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Author Topic: Try to stick to your instincts as a gambler  (Read 1175 times)
Dewi Aries
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March 12, 2024, 03:16:14 PM
 #121

This is the thing that bettors hate the most when they don't really believe in their intuition and choose to cash out, but not long after, their intuition turned out to be right and it was very unlucky that they didn't get what they should have gotten. But this is gambling, anything can happen, sometimes we are too sure about something but lose, or conversely we are not too sure but win in the end - it's all luck, so when that happens there's no need to regret it too much.
That is what is killing a lot of gamblers they do not believe in themselves, and what is now the essence of calling yourself a gambler?  because if its always about other people, then you should not complain when you do not win because it's the person's fault, Even those who we think are good at prediction are all luck, and the majority of them are faking their win, which is why people are believing them. and are also losing confidence in themselves. Just continue to play and you will get lucky most of the time because playing every time will give you a better understanding of something, and you will improve. That is how to succeed in gambling.

Depending or following other people's predictions in gambling will actually only make you disappointed at the end of the session, no matter if they basically say and claim that they are very experienced so they can get more wins, you should be suspicious of such ideas because after all in gambling no one is great at predicting if they are nothing more than the same player as you, but if they are a croupier or casino owner themselves then yes maybe their advice can be trusted if they are honest people.

On the other hand you can't say that there is success or a way to achieve success in gambling, logically if there was wouldn't everyone turn to gambling? Or if that were true then obviously people who have jobs would quit and turn to gambling to be able to achieve success in gambling, but the fact is that no one can succeed in gambling by getting a lot of wins that make them rich, We must understand that gambling is still gambling which is an activity that bets your money based on "ignorance" for the results at the end of the session, and also gambling is not an activity that can be learned, this is the reason why someone can lose and win in different sessions because there is nothing to learn to achieve improvement in winning and also there is no consistency in terms of winning. So in essence, play with personal instincts and don't rely on others, and also understand that gambling is not a learnable activity, this is the reason that gambling is always about "uncertainty" about winning and losing, so just play by applying a lot of risk management and if you win it means you are lucky.

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March 17, 2024, 02:36:55 AM
Last edit: March 23, 2024, 02:12:49 AM by wxa7115
 #122

We can actually win or lose in gambling, but the question we should ask ourselves, how are we doing on long term? Sometimes we just want to trick our mind as there are times we felt so confident and we won, with that kind of feeling, we are so overwhelm making us overconfident next time. But the law of average will come to play, eventually we will lose in the long run.

So here's the truth, enjoy gambling, limit your stake to what you can afford only, and everything will be fine since anytime you can stop and resume gambling. It's very simple as that, you don't need to be emotionally attach in every result of your bet, consider it as a daily occurence where losing and winning are possible.
Sometimes I wonder why people make things so difficult for themselves, gambling for those that just want to have some fun is very simple, just assign a budget to it, respect it and have fun.

Only those that are trying to obtain profits with it need to worry about other factors, and even then the majority of those people will do well to forget about reaching their goal, as it is obvious that casinos will do their best to make the life of those gamblers as difficult as they can, which means only the most exceptional gamblers out there can make money with it.
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March 17, 2024, 03:24:16 AM
 #123

Snip
Only those that are trying to obtain profits with it need to worry about other factors, and even then the majority of those people will do well to forget about reaching their goal, as it is obvious that casinos will do their best to make the life of those gamblers as difficult as they can, which means only the most exceptional gamblers out there can make money with it.
The last paragraph catch my attention, do you think we have exceptional gamblers? Because I don't think if there are exceptional Gamblers, gambling is a game of luck and there might not be and exceptional person. Except I haven't met one. For the past few years of my gambling experience I have just noticed that people who seems exceptional are just people whom where lucky to win more frequently but that doesn't make them exceptional may be they where just lucky.
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March 17, 2024, 03:33:46 AM
 #124

We can actually win or lose in gambling, but the question we should ask ourselves, how are we doing on long term? Sometimes we just want to trick our mind as there are times we felt so confident and we won, with that kind of feeling, we are so overwhelm making us overconfident next time. But the law of average will come to play, eventually we will lose in the long run.

