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Author Topic: Tether's expansion: a good signal for the uptrend?  (Read 134 times)
Vincom (OP)
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April 02, 2024, 01:22:30 AM
Merited by d5000 (1)
 #1

Stablecoins are a game-changer in the crypto market. They provide two key benefits: high liquidity and a safe haven for investors during periods of high volatility. These factors have fueled their rapid adoption.  Tether's USDT is the current leader, boasting a market cap of $105 billion, which makes up a whopping 69% of the entire stablecoin market share [1].

Despite facing legal challenges in the past [2, 3], Tether has emerged as a dominant player in the cryptocurrency market. Its USDT stablecoin is widely accepted, integrated across 16 major blockchains [4]. Tether further bolsters its position by holding the 16th largest stake in US Treasury bonds [5]. Additionally, the company is involved in Bitcoin mining [6] and holds a significant amount of BTC, currently around 75k BTC valued at roughly 5B USD [7].

Back in 2017, the idea of Tether thriving in 2024 as the dominant stablecoin seemed far-fetched. Yet, here we are. But Tether's skyrocketing market cap has raised concerns. Many fear potential consequences for the crypto market if Tether's reserves aren't enough to truly back every USDT in circulation (meaning a 1:1 collateralization).

However, an increase in USDT supply can indicate new money entering the cryptocurrency market. Since USDT is frequently used to buy other cryptocurrencies, this can lead to increased buying pressure, potentially pushing token prices up and contributing to a bullish trend. I think if Tether keeps issuing new USDT, it suggests that there's still demand for stablecoins, which could be a sign that investors are still entering the crypto market and the crypto market is still in an uptrend.

I own USDT. I'm using Binance Simple Earn to earn interest on my USDT while I slowly buy Bitcoin  through DCA strategy. USDT also helps me hedge against the weakening of my local currency compared to the USD. I hope the USDT market remains stable until I can convert my holdings to cash after uptrend.

I would like to know your views on Tether:
  • Is USDT safer than other stablecoins in the market?
  • Are Tether and USDT really important for the development of the crypto market?
  • Could Tether collapse in the future?

References:
[1] DefiLlama: Stablecoin Overview
[2] Cryptocurrency firms Tether and Bitfinex agree to pay $18.5 million fine to end New York probe
[3] CFTC Fines Tether and Bitfinex $42.5M for ‘Untrue or Misleading’ Claims
[4] Tether Token (USDT) to Launch on Celo
[5] Tether: the Q4 2023 report shows stellar profits
[6] Tether plans major expansion into BTC mining with $500M investment: Report
[7] Tether becomes seventh largest Bitcoin holder with recent $618 million purchase

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April 02, 2024, 02:23:52 AM
 #2

ZSD

Untraceable. Decentralized. Doesn't need fiat for collateral.

USDT

Good if you don't care about these things & like hitting the easy button.
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April 02, 2024, 03:41:06 AM
 #3

I own USDT. I'm using Binance Simple Earn to earn interest on my USDT while I slowly buy Bitcoin  through DCA strategy. USDT also helps me hedge against the weakening of my local currency compared to the USD. I hope the USDT market remains stable until I can convert my holdings to cash after uptrend.

What you are doing is what most here will do but did you ever check the APY that Binance is giving on USDT? It is more than any other cryptocurrencies that are listed. Doesn't it look concerning and sound weird as it is a stable coins pegged to USD.



I would like to know your views on Tether:
  • Is USDT safer than other stablecoins in the market?
  • Are Tether and USDT really important for the development of the crypto market?
  • Could Tether collapse in the future?

1. Since it is the first stable coin that is the reason for its popularity and adoption. It is not at all safe to use USDT and I cannot comment on others.
2. It is important depending on the usage, a trader would like to park his funds in USDT in an unstable market. An employer will want to avoid unnecessary charges and delays that he will incur using fiat by using USDT to pay his employee.
3. If USD collapses then USDT will also collapse.

