Why has bitcoin prices not increased just after halving ?

[KingsDen]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

This is why it is not advisable to encourage people to invest in Bitcoin because bull run is coming. Our only duty is to teach someone about bitcoin and tell them the risk involved in Bitcoin investment. No one knows the direction of the market, the bull run might not be as resounding as we think and could also not happen. Even if it will happen no one knows exactly when and to what extent. Little did we know that bitcoin will meet a new all-time high before halving. Assuming majority of the people knew that a new all-time high would be gotten before halving, everyone would have made the profit they needed and there would be no need for bull run. It is time we understand that there is some kind of destructuring in the Bitcoin network. It is no longer as it used to be when the network is not so huge. No one predicted that a new all-time high will arrive before halving, these also means that after having it is possible that something strange will also happen. In conclusion, invest in Bitcoin because you understand bitcoin and trust bitcoin and not because you want it to make you rich overnight, else you will be faced with a huge disappointment.

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[el kaka22]

People who are expecting the movement right after the halving are people who have not seen the previous halving. I have been here for three, and even with this one four halving I think, and I can tell you that we are not going to really see any big changes at all, we are seeing those changes a few months later. That's of course what I believe will happen, and doesn't mean that we are not going to end up with anything different.

Just focus on the future because halving DOES make it go up, just doesn't do it right afterwards, it takes a couple days for it to get there. I believe that we are going to end up with a much bigger and better result eventually, we just need to make sure that we can wait a few more months to get there.

[Dave1]

People who are expecting the movement right after the halving are people who have not seen the previous halving. I have been here for three, and even with this one four halving I think, and I can tell you that we are not going to really see any big changes at all, we are seeing those changes a few months later. That's of course what I believe will happen, and doesn't mean that we are not going to end up with anything different.

Exactly, I see a lot of them complaining, not just in this forum, but other social media as well and I just laugh because I'm thinking that this individuals haven't seen halving before and they thought that immediately the price is going into parabolic rise.

Just focus on the future because halving DOES make it go up, just doesn't do it right afterwards, it takes a couple days for it to get there. I believe that we are going to end up with a much bigger and better result eventually, we just need to make sure that we can wait a few more months to get there.

Long term. I mean we all know that we have problems with the high transaction fees. But if we can still get and buy Bitcoin and then hold for the next year, we all be good and having a good margin of profits and just let the market run it's course, just be patience and we will see new all time high in the future.

[Falconer]

People who are expecting the movement right after the halving are people who have not seen the previous halving. I have been here for three, and even with this one four halving I think, and I can tell you that we are not going to really see any big changes at all, we are seeing those changes a few months later. That's of course what I believe will happen, and doesn't mean that we are not going to end up with anything different.

Just focus on the future because halving DOES make it go up, just doesn't do it right afterwards, it takes a couple days for it to get there. I believe that we are going to end up with a much bigger and better result eventually, we just need to make sure that we can wait a few more months to get there.

You're right, prices won't increase as fast as they hope. Halving is just an event where the reward miners get for each block is halved, but it is also an indicator that supports it as a good fundamental for expecting big increases.

The price of bitcoin will rise gradually over time, but of course it will take months to expect greater returns. I will just wait patiently until my expected price target is achieved, of course with ignoring the short-term volatility. Beginners should certainly know how the halving impacts prices, they should learn a lot from the experiences of other users instead of hoping to get rich overnight.

[_BlackStar]

-snip-

You're right, prices won't increase as fast as they hope. Halving is just an event where the reward miners get for each block is halved, but it is also an indicator that supports it as a good fundamental for expecting big increases.

The price of bitcoin will rise gradually over time, but of course it will take months to expect greater returns. I will just wait patiently until my expected price target is achieved, of course with ignoring the short-term volatility. Beginners should certainly know how the halving impacts prices, they should learn a lot from the experiences of other users instead of hoping to get rich overnight.

It's unreasonable to expect prices to rise quickly after a halving - I haven't even gotten that in previous halving. Many beginners need to learn a lot and make their own analysis before investing instead of just following the hype and FOMO - this can give them insight and the ability to build their confidence in the market instead of relying on other people's prediction.

In reality - the price is not rising fast, they have to wait, and so do other people ^{[bitcoin holders].} For example, the price can rise quickly the day after the halving - then it is a suspicious activity where the whales may be manipulating the market with the power of their money.

