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Author Topic: Post halving investing strategy.  (Read 515 times)
YOSHIE
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April 28, 2024, 03:25:13 PM
 #21

So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.
Considering that the halving has been completed and a new ATH has been formed against Bitcoin, so personally of course there is no definite strategy for me in terms of investment, but if you look at trading it might be a good opportunity for the current situation, What is certain is that I don't dare to take risks in the current situation, of course the reason is based on previous experiences.

Bitcoin is indeed a good option to consider, whether it's investment, trading and so on, for me the risk is high for a situation like now, but if you are able to consider the risk, Of course you don't need to hesitate in your decision, you have choices for everything you have to do with your bitcoins.

But you also need to consider information and advice from Bitcoin experts that you know near you, so that you will be more comfortable investing in Bitcoin.

R


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April 28, 2024, 03:26:47 PM
 #22

With the halving event come and gone,  we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,
After all the hypes leading to the previous halving event which drastically surge the price of Bitcoin at that time, investors are meant to invest before the halving and then sell after the demand, because demand Wil be high and supply will be low, which will aid the surge in price of BTC, thereby putting BTC in the bull direction, which will in turn affect other altcoins,
So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.
You're making some confusion when you talk about "low supply after the halving": the bitcoin's supply is always the same, what is changing after the halving is the reward for the miners, which is cut in half after every halving so what we are actually experiencing is a lower offer of "new" bitcoins because many miners need to sell part of the bitcoins they receive as reward to cover the mining costs and maintenance.

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AprilioMP
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April 28, 2024, 03:47:26 PM
 #23

With the halving event come and gone,  we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,
After all the hypes leading to the previous halving event which drastically surge the price of Bitcoin at that time, investors are meant to invest before the halving and then sell after the demand, because demand Wil be high and supply will be low, which will aid the surge in price of BTC, thereby putting BTC in the bull direction, which will in turn affect other altcoins,
So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.

Investing in Bitcoin in my opinion is quite simple when investors have explored finding out about Bitcoin. When the exploring stage is complete and you know how Bitcoin is from many angles, there is no doubt about buying and holding.
For Bitcoin investors who have invested in Bitcoin for years and have experienced the benefits, I can be sure that it is no longer a priority but a necessity when all their basic needs are no longer disturbed.

2024 is the fourth halving based on a four-year cycle. Count back the years of the third, second and first halvings and note what the price of Bitcoin was at each halving.
In the process of achieving this fourth halving on 4/20, block height: 840000 and rewards: 3,125 BTC per block, institutions and large companies have started buying up Bitcoin in large amounts to include in their portfolios which are well known for receiving ETF approval.

The question is why they are willing to make such purchases on Bitcoin.
There's no way they would be stupid in doing that.

R


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April 28, 2024, 04:07:03 PM
 #24

With the halving event come and gone,  we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,

I don’t consider the current halving to give huge impact on decreased supply and increased the demand since the circulating supply of Bitcoin is already near the 100% circulation. We are just talking about 1M+ Bitcoin compared to the current circulation of 19.6M already. So the decrease on rewards is not that a huge impactful compared to the previous halving on the last ~14 years of Bitcoin existence.

I think the Bitcoin halving event is more on a symbolic event since it was often being use for price speculation for Bitcoin that makes the price move during this event. For me, Bitcoin is destined to growth steadily since the demand is increasing due to global adaptation and not because the block rewards is decrease because the remaining mineable coin is not that huge anymore.

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April 28, 2024, 04:32:36 PM
 #25

Accumulation is the best post halving strategy. Problem here is with misconception and misunderstanding of how the market behave during halving. If we would look back previous Bitcoin halving, bullrun did not start the moment this event happened. It took place months or almost a year after halving. And if things would be the same with the recent halving, then we may expect for a correction or crash before the uptrend. Thus, this is the moment to invest and fill your bags in preparation to "true" bullrun. Personally, I am waiting for that moment to re-invest. However, we cannot blame people who would hesitate to also do so, simply because no one's certain of the market price action. DCAs would help but nothing's will be guaranteed as we all know.

Just know how much potential this industry is having and trust that potential. If you're too afraid then waiting for further market confirmation would be always an option. Always prioritize managing the risk no matter what. As cliché as it sounds, invest an amount you can afford to lose.

