Mempool Observer Topic

[bitmover]

I sent a 3 sat/vB transaction an hour ago.

Will it be confirmed by tomorrow perhaps?

Probably not.
We don't see this fee rate in a block for about 6 months.

I would use RBF and put at least 12 if you want to see a confirmation tomorrow

[1715281514]

1715281514

[1715281514]

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[1715281514]

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[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 37 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 33 sat/vB
• hourFee: 27 sat/vB
• economyFee: 6 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 3 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 29 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 25 sat/vB
• hourFee: 20 sat/vB
• economyFee: 4 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 2 sat/vB

[cryptosize]

I sent a 3 sat/vB transaction an hour ago.

Will it be confirmed by tomorrow perhaps?

Probably not.
We don't see this fee rate in a block for about 6 months.

I would use RBF and put at least 12 if you want to see a confirmation tomorrow

It was dropped from the mempool, so I sent another one at 12.

Let's see if it makes it...

[examplens]

I sent a 3 sat/vB transaction an hour ago.

Will it be confirmed by tomorrow perhaps?

Probably not.
We don't see this fee rate in a block for about 6 months.

I would use RBF and put at least 12 if you want to see a confirmation tomorrow

I just watched the last few days, price drop + low fee and thought maybe the fee could go below 10 sat/vB. Maybe at some point during the weekend, but he certainly won't come to 3 sat/vB.

At the moment, 11 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 11 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 11 sat/vB
• hourFee: 10 sat/vB
• economyFee: 6 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 3 sat/vB

[pakhitheboss]

I sent a 3 sat/vB transaction an hour ago.

Will it be confirmed by tomorrow perhaps?

Probably not.
We don't see this fee rate in a block for about 6 months.

I would use RBF and put at least 12 if you want to see a confirmation tomorrow

I just watched the last few days, price drop + low fee and thought maybe the fee could go below 10 sat/vB. Maybe at some point during the weekend, but he certainly won't come to 3 sat/vB.

At the moment, 11 sat/vB

It has come down to 3 sat/vB as the minimum fee as per this chart. As per mempool, it does not hold any priority for now. Low priority has now increased to 12 sat/v B.

     

• fastestFee: 11 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 11 sat/vB
• hourFee: 10 sat/vB
• economyFee: 6 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 3 sat/vB

I still do not think it will be confirmed as the transaction fee is more volatile than Bitcoin. A transaction fee of 12 sat/vB or 11 sat/vB could have got confirmed. I do not think it will be confirmed by tomorrow, do keep us posted whether it did or did not.

[cryptosize]

I sent a 3 sat/vB transaction an hour ago.

Will it be confirmed by tomorrow perhaps?

Probably not.
We don't see this fee rate in a block for about 6 months.

I would use RBF and put at least 12 if you want to see a confirmation tomorrow

I just watched the last few days, price drop + low fee and thought maybe the fee could go below 10 sat/vB. Maybe at some point during the weekend, but he certainly won't come to 3 sat/vB.

At the moment, 11 sat/vB

It has come down to 3 sat/vB as the minimum fee as per this chart. As per mempool, it does not hold any priority for now. Low priority has now increased to 12 sat/v B.

     

• fastestFee: 11 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 11 sat/vB
• hourFee: 10 sat/vB
• economyFee: 6 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 3 sat/vB

I still do not think it will be confirmed as the transaction fee is more volatile than Bitcoin. A transaction fee of 12 sat/vB or 11 sat/vB could have got confirmed. I do not think it will be confirmed by tomorrow, do keep us posted whether it did or did not.

It did 6 blocks ago, thanks for the insight.

[stompix]

I just watched the last few days, price drop + low fee and thought maybe the fee could go below 10 sat/vB. Maybe at some point during the weekend, but he certainly won't come to 3 sat/vB.

90vMB of fees on top of the 3 sat/vb ones, you would need 2/3 of a day with no incoming fees just to reach that, close to impossible even for the weekend.
Besides, I assume that going below 5sat/vb would trigger another wave of consolidations just like the 10sat/vb wall did, one week with no events, an increase in block speed back to at least normal (we're currently 22 blocks down the pace), and another weekend and we might reach it.

Still, surprisingly we had one huge spike in price, ordinals still being minted and no jump in fees, quite unexpected.

[cryptosize]

I just watched the last few days, price drop + low fee and thought maybe the fee could go below 10 sat/vB. Maybe at some point during the weekend, but he certainly won't come to 3 sat/vB.

90vMB of fees on top of the 3 sat/vb ones, you would need 2/3 of a day with no incoming fees just to reach that, close to impossible even for the weekend.
Besides, I assume that going below 5sat/vb would trigger another wave of consolidations just like the 10sat/vb wall did, one week with no events, an increase in block speed back to at least normal (we're currently 22 blocks down the pace), and another weekend and we might reach it.

Still, surprisingly we had one huge spike in price, ordinals still being minted and no jump in fees, quite unexpected.

Even with the current fee prices there are lots of consolidations... more than data inscriptions.

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 16 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 15 sat/vB
• hourFee: 13 sat/vB
• economyFee: 6 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 3 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 9 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 9 sat/vB
• hourFee: 9 sat/vB
• economyFee: 6 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 3 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 16 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 15 sat/vB
• hourFee: 13 sat/vB
• economyFee: 6 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 3 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 14 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 13 sat/vB
• hourFee: 12 sat/vB
• economyFee: 4 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 2 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 13 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 11 sat/vB
• hourFee: 10 sat/vB
• economyFee: 4 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 2 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 14 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 12 sat/vB
• hourFee: 11 sat/vB
• economyFee: 4 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 2 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 21 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 20 sat/vB
• hourFee: 17 sat/vB
• economyFee: 4 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 2 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 9 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 9 sat/vB
• hourFee: 9 sat/vB
• economyFee: 8 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 4 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 54 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 51 sat/vB
• hourFee: 48 sat/vB
• economyFee: 10 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 5 sat/vB

[FeeBuddy]

     

• fastestFee: 36 sat/vB
• halfHourFee: 34 sat/vB
• hourFee: 31 sat/vB
• economyFee: 8 sat/vB
• minimumFee: 4 sat/vB