Greek 2023–24 Super League Predictions & Discussion

[alani123]

AEK Athena as the top of the standings seems to be in an unfavorable condition because they have to compete with PAOK in maintaining their top position because their difference is only 1 point.

Indeed it's a tough last match for AEK because Aris is a very decent team. In the event that AEK loses or even ends up in a tie with Aris it's possible that their spot as first could be overtaken very easily by PAOK. If they lose Panathinaikos could be also coming in a tie in points with them in the first place, which will be judged by other metrics such as goals.

I was about to post this weekend's match, but you already have. There are a few interesting matches that are worth betting on, such as PAOK vs. Lamia, which you already mentioned; Olympiakos vs. Volos; and possibly AEK vs. Aris. Although AEK has the first position in the Super League, nothing is guaranteed, and Aris' performance is quite decent as well. The rest of them seem like a lost cause to me, and betting on them seems risky. Although I also support OFI, I'm going to stay neutral this time. I'd rather not lose money just because it's our local team. Panathinaikos is most likely to win, judging by their standing.

Indeed I think Panathinaikos and PAOK have easier matches for their last match compared to AEK which is facing Aris who are considered one of the bigger and more historical teams in Greece. It'll be an interesting faceoff for all teams but still Aris doesn't have much to gain from this. Their point difference is too big to enter into a better position. Still fighting for Valor they would still push for a win IMO because winning against the first team in the standings counts a lot.

[alani123]

Damn what an adventurous fucking matchday!


I can't help but wonder how Panathinaikos didn't win against OFI. I surely wasn't expecting that.
Thankfully we won our other bets which was betting on a PAOK win and on an over 1.75 bet on the Aris - AEK match.

We're waiting now for the play-off and the play-out matchups to be placed.

Meanwhile I'm considering starting to track the success of past picks in this thread. Working on an excel now

[Hirose UK]

AEK Athena as the top of the standings seems to be in an unfavorable condition because they have to compete with PAOK in maintaining their top position because their difference is only 1 point.

Indeed it's a tough last match for AEK because Aris is a very decent team. In the event that AEK loses or even ends up in a tie with Aris it's possible that their spot as first could be overtaken very easily by PAOK. If they lose Panathinaikos could be also coming in a tie in points with them in the first place, which will be judged by other metrics such as goals.

AEK Athena vs Aris ended in 3 - 3 draw and this match was really quite surprising because AEK Athena, which is big and quite strong team, failed to win the match, from this draw, PAOK was able to top the standings.
PAOK itself in the match against Asteras Tripolis managed to win with score of 2 - 1 and they got full points in this match, PAOK could have experienced draw but Asteras Tripolis received 2 red cards which made their performance really bad.
Match between the top 2 team was really quite interesting and of course this match resulted in shift in position with still narrow margin, I sure AEK Athena really felt disappointed at failing to get full points in their match.
Competition will continue and we will see perhaps more interesting results later.

[Ultegra134]

AEK Athena vs Aris ended in 3 - 3 draw and this match was really quite surprising because AEK Athena, which is big and quite strong team, failed to win the match, from this draw, PAOK was able to top the standings.
PAOK itself in the match against Asteras Tripolis managed to win with score of 2 - 1 and they got full points in this match, PAOK could have experienced draw but Asteras Tripolis received 2 red cards which made their performance really bad.
Match between the top 2 team was really quite interesting and of course this match resulted in shift in position with still narrow margin, I sure AEK Athena really felt disappointed at failing to get full points in their match.
Competition will continue and we will see perhaps more interesting results later.

Do you mean Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis? Because PAOK was playing against Lamia.

Damn what an adventurous fucking matchday!

I can't help but wonder how Panathinaikos didn't win against OFI. I surely wasn't expecting that.
Thankfully we won our other bets which was betting on a PAOK win and on an over 1.75 bet on the Aris - AEK match.

We're waiting now for the play-off and the play-out matchups to be placed.

Meanwhile I'm considering starting to track the success of past picks in this thread. Working on an excel now

It was indeed one; thankfully, I didn't go ahead and bet on Panathinaikos vs. OFI because it looked too risky; however, I wasn't expecting a draw. The other two matches went great, though, with PAOK winning against Lamia with a score of 2-0 and Olympiakos vs. Volos 3-0. AEK vs. Aris was an interesting one as well. As I had mentioned in my previous post, both teams had great performances over the past matches. Even though AEK is first in the Super League standings, I wasn't confident in making a bet.

[alani123]

So today the league's results will be officiated and a little later there will be a draw to see how games will go in the play off round. The Greek super league holds a hybrid format where the top teams in the rankings after the first phase are put against each other for the league's title as well as spots in champion's league, Europa league and the conference league.

Also the bottom teams battle each other to avoid relegation.

[alani123]

So here's the play-off schedule



It's interesting to see these matches having come out of a draw because some very interesting matchups came out of it.

First off, Panathinaikos with Olympiakos on the first match? Whoah haha. Derby of the eternal enemies again! We already got it so many times this season because aside of just superleague matches there was also the Greek cup. Now the play off format gives us another. Maybe it becomes tiring after a certain point though.

