are playing.

There are theories of every kinds in an attempt to find a pattern on the game, but after all none of them work, because it's everything about luck and randomness.

The interesting thing is that all of them may be right, because their sample is n=1, so it is an experiment in which there is only one subject (themselves) trying to prove or disprove an statistical fact, so that is obviously the perfect setup for failure. The correct expression should by "I loose when I raise the bets, with a margin of error of 100% on this".

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August 04, 2023, 03:19:43 PM
 #77

The best example that it's purely coincidence is the fact gamblers use potential patterns on both directions to justify the game is rigged somehow. Like, some say when they raise their bets they start losing, because the house becomes greedy and steal them, while others say they have to raise the size of the bet in order to be rewarded by the casino, otherwise the winnings don't come to the player. Others say it's not about the bet size, but about the time you are playing.

There are theories of every kinds in an attempt to find a pattern on the game, but after all none of them work, because it's everything about luck and randomness.
It depends on what of kind game because games with determined winning chance probability can be proved if rigged or not by having huge number of sample to determine whether the winning chance rate is true or false base on the outcome.

But on games like slot games or other pure luck based that use RNG, Proving them rig is useless because the software behind this games doesn’t determine so there’s no basis to begin for determining their fairness except trust.

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August 04, 2023, 03:35:24 PM
 #78

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?
I don't think that was designed that way, maybe it was just a coincidence on your side that you feel it that way. I think this theory of yours will be invalidated when a new account hit some wins and I think when I started playing crypto gambling I never experienced that much lose but after some time, it started to decline.
You right, like in my previous comment, I explained an experience i had with a friend of mine, if that did not happen in my very eyes, I would have doubted and call it a lie possibly, but i saw the bet history my myself, and aside my friend , there are many other lucky gamblers out there who have won money on their first try gambling, so yeah, amount one have wagered have nothing to do with the possibility of winning, if this was so, old time gamblers will be super rich, and most casinos will be at a big loss since the old time gamblers will keep winning constantly judging from the amount of money they have spent on the casino in the previous years.

So yeah, OPs experience is nothing but a mere coincidence, happens to every gambler from time to time,.

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August 04, 2023, 04:32:25 PM
 #79

I noticed that when I start to play games like keno, limbo, dice, etc. First some bets don't hit and after wagering some percentage of my balance it starts to hit,
How it works? like when we wager we have more probability to hit win, anyone noticed this? Do you know how it works and what is the calculation behind it?, do server sends outcomes by checking our wager?
My own understanding of your statement is that the casino determine the outcome of a bet and you have more chances of winning when you wager your bet, I don't think that's possible because the outcome of gambling predictions are always determined by skills, strategies and luck and I don't think there's an interrelationship between the outcome of different bets, because the various outcomes can be determined by luck or your skills, and not the server.
 Sometimes what you believe on works for you and that belief might attract goodluck and make you successful sometimes, according to your statement I've notice that you indirectly have a believe in wagering your bets and it works sometimes for you, this is not something that happens in general because some people might try this method and be unsuccessful but I work for you cause that's what you believe on therefore if you add some good skills to your believe you might be very lucky to win a jackpot someday.
Truth is that the higher your wagering the higher your chances of losing the bets and that is why most gamblers prefer to wager less since the chance of winning are limited with multiple wagering,  and for that, we must have to state categorically that wagering has nothing to do with the outcome of the game.

But more also we have to be clear that wagering in multiple times reduces your chances of winning since there is no guarantee of repeated winning

While that is true I personally think this fact holds true when betting continuously for a longer time.
But if we take casual breaks in between then it breaks the streak and the next time when we return lets say a day later or two, then we get better results.
I have observed this happening multiple times which is why I tend to breaks inbetween and get better returns.

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August 04, 2023, 05:35:31 PM
 #80

While breaks might introduce a sense of randomness, it's important to remember that gambling outcomes are inherently probabilistic and not influenced by previous results. The perception of improved results after breaks could be due to various factors, including luck or variance. It's crucial to approach gambling with an understanding of the odds and probabilities, rather than relying solely on breaks to influence outcomes.
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