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Author Topic: Does bitcoin price increase after halving?  (Read 1030 times)
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September 26, 2023, 06:54:11 AM
 #21

If we look at the history of Bitcoin halving, there has indeed been a significant increase in the price of Bitcoin. But that happens a few months after the halving occurs, like in 2016, where the price was at $653 in July and only reached its ATH price in December 2017 at $18k.

Then, after 2016, Bitcoin experienced another halving in May 2020. In that year, the price of Bitcoin was at $8788 and only experienced a price increase at the beginning of 2021. It finally reached its new ATH in April at $60k and in November priced at $65k in 2021.

So, looking at that history, the price of Bitcoin may increase again after the halving. And history will likely repeat itself. But whether it will happen a few months after the halving or one year after the halving is still a mystery.

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September 26, 2023, 07:16:24 AM
 #22

Quote
Does bitcoin price increase after halving?

No one has a crystal ball to know what will happen in the future, so asking questions about the future is impossible to answer. But if you believe in bitcoin, believe that history will repeat itself, then you have the right to hope that bitcoin will increase in price and have a new ATH. But you should also think about historical scenarios that will not repeat themselves because the future is unpredictable. But even if that happens, don't worry too much because that doesn't mean there won't be any more price increases. If we look at the growth that bitcoin is achieving, the price increase is only a matter of time.

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September 26, 2023, 07:21:01 AM
 #23

We can't predict that it will happen again. Most of us are really expecting this kind of increase after the halving but still there are times that we think that it may not do a bull run but we still have hope because mining bitcoin is getting harder and harder.

Whether the price of bitcoin goes up or not after halving I still hold my bitcoin until the price goes up because it is my investment and nothing will happen to me if the price doesn't reach it. That is why you should always invest what you can afford to lose so that you won't be expecting much.
Of course it is the safest thing but from what has happened in the past after the halving there will be an increase that will occur and also if we look at the current developments with strong support there should be no need to be afraid and no need to hesitate.
In my opinion, there will most likely be an increase in prices and in fact I am very confident about that, but as you said, it is true that it is much better for us to use unused money so that we don't panic when things are slow or don't happen.

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September 26, 2023, 07:45:23 AM
 #24



It is hard to guess the accurate prediction about btc price after halving but history says that after every btc halving btc price soars to its high. look at the above chart and which show clearly that halving have very good impact on btc price. looking at the current price which is more than down 1.5x from ATH the chances of increase in price is high, However, nothing can be said confirmed because many other factor has also effect on btc price

Besides the having Bitcoin Spot ETF approvals news and FTX postponing the refund are some factors which I think could bring positive movement in btc price, Whales still have lot of extra stable coins and looking for right time. Microstrategy and other have high believe and they are increasing number of btc and we are also hoping so.

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September 26, 2023, 07:52:17 AM
 #25

Nobody is aware of this. The price of Bitcoin might begin to rise in the market as early as three months before the halving, depending on the favorable news that occurs during those times. It may also occur after the halving, but there is no assurance that it will happen.

Anyway, isn't its a smart idea to prepare ourselves to save Bitcoin or other crypto's that we believe will offer us a return when the next halving or bull run occurs by next year?

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September 26, 2023, 08:01:51 AM
 #26

We can't predict that it will happen again. Most of us are really expecting this kind of increase after the halving but still there are times that we think that it may not do a bull run but we still have hope because mining bitcoin is getting harder and harder.

Whether the price of bitcoin goes up or not after halving I still hold my bitcoin until the price goes up because it is my investment and nothing will happen to me if the price doesn't reach it. That is why you should always invest what you can afford to lose so that you won't be expecting much.
Of course it is the safest thing but from what has happened in the past after the halving there will be an increase that will occur and also if we look at the current developments with strong support there should be no need to be afraid and no need to hesitate.
In my opinion, there will most likely be an increase in prices and in fact I am very confident about that, but as you said, it is true that it is much better for us to use unused money so that we don't panic when things are slow or don't happen.

Maybe now it's very good to save it and buy it even though the price increase in the market is not significant and it's just moving at that price, at least we have a lot of patience in investing our funds in Bitcoin, and plan everything without using personal money or daily money. your day, at least it doesn't interfere with your life needs in the future, because everyone or you also know that Bitcoin price movements follow a four-year cycle in which the price of Bitcoin will most likely soar high, whether you believe it or not, that's true. So what do you say about using unused money to invest in Bitcoin, rather than using money for life's necessities because that will disrupt your investment in the future...