So here's the truth, enjoy gambling, limit your stake to what you can afford only, and everything will be fine since anytime you can stop and resume gambling. It's very simple as that, you don't need to be emotionally attach in every result of your bet, consider it as a daily occurence where losing and winning are possible.
Sometimes is wonder why people make things so difficult for themselves, gambling for those that just want to have some fun is very simple, just assign a budget to it, respect it and have fun.

Only those that are trying to obtain profits with it need to worry about other factors, and even then the majority of those people will do well to forget about reaching their goal, as it is obvious that casinos will do their best to make the life of those gamblers as difficult as they can, which means only the most exceptional gamblers out there can make money with it.
When you gamble for fun you feel at ease and happy even at a losing point. When you focus too much on the proceeds you wish to gain from gambling, you can become addicted as time goes and may even become emotional when you don't get a win. There is no exemptional gambler in gambling as every one literally plays to their knowledge and winning is based on luck and not professionalism.
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March 17, 2024, 03:54:00 AM
 #125

Quote from: Natsuu
Predicting sports outcomes is tricky, and the frustration of cashing out too early is real. Maybe next time consider giving your instincts a bit more time before making decisions. It's all part of the game like learn from it and adapt for better results in the future
I know many gamblers who don't joke with their little opportunity that will come their way in a particular sport bet and the moment they discovered that if they cash out they will gain little profits from it, they will not wait till the end of the game before they will cash out from the bet because if you wait till the end of the prediction something may happen that will make you feel bad.

And those that learned from other people mistakes in the gambling, find it difficult to miss such opportunity in their gambling because they know where to take the boldness to cash out and, they know when to exercise patience for the game to see good results at the end.

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March 17, 2024, 10:56:56 AM
 #126

When you gamble for fun you feel at ease and happy even at a losing point. When you focus too much on the proceeds you wish to gain from gambling, you can become addicted as time goes and may even become emotional when you don't get a win. There is no exemptional gambler in gambling as every one literally plays to their knowledge and winning is based on luck and not professionalism.
When you gamble for fun, you will not thinks much about the outcomes because you gamble in your spare times and not thinks to win on gambling. When someone focus too much to gets win, he will in rush playing gambling and not patience with the outcomes he got. If he lose in the game, he will continues and that will be too long before he can win but that doesn't guarantee him could win. When you gamble for fun, maybe you will gets your luck comes and helps you to win because your minds is not thinks about winning on the gambling games. So your luck comes in the right time and at the right gambling games.

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March 17, 2024, 11:36:34 AM
 #127

that's why sometimes gamblers also need to listen to their instincts and not be too hasty to get money. if you choose not to withdraw the money and leave it until the game ends, maybe you will get more money than what you got before. but sometimes withdrawing money early can help you to save your bankroll when the game is not going as smoothly as you hoped. so it's quite difficult to choose to withdraw money or not.

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March 17, 2024, 12:01:16 PM
 #128

that's why sometimes gamblers also need to listen to their instincts and not be too hasty to get money. if you choose not to withdraw the money and leave it until the game ends, maybe you will get more money than what you got before. but sometimes withdrawing money early can help you to save your bankroll when the game is not going as smoothly as you hoped. so it's quite difficult to choose to withdraw money or not.

I'm not a big fan of encouraging people to follow their guts when it comes to gambling. Among the different gambling styles, I have to admit that this one is amongst the funniest ones (if not the most), but it is also risky if you completely deactivate or lose your ability to reason while playing.

As long as you have established some limits and stick to them, you can follow your instinct while gambling, but don't overestimate the power of your intuitions, because although you can win big following this game style, chances are that you also develop excessive confidence in your ability, and that will make you risk more and lose in the future more than you gained.

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March 17, 2024, 12:35:37 PM
 #129

This is the thing that bettors hate the most when they don't really believe in their intuition and choose to cash out, but not long after, their intuition turned out to be right and it was very unlucky that they didn't get what they should have gotten. But this is gambling, anything can happen, sometimes we are too sure about something but lose, or conversely we are not too sure but win in the end - it's all luck, so when that happens there's no need to regret it too much.
That is what is killing a lot of gamblers they do not believe in themselves, and what is now the essence of calling yourself a gambler?  because if its always about other people, then you should not complain when you do not win because it's the person's fault, Even those who we think are good at prediction are all luck, and the majority of them are faking their win, which is why people are believing them. and are also losing confidence in themselves. Just continue to play and you will get lucky most of the time because playing every time will give you a better understanding of something, and you will improve. That is how to succeed in gambling.

