Fed rate adjustment on March 19/20 2024 what will happen?

[Wind_FURY]

I think the price went lower because we just had a massive runup with lots of buying from the ETFs and we aren’t seeing the same inflows continue. I doubt it has anything to do with fed rates decisions. That being said, they want to lower but obviously can’t with inflation starting to tick up again. They should raise and try to pop the AI bubble, but they won’t do that either because we’re already seeing cracks forming in housing and private debt. So I think they’ll do nothing but issue a statement saying they’re keeping an eye on inflation.

THAT was actually what the Federal Reserve should have done two years ago. Tighten aggressively, even if that causes a recession, WHILE the people still have their savings intact. Going through it would be easier because they still have their savings as a fall-back. Currently, the people have less to no savings, more debt, and high interests rates with less money in circulation. An economic collapse now would not cause a Recession. It would be worse, a Depression, and it's harder to recover.

BUT let's hope that Jerome Powell is truly in control, and that he will succeed in accomplishing the "Soft Landing".

No he did exactly what was done back in 2007-2008 a longer flat period.  the cut was needed now not in june.  I smell a repeat of 2008.

maybe 🤔 it will help btc more than I think.

A rate cut is actually not needed now, nor will it be needed in June because inflation remains and will remain to be sticky. Plus everyone is very concerned with CPI, that they forget the other important data to watch, the unemployment rate. Jerome Powell's most important decisions will depend on that because if it surges, he's going to be forced to cut rates and turn on the money printer before the economy crashes into a long depression. But if the unemployment rate remains very low, then rates will also remain higher for longer.

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[philipma1957]

I think the price went lower because we just had a massive runup with lots of buying from the ETFs and we aren’t seeing the same inflows continue. I doubt it has anything to do with fed rates decisions. That being said, they want to lower but obviously can’t with inflation starting to tick up again. They should raise and try to pop the AI bubble, but they won’t do that either because we’re already seeing cracks forming in housing and private debt. So I think they’ll do nothing but issue a statement saying they’re keeping an eye on inflation.

THAT was actually what the Federal Reserve should have done two years ago. Tighten aggressively, even if that causes a recession, WHILE the people still have their savings intact. Going through it would be easier because they still have their savings as a fall-back. Currently, the people have less to no savings, more debt, and high interests rates with less money in circulation. An economic collapse now would not cause a Recession. It would be worse, a Depression, and it's harder to recover.

BUT let's hope that Jerome Powell is truly in control, and that he will succeed in accomplishing the "Soft Landing".

No he did exactly what was done back in 2007-2008 a longer flat period.  the cut was needed now not in june.  I smell a repeat of 2008.

maybe 🤔 it will help btc more than I think.

A rate cut is actually not needed now, nor will it be needed in June because inflation remains and will remain to be sticky. Plus everyone is very concerned with CPI, that they forget the other important data to watch, the unemployment rate. Jerome Powell's most important decisions will depend on that because if it surges, he's going to be forced to cut rates and turn on the money printer before the economy crashes into a long depression. But if the unemployment rate remains very low, then rates will also remain higher for longer.

and this happened in 2007-2008 the cuts took too long and we crashed.

[Wind_FURY]

I think the price went lower because we just had a massive runup with lots of buying from the ETFs and we aren’t seeing the same inflows continue. I doubt it has anything to do with fed rates decisions. That being said, they want to lower but obviously can’t with inflation starting to tick up again. They should raise and try to pop the AI bubble, but they won’t do that either because we’re already seeing cracks forming in housing and private debt. So I think they’ll do nothing but issue a statement saying they’re keeping an eye on inflation.

THAT was actually what the Federal Reserve should have done two years ago. Tighten aggressively, even if that causes a recession, WHILE the people still have their savings intact. Going through it would be easier because they still have their savings as a fall-back. Currently, the people have less to no savings, more debt, and high interests rates with less money in circulation. An economic collapse now would not cause a Recession. It would be worse, a Depression, and it's harder to recover.

BUT let's hope that Jerome Powell is truly in control, and that he will succeed in accomplishing the "Soft Landing".

No he did exactly what was done back in 2007-2008 a longer flat period.  the cut was needed now not in june.  I smell a repeat of 2008.

maybe 🤔 it will help btc more than I think.

A rate cut is actually not needed now, nor will it be needed in June because inflation remains and will remain to be sticky. Plus everyone is very concerned with CPI, that they forget the other important data to watch, the unemployment rate. Jerome Powell's most important decisions will depend on that because if it surges, he's going to be forced to cut rates and turn on the money printer before the economy crashes into a long depression. But if the unemployment rate remains very low, then rates will also remain higher for longer.

and this happened in 2007-2008 the cuts took too long and we crashed.

But what is "too long"? Because if the cut it prematurely, then re-inflation will have a high probability of happening, especially now that inflation is very sticky even though the rates are high. That would make Jerome Powell raise interests and tighten more aggressively. The "higher for longer" policy is Powell's hope that there's a possibility to have a "soft-landing", then cut rates. But I believe a crash must happen before they could cut the rates and pivot to Quantitative Easing. If the unemployment rate does not surge while they achieve their target of less than 2% CPI, then they could start cutting rates, but not before that.

[STT]

Dollar index has risen about 2% since the first week of March, its not yet lost its higher level of movement.   Thats the one I watch but its a macro market and FIAT isnt reliable as a natural market its politics partly too.   So the Federal reserve despite speculation is not likely to drop rates just yet, I do wonder if they do it at all this year and surprise many with a harder stance.    The problem is inflation which they hope to curtail is so elusive and appears in many different sectors separately.

Housing and rising prices there is not contained enough to have FED believe inflation is falling in the hard way it needs to.   In the end they are nowhere near to reversing all the QE done previous so the idea inflation is ever defeated seems like nonsense to me but even by their own logic there are reasons for them not to reduce rates or allow attempts at easier growth policy.

[Zanab247]

It will be a better thing to see if actually this stays, i also noticed it that the fee rate has reduced at a desirable extent, maybe we should expect more of these as we go further because i know things cannot keep being the same way they have always appear, this should be a good news to some and while the miners may actually not find it as interesting like that because they are not earning as before at the cause.

I know that the high rate fees of BTC will drop down but some BTC investors leave BTC investment to altcoins base on the high fee, but what they saw recently surprised them because they thought that the rate fees will remain high like Ethereum but the high rate has reduced to allow BTC investors to continue making big profits from their investment.

I know that this good news will increase the population of BTC investors when bear run occur because, investors like any coin that has low fee charge in the process of transaction so that it will allow them to pay the numbers of workers they want to pay with BTC or any amount of BTC they want to buy from the market.