Vincom (OP)
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April 03, 2024, 01:11:31 AM
 #4

What you are doing is what most here will do but did you ever check the APY that Binance is giving on USDT? It is more than any other cryptocurrencies that are listed. Doesn't it look concerning and sound weird as it is a stable coins pegged to USD.
-cut-
3. If USD collapses then USDT will also collapse.
I have never touched Binance's APY, I usually use the Binance app directly on my iPhone instead of accessing it through a third party. Do you mean that Binance owns the largest amount of USDT in data than any other crypto in the market? For example, the USDT in Binance's data is worth more than 105B USD (USDT cap)?

Since USDT is pegged to USD, the volatility of USD's purchasing power will also affect USDT, I think that's a feature. In the worst case scenario, when USD collapses, many people will want to sell USDT and can cause USDT depeg, for example 1 USDT = 0.8 USD. I don't think we will face this risk anytime soon because USD is still the strongest and most popular currency in the world.

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April 03, 2024, 03:27:26 AM
 #5

I would like to know your views on Tether:
  • Is USDT safer than other stablecoins in the market?
  • Are Tether and USDT really important for the development of the crypto market?
  • Could Tether collapse in the future?
first, in my opinion I think that the most safe stablecoin are the ones that get backed up by real USD 1:1 only then its safe or at least its backed up by real asset that don't fluctuate that much we are talking about stability of stablecoin so of course we should also find stablecoin that are backed by stable asset, so if USDT is backed up by these and is audited frequently I think its safe, but i can be wrong of course since im no expert at talking about economic like this.
second, I believe that stablecoin does help in preserving value of wealth for many people there's always reason that the market cap of these stablecoin could grow so high so the fact that these market cap for stablecoin could grow so high means that it helps people dealing with investing or trading a lot, even more so for those that interact with blockchain.
for the last question though, I think nobody know about it, algorithmic stablecoin back then like UST was said to be safe enough until it collapse, so nobody knows.

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April 03, 2024, 08:18:13 AM
 #6


I would like to know your views on Tether:
  • Is USDT safer than other stablecoins in the market?
USDT is the safer stable token along with USDC and DAI. I don't consider other stable tokens to be much safer than these stable tokens.

  • Are Tether and USDT really important for the development of the crypto market?
It was very important for the market. It's also very important for all of traders and crypto investors. How can you avoid the volatility if there will be no stable token exist in the crypto market?
Think about that.

  • Could Tether collapse in the future?


Since it was fully backed and it will not collapse. Tether will collapse if there will a bad result to the result from the assets used to back its stable token.

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April 03, 2024, 10:49:15 AM
 #7


I would like to know your views on Tether:
  • Is USDT safer than other stablecoins in the market?

No. Many have expressed their concerns regarding Tether’s inability to be completely transparent. Tether has a history of not complying to appropriate regulations and not showing proper records and data. On the other hand, there is another stablecoin USDC that is known for being more transparent and safe compared to USDT.

Quote
  • Are Tether and USDT really important for the development of the crypto market?

Yes, it provides investors and traders to convenience as they can now easily buy and sell the coin of their choice. It helps people to fight off volatility of the market.

Quote
  • Could Tether collapse in the future?

If they don’t start working on their records and transparency, there is a chance that SEC might be the one themselves to pinpoint Tether’s flaws. If that happens, tether would be in huge trouble.[/list]

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April 03, 2024, 11:18:05 AM
 #8

Great OP, very thorough & detailed. To respond to the question, I think Tether expanding is a great thing for cryptocurrency. They have had so much regulatory pressure, questions, audits & always come through satisfying demands. I think they will be a huge part of the financial system in the future.