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April 28, 2024, 06:38:53 PM
 #26

You're making some confusion when you talk about "low supply after the halving": the bitcoin's supply is always the same, what is changing after the halving is the reward for the miners, which is cut in half after every halving so what we are actually experiencing is a lower offer of "new" bitcoins because many miners need to sell part of the bitcoins they receive as reward to cover the mining costs and maintenance.
But post-halving also reduces the rate at which new coins are produced which reduces the supply of Bitcoin in the market leading to an increase in price.

I don’t consider the current halving to give huge impact on decreased supply and increased the demand since the circulating supply of Bitcoin is already near the 100% circulation. We are just talking about 1M+ Bitcoin compared to the current circulation of 19.6M already. So the decrease on rewards is not that a huge impactful compared to the previous halving on the last ~14 years of Bitcoin existence.
The current price movement shouldn't be used to predict how high the price could get. It is generally known that Bitcoin price doesn't go high immediately after the halving. It will take some months for the market to begin to feel the impact. I am predicting that the impact of this current halving will be massive and my assumption is based on the fact that Bitcoin reached ATH even before the halving. I suspect that the increase in institutional investors will be one of the factors that will take Bitcoin at least $100k.

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hatshepsut93
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April 28, 2024, 07:07:55 PM
 #27

After all the hypes leading to the previous halving event which drastically surge the price of Bitcoin at that time, investors are meant to invest before the halving and then sell after the demand, because demand Wil be high and supply will be low, which will aid the surge in price of BTC, thereby putting BTC in the bull direction, which will in turn affect other altcoins,

The problem is, in each bull run demand was speculative. It was not demand to use Bitcoin as a currency or as store of value, but demand demand to buy Bitcoin and sell it in a few months or a year at a higher price. This type of demand is unsustainable and eventually collapses, causing a bear market.

It's very likely that the bull run will resume, but the open question is how long will it last and how high it will get before crashing. There are optimists who say that there will be a supercycle and Bitcoin will get really high, but they say it all the time, the so-called permabulls. There's also a prediction that the price will peak lower than most people expect, because there's a trend of lower and lower relative increase of bull run peaks.

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April 28, 2024, 07:22:38 PM
 #28

What's new? Halving actually reduces adding new coins to the circulating supply, not the total supply anyway. It just reduces the mining rewards and, at the end of the day, less Bitcoin adds to the circulation than previous Halving. However, for Bitcoin investment, the DCA strategy would be a better option now. Because the market seems very volatile, we can't expect a sudden dump at this point. So keep accumulating on each dip you find. If you are lucky, you may get a good return in a short time; otherwise, just hold on until a great pump. 

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April 28, 2024, 08:18:03 PM
 #29

First needs to understand what halving does first before one starts making investment decisions or creating strategies for it. The halving doesn't reduce the current circulating supply causing a steep rise in the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies but it reduces the block reward which means that the increasing supply reduces and not the current supply. So if anyone was expecting to see the market rising right after the halving event, they probably didn't have any knowledge about it or had studied the past of the market.

If the market starts going up right after the halving event or before it, it will only be because a lot of new investors might enter the market knowing that the market would go up after the halving and they will get profit from it, and it wouldn't be because of the halving event itself.

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April 28, 2024, 08:39:51 PM
 #30

Speaking as a "Newbie", it's a little strange to me to see 'instructional' posts being made by "Newbies" themselves. However, I'm new, and don't know the clientele yet.   Grin
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April 28, 2024, 09:42:41 PM
 #31

With the halving event come and gone,  we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,

Hold on a sec, the halving doesn't exactly make the total supply of Bitcoin low, although it does slow down the creation of new coins. It's like turning down a faucet from full blast to a light trickle. This doesn't stop the flow completely and doesn't reduce the amount of water you already have in the bucket. 

As far as I know the halving does not slow down the creation of a new coins but rather lower the reward per block which @OP is somehow correct since instead of the previous 6.25 to 3.125 so the reward does become lower which means the incoming supply of Bitcoin to become lower.

This reduced flow, paired with steady or increasing demand, could theoretically drive prices higher over time.  However whether that happens depends on many factors.  Its not guaranteed. 

True that, considering the law of supply and demand, if the market losses demand, even if the supply becomes lower, then it is not a guaranteed increase in price since the price is always proportional to the demand over supply.

