[Cosmopolis] Prepare for Bitcoin $266 Retest

[cosmofly]

Ive been constantly correct in regards to market manipulation indicators by Chinese traders and accurately predicting exact date of Bitcoin's failure to go beyond $700 and reach current levels. My math based predictions also inspired copy cats who failed misreably.

I've been getting countless PM from peasants about my next math based prediction, after consulting my (now famous) math genius autistic friend who has always been right, prepare for this:

Bitcoin will test $400 floor in the coming days.

We have a 48% (rounded off) chance of retesting $266 +/- $100 margin of error within the next 2 weeks

You know why $266

It will bounce up from $400 and fail breach only if manipulation continues from China, I'm betting on short exit

I also have insider information that the China news is def real, look for the signs and ask the right questions

[1713876331]

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[arepo]

you come off as an overinflated buffoon, but you may just be close in your predictions, again

[T.Stuart]

This might sound like bad advice, but maybe anyone who is not 100% certain that they will hodl at 266 should get out now for the good of Bitcoin, or devise some kind of ultimate cold storage.

Odysseus got his friends to tie him to the ship's mast so that he could go mad listening to the Sirens without endangering his ship and crew. Something like that would be good.

...Otherwise you might be the one to break the multi-year bull market!  

[BittBurger]

Cosmo:

Work on your delivery.   You are extremely off-putting, and that adversely affects your ability to convince people of your accuracy.

Phrases like "math genius friend" don't make people go "Ooooooohhhh!".  They make people go:   

-B-

[Sawadekub]

so if your predictions are right and china ban bit coins.. when will btc hit 600-1k range? 1m? 2m? 3m? 6m? 1 y?

[cosmofly]

This might sound like bad advice, but maybe anyone who is not 100% certain that they will hodl at 266 should get out now for the good of Bitcoin, or devise some kind of ultimate cold storage.

Odysseus got his friends to tie him to the ship's mast so that he could go mad listening to the Sirens without endangering his ship and crew. Something like that would be good.

...Otherwise you might be the one to break the multi-year bull market!  

Remember, 48% chance

[solarflare]

It's just awesome to see all the weak hands leaving the market.
I didn't think we would see more of it, but just looking at reddit and around here you can tell that more and more people are getting desperate.

And thanks for the analysis cosmofly, it confirms that I should wait a little longer before buying moar

[cosmofly]

Cosmo:

Work on your delivery.   You are extremely off-putting, and that adversely affects your ability to convince people of your accuracy.

Phrases like "math genius friend" don't make people go "Ooooooohhhh!".  They make people go:   

-B-

Reality is also not v glitzy or convincing

I only say what's real

[dragonseer]

Can't tear myself away from bitcointicker.co at the moment, this is getting ugly!  $444 and dropping..

[Edward50]

Once I saw $480 last night, I easily see bitcoins hitting in the $200's.

I've been saying all along these high bitcoin prices are not sustainable. Everybody wants to get rich, it can't really keep going on like this.

The transfer of wealth has begun from the people who got out early.

[kooke]

Because buying bitcoins at high prices is going to make everyone rich... Right.

[Easy2Mine]

@OP My I have your wallet address for donation.

[BittBurger]

It's just awesome to see all the weak hands leaving the market.

Agreed.  And the more of them that bail, the more valuable our stash becomes.    Because the more rare it will be to own as many as we do, when the price goes up and leaves the weak hands, empty-handed.

At least I think that's how it works :-P

-B-

[roslinpl]

Good time to buy some BTC's!

But ... Hell know is it going down some more or is it going to stop!

266$ would be a way to low.

[BittBurger]

Good time to buy some BTC's!

But ... Hell know is it going down some more or is it going to stop!

266$ would be a way to low.

$266 would get a shit ton of friends of mine on board actually.   Those who have been waiting months just for that type of price.

-B-

[akujin]

post some gf pics 

[DPoS]

back when BTC was in the $900's and the fiat inflows were being crimped everywhere while the outflows got wider and wider you had to be a dense fool to not sell your lion's share before this downfall

and now you have miner companies with ubermines dumping as fast as they can chip more coin off the blockchain

throw any charts into the shitter

[killinitsoftly]

I foresee bitcoins dropping down to approximately $300, then a slow and steady climb up until... who knows.
 