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April 03, 2024, 09:18:45 PM
 #9

What you are doing is what most here will do but did you ever check the APY that Binance is giving on USDT? It is more than any other cryptocurrencies that are listed. Doesn't it look concerning and sound weird as it is a stable coins pegged to USD.
-cut-
3. If USD collapses then USDT will also collapse.
I have never touched Binance's APY, I usually use the Binance app directly on my iPhone instead of accessing it through a third party. Do you mean that Binance owns the largest amount of USDT in data than any other crypto in the market? For example, the USDT in Binance's data is worth more than 105B USD (USDT cap)?

Since USDT is pegged to USD, the volatility of USD's purchasing power will also affect USDT, I think that's a feature. In the worst case scenario, when USD collapses, many people will want to sell USDT and can cause USDT depeg, for example 1 USDT = 0.8 USD. I don't think we will face this risk anytime soon because USD is still the strongest and most popular currency in the world.

USDT team has a large backup in their disposal. They are also one of the whale of bitcoin and they have invested in many assets, so even if USDT depegged it will be short lived. The only time i can see a major correction in USDT is if the government wanted to crack down on the whole company. But for being so big, the seizure of USDT will be catastrophic for the whole crypto industry i don't think the government will do anything like that. But still USDT can be dppegged as it is been done before already.









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April 03, 2024, 10:32:28 PM
 #10

Great OP, very thorough & detailed. To respond to the question, I think Tether expanding is a great thing for cryptocurrency. They have had so much regulatory pressure, questions, audits & always come through satisfying demands. I think they will be a huge part of the financial system in the future.
Thank you, I always try to present my point of view clearly. The topics are often a bit long and require members to spend more time reading, but each person will be able to find the most useful information instead of being skeptical and misunderstanding.

As you said, Tether and USDT have become very important to the crypto market, perhaps the top 3 market cap of USDT has also confirmed this. The collapse of Tether could have a more devastating impact than the incidents that happened to Solana or the allegations related to Binance because it will severely damage market liquidity and investor confidence.

I also believe that if Tether is not fraudulent in its reports and CBDCs are not widely adopted, then USDT will still be a major force and irreplaceable player in the crypto market.

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April 03, 2024, 10:47:48 PM
 #11

Despite that many arguments don't like Tether. With their expansion and global usage, we can't deny that they're one of the most used stablecoins even if we're going to see some CBDCs from different countries and the exchange backed stable coins, many traders and holders prefer to get their holdings into Tether. And as a signal to the trend in the market, somewhere in 2017, they've made a noise about their printing and you know what happened next? Bitcoin's ATH goes to $19k-$20k.



 

 

 

 

 

 


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April 04, 2024, 01:28:33 AM
 #12

I believe that it's good because more and more people get in, and more and more dollars go into the market as well. That's a very important thing because it means that the market is growing and the amount of USDT we have in the market is not enough for it. Or it could also be a bad thing because not enough of it is being sold, meaning that people are in the market and they are holding USDT instead of holding BTC, and that means that people want to stay in fiat and not in crypto too.

But, looking at the situation that would make sense to me in the end, we should be considering the situation a little bit more careful and we could make it a lot better with time. I hope that everyone could get to a level where we can be like this.

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April 04, 2024, 03:08:18 AM
 #13

     For me, there are only two stablecoins that are quite okay to use and these are usdt, and usdc or usd. But often if it is used it is the usdt because it is my only p2p option to exchange it to our fiat currency here in our country.

     Now, if the opportunity comes that I can use other stablecoins to exchange the crypto I get, I think it's fine with me as long as the issue is if I have earned crypto that needs to be exchanged for a stablecoins held of a project is fine I guess.