[justdimin]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

This is why it is not advisable to encourage people to invest in Bitcoin because bull run is coming. Our only duty is to teach someone about bitcoin and tell them the risk involved in Bitcoin investment. No one knows the direction of the market, the bull run might not be as resounding as we think and could also not happen. Even if it will happen no one knows exactly when and to what extent. Little did we know that bitcoin will meet a new all-time high before halving. Assuming majority of the people knew that a new all-time high would be gotten before halving, everyone would have made the profit they needed and there would be no need for bull run. It is time we understand that there is some kind of destructuring in the Bitcoin network. It is no longer as it used to be when the network is not so huge. No one predicted that a new all-time high will arrive before halving, these also means that after having it is possible that something strange will also happen. In conclusion, invest in Bitcoin because you understand bitcoin and trust bitcoin and not because you want it to make you rich overnight, else you will be faced with a huge disappointment.

That's true, if you give people the right tools and the warnings, rest is up to them. I mean we all knew what we got into, some of us didn't even knew, and we tried our very best, after that the rest is up to them.

Look at the crypto market, so many people ended up making a mistake because they didn't had all the facts, they didn't know all the situation, and of course they did ended up with a mistake, we should not be worried about something like that, we should worry about the fact that we do not really know what's going on and we should be trying to just argue that if we can help someone then we should, that's about it. I believe that helping as best as we can is the only thing we can do. After that, it's all what they can do.

[arwin100]

People who are expecting the movement right after the halving are people who have not seen the previous halving. I have been here for three, and even with this one four halving I think, and I can tell you that we are not going to really see any big changes at all, we are seeing those changes a few months later. That's of course what I believe will happen, and doesn't mean that we are not going to end up with anything different.

Just focus on the future because halving DOES make it go up, just doesn't do it right afterwards, it takes a couple days for it to get there. I believe that we are going to end up with a much bigger and better result eventually, we just need to make sure that we can wait a few more months to get there.

You're right, prices won't increase as fast as they hope. Halving is just an event where the reward miners get for each block is halved, but it is also an indicator that supports it as a good fundamental for expecting big increases.

The price of bitcoin will rise gradually over time, but of course it will take months to expect greater returns. I will just wait patiently until my expected price target is achieved, of course with ignoring the short-term volatility. Beginners should certainly know how the halving impacts prices, they should learn a lot from the experiences of other users instead of hoping to get rich overnight.

That's the wrong impression of other people which they think that automatically the price would able to increase after halving. It still goes the same which it needs a lot of demands before we can see those good price pumps.

Also people need to have patience to see this and if they get discourage because they don't see what they expect to occur instantly then provably they might dump their coins for these reasons. And they might able to missed the possible bull run if this would take effect after several weeks or months. Maybe they really need to learn or get some experience on current situation so that they can figure out something good which can possibly contribute on their future investment and get successful results.

[YOSHIE]

Why has bitcoin prices not increased just after halving ?

Your question reminds me of one of the experts who speculated on the price of Bitcoin when it entered the halving or after.
He said:

Entering the halving or second quarter, BTC prices immediately fell and dragged the entire crypto market into the red zone. According to him, the massive liquidation taking place in the crypto market has made many investors worried.

Elsewhere I have also seen experts speculating about the price of Bitcoin after the halving.

According to him, after the halving event, Bitcoin has the potential to experience bullishness in the next one to two weeks. Apart from that, Fyqieh said that from a technical point of view, Bitcoin is currently in its resistance area and is back in a bullish condition.

The two sources I mentioned about Bitcoin after the halving occurred, as we saw above, I certainly don't have much to say in terms of the price of Bitcoin, in essence I will consider both speculations to be correct.

[STT]

before

1yr before would be fine advice and a cheap price.  Before as in a day before when its clearly signaled and easily known as an flagged event, this is hardly advice more akin to bet on red.     The market works just like any other price anywhere, if everybody already knows about it then the price reflects the tip or advise or clearly known factors already.  Its in the price, take it as lesson to remember because it happens frequently.

Halvening is a change sure but its an alteration of a repeated 10 minute event.   So there is alot of 10 minute blocks every day, across weeks and months.  Thats the real time frame on BTC, it is confusing that the moves can be sharp but the real vice like movement to halvening is like a tortoise race it matters and it is occurring but the change is slow not sharp and immediate.  I believe that dynamic does matter and we see it reflected in prices.  Your friends will be fine imo, dont worry.