But if we look at the previous Bitcoin cycle the halving event is one of the good entry point to Bitcoin investment because of the tendency of the market to surge and record new ATH after few months .
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April 28, 2024, 10:13:49 PM
 #32

So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.
We've been telling that even before the halving happens and during the bear market. But how many are listening actually to these suggestions? I have no idea how many are. But it's not that everybody are going to sell all that they've got when we surge again and see BTC on another ATH, many are just going to stay and hold and do nothing even if the price is good to take profits. They've got a longer term and plan for BTC and holding it is the best option for them. Remember all of those whales btc addresses that didn't moved for a decade and the others for several years? They've got a long term plan for themselves and even reaching ATH after ATH, they remain steadfast and calm because they know what's going to happen and they're following their long game plan.

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April 29, 2024, 02:58:28 AM
 #33

So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.
Prioritizing investing into Bitcoin is for me the best strategy when it comes to investing in crypto. The rewards are lower though, but the risk is lower as well. Based on the history of Bitcoin, its price goes up significantly 12-18 months after the halving event, and even though there are some who thinks that the event is causing its price increase, many believe that it is since the inflation goes down due to the rewards cut down to half hence, supply rate decreases.

Anyway, since we might be entering the bull market a few months from now, I guess it's worth risking some of your money into some lower market cap coins. What I mean when lower market cap coins are those that are at the top 51-100 in Coingecko. Right now, that's what I'm doing because I believe that altcoins are more volatile than Bitcoin thus, it gives higher reward than Bitcoin. I did some research of course, and for sure many can do the same as well.

Overall, risk management is always a factor when it comes to investing. If you can't handle the risk investing into some meme coins, shitcoins, or new projects out there, better invest into Bitcoin and other top altcoins. Learn when to sell as well, and have some selling targets. Smiley

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Smack That Ace
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April 29, 2024, 03:27:03 AM
 #34

With the halving event come and gone,  we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,

I don’t consider the current halving to give huge impact on decreased supply and increased the demand since the circulating supply of Bitcoin is already near the 100% circulation. We are just talking about 1M+ Bitcoin compared to the current circulation of 19.6M already. So the decrease on rewards is not that a huge impactful compared to the previous halving on the last ~14 years of Bitcoin existence.

I think the Bitcoin halving event is more on a symbolic event since it was often being use for price speculation for Bitcoin that makes the price move during this event. For me, Bitcoin is destined to growth steadily since the demand is increasing due to global adaptation and not because the block rewards is decrease because the remaining mineable coin is not that huge anymore.

That's what's going on, but many people don't seem to realize that there are only about 1 million unmined bitcoins left, and this number is so small compared to the amount of bitcoins circulating outside. Many people have never even checked the circulating bitcoin supply and how many bitcoins are unmined. They just rely on previous habits that halving will boost bitcoin price because supply in the market will be more scarce after halving.

The halving story has become so familiar to everyone, including newcomers, and everyone expects a bullish season after the halving, but when everything becomes too predictable. Will the bull season come after the halving like previous cycles? I bet that in the coming time, many people will get discouraged, disappointed and leave the market, which is inevitable if they are still too dependent on the halving.

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April 29, 2024, 04:36:12 AM
 #35

Because this is a Bitcoin discussion board, I will exclude discussions about Altcoins even though they have the potential to experience a big spike after the Halving and early preparations ahead of the Altseason.
Halving only impacts the rewards received by miners and does not have any impact on the amount and nature of Bitcoin held by investors other than price fluctuations. The supply of Bitcoin will not decrease due to the Halving, the Halving only causes the speed of new Bitcoin releases by cutting miner rewards which is a good pattern for Bitcoin to maintain its scarcity.

Some investors hope that Bitcoin's value will continue to balloon after the halving, like the pattern that occurred in previous halvings. However, they should not be carried away by FOMO because movements are not always as expected and can be a point of retreat in the initial asset value. Bitcoin movements can be influenced by various complex factors, making predictions more difficult, so it is necessary to prioritize the principles of risk management so as not to get caught in post-halving FOMO which has the potential to experience significant financial losses.
 

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April 29, 2024, 07:12:24 AM
 #36

With the halving event come and gone,  we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,
if they are having to do this better did back when the price is still low because look at
now if they are really going to invest why is the prices dropping low?