Depending or following other people's predictions in gambling will actually only make you disappointed at the end of the session, no matter if they basically say and claim that they are very experienced so they can get more wins, you should be suspicious of such ideas because after all in gambling no one is great at predicting if they are nothing more than the same player as you, but if they are a croupier or casino owner themselves then yes maybe their advice can be trusted if they are honest people.

On the other hand you can't say that there is success or a way to achieve success in gambling, logically if there was wouldn't everyone turn to gambling? Or if that were true then obviously people who have jobs would quit and turn to gambling to be able to achieve success in gambling, but the fact is that no one can succeed in gambling by getting a lot of wins that make them rich, We must understand that gambling is still gambling which is an activity that bets your money based on "ignorance" for the results at the end of the session, and also gambling is not an activity that can be learned, this is the reason why someone can lose and win in different sessions because there is nothing to learn to achieve improvement in winning and also there is no consistency in terms of winning. So in essence, play with personal instincts and don't rely on others, and also understand that gambling is not a learnable activity, this is the reason that gambling is always about "uncertainty" about winning and losing, so just play by applying a lot of risk management and if you win it means you are lucky.
To predict gambling results with enough accuracy to guarantee success is a myth. Chance, not talent, defines gambling. Certain methods and risk management measures can marginally improve probabilities, but it's all luck.

This encourages because rapid wins are enticing, but reality is more difficult and grounded. Understanding gambling risks and uncertainty is crucial. I applaud your distrust of "experts". Gambling competence comes from recognizing its uncertainties and managing expectations and finances properly.

Trusting others for gambling advice or predictions is unwise and leads to disappointment. Bettors' luck is unstable and fluctuates. Gambling can be exciting and hopeful, but no one knows the secret to winning consistently. Gamble carefully, know the risks, and most importantly, realize that the results are unpredictable

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March 17, 2024, 01:45:18 PM
 #130


Today i decided to try one of my sweet predictions in the EPL games. So, i predicted in 4 matches and placed my net. However, during this time i watched my games played so well but two games were holding it and i felt i would lose this game. It was already 83 minutes and i needed these games to play at 87 minutes i gave up and decided to cashout the amount i used to stake since it was the amount that was showing there. I thought it was clear and instead of losing i should rather just get my money back. Just in 15 minutes after i checked the live score and found out that the game played. I felt so angry and unhappy because i have not trusted my instincts if not i wouldn't have cashed out at that time.
I have had similar experience too where I cashed out and later had to regret why I did took that action, I had regretted I would have done better if I had been patient a little more I would have won that game I did cashed out earlier but then I had to move on and not dwell so much on the losses I've already experienced because staying back to dwell on it will only keep me in a more depressed mood than it would rather help me so in other tho be on a safe side I make sure to let go as quickly as possible as I can so I get to have the right mindset to be able to gamble better again.

I'm sure most gamblers aswell have also had similar experience with such as they have cashed out too early and had to regret later of what they actually did initially because they would have won better amount as compared to that which they actually did won cashing out.

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March 17, 2024, 02:17:45 PM
 #131

What if the other way around happened to OP and the decision was executed properly resulting to a win?
Will the statement be changed into "It's also good not to stick with our instincts as a gambler"?

In general, it might be good to stick with our instincts, but sometimes let's also consider other options based on what we think is right to do in that situation. In the end, we only conclude the supposed right thing because of the result we ended up with but it isn't always the result we will get in sports betting.
There's quote "the winner celebrates and the losers explains".

This happens in almost everything, they always imagine and speculate "I should have done it" "I should have tried it" etc etc instead of learning to accept anything that happen with their decision.

Sometime I don't understand with this kind person, in this life we can't have everything because we're only have 24 hours per day.