[Jegileman]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

Some days? No, it won’t take some days for the price to take effect as a result of the halving but it would take months and months or even probably a year from now. Introducing people into bitcoin should not be too enticing to them when telling them to join, you will be the one to be blamed if things don’t go as explained to them, just like what you did. This could be their first time attempt and because they’re not seeing the market moving in the direction you’ve told them, they may dislike this investment forever. You made it look so easy to them like it is a get quick rich scheme and that is where the problem contains. Next time, tell people it is a long term investment if they’re willing  to invest in bitcoin.

[dezoel]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

Your good intentions in giving advice to other people regarding Bitcoin being halved are indeed good in general, but on the other hand you also have to realize that in any case not everyone can have the same level of patience so they could blame you. when they start to face risks that are painful for them. So don't blame those who don't have enough patience for what you suggest because you also shouldn't waste more time on people who don't have patience because they will definitely blame you someday.

It would be better if we will ask them first if they have a long patience before we recommend BTC to them or they are the ones who approach for some tips about it. Some people can lie about it which we will not know if we are not around with them at all times but that is already their problem once they complain later on if they did not met their expectations.

The OP already answered his own question there but other than that, maybe the tension on some countries are also responsible for it. The price is still high so it may not be a big deal for some who bought before but the ones that bothers them is the sudden increase in transaction fees.

[serjent05]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

This is why it is not advisable to encourage people to invest in Bitcoin because bull run is coming.

Isn't it a right timing to invest in Bitcoin because a bull run is coming?  When do you suggest to invest in Bitcoin?  When the bear market is coming?  Since the bull run is coming, those who invested before the bull run will surely get a profit when the bull run comes.  I believe it is best to accumulate Bitcoin before the bull run and not before the bear market take place.

The current Bitcoin transaction hike is not because of the higher volume of Bitcoin transactions but because of the Rune that is launched right after the Bitcoin hlaving.

 

Our only duty is to teach someone about bitcoin and tell them the risk involved in Bitcoin investment.

Actually, we do not have any obligation to teach anyone about Bitcoin.  Teaching people about Bitcoin is voluntary not mandatory unless you are paid for it.

No one knows the direction of the market, the bull run might not be as resounding as we think and could also not happen. Even if it will happen no one knows exactly when and to what extent.

That is why we need to accumulate either through bulk buying or DCA before the bull market take place.

Little did we know that bitcoin will meet a new all-time high before halving. Assuming majority of the people knew that a new all-time high would be gotten before halving, everyone would have made the profit they needed and there would be no need for bull run.

Whether one needs a bull run or not, the bull market may occur if the recent price is more than 20% of the current market bottom.  It is a natural occurrence of a market regardless of whether people need it or not.

[Fatunad]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

Your good intentions in giving advice to other people regarding Bitcoin being halved are indeed good in general, but on the other hand you also have to realize that in any case not everyone can have the same level of patience so they could blame you. when they start to face risks that are painful for them. So don't blame those who don't have enough patience for what you suggest because you also shouldn't waste more time on people who don't have patience because they will definitely blame you someday.

It would be better if we will ask them first if they have a long patience before we recommend BTC to them or they are the ones who approach for some tips about it. Some people can lie about it which we will not know if we are not around with them at all times but that is already their problem once they complain later on if they did not met their expectations.

The OP already answered his own question there but other than that, maybe the tension on some countries are also responsible for it. The price is still high so it may not be a big deal for some who bought before but the ones that bothers them is the sudden increase in transaction fees.

One of the most common newbie behavior is that they are really that impatient on which on the time that they would really be making out some investment or have decided to throw up some bucks into Bitcoin or crypto then they would already be  that expecting that it would really be having a pump on the 1st day of their waiting and on the time that they've seen it dropping then this is the time that they would really be freaking out on which this is really something that a very common newbie mistake on such behavior. On the time that they would really be able to gain up sufficient experience on how this market works then they would really be soon laughing into themselves that they have those kind of laughable thoughts initially and pretty sure that majority of us did really able to pass up into this kind of phase. 

In regarding about post halving price increase then its not something a guaranteed. There's no such thing about assurance even if we do have that halving event.
Usually prices would be starting up to climb after several months of post halving event but no one really knows the exact dates of course.

[kawetsriyanto]

~ prices won't increase as fast as they hope. Halving is just an event where the reward miners get for each block is halved, but it is also an indicator that supports it as a good fundamental for expecting big increases.