Quote
After all the hypes leading to the previous halving event which drastically surge the price of Bitcoin at that time, investors are meant to invest before the halving and then sell after the demand, because demand Wil be high and supply will be low, which will aid the surge in price of BTC, thereby putting BTC in the bull direction, which will in turn affect other altcoins,
but this scenario is not coming any time soon as we can observe the movement of bitcoin
and altcoins now not going closer to your prediction now, we are in waiting season now if what to do either to buy or sell.

Quote
So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.
buy bitcoin while its dumping , look at it now close to 61k usd once again.


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April 29, 2024, 02:05:16 PM
 #37

Some investors hope that Bitcoin's value will continue to balloon after the halving, like the pattern that occurred in previous halvings. However, they should not be carried away by FOMO because movements are not always as expected and can be a point of retreat in the initial asset value. Bitcoin movements can be influenced by various complex factors, making predictions more difficult, so it is necessary to prioritize the principles of risk management so as not to get caught in post-halving FOMO which has the potential to experience significant financial losses.
That "complex factor" say is just basically the market sentiment or the whole economy. Apparently while the Bitcoin halving is being anticipated, there are wars, coming election, heat index, and many issues around the globe that keeps many assets from rising but to remain in consolidation. Which also mean one thing which is price may trade higher anytime soon because it also have a lot of reason to go higher once the economy settles for good.

So instead of getting feared out, take that as opportunity to invest and buy more at lower prices. Bitcoin price is not dumping, it is just correcting for higher prices in the future.

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May 01, 2024, 08:36:33 PM
 #38

Although your prediction may be correct, I think on the contrary, if newbies want to invest, now is the best time. Bitcoin is correcting and if lower prices are not established in the coming days then I believe there will be no second chance this year. This could be bitcoin's final correction before we enter the official bull season.

Investing in bitcoin, we should not bargain too much because the market is unpredictable, just because of bargaining for 10-15%, we will have to pay the price later for missing the x2 x4 bullet train. So invest as soon as possible.
What prediction? Is it when he said that BTC will still decline in value? IMO I don't consider this as a prediction but it's only normal and highly possible because of a part of a market cycle called bear run.

There is also a correction, a decrease and a dip. For those who has the patience and wants to save, they can always wait for that but if not, well, they can start from now on. They might miss the potential heights and maybe regret a little but I'm sure they can easily move on because they know they are patient enough to HODL and wait for a much stronger bull run. By the time we hit our latest ATH, I think that also means that the bull run have officially started. Maybe your expectations are only high for you to not consider it as one but don't worry because I also believe that this is not the end of the bull run yet.

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May 02, 2024, 12:25:04 PM
 #39

With the halving event come and gone,  we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,
After all the hypes leading to the previous halving event which drastically surge the price of Bitcoin at that time, investors are meant to invest before the halving and then sell after the demand, because demand Wil be high and supply will be low, which will aid the surge in price of BTC, thereby putting BTC in the bull direction, which will in turn affect other altcoins,
So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.
Investing in Bitcoin at this time actually looks like a very brilliant idea because as at today and while typing this the price of Bitcoin has gone down a little as compared to the price just before the halving soiys very obvious that there's a temporary bear and if you actually take a look at the chart on the monthly time frame you will observe that Bitcoin has made a bounce off the resistance three times so a slight bear is going to happen to effect some corrections which is a better opportunity to buy low because after now it may likely be a massive bull which will be very profitable to early investors but hoping on during the bull may not be actually profitable as much as it will be currently.

This halving seem to have taken a different path from the regular so like you have rightly advised, proper risk management too should be followed so as to be on a very safe end of the market directions, unlike under halving there used to be a preceding bear but we experienced what seemed like a panic bull before the halving a d after the halving is a temporary bear but I'm very optimistic about a bull market soonest so to be watchful applying proper risk management for traders will keep your portfolio afloat in the long term.

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May 02, 2024, 12:51:13 PM
 #40

My investment strategy always remains the same, no matter what’s the price. I believe that Bitcoins are limited in numbers and hence very valuable. So whenever I have funds to spend, I just buy the coins and invest in it for long term. No matter what’s the price, no matter what is the condition of the market, i just buy the coins irrespective of its price. Hence post halving I will again follow this and will keep on accumulating the coins regularly.

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