[segeln]

and now you have miner companies with ubermines dumping as fast as they can chip more coin off the blockchain

selling theyr bitcoins whilst falling Prices .
Does not Sound reasonable

[DhaniBoy]

$266 is too low maybe
if it happen, many miners won't get profit from their mining

[IamComrade]

All hail cosmofly, I've been waiting for your next prediction. Thank you for sharing you have never been wrong.

I have buy orders at $430 and lower in a chain

[dropt]

and now you have miner companies with ubermines dumping as fast as they can chip more coin off the blockchain

selling theyr bitcoins whilst falling Prices .
Does not Sound reasonable

I'm pretty sure they don't give a shit.

[dropt]

$266 is too low maybe
if it happen, many miners won't get profit from their mining

What do you mean?  How much do you figure it costs the miners to produce a coin?

[GigaCoin]

$266 is too low maybe
if it happen, many miners won't get profit from their mining

What do you mean?  How much do you figure it costs the miners to produce a coin?

a lot of miners get their energy for free or at subsidized rates so costs can be low, most of them already covered their asic investment costs selling into the recent bubble. I know someone who runs a small-sized asic farm who gets his energy at very low rates. It really depends on how much rent and energy you pay to keep your asics running.

i wouldn't be surprised if miners are dumping bitcoins even at current rates

[cosmofly]

Good time to buy some BTC's!

But ... Hell know is it going down some more or is it going to stop!

266$ would be a way to low.

$266 is April ATH

[dragonseer]

$266 is too low maybe
if it happen, many miners won't get profit from their mining

What do you mean?  How much do you figure it costs the miners to produce a coin?

a lot of miners get their energy for free or at subsidized rates so costs can be low, most of them already covered their asic investment costs selling into the recent bubble. I know someone who runs a small-sized asic farm who gets his energy at very low rates. It really depends on how much rent and energy you pay to keep your asics running.

i wouldn't be surprised if miners are dumping bitcoins even at current rates

How many of these people running asic farms took out loans to buy the equipment? And how long could they survive a sustained bitcoin low before having to sell their gear? That's what I'd like to know at the moment

[roslinpl]

As we see price is not really showing it's possibility to drop to 266$

Rather 700$ tomorrow than 266$ at any time.

[GigaCoin]

As we see price is not really showing it's possibility to drop to 266$

Rather 700$ tomorrow than 266$ at any time.

if u have spare fiat, no harm buying a little at current rates, it's actually a great price IMO. just don't deplete it, keep some for the way down if it happens (if China ban turns out to be the real deal)

[cosmofly]

As we see price is not really showing it's possibility to drop to 266$

Rather 700$ tomorrow than 266$ at any time.

China

[dragonseer]

As we see price is not really showing it's possibility to drop to 266$

Rather 700$ tomorrow than 266$ at any time.

China

Yeah, I'm not sure people here realize, China is happy to buy bitcoins and then sell them 30 seconds later at a lower price, if they want to drive it down, you can't stop them

[CurbsideProphet]

OP makes a prediction that he himself gives a 48% probability (in other words, a fancy way of saying, "I don't know go flip a coin.") then pats himself on the back if his "prediction" comes to fruition.  

Perhaps BTC will test $266, there's too many god damn newbies in this place anyway but maybe you should make a real prediction before putting yourself way up on that pedestal.  

[T.Stuart]

As we see price is not really showing it's possibility to drop to 266$

Rather 700$ tomorrow than 266$ at any time.

...China

... is already becoming old news, let's face it.

[pungopete468]

I can't see any less than $300 for more than 1 hour without a major protocol problem. Even now the market is frenzied at $450. This is despair...

[IamComrade]

post some gf pics  

Yes please! Cosmo's gf is super hot

[dropt]

$266 is too low maybe
if it happen, many miners won't get profit from their mining

What do you mean?  How much do you figure it costs the miners to produce a coin?

a lot of miners get their energy for free or at subsidized rates so costs can be low, most of them already covered their asic investment costs selling into the recent bubble. I know someone who runs a small-sized asic farm who gets his energy at very low rates. It really depends on how much rent and energy you pay to keep your asics running.

i wouldn't be surprised if miners are dumping bitcoins even at current rates

And you shouldn't.  I would bet the corporate farms are dumping their mined coins as usual. FWIW, my base cost per coin mined is ~$103.  I'm not sure how that compares to average miner, but at least it's one data point that can be used going forward.