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September 26, 2023, 08:11:51 AM
 #27

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.
It can be said that everything you say is true. Because for bitcoin investors, the halving cycle is always something they have been waiting for. Because usually when Bitcoin has experienced a halving cycle, it will usually be followed by a bullish market. Because in this bullish market many bitcoin investors are selling their assets. For example, you can look at bitcoin's halving cycles in recent years. As far as I know, after one year of the bitcoin halving cycle, there was a high increase in the market price of bitcoin. Apart from that, it's not just the price of bitcoin that has increased. However, several other crypto coins were also affected by the bullish market and experienced quite high price increases.

So basically the bitcoin halving can be said to be a sign of a very bright season for bitcoin investors and cryptocurrency investors. Because at that time, bitcoin/crypto investors have the potential to gain very promising profits.

But despite all that, caution must still be applied. Because all bitcoin investors or crypto investors. no one knows for sure whether the next Bitcoin halving cycle will be the same as the previous halving cycle. Because all of that only contains the habits of bitcoin/crypto investors and predictions that always happen every four years regarding bitcoin. So in essence, all predictions and all habits that usually occur can change. And in conclusion, you must always be careful and always analyze Bitcoin independently. Because that way, at least you can overcome all the worst possibilities that might happen to Bitcoin.

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September 26, 2023, 10:59:07 AM
 #28

It is hard to guess the accurate prediction about btc price after halving but history says that after every btc halving btc price soars to its high. look at the above chart and which show clearly that halving have very good impact on btc price. looking at the current price which is more than down 1.5x from ATH the chances of increase in price is high, However, nothing can be said confirmed because many other factor has also effect on btc price
See comparison of current cycle, next halving and previous halvings and past cycles. An article about Bitcon 4-year cycle

In this current time and this cycle together with a coming halving, halving progress is nearly completed, with about 84% loading. Bitcoin price movement is very seasonality and this article about Seasonality with 4-year cycle and halving cycle can help to understand this characteristic of Bitcoin more.

We can not calculate next all time high of Bitcoin price but is it a matter if we buy it now about $26,000 and take profit when it reclaims its 2021 all time high ($69,000)? Even with that humble target price, we already have good profit and don't have to wonder what will be its next all time high.



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September 26, 2023, 12:28:29 PM
 #29

Liquidity is already bleeding out, money is out of crypto right now it seems and normally it's expected that after Bitcoin halving there will.be massive adoption, it's possible and it's expected but halving can't do this alone, there must be new money coming into the space after the halving, or else it will remain a FOMO and it will expire.

Miners will make less Bitcoin per block and that's not good for them but on the other side it's scarcity by nature, yes it makes sense, but recessions are still possible, not until money printers start working fully back again I don't think new money will come into crypto but we can always hope for the best.

I think it's best to prepare yourself past the next halving, things could still get slower after the halving, and many assets will go even lower, set your mind on what will happen after the halving as pumps won't instantly happen after the halving.
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September 26, 2023, 12:47:24 PM
 #30

If you aren't buying bitcoin for long term investing halving shouldn't affect your trading practice. It's a problem when you're buying to trades quick sells for profit so it's going to directly affect your portfolio. There isn't a formula we're able to use to predict what's going to happen.

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September 26, 2023, 01:05:36 PM
 #31

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype. Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.
You have provided a correct picture of the price potential associated with halvings - but halvings are not the only reason why bitcoin prices rise. There are many other factors that support price increases – so price declines and volatility don't just depend on one or two things.

I agree that halving can push the price up due to increased investor interest in bitcoin - halving is also considered one of the good fundamentals for expecting profits from investment. If you believe halving can bring more profits to your investments – then don't ignore the current opportunity.

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September 26, 2023, 01:34:50 PM
 #32

Will it halving the pump or not? no one knows as we can say halving the supply of the bitcoin will cut again and many people say when halving comes invest at that time actually they are not wrong because base on the history of the bitcoin we know after halving the price pumps for this coming year does a chance it will happen or not, it's on the future and nothing wrong to accumulate tho. Of course, like others we would like to see that the bitcoin will overtake the price from the previous 65k. There a WO you can check most of the people share their speculations. 

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September 26, 2023, 01:35:03 PM
 #33

Actually Bitcoin Price was never instantly surging after the halving, it needs few months even a year for the Bitcoin to actually reach new all time high after the previous halving. And what makes the price surging is not the halving itself it's the reduce of mining rewards which cause the reduce of additional supply while the demands for Bitcoin is increasing, that's what make the price surging. So, in another more simple word, there is no guarantee that Bitcoin price will increase after halving.

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September 26, 2023, 01:47:32 PM
 #34

Actually Bitcoin Price was never instantly surging after the halving, it needs few months even a year for the Bitcoin to actually reach new all time high after the previous halving.