Other interesting matches are PAOK with Aris. And from the big teams AEK seems to have it the easiest.

[Ultegra134]

So here's the play-off schedule

It's interesting to see these matches having come out of a draw because some very interesting matchups came out of it.

First off, Panathinaikos with Olympiakos on the first match? Whoah haha. Derby of the eternal enemies again! We already got it so many times this season because aside of just superleague matches there was also the Greek cup. Now the play off format gives us another. Maybe it becomes tiring after a certain point though.

Other interesting matches are PAOK with Aris. And from the big teams AEK seems to have it the easiest.

Wow, Panathinaikos vs. Olympiakos, the eternal rivals of the Greek Super League; it'll be a hell of a match, and certainly one I'm going to stay neutral for my own sake. I'm more confident that Olympiakos is going to win, but I'd rather not take any sides. AEK vs. Lamia looks like a safe bet. I'd also consider going for PAOK vs. Aris, supporting PAOK, but they're both great-performing teams, and the outcome can hardly be predictable.

What's your take regarding OFI vs. Kifisia? Both have had decent performances in the past few matches. I'm more optimistic about OFI, but it sounds like a risky option if you ask me. This weekend doesn't look as fruitful as the previous ones.

[alani123]

Yeah the playoff format gives so many big matches for the super league. Panathinaikos Olympiakos matches this season however were not that impressive to be honest. Hopefully the playoffs will make up for it.

As of the OFI Lamia match, I don't know. The odds seem too uncertain to draw a conclusion.

I'm not that inspired to take many bets this match day. I think I'll stick to just this bet:

Either AEK scores a lot, or receives a goal but still wins. I think over 1.75 is a safe enough choice for 1.4 odds.

[Ultegra134]

Yeah the playoff format gives so many big matches for the super league. Panathinaikos Olympiakos matches this season however were not that impressive to be honest. Hopefully the playoffs will make up for it.

As of the OFI Lamia match, I don't know. The odds seem too uncertain to draw a conclusion.

I'm not that inspired to take many bets this match day. I think I'll stick to just this bet:

Either AEK scores a lot, or receives a goal but still wins. I think over 1.75 is a safe enough choice for 1.4 odds.

Indeed, this weekend isn't as promising as the previous ones. I'm guessing you meant OFI vs. Kifisia, not Lamia, am I right? I'd consider OFI vs. Kifisia. I suppose it's a nice idea to support the local team, but money is money, and it's likely to end in disappointment. It's quite unclear who's going to win, as both teams share similar performances in the Super League. I'm also leaning towards AEK vs. Lamia for now, and I'll perhaps reconsider OFI, depending on the odds.

[alani123]

Yup you're right I got it wrong too.

Indeed, this weekend isn't as promising as the previous ones. I'm guessing you meant OFI vs. Kifisia, not Lamia, am I right? I'd consider OFI vs. Kifisia. I suppose it's a nice idea to support the local team, but money is money, and it's likely to end in disappointment. It's quite unclear who's going to win, as both teams share similar performances in the Super League. I'm also leaning towards AEK vs. Lamia for now, and I'll perhaps reconsider OFI, depending on the odds.

I'm hoping for an exciting play off season and for once it's good to see someone other than Olympiakos monopolizing the Greek super league tournament as well as qualificaiton to international tournaments. But from what I saw the team's owner is extremely salty for the outcomes so far. Perhaps in the playoffs they'll be pushing hard for a comeback. But it'll surely be hard after such a non-impressive season for them. Panathinaikos also fucked up in the last few matches before playoffs.

[alani123]

Seems like we hit our 1.4 odds on the AEK Lamia match!



Now for the matches on the play-out round that are on March 16... I'm too unsure. I was thinking waiting it out entirely before making any serious bets again on the next play-off match day but... Let's just take a shot...


I've been burned too many times betting on an OFI win. But if I bet on there being more than 2 goals I think I won't lose even if OFI loses. Let's see. 

[Ultegra134]

It's been a while since this thread was updated. I was away for vacations and then returned sick, took me quite a while to get started again. No matches for this weekend, but I'll go ahead and post the upcoming weekend's matchday.

Some interesting matches right there, but I'm not sure if they're worth betting over. I'd be willing to bet over OFI vs. Atromitos, even though I've been burned a few times with OFI as well, Panathinaikos vs. PAOK is a match I'd rather stay neutral, Aris vs. Lamia, I'd say Aris has greater chances, AEK vs. Olympiakos, I'll also stay neutral with this one as well. The rest are quite meh and not worth the risk, at least in my opinion.

What do you think?

[Ultegra134]

Not 100% relevant to the Greek Super League, but did you see yesterday's match of Greece vs Georgia? @alani123, it was such a disaster. The game lasted over 2 hours and finally ended in penalties with a score of 4-2. Our national team has failed to qualify for the European semi-finals, it wasn't a good match, there were plenty of failed goal attempts from our side.

