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Author Topic: Foreign reserves  (Read 368 times)
DrBeer
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November 15, 2023, 07:36:51 PM
 #41


The Yuan cannot become the world's reserve currency (second, third or otherwise) for a simple reason - the Yuan is not stable and cannot provide the level of liquidity that the US has. Plus China is trying, so far without results (except for a couple of not the smartest countries) under the far-fetched ideology of "dedollarization", to transfer some of the nearest countries to the yuan, i.e. to yuanize their economies, making them dependent on the collapsing Chinese economy. More precisely, to make these countries donors of the Chinese economy to save it.

At the same time, China is very happy to sell its goods for DOLLAR. And buys their goods and services from the countries, economic appendages, for YUAN.  This is done for the purpose of saving China's economy by accumulating stable currencies (dollars/euros) and exporting inflation and problems from China via the Yuan, which is accumulated by "China's unfortunate friends"

Your perspective is valid and insightful regarding the challenges China faces in making the Yuan a global currency. These hurdles include stability of financial markets and acceptability of Yuan as a viable global currency. The dominance of US dollar in international trade has deep historical roots, making it challenging for any currency to disrupt established practices and perceptions. While China has succeeded to some extent to promote Yuan in international agreements, there is still a need for concerted efforts through bilateral trade with key trading partners, to further advance its global standing.

In the context of the topic of opening post, it is worth mentioning here that China holds the largest foreign exchange reserves (3.1 trillion US dollars approximately), yet Yuan faces challenges in maintaining stability against the US dollar.

First off - thanks for the assessment Smiley

Secondly - China... how can I explain it in a simpler way....It is probably more accurate to say that China wants to create a "world currency of the second world under the guise of the first world". Let me clarify what I mean.  In order for a currency to become a "world currency", it is necessary not only to desire it, but also to create a lot of conditions. From political and military potential, to influence on the world economy, leadership in technology, conditions, ..... and a dozen other indicators. China now has only a little - a lot of population, a lot of problems, ties with dubious regimes, building a totalitarian regime.... and that's it! Against the background of US advantages - it looks, to put it mildly, "very small".
But China found a group of countries (and hesitant), where logic and reason were replaced by populism and propaganda, and where China was able to slip them the yuan on the wave of absolutely fake hysteria "dedollarization" ! No one else needs the yuan ! From the word ABSOLUTELY NOT NEEDED ! But the export of economic problems through the yuan - for China is an option to solve the problems of domestic economic problems, at the expense of the economies of these victim countries, and officially "friends of China ...

Thirdly - yes, China is the largest holder of US government bonds, and is now increasing their volume again, which is easy to check !

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November 15, 2023, 08:11:19 PM
 #42

Foreign reserves are the foreign currencies reserved by the government of a nation. If the reserve is decreasing, the central bank increase the price of their local currency leading to inflation. A positivity in the value of the foreign reserves indicates good economy.

I just want to ask a question. Assuming people are buying the foreign currencies and hold it in their domiciliary account and not used in another country for buying of goods to be imported, is the foreign reserves decreasing like that? I mean if the foreign currencies is bought by the citizens of a country and hold in their bank account, and not used to buy from another country.

If the citizens are buying a holding foreign currency and holding them in their foreign currency accounts, don't contribute to the country's foreign exchange reserves. as these funds privately owned by the individuals. Foreign change reserves of the country  generally represents holdings of central bank of the country. Moreover, such privately holdings are not utilized for payment of imported goods. In some counties where national currencies are not stable and consistently losing their value against US dollar, the trend of making saving in foreign currencies is growing. However, this trend can lead to further depreciation in the value of local currency against the US dollar, Euro and British pound.

A foreign reserve depends on the country's trade partner. If a country is just importing and Exporting with EU countries then that country might want to hold their reserve currencies in EURO because their exports and imports are mostly with them. In this case that country doesn't need to hold any USD if they don't have a trading relationship with them. Most countries want to use USD for international trade because most of them directly or indirectly trade with USA or their trading partner country.

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November 16, 2023, 01:36:13 PM
 #43


First off - thanks for the assessment Smiley

Secondly - China... how can I explain it in a simpler way....It is probably more accurate to say that China wants to create a "world currency of the second world under the guise of the first world". Let me clarify what I mean.  In order for a currency to become a "world currency", it is necessary not only to desire it, but also to create a lot of conditions. From political and military potential, to influence on the world economy, leadership in technology, conditions, ..... and a dozen other indicators. China now has only a little - a lot of population, a lot of problems, ties with dubious regimes, building a totalitarian regime.... and that's it! Against the background of US advantages - it looks, to put it mildly, "very small".
But China found a group of countries (and hesitant), where logic and reason were replaced by populism and propaganda, and where China was able to slip them the yuan on the wave of absolutely fake hysteria "dedollarization" ! No one else needs the yuan ! From the word ABSOLUTELY NOT NEEDED ! But the export of economic problems through the yuan - for China is an option to solve the problems of domestic economic problems, at the expense of the economies of these victim countries, and officially "friends of China ...

Thirdly - yes, China is the largest holder of US government bonds, and is now increasing their volume again, which is easy to check !

Thanks for your valued comments. China is a fascinating  case of study for the students of Economics and political science. They wonder how could China became a global factory, achieved a remarkable progress with highest GDP growth rate,  and has largest foreign exchange reserves which no other country can match, almost everybody is employed and population living below poverty level is almost zero. China has achieved all this with one party rule and no freedom of speech for citizens. Figuring out , how China did all this in a particular political and economic set up is a big question.












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