Price surging is different on the ATH. ATH is the peak which means the end of price surge. Typically the price of Bitcoin pump before the halving and continuously follow that trend for months or years until it reach the ATH. So technically price surge already happening even before not halving. The ATH is the one that is not instant since it’s the end of the bullish cycle.

And what makes the price surging is not the halving itself it's the reduce of mining rewards which cause the reduce of additional supply while the demands for Bitcoin is increasing, that's what make the price surging. So, in another more simple word, there is no guarantee that Bitcoin price will increase after halving.

Agreed! Price pump is really due to the price speculation of Bitcoin holders and traders. Since the current circulating supply of Bitcoin is still the same when halving occur. Speculation is what creates a temporary hype to pump the price then correct later.

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September 26, 2023, 02:08:21 PM
 #35

Halving events have frequently been associated with increase in price of bitcoin with significant upward momentum both before and after halving. Bitcoin halving often generate increased market attention and hype.
Literally, halving cannot raise the price of Bitcoin, but buying due to joy or analysis can. If we look at Bitcoin's past halves histories, we can see that the price would steadily rise following the halved and eventually explode.

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Expectation of lower supply and likely price increase may fuel positive feelings amongst investors and traders.
Halving will never reduce supply; instead, it will delay supply growth because the mining reward is cut in half.

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Broadanbig
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September 26, 2023, 04:22:59 PM
 #36

To the best of my knowledge and from the little research I have done with respect to Bitcoin halving,  This event occurs once in every 4years which reduces the rate at which miners mine Bitcoin in every 10 minutes. Years past, the minimum rate dropped drastically and it will still reduce come next year 2024. This also reduces the sell pressure as miners are no more selling which somehow affects the price of bitcoin but rather the drop in mining increases the buy pressure on Bitcoin thereby necessitating the rise in the price of bitcoin.

Nevertheless, this price increase sometimes makes people feel it would be a new all time higher than the previous which I think is where people get it wrong. The price after halving might be higher than the previous all time high or it might just be higher than the price it was before the halving takes place but in all, there must be a sharp price increase in Bitcoin after halving but if the price of Bitcoin should increase and to keep increasing, there must be an organic buy market pressure as a result of the demand for Bitcoin. That is why the Bitcoin awareness and adoption campaign should be very much active.

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September 26, 2023, 05:56:45 PM
 #37

We can't predict that it will happen again. Most of us are really expecting this kind of increase after the halving but still there are times that we think that it may not do a bull run but we still have hope because mining bitcoin is getting harder and harder.

Whether the price of bitcoin goes up or not after halving I still hold my bitcoin until the price goes up because it is my investment and nothing will happen to me if the price doesn't reach it. That is why you should always invest what you can afford to lose so that you won't be expecting much.

This is just a speculation that Bitcoin price may go up with coming halving and this speculation is based on previous results of halving's. We are not sure but my personal opinion is that we must hodl till few months after next year halving. Previously price didnt rise immediately after halving but after few weeks. Even if there is no rise after halving one may HODL as Bitcoin bull cycle repeats itself periodically.
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September 26, 2023, 06:02:02 PM
 #38

As long as people continue to believe in the hype, the price will certainly increase, but it's just for the short run. What we have witnessed in the past might happen again, as the hype is big, leading to a buying spree. However, as the hype cools down, that's when people go into panic mode. It hasn't changed since; what we're going to witness in the future could be the same, maybe even bigger, and could lead to another new all-time high for Bitcoin.

What we should do is not miss the party, join it, and take advantage of the opportunity. But bear in mind that to ensure profit, you need to have good timing in buying and selling, as it's crucial for short-term success.

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September 26, 2023, 06:58:26 PM
 #39

The price of bitcoin will likely rise after the halving, but we don't really know whether the price will hit a new ATH or fail. Everything doesn't have to be the same even if all this time ATH is almost certain to be hit after the halving, but considering we are talking about a free market then something is very difficult to predict with certainty.

I believe that price fluctuations will forever exist regardless of whether due to halvings or other reasons, but I think OP's question should be more specific instead of questioning fluctuations. Volatility is a dynamic in the crypto market, but if you are in doubt about its future then it is better to step back or learn more.

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September 26, 2023, 07:55:01 PM
 #40

Yeah - not disbelief, I always believed it was like history repeating itself.

Always see on twitter about the 4 year cycle chart showing the same criteria but it can't all be predicted with certainty, I just need to think positively about this because it is likely to happen, as an investor of course expect an increase after the halving, but my guess is it won't be that easy of course after the halving event has occurred there are several months to see new hype in the market.

Have you prepared for that?  Cheesy
Now we can only speculate, we have to wait longer than now.

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