[alani123]

Not 100% relevant to the Greek Super League, but did you see yesterday's match of Greece vs Georgia? @alani123, it was such a disaster. The game lasted over 2 hours and finally ended in penalties with a score of 4-2. Our national team has failed to qualify for the European semi-finals, it wasn't a good match, there were plenty of failed goal attempts from our side.

For real, it was such a disaster! We had possession for most of the match but lost in penalties. I think our players were a bit selfish trying to score a memorable goal with a header instead of getting ball control in front of the goalpost to increase chances of scoring but with a more boring goal.

Anyway, here's a bet suggestion for this match day:


I don't really like the play-off part of the season because it's harder to spot matches that are more secure with good odds to bet on as all teams lower in the league are only matched against each other and vice versa for higher teams. But as lamia made it to playoffs we can see if they have good odds since they are a smaller team matched against all of the toppers in the league. So I'll be taking this bet for an Aris win for the upcoming matchday.

[Ultegra134]

For real, it was such a disaster! We had possession for most of the match but lost in penalties. I think our players were a bit selfish trying to score a memorable goal with a header instead of getting ball control in front of the goalpost to increase chances of scoring but with a more boring goal.

Anyway, here's a bet suggestion for this match day

I don't really like the play-off part of the season because it's harder to spot matches that are more secure with good odds to bet on as all teams lower in the league are only matched against each other and vice versa for higher teams. But as lamia made it to playoffs we can see if they have good odds since they are a smaller team matched against all of the toppers in the league. So I'll be taking this bet for an Aris win for the upcoming matchday.

Yeah, such a disappointment, we had the ball's possession for the majority of the match and didn't manage to score a single goal, even though several attempts were made, I didn't expect us to be eliminated so early on. Well, it seems that we don't have a national team either.

As for this weekend's matches, Aris vs. Lamia is one I was also considering, but what about PAOK vs. Lamia or OFI vs. Atromitos? I know, we've been burned quite a handful of times with OFI, but this might be the time to shine.

[ingiltere]

PAOK finished the regular season as leader but lost to Aris in the Championship Round, a defeat that wasn't in the plan. This weekend they are playing away game with Panathinaikos. They should win this game and make up for the previous point loss. Panathinaikos is a tough opponent. Since Fatih Terim took charge of Panathinaikos they have lost only once and that was against PAOK. I think PAOK will do everything to win this target match. I think Lucescu won't even want a draw.

[Ultegra134]

PAOK finished the regular season as leader but lost to Aris in the Championship Round, a defeat that wasn't in the plan. This weekend they are playing away game with Panathinaikos. They should win this game and make up for the previous point loss. Panathinaikos is a tough opponent. Since Fatih Terim took charge of Panathinaikos they have lost only once and that was against PAOK. I think PAOK will do everything to win this target match. I think Lucescu won't even want a draw.

PAOK has 60 points and is in second place, and Aris is in fifth with 45 points. Although the said defeat wasn't in the plan, it's important to understand that no day is the same, thus, we can't expect the teams to perform at their best in every single match. Moreover, Aris is a great team as well, so it's actually not that surprising that PAOK lost the game.

Now that it's playing against Panathinaikos this weekend, that's a tough match as both teams have shown great performances and are at the top of the standings with only one point difference. It's a match I won't be betting on, as it's way too risky.

[alani123]

Seems like Aris did well against Lamia. They won 3 to 1 but the goals came in a bit late which got me worried that there might not be a winning slip for the tip I had also given. But thankfully we won it.

Thankfully it came tbrough. It was quite an adventurous match day again. AEK keeps winning and maintaining a league but in the next march day they have a hard match and PAOK may pass ahead. We'll see, I will try to give another tip again.

[alani123]

I'm having a hard time picking winners with good odds in the upcoming matchday 

But I think making bets on goals score would suffice. I rarely recommend betting on the match days most popular match, but I think this time it's ok to place a bet on there being over 1.5 goals scored in the Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens match. These teams are in fierce competition and Panathinaikos is really counting on as many wins as possible in the playoffs to proceed with advancing in european tournaments.



I think it'll be a really competitive match which will result in many goals. Don't ask me who might win though 

[Ultegra134]

I'm having a hard time picking winners with good odds in the upcoming matchday 

But I think making bets on goals score would suffice. I rarely recommend betting on the match days most popular match, but I think this time it's ok to place a bet on there being over 1.5 goals scored in the Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens match. These teams are in fierce competition and Panathinaikos is really counting on as many wins as possible in the playoffs to proceed with advancing in european tournaments.

I think it'll be a really competitive match which will result in many goals. Don't ask me who might win though 

I'm going to refrain from participating in any match today; all three games are highly unpredictable, and I find them too risky for my liking. I'd only possibly consider PAOK vs. Lamia; this seems the safest option of all, and to be honest, judging by Lamia's performance in the previous match with Aris, I'd confidently claim that this match could actually be worth betting on. If I were to make a prediction, I'd say that Olympiakos is going to win Aris, PAOK is going to win Lamia and AEK is going to win against Panathinaikos.

We'll be back in a few hours to see how accurate I was.