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April 04, 2024, 07:18:01 AM
 #14

Stable coins are very vital in the crypto market, most especially when an investor wants to sell or buy other altcoins. Due to their liquidity it make it easy to buy and sell or swap to any other coin. But it is not good for long term holding as it is pegged to a traditional fiat currency which means, inflation in that currency will definitely affect the price of the stable coin. I believe the USDT is safer than other stablecoin because, USD is a strong fiat coming from balanced economies. Hence it will do better than other stable coins. Since tether USDT is pegged to a fiat currency, there is still a probability that it might crash if the fiat currency experiences any inflation.
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April 04, 2024, 02:29:29 PM
 #15

Stablecoins are a game-changer in the crypto market. They provide two key benefits: high liquidity and a safe haven for investors during periods of high volatility. These factors have fueled their rapid adoption.  Tether's USDT is the current leader, boasting a market cap of $105 billion, which makes up a whopping 69% of the entire stablecoin market share [1].

Despite facing legal challenges in the past [2, 3], Tether has emerged as a dominant player in the cryptocurrency market. Its USDT stablecoin is widely accepted, integrated across 16 major blockchains [4]. Tether further bolsters its position by holding the 16th largest stake in US Treasury bonds [5]. Additionally, the company is involved in Bitcoin mining [6] and holds a significant amount of BTC, currently around 75k BTC valued at roughly 5B USD [7].

Back in 2017, the idea of Tether thriving in 2024 as the dominant stablecoin seemed far-fetched. Yet, here we are. But Tether's skyrocketing market cap has raised concerns. Many fear potential consequences for the crypto market if Tether's reserves aren't enough to truly back every USDT in circulation (meaning a 1:1 collateralization).

However, an increase in USDT supply can indicate new money entering the cryptocurrency market. Since USDT is frequently used to buy other cryptocurrencies, this can lead to increased buying pressure, potentially pushing token prices up and contributing to a bullish trend. I think if Tether keeps issuing new USDT, it suggests that there's still demand for stablecoins, which could be a sign that investors are still entering the crypto market and the crypto market is still in an uptrend.

I own USDT. I'm using Binance Simple Earn to earn interest on my USDT while I slowly buy Bitcoin  through DCA strategy. USDT also helps me hedge against the weakening of my local currency compared to the USD. I hope the USDT market remains stable until I can convert my holdings to cash after uptrend.

I would like to know your views on Tether:
  • Is USDT safer than other stablecoins in the market?
  • Are Tether and USDT really important for the development of the crypto market?
  • Could Tether collapse in the future?

References:
[1] DefiLlama: Stablecoin Overview
[2] Cryptocurrency firms Tether and Bitfinex agree to pay $18.5 million fine to end New York probe
[3] CFTC Fines Tether and Bitfinex $42.5M for ‘Untrue or Misleading’ Claims
[4] Tether Token (USDT) to Launch on Celo
[5] Tether: the Q4 2023 report shows stellar profits
[6] Tether plans major expansion into BTC mining with $500M investment: Report
[7] Tether becomes seventh largest Bitcoin holder with recent $618 million purchase

I believe in Crypto| BTC Analyst| Trader in good Cex (Bitget and Binance)
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April 04, 2024, 02:34:36 PM
 #16

Stablecoins are a game-changer in the crypto market. They provide two key benefits: high liquidity and a safe haven for investors during periods of high volatility. These factors have fueled their rapid adoption.  Tether's USDT is the current leader, boasting a market cap of $105 billion, which makes up a whopping 69% of the entire stablecoin market share [1].

Despite facing legal challenges in the past [2, 3], Tether has emerged as a dominant player in the cryptocurrency market. Its USDT stablecoin is widely accepted, integrated across 16 major blockchains [4]. Tether further bolsters its position by holding the 16th largest stake in US Treasury bonds [5]. Additionally, the company is involved in Bitcoin mining [6] and holds a significant amount of BTC, currently around 75k BTC valued at roughly 5B USD [7].

Back in 2017, the idea of Tether thriving in 2024 as the dominant stablecoin seemed far-fetched. Yet, here we are. But Tether's skyrocketing market cap has raised concerns. Many fear potential consequences for the crypto market if Tether's reserves aren't enough to truly back every USDT in circulation (meaning a 1:1 collateralization).