[cosmofly]

$266 is too low maybe
if it happen, many miners won't get profit from their mining

What do you mean?  How much do you figure it costs the miners to produce a coin?

a lot of miners get their energy for free or at subsidized rates so costs can be low, most of them already covered their asic investment costs selling into the recent bubble. I know someone who runs a small-sized asic farm who gets his energy at very low rates. It really depends on how much rent and energy you pay to keep your asics running.

i wouldn't be surprised if miners are dumping bitcoins even at current rates

And you shouldn't.  I would bet the corporate farms are dumping their mined coins as usual. FWIW, my base cost per coin mined is ~$103.  I'm not sure how that compares to average miner, but at least it's one data point that can be used going forward.

They dump no reason to hold.

[YipYip]

Its going to go down in a short period of time

COMOTARDOPiLIS

[YipYip]

There is a BEARISH outlook that will test previous low resistance points soon !

COMOTARDOPiLIS

[YipYip]

I have a retarded friend whose drool fell on the low side of a chart i showed him and he grunted for pudding instead of a fruit cup !!

COMOTARDOPiLIS

[YipYip]

Ok so you get the point of this bullshit wagon ...anyone can make vague predictions with fluffy words

This is how the Psychic industry has been getting away with their scam for 100's of years

FACTS ARE FACTS

COMOTARD whats your prediction for BTC $USD price for July 31st this year ?

[cosmofly]

Ok so you get the point of this bullshit wagon ...anyone can make vague predictions with fluffy words

This is how the Psychic industry has been getting away with their scam for 100's of years

FACTS ARE FACTS
 
COMOTARD whats your prediction for BTC $USD price for July 31st this year ?

Its math based , not crystal ball.

Love the hate  

I share valuable info, you should view this thread as a privilege.

[Dalmar]

cosmofly has been quite accurate so far. so, who knows.

''China has turned Bitcoin into World's largest Casino & Fooled you all''
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=488485.0

 

[BittBurger]

post some gf pics  

Yes please! Cosmo's gf is super hot

Above we see two of Cosmo's other fake usernames on this forum.  lol.

[coinmunity]

If BTC goes to $266, GH/s shares on CEX will be cheap!

[YipYip]

Ok so you get the point of this bullshit wagon ...anyone can make vague predictions with fluffy words

This is how the Psychic industry has been getting away with their scam for 100's of years

FACTS ARE FACTS
 
COMOTARD whats your prediction for BTC $USD price for July 31st this year ?

Its math based , not crystal ball.

Love the hate  

I share valuable info, you should view this thread as a privilege.

Well what do your maths say comotard ?

So your maths dont work past short term

Maybe next year at High school you will learn to count past 10 ..

[YipYip]

Here i say that we wont break through 400 and this is the bottom and we will have ATH July 2014

See COMOTARD its not that hard or are you just a scammer hiding behind smoke and mirrors

[K128kevin]

Why are people trying to help him portray himself better? lol... he's CLEARLY trolling

[YipYip]

Why are people trying to help him portray himself better? lol... he's CLEARLY trolling

Its all good ...I am hear to help retards learn to count past 10....

I do it for the warm feeling i get inside and the look of joy on their faces when they know they get to wear big boy pants

[Arghhh]

Let's have some fun and go for Ad Hominem:

Cosmofly... inventor of shitcoin:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=397562.msg4292711#msg4292711

Note that your posts have been shit posts about BTC in attempt to promote your super shit coin, go away... we already have 100 of those.

Cosmofly... gullible rape victim:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=448221.msg5072453#msg5072453

Cosmofly... has an imaginary girlfriend:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=478995.msg5279716#msg5279716

Cosmo... nobody here believes for one second that you have a math genius friend, or any friends for that matter. You can be completely honest and say that it's YOUR own speculation and stop chickening out with 48% or such bullshit numbers. You were dead fucking wrong on your last prediction, and you will be wrong on this prediction.

[E.exchanger]

266$ well this really doesn't sound happening but if the rates hit $266 it i'll make sure to buy as many btc as i can and then hold them for a long time till it hits stable 1000$ 

[pungopete468]

Well on the bright side...

The next time the price goes up; it won't be due to a communist country who has the people held by the balls.

The next rally won't slow down for the same reason. New highs can be tested...