Indeed. The price won't suddenly skyrocket, it takes time for a significant increase. It is not a new altcoins that may skyrocket just in few days because of a hype. Bitcoin is an established coin that grows gradually. Let's give it the time for growing day after day. Even if it looks a bit slower, but it looks like to grow as we expect.

The price of bitcoin will rise gradually over time, but of course it will take months to expect greater returns. I will just wait patiently until my expected price target is achieved, of course with ignoring the short-term volatility. Beginners should certainly know how the halving impacts prices, they should learn a lot from the experiences of other users instead of hoping to get rich overnight.

If we look at the history of the previous bullrun seasons, it may need some months or even a year to increase significantly. It probably will be at the end of this year or in the early of 2025 to see the big move in Bitcoin price. Bitcoin has just reached its new ATH few weeks ago ($73k), it should take time to have another new ATH. So, it is true that we must be patient to wait for the next big pump of Bitcoin price.

[Finestream]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

This is why it is not advisable to encourage people to invest in Bitcoin because bull run is coming. Our only duty is to teach someone about bitcoin and tell them the risk involved in Bitcoin investment. No one knows the direction of the market, the bull run might not be as resounding as we think and could also not happen. Even if it will happen no one knows exactly when and to what extent. Little did we know that bitcoin will meet a new all-time high before halving. Assuming majority of the people knew that a new all-time high would be gotten before halving, everyone would have made the profit they needed and there would be no need for bull run. It is time we understand that there is some kind of destructuring in the Bitcoin network. It is no longer as it used to be when the network is not so huge. No one predicted that a new all-time high will arrive before halving, these also means that after having it is possible that something strange will also happen. In conclusion, invest in Bitcoin because you understand bitcoin and trust bitcoin and not because you want it to make you rich overnight, else you will be faced with a huge disappointment.

You are right there. People should not rush into bitcoin in order to ride with the bull run, because that may only cause high pressure on the part of investors and may only get frustrated if their awaited bull run does not meet their expectations. It’s better that they will invest without knowing bull run so they won’t chase for it, and invest when the market is still bearish so they will be able to maximize their purchase and gain massive profits when they decide to sell after years of hodling their coins.

[Hamphser]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

This is why it is not advisable to encourage people to invest in Bitcoin because bull run is coming. Our only duty is to teach someone about bitcoin and tell them the risk involved in Bitcoin investment. No one knows the direction of the market, the bull run might not be as resounding as we think and could also not happen. Even if it will happen no one knows exactly when and to what extent. Little did we know that bitcoin will meet a new all-time high before halving. Assuming majority of the people knew that a new all-time high would be gotten before halving, everyone would have made the profit they needed and there would be no need for bull run. It is time we understand that there is some kind of destructuring in the Bitcoin network. It is no longer as it used to be when the network is not so huge. No one predicted that a new all-time high will arrive before halving, these also means that after having it is possible that something strange will also happen. In conclusion, invest in Bitcoin because you understand bitcoin and trust bitcoin and not because you want it to make you rich overnight, else you will be faced with a huge disappointment.

You are right there. People should not rush into bitcoin in order to ride with the bull run, because that may only cause high pressure on the part of investors and may only get frustrated if their awaited bull run does not meet their expectations. It’s better that they will invest without knowing bull run so they won’t chase for it, and invest when the market is still bearish so they will be able to maximize their purchase and gain massive profits when they decide to sell after years of hodling their coins.

People are rushing and expect that after day 1 of halving event they are really that longing for that huge long green candle on the chart. lol

For those who havent been able to experience bull run then they would really be having that kind of approach or beliefs that they do have in mind since they do lack that awareness and experience.
On the time that they've been wary about on how this market works then they would really be that tending to adjust accordingly. It do really still takes time but of course its something that would
not be known on when it would happen. It is really just that people are really that too impatient on things on which they do really believe that they could really be able to handle it out
so easily and did expect that price pumps could really happen afterwards.

[AnonBitCoiner]

It's unreasonable to expect prices to rise quickly after a halving - I haven't even gotten that in previous halving. Many beginners need to learn a lot and make their own analysis before investing instead of just following the hype and FOMO - this can give them insight and the ability to build their confidence in the market instead of relying on other people's prediction.

In reality - the price is not rising fast, they have to wait, and so do other people ^{[bitcoin holders].} For example, the price can rise quickly the day after the halving - then it is a suspicious activity where the whales may be manipulating the market with the power of their money.