However, an increase in USDT supply can indicate new money entering the cryptocurrency market. Since USDT is frequently used to buy other cryptocurrencies, this can lead to increased buying pressure, potentially pushing token prices up and contributing to a bullish trend. I think if Tether keeps issuing new USDT, it suggests that there's still demand for stablecoins, which could be a sign that investors are still entering the crypto market and the crypto market is still in an uptrend.

I own USDT. I'm using Binance Simple Earn to earn interest on my USDT while I slowly buy Bitcoin  through DCA strategy. USDT also helps me hedge against the weakening of my local currency compared to the USD. I hope the USDT market remains stable until I can convert my holdings to cash after uptrend.

I would like to know your views on Tether:
  • Is USDT safer than other stablecoins in the market?
  • Are Tether and USDT really important for the development of the crypto market?
  • Could Tether collapse in the future?

References:
[1] DefiLlama: Stablecoin Overview
[2] Cryptocurrency firms Tether and Bitfinex agree to pay $18.5 million fine to end New York probe
[3] CFTC Fines Tether and Bitfinex $42.5M for ‘Untrue or Misleading’ Claims
[4] Tether Token (USDT) to Launch on Celo
[5] Tether: the Q4 2023 report shows stellar profits
[6] Tether plans major expansion into BTC mining with $500M investment: Report
[7] Tether becomes seventh largest Bitcoin holder with recent $618 million purchase

No doubt, Tether is the leading stablecoin due to its adoption and its success from the previous de-pegging fud that the US government had for it but in a way, it scaled through. Now we have ENA USDe another stable competitor. The last I checked on CMC news about the Stablecoin it was among the top 5 and because of the plans of its decentralisation, it might have more adoption than USDT. But we never can tell!

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April 04, 2024, 10:50:40 PM
 #17

I believe that it's good because more and more people get in, and more and more dollars go into the market as well. That's a very important thing because it means that the market is growing and the amount of USDT we have in the market is not enough for it. Or it could also be a bad thing because not enough of it is being sold, meaning that people are in the market and they are holding USDT instead of holding BTC, and that means that people want to stay in fiat and not in crypto too.

But, looking at the situation that would make sense to me in the end, we should be considering the situation a little bit more careful and we could make it a lot better with time. I hope that everyone could get to a level where we can be like this.
I think USDT cap only has meaning related to the flow of money in or out of the crypto market, not related to the demand to buy or sell crypto. The buying and selling of crypto-stable coins is seen as a swap activity between two people, the total amount of crypto and stable coins does not change, only the price of crypto will change according to market demand.

Money flow into the market can go through many channels like OTC or P2P but stable coin is still one of the most important and popular channels, and it can be easily tracked. Currently, although the market is sideways, USDT continues to be minted, I continue to believe and be greedy instead of being afraid!

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April 04, 2024, 11:45:42 PM
 #18

I believe that it's good because more and more people get in, and more and more dollars go into the market as well. That's a very important thing because it means that the market is growing and the amount of USDT we have in the market is not enough for it. Or it could also be a bad thing because not enough of it is being sold, meaning that people are in the market and they are holding USDT instead of holding BTC, and that means that people want to stay in fiat and not in crypto too.

But, looking at the situation that would make sense to me in the end, we should be considering the situation a little bit more careful and we could make it a lot better with time. I hope that everyone could get to a level where we can be like this.
I think USDT cap only has meaning related to the flow of money in or out of the crypto market, not related to the demand to buy or sell crypto. The buying and selling of crypto-stable coins is seen as a swap activity between two people, the total amount of crypto and stable coins does not change, only the price of crypto will change according to market demand.

Money flow into the market can go through many channels like OTC or P2P but stable coin is still one of the most important and popular channels, and it can be easily tracked. Currently, although the market is sideways, USDT continues to be minted, I continue to believe and be greedy instead of being afraid!