I think the price will fall; I'm in despair right now, down by thousands. But I'll never lose faith in Bitcoin for what it really is.

[cosmofly]

cosmofly has been quite accurate so far. so, who knows.

''China has turned Bitcoin into World's largest Casino & Fooled you all''
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=488485.0

 

Thank you.

The downtrend to the current prices started exactly on March16, look at the date on that thread It was 3 weeks before I said it will happen, people laughed at me and kept buying bitcoin at $680-$700 but see where we are now.

[cosmofly]

Cosmo, I think 380-420 is the range to watch.

Right now, selling is drying up.  Below $400 there will be a lot more buyers coming in, IMHO.

We might hit $260-ish as you say, but I'd not count on it.

We've hit 436 and we already started to see small positive divergences.

$260 might be a wet dream, but as the wet dreams go, they are quite possible.

Which is why I put 2 expectations, as i explained in the first thread indeed we bounce back from $380-$400 it will be due to delay in the ban of btc in China, however I have insider info that the ban is real which I'm betting on despite the lower probability.

The market is highly manipulated by Chinese players who r looking for new money however the game is running out as markets are exhausted. If they pull it one more time only means more piglets bleeding

[cosmofly]

48%

You don't know what ur talking about, 48% is a fairly high probability.

Also SuperCoin was an amazing project, free for all never asked a dime. In fact I'm the one who paid developers 10BTC for dedicated servers, coding, marketing, etc and they ran away with the money which is why I shut it down to protect people.

The devs who stole money are well known senior members they are releasing coins till today scamming eveyone, actually these scammers are behind most altcoins, altcoins are all scams and full of scammers

[Arghhh]

48%

You don't know what ur talking about, 48% is a fairly high probability.

Also SuperCoin was an amazing project, free for all never asked a dime. In fact I'm the one who paid developers 10BTC for dedicated servers, coding, marketing, etc and they ran away with the money which is why I shut it down to protect people.

The devs who stole money are well known senior members they are releasing coins till today scamming eveyone, actually these scammers are behind most altcoins, altcoins are all scams and full of scammers

And you don't know how to talk, and this is why you get shat on by trolls. Calling others peasants, posting fake girlfriend pictures, dropping to your math genius autistic friend into the convo, and putting up some douchey poster of cosmopolis takes away from your message. Please stop, you're not fooling anyone.

Supercoin amazing project... Keep patting yourself on the back buddy 

[IamComrade]

48%

You don't know what ur talking about, 48% is a fairly high probability.

Also SuperCoin was an amazing project, free for all never asked a dime. In fact I'm the one who paid developers 10BTC for dedicated servers, coding, marketing, etc and they ran away with the money which is why I shut it down to protect people.

The devs who stole money are well known senior members they are releasing coins till today scamming eveyone, actually these scammers are behind most altcoins, altcoins are all scams and full of scammers

And you don't know how to talk, and this is why you get shat on by trolls. Calling others peasants, posting fake girlfriend pictures, dropping to your math genius autistic friend into the convo, and putting up some douchey poster of cosmopolis takes away from your message. Please stop, you're not fooling anyone.

Supercoin amazing project... Keep patting yourself on the back buddy  

be careful cosmofly is loaded and very powerful, every time there are critics in his thread they all get deleted even the thread is not self moderated Many members witnessed this including yip yip last time i made very good profit from his posts just i follow his advise and i made good money

[sraosha]

It's just awesome to see all the weak hands leaving the market.
I didn't think we would see more of it, but just looking at reddit and around here you can tell that more and more people are getting desperate.

And thanks for the analysis cosmofly, it confirms that I should wait a little longer before buying moar

That's exactly when the turn around is neigh. If the majority is bullish, sell, if the forums are saturated with despair buy.
I have bought some at 476 and have buy orders at 416 and in the mid 300 range.

What is holding up the bull market is mostly uncertainty regarding MtGox, but more so China. It's not so much about good or bad news at the moment but uncertainty regarding these two issues.

[YipYip]

48%

You don't know what ur talking about, 48% is a fairly high probability.

Also SuperCoin was an amazing project, free for all never asked a dime. In fact I'm the one who paid developers 10BTC for dedicated servers, coding, marketing, etc and they ran away with the money which is why I shut it down to protect people.