According to my experience most of the people have just bought Bitcoin because they were assuming that market will automatically go higher once halving takes place but it is not true because the quick effects of halving have not been seen in previous halving. If such people have used their knowledge then they don't need to buy accurately to other people's estimation and now they will not be questing about the timing of halving effects.

If there were sudden and quick effects of halving then people will sell their assets one day after halving and will leave the market but there is no known limit of all the time high value and no exact time is known therefore people can take profit by using their tolerance here.

[avp2306]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

This is why it is not advisable to encourage people to invest in Bitcoin because bull run is coming. Our only duty is to teach someone about bitcoin and tell them the risk involved in Bitcoin investment. No one knows the direction of the market, the bull run might not be as resounding as we think and could also not happen. Even if it will happen no one knows exactly when and to what extent. Little did we know that bitcoin will meet a new all-time high before halving. Assuming majority of the people knew that a new all-time high would be gotten before halving, everyone would have made the profit they needed and there would be no need for bull run. It is time we understand that there is some kind of destructuring in the Bitcoin network. It is no longer as it used to be when the network is not so huge. No one predicted that a new all-time high will arrive before halving, these also means that after having it is possible that something strange will also happen. In conclusion, invest in Bitcoin because you understand bitcoin and trust bitcoin and not because you want it to make you rich overnight, else you will be faced with a huge disappointment.

You are right there. People should not rush into bitcoin in order to ride with the bull run, because that may only cause high pressure on the part of investors and may only get frustrated if their awaited bull run does not meet their expectations. It’s better that they will invest without knowing bull run so they won’t chase for it, and invest when the market is still bearish so they will be able to maximize their purchase and gain massive profits when they decide to sell after years of hodling their coins.

People are rushing and expect that after day 1 of halving event they are really that longing for that huge long green candle on the chart. lol

For those who havent been able to experience bull run then they would really be having that kind of approach or beliefs that they do have in mind since they do lack that awareness and experience.
On the time that they've been wary about on how this market works then they would really be that tending to adjust accordingly. It do really still takes time but of course its something that would
not be known on when it would happen. It is really just that people are really that too impatient on things on which they do really believe that they could really be able to handle it out
so easily and did expect that price pumps could really happen afterwards.

Not good for people to think about it will be done automatically after the halving event occur. They need to understand that eventhough we already reach at this phase still there's a lot of things to consider. And if they are not happy with current movement then I guess they don't have long patience and maybe they just newly experience this season on bitcoin. It really takes time before we can see some pumps if this is what they are waiting for and for sure that those people who are still holding will be lucky but those people got disappointed and afraid for a dump to came might regret what decision they do especially if these people will think about to dump all their holdings because they don't want to lose their money.

[Kelvinid]

Bitcoin mining fees has increased considerably today after halving but there are no effect on bitcoin prices. I suggested some friends to invest before and they are blaming me for the suggestion. I told them to wait for final effect as it can take some days for effect on prices but they are impatient.

We are all wrong about it because it is the fees that badly increase while the price drops. This is probably because the majority are selling their BTC causing a huge drop. But this does not say it will be like this until this year because I was still optimistic it would come soon and kept on waiting for the new ATH. Just like the previous halvings, it never pumps right after halving but just after a few weeks. 

The market moves in a roller coaster, up and down -- and every pump happens, there is always a drop to follow, and vice versa.
Indeed, impatient people keep on complaining and too much expectation will somewhat affect our minds negatively.

[jaberwock]

Why has bitcoin prices not increased just after halving ?

Your question reminds me of one of the experts who speculated on the price of Bitcoin when it entered the halving or after.
He said:

Entering the halving or second quarter, BTC prices immediately fell and dragged the entire crypto market into the red zone. According to him, the massive liquidation taking place in the crypto market has made many investors worried.

Elsewhere I have also seen experts speculating about the price of Bitcoin after the halving.

We will definitely see a lot of talking heads to say one or the other, there will always be people who will try to speculate about bitcoin and the price, that is not even just bitcoin related stuff, it is something that we are going to end up seeing about every asset, you are going to see people who will say invest into real estate, you will see people who will say it will crash and you shouldn't, or you will see people who will suggest getting nvidia or tesla stocks, or you will see people who will say that it's gone too high and you should avoid it.

At the end of the day, we are going to always have people who will say one thing positive, and another person who will say something negative in the end as well that's important.