When a large organization or institution wanted to invest in crypto they first made contact with these stablecoin protocols, like USDT or USDC that issued tokens for them. These newly minted token will be used to trade in the open market. That means when money comes to the crypto industry it comes through the stablecoin if the amount is massive and institutional. There can be other ways these institutions might do that, like through OTC trade. But all these billions of dollars worth USDT are caused by institutional investment.









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April 05, 2024, 01:40:16 AM
Merited by Vincom (1)
 #19

In general I think centralized stablecoins like USDT are a double-edged sword. Personally I use them only to park small amounts for a short time.

The problem is that the stablecoin operators are an additional entity you have to trust, aside from exchanges. I would never hold more than very small USDT amounts on an exchange or centralized wallet, because both Tether and the exchange could go bankrupt.

But there's an additional problem not all stablecoin holders are aware of: Most stablecoins, including USDT, can be blacklisted by the operator. I interpret that if you are unlucky, you could be buying USDT at an exchange, withdraw them, and a few hours, days, or even months later some other entity (e.g. another exchange) discovers that these USDT are connected to a hack or theft. Your coins could thus be frozen and I imagine to "unfreeze" them must be a big hassle (I guess you'll have to KYC and show the origin of the funds).

However, an increase in USDT supply can indicate new money entering the cryptocurrency market. Since USDT is frequently used to buy other cryptocurrencies, this can lead to increased buying pressure, potentially pushing token prices up and contributing to a bullish trend. I think if Tether keeps issuing new USDT, it suggests that there's still demand for stablecoins, which could be a sign that investors are still entering the crypto market and the crypto market is still in an uptrend.
In general, the stablecoin supply tends to grow not only in bull markets, but also in the first phase of the following bear market. See this chart about USDT supply:

You can see that the long term trend is going up together with the cryptocurrency market cap, but there is a delay compared to the price curve. You see that after 2021's November high, the USDT supply continued to grow until May 2022 (this was when Terra/Luna collapsed) and then retracted. I interpret this in the following way: In the beginning bear market, many will try to cash out, and thus the USDT demand goes up even if the crypto prices themselves are already sinking. So no, I would not trust stablecoin supply as a significant metric "that we are in a bull market".

To your questions:

Is USDT safer than other stablecoins in the market?

I personally think that USDC may be a little bit safer because its operator, Circle, is a regulated US company (and they are going public soon, it seems, which would make USDC even safer). iFinex (USDT operator) instead is located on a known "tax haven" (British Virgin Islands).
Dai is safer in another way because it can't be frozen. It has however other risks, it can depeg easier, and there is also a kind of "emergency shutdown button" which will be activated if something goes wrong.

  • Are Tether and USDT really important for the development of the crypto market?
I think not, they aren't too important; smaller altcoin exchanges are the only entities benefitting from it because it allows them to offer an USD-pegged value without a "fiat ramp". Specially I think it's bad that the stablecoin market is so concentrated on USDT, because while I think the risk they're collapsing is low, the risk that this collapse would affect the market is high. Take Terra/Luna, which was a small stablecoin but was able to dip the BTC price 30% or even more (we don't know how much of the May 2022 crash was caused directly or indirectly by Terra/Luna).

Could Tether collapse in the future?
I don't think it's as likely as some FUDsters want to make us believe, but it isn't impossible at all.

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April 05, 2024, 01:23:52 PM
 #20

Considering they are trying their hardest ot back it, I would say they have gained some level of trust, that is for sure. However, that doesn't mean that just because they did that, doesn't mean that they are going to end up with anything good, we could see them do terrible as well, we could see them crash. They are growing super fast and I fear that it is going to matter in the end and we could probably end up with something that could crash the entire market, which is why we should be careful with what we are doing.

So all in all, I am guessing that we are increasing the risk we are having right now, but that's fine and I feel like we should be able to overcome this if Tether as a company stays strong like they have so far.

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