The devs who stole money are well known senior members they are releasing coins till today scamming eveyone, actually these scammers are behind most altcoins, altcoins are all scams and full of scammers

And you don't know how to talk, and this is why you get shat on by trolls. Calling others peasants, posting fake girlfriend pictures, dropping to your math genius autistic friend into the convo, and putting up some douchey poster of cosmopolis takes away from your message. Please stop, you're not fooling anyone.

Supercoin amazing project... Keep patting yourself on the back buddy  

be careful cosmofly is loaded and very powerful, every time there are critics in his thread they all get deleted even the thread is not self moderated Many members witnessed this including yip yip last time i made very good profit from his posts just i follow his advise and i made good money

Really you have to wheel out sock puppet number 1 ...

Ok lets try it one more time ... 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,(Your Turn )...... Why dont you phone a friend ... get you retarded friend and he can stamp his feet to the number count

Let him know there is at least a fruit & pudding cup as reward if hes a good boy  

CoSmOTardPolIS

[porcupine87]

I've been getting countless PM from peasants about my next math based prediction, after consulting my (now famous) math genius autistic friend who has always been right, prepare for this:

Countless? I have counted my posts from admirers and I counted countess times 2. Take that! Ah and my friend ist super autistic, your friend only normal autistic...

My math based predictions also inspired copy cats who failed misreably.

How can one copy the prediction based on the sentence "My friend is autistic"?

Edit: My prediction is, that we go to 1000$ in one week with a probability of 45%.

[jamesc760]

I just asked my autistic friend. He says cosmotard is a nut job. His prediction is 550 by Friday, April 7th 2014, with 51% chance. "Ain't no way it's going down to 266," he states.

[porcupine87]

I just asked my autistic friend. He says cosmotard is a nut job. His prediction is 550 by Friday, April 7th 2014, with 51% chance. "Ain't no way it's going down to 266," he states.

My autistic friend says, and he is never wrong, that 266$ will be tested by a chance of 10%. So if we test 266$ it is this 10%. The rest 90% goes to the other possible outcomes. So he is never wrong

[Cassius]

@OP My I have your wallet address for donation.

Cosmo doesn't share his address. Same reason he doesn't accept bets on his predictions. Because then you'd be able to follow the money and find out exactly how successful he's been.

[spazzdla]

Cosmo.. I am going to start following your posts :O! :O!

What do you think will happen if we go below $260?  I am debating setting a buy at $280/300

[spazzdla]

Cosmo.. I am going to start following your posts :O! :O!

What do you think will happen if we go below $260?  I am debating setting a buy at $280/300

You better pray we don't go to $260.

If we end up below $300, a lot of big farms will continue to unload their existing profits just to keep
operating, or close their operations.   This would cause a drop to below $100 or lower. The losses (electric bill) will be to big to handle.  This will create fundamental changes, probably irreversible changes.
Think 2011 drop 25->2.5 and ebay ads for 50-100 GPUs for sale.  

The difficulty suppose to adjust accordingly, but all this takes time and this would be a "real test"
for the bitcoin experiment.  Basically, the (Chinese) traders and the market would kill bitcoin by setting the price below the operating costs and keeping it there for long enough to kill the network.

No mining = no transactions = game over.  not only for bitcoin, game over for all cryptos.

So be careful what you wish for.  You better hope $400 is the bottom.

I do not want to see BTC drop below $400 lol!!

[Stinky_Pete]

So then all the small miners would become useful again, and Bitcoin can return to something properly decentralised.

[Bobsurplus]

$266 not going to happen!

[infofront]

So then all the small miners would become useful again, and Bitcoin can return to something properly decentralised.

I don't think so.  Small miners would be losing too if go below $300.
It would be easier to cover the loss with your own money, but how many miners would choose to
mine at a loss?  Large farms would react immediately, it is a big business after all.

But I guess the market will tell us very soon if we are going to $10K or $10.

PS. You want to kill the network, kill the price and the network will follow.
We need P2P exchanges now.  

If not enough people were willing to mine at a loss, difficulty would decrease til mining was profitable again. If bitcoin transactions were too slow, than perhaps one of the many altcoins with much faster transaction times and a decentralized mining system would become dominant.

[cosmofly]

@OP My I have your wallet address for donation.

Cosmo doesn't share his address. Same reason he doesn't accept bets on his predictions. Because then you'd be able to follow the money and find out exactly how successful he's been.