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March 23, 2024, 02:16:59 AM
 #132

Only those that are trying to obtain profits with it need to worry about other factors, and even then the majority of those people will do well to forget about reaching their goal, as it is obvious that casinos will do their best to make the life of those gamblers as difficult as they can, which means only the most exceptional gamblers out there can make money with it.
The last paragraph catch my attention, do you think we have exceptional gamblers? Because I don't think if there are exceptional Gamblers, gambling is a game of luck and there might not be and exceptional person. Except I haven't met one. For the past few years of my gambling experience I have just noticed that people who seems exceptional are just people whom where lucky to win more frequently but that doesn't make them exceptional may be they where just lucky.
They exist but they are very rare, way more rare than what most people believe, probably the most famous ones are poker players, if you follow poker you will see that most of the time a few known players get to every single final table on the world series of poker.

So they are either incredibly lucky or they have a level of skill which is way above their competitors, with the latter being the only rational explanation for the success they got over the years.
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March 23, 2024, 02:36:52 AM
 #133

Snip
Only those that are trying to obtain profits with it need to worry about other factors, and even then the majority of those people will do well to forget about reaching their goal, as it is obvious that casinos will do their best to make the life of those gamblers as difficult as they can, which means only the most exceptional gamblers out there can make money with it.
The last paragraph catch my attention, do you think we have exceptional gamblers? Because I don't think if there are exceptional Gamblers, gambling is a game of luck and there might not be and exceptional person. Except I haven't met one. For the past few years of my gambling experience I have just noticed that people who seems exceptional are just people whom where lucky to win more frequently but that doesn't make them exceptional may be they where just lucky.
An exceptional gambler doesn't mean a person who always wins, is lucky or never loses in gambling. A lot of gamblers are exceptional if you widen your view, or let's put our attention to those people who are always participating in tournaments or those people who are silent and do not announce their winnings.

We can consider them as an exceptional gambler as they can strive in gambling. You might have a limited view and often see those addicted gamblers who always lose and are unable to control themselves.


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March 23, 2024, 04:00:20 AM
 #134

Though most times this strategy of obeying your instinct when making your preferred selections as a gambler works perfectly but it doesn't  all the time, gambling is a lucky game for me, so as a gambler you most apply any good means that you feel that will be favourable to you for you to achieve your aim.
In gambling, a gambler should know when to say know, though it is very difficult but it can be done, every gambler should device a means of making profit, though it is not a sure thing but someon can decide to be placing a bet on few odds that has a minimal loss outcome with a high stake instead of staking a higher odd with little money.

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March 23, 2024, 04:52:00 AM
 #135

"Try to stick to your instincts as a gambler"
 
What if the other way around happened to OP and the decision was executed properly resulting to a win?
Will the statement be changed into "It's also good not to stick with our instincts as a gambler"?

In general, it might be good to stick with our instincts, but sometimes let's also consider other options based on what we think is right to do in that situation. In the end, we only conclude the supposed right thing because of the result we ended up with but it isn't always the result we will get in sports betting.

Correct. Our instincts are not always correct and sometimes there are good things that happen when we go the other way.
I do rely on my instincts when betting on basketball games, it's the spreads where I am always having a hard time choosing. But we should also try to combine instincts with analysis. If a team mostly wins 10+ lead per game then there's a chance they can hit -10 below spread. But, there are times when we get greedy and add more to that spread telling ourselves it is our instincts that tell us it could happen and that's when we make a mistake. I made some regretful bets too where I didn't follow my instincts but still, I used my own analysis and that just means there's more to learn about the game. I still lack experience and I need to step up my analysis so that I won't be relying in instincts too much.

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March 23, 2024, 04:59:32 AM
 #136