Wtf, my address is in my profile

[cosmofly]

Cosmo.. I am going to start following your posts :O! :O!

What do you think will happen if we go below $260?  I am debating setting a buy at $280/300

It will not go below $266

[ThirdRenaissance]

The difficulty suppose to adjust accordingly, but all this takes time and this would be a "real test"
for the bitcoin experiment.  Basically, the (Chinese) traders and the market would kill bitcoin by setting the price below the operating costs and keeping it there for long enough to kill the network.

No mining = no transactions = game over.  not only for bitcoin, game over for all cryptos.

So be careful what you wish for.  You better hope $400 is the bottom.

All the mining hardware that was profitable 6 months ago still exists, it didn't vanish and the price was much lower then while electricity was the same. Current hardware is even more power efficient. In other words if a functioning network could exist then, it can exist now, even if prices drop back to previous levels.

[cosmofly]

There is a larger number of trolls every time

Piglets bleeding

Also newbie accounts accusing me of using sock puppet accounts  

[infofront]

There is a larger number of trolls every time

Piglets bleeding

Also newbie accounts accusing me of using sock puppet accounts  

There are so many angry bagholders here.

[dropt]

It would work, except now, you are making 100 times less coins.  You go figure it out.
I'm telling you, ~$300 is the electricity cost of mining one coin.

Care to back that up?  I only ask because my anecdotal evidence says you're wrong.

[Cassius]

You better pray we don't go to $260.

If we end up below $300, a lot of big farms will continue to unload their existing profits just to keep
operating, or close their operations.   This would cause a drop to below $100 or lower. The losses (electric bill) will be to big to handle.  This will create fundamental changes, probably irreversible changes.
Think 2011 drop 25->2.5 and ebay ads for 50-100 GPUs for sale.  

The difficulty suppose to adjust accordingly, but all this takes time and this would be a "real test"
for the bitcoin experiment.  Basically, the (Chinese) traders and the market would kill bitcoin by setting the price below the operating costs and keeping it there for long enough to kill the network.

No mining = no transactions = game over.  not only for bitcoin, game over for all cryptos.

So be careful what you wish for.  You better hope $400 is the bottom.

That just isn't going to happen.
Most of the people on these boards have, what? A few hundred or thousand USD in bitcoin, maybe occasionally tens of thousands+? Cosmo has $20 his mom gave him for tidying his room.
The likes of Gavin Andressen have millions of their own and VC funding in bitcoin businesses. There's no way they'd let a few panicking speculators kill all that. They'll step in and stabilise the market, making a killing in the process at the panickers' expense.

[Cassius]

@OP My I have your wallet address for donation.

Cosmo doesn't share his address. Same reason he doesn't accept bets on his predictions. Because then you'd be able to follow the money and find out exactly how successful he's been.

Wtf, my address is in my profile

Blockchain: "No transactions found for this address, it has probably not been used on the network yet."

[Cassius]

It would work, except now, you are making 100 times less coins.  You go figure it out.
I'm telling you, ~$300 is the electricity cost of mining one coin.

Care to back that up?  I only ask because my anecdotal evidence says you're wrong.

I read some other miner saying $100 on a thread yesterday. Can't remember where though.

[dropt]

It would work, except now, you are making 100 times less coins.  You go figure it out.
I'm telling you, ~$300 is the electricity cost of mining one coin.

Care to back that up?  I only ask because my anecdotal evidence says you're wrong.

I read some other miner saying $100 on a thread yesterday. Can't remember where though.

It may have been me, as my cost per coin is ~$103.  However, you may be recalling another user who also posted the cost per coin at $100 too.  Sure, some have higher costs, and others lower.  Even after all my time lurking through the speculation forum it still amazes me at the frequency that people pull shit out of their ass and present it as fact, especially when it's people who have been here over two years and should seemingly know better.

[Cassius]

It would work, except now, you are making 100 times less coins.  You go figure it out.
I'm telling you, ~$300 is the electricity cost of mining one coin.

Care to back that up?  I only ask because my anecdotal evidence says you're wrong.

I read some other miner saying $100 on a thread yesterday. Can't remember where though.