When you gamble for fun you feel at ease and happy even at a losing point. When you focus too much on the proceeds you wish to gain from gambling, you can become addicted as time goes and may even become emotional when you don't get a win. There is no exemptional gambler in gambling as every one literally plays to their knowledge and winning is based on luck and not professionalism.
When you gamble for fun, you will not thinks much about the outcomes because you gamble in your spare times and not thinks to win on gambling. When someone focus too much to gets win, he will in rush playing gambling and not patience with the outcomes he got. If he lose in the game, he will continues and that will be too long before he can win but that doesn't guarantee him could win. When you gamble for fun, maybe you will gets your luck comes and helps you to win because your minds is not thinks about winning on the gambling games. So your luck comes in the right time and at the right gambling games.
Indeed, when gambling is truly based on having fun and getting entertainment, whatever outcome happens will never think deeply about it, even if it is loss because all can think about is being able to entertain yourself at certain time.
Moreover, gambling just for fun can provide feeling of relaxation and make the mind fresher, we really feel the benefits without any negative impacts occurring.
This will be very different from gambling to chase win and in the condition of trying to chase win will always have thoughts and feelings that tend to be more anxious so that don't feel calm.
In conditions like this, defeat becomes frightening result and changes everything, they will have emotions that increase significantly so that there will be much bigger defeat that will never be accepted.
These two attitudes will show different characters because the mindset and approach are also very different.
I have experienced it all and of course it will provide an experience that can change everything now when it comes to gambling.

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March 23, 2024, 05:10:34 AM
 #137

Today i decided to try one of my sweet predictions in the EPL games. So, i predicted in 4 matches and placed my net. However, during this time i watched my games played so well but two games were holding it and i felt i would lose this game. It was already 83 minutes and i needed these games to play at 87 minutes i gave up and decided to cashout the amount i used to stake since it was the amount that was showing there. I thought it was clear and instead of losing i should rather just get my money back. Just in 15 minutes after i checked the live score and found out that the game played. I felt so angry and unhappy because i have not trusted my instincts if not i wouldn't have cashed out at that time.
this is basically a test of your gambling maturity and how good your instinct his but it's not a loose situation In my opinion. So what would have been you view on this if you had continued waiting for the game to finish only to find out that the game did not play out at the end and that half of the money you should have won if you had cashed out have all gone? I guess it would have down on you that you've been a bit greedy and that's when you will probably know the value of the amount you've won.

Learn to know when to walk away. It's gambling and the outcome is uncertain at the end of the day so you have to stick with that reality and and make use of every opportunity you have the chance of winning. Maybe it played out today and the issue of your instinct comes into play but the next day it might not be so, Gambling is a 50/50 situation, you either win or you loose and that's it. When you have the opportunity to win, take the win positively cause you will still loose in some other time.

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March 23, 2024, 06:24:29 AM
 #138

I don't think trusting your instincts is a good idea. Good ideas are to trust your statistics, your research, and the patterns you identify. This is what you really should trust. And instincts are something not entirely clear. What are player instincts? Is this intuition? In this case, the description is very similar to intuition. However, it should be recognized that gambling is often counterintuitive. In other words, game patterns may be counterintuitive. This can only be revealed with the help of statistics and original research.
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March 23, 2024, 06:41:19 AM
 #139

that's why sometimes gamblers also need to listen to their instincts and not be too hasty to get money. if you choose not to withdraw the money and leave it until the game ends, maybe you will get more money than what you got before. but sometimes withdrawing money early can help you to save your bankroll when the game is not going as smoothly as you hoped. so it's quite difficult to choose to withdraw money or not.

This is the art of placing parlay bet which contains of several match selections. In the process when there is 1 or 2 matches to go and we have made some profit already with the other settled selections, we might be interested to cash it out earlier because we are worrying that the last match will not go as what we want. To avoid confusion while the bet is still going on, it is better if we have decided first what we will do with the bet. Let it go until all matches ended or monitoring it then make early cash out if we feel something bad is going to happen.

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March 23, 2024, 09:35:16 AM
 #140

I don't think trusting your instincts is a good idea. Good ideas are to trust your statistics, your research, and the patterns you identify. This is what you really should trust. And instincts are something not entirely clear. What are player instincts? Is this intuition? In this case, the description is very similar to intuition. However, it should be recognized that gambling is often counterintuitive. In other words, game patterns may be counterintuitive. This can only be revealed with the help of statistics and original research.
Doing research and doing analysis before placing a bet would of course be very good to be able to know which team we will bet on, but when we play slot gambling, of course it will be very difficult to guess and see statistics and we can only play the game based on our instincts and of course this will be very risky and also some people can enjoy the game well, of course gambling is very counter to their intuition and almost every gambling will be very difficult to place a bet based on our feelings and we have to bet according to the statistics of the bet that we installed.

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