It may have been me, as my cost per coin is ~$103.  However, you may be recalling another user who also posted the cost per coin at $100 too.  Sure, some have higher costs, and others lower.  Even after all my time lurking through the speculation forum it still amazes me at the frequency that people pull shit out of their ass and present it as fact, especially when it's people who have been here over two years and should seemingly know better.

Nice. What are you using?
Not into mining myself and I don't think now's the time to try, but the more I look at it the more I'm tempted.

[dropt]

It would work, except now, you are making 100 times less coins.  You go figure it out.
I'm telling you, ~$300 is the electricity cost of mining one coin.

Care to back that up?  I only ask because my anecdotal evidence says you're wrong.

http://www.bitcoinx.com/profit/

plug in, BFL minirig: 480GH/s, 2500W, 0.22 cents per kWh, electricity cost works out to about $13.20 for 0.04 btc. add another $4.5 for AC, or $17-18/day

You think 0.22/kWh is high?  The published rates in Canada (probably the same in US) are 0.06-0.12 but we are paying 0.22 to 0.25 after all taxes, transmission charges, service charges etc.

Every two weeks we get another 10-20% decrease in earnings, pushing the cost of mining per coin even higher.

Big farms might have better efficiency, lower power cost, but they have to include rent or depreciation, property taxes, other overhead of employees, insurance etc.  The cost per coin is around $300, IMHO.

If your cost with bitfuries or knc is lower, consider yourself lucky.

EDIT: updated the numbers

BFL? That explains your numbers...  The backbone of the hashing network is on 55nm or less.  Most predominantly KnC @ 28nm, Bitfury at 55nm, Bitmaintech @ 55nm, and Avalon @ 55nm.  Bitmine's A1 is getting pumped out of China's backdoor now as well which is at 28nm.  The worst of the bunch is at 2 J/GH and FWIW BFL's 65nm consumption is >6 J/GH.  So yes, 300$ per coin at current difficulty if the network was being run predominantly on BFL tech, which it isn't.  If you consider the increase in efficiency of modern gear over BFL's garbage then you'll end up at the ~$100 a coin noted by myself and others.

[dropt]

Nice. What are you using?
Not into mining myself and I don't think now's the time to try, but the more I look at it the more I'm tempted.

Multiple Bitmaintech S1's.  I wouldn't suggest now being the time to get involved, especially with the current state-of-affairs.  The Bitmaintech S1 is the only unit FS priced at a fixed BTC cost, however it's the least efficient of the current generation of hardware.  While you could potentially make your coin back buying one today, it's becoming less and less worth the risk.  All of the others are priced in USD, and as it stands you will likely not be able to mine more coins than you can purchase, dollar for dollar.

If you're looking into it, I'd wait until either a) a trend reversal occurs and the BTC/$ rate increases dramatically, or ASICMiner gets their 40nm out and in the hands of 3rd party developers.  Almost everything else is a losing bet given the way the units are priced and the current exchange rate.

[dropt]

Sure, tell it to thousands of Avalon and BFL customers.  BFL is about 5W/GH at the wall.

What a joke.  If that's how you want to attribute the average cost per coin then you should just go down to the bottom of the barrel and use ASICMiner's 130nm numbers.

The absolute majority of the network is not running solely on BFL or Avalon hardware, thus the majority of mined coins do not have cost base that you're claiming.  

BTW, your S1s will produce coins at $300/coin in about two months.

Difficulty is going to go up by a multiple of 3 over the next two months?  

[nick32768]

Bitcoin will test $400 floor in the coming days.

We have a 48% (rounded off) chance of retesting $266 +/- $100 margin of error within the next 2 weeks

I hear the sound of popping bubbles... I'm short with PANIC buy at 343.

I like PANIC 

Nick.

[YipYip]

Guys I just got back from the spastic farm down the road

There where heaps & heaps of autistic savants in that place ...I came loaded with fruit,pudding and for the extra special insight advice custard cup

I got them all in a room and we had a collective spastic hive mind chart analysis session

At the end i had more spastics where bullish with fruit cups than bears where with pudding

Once again science & pudding cups prevail .... BITCOIN wont go below 400 next 2 weeks I will wager a 6 pack of pudding & fruit cups on it

[cosmofly]

PBOC OFFICIALS are trashing Bitcoin, ask yourself why ? Because they want to legalize it ? 

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=552208.0

[dropt]

You are right, it is too conservative.  Make that multiple of 5.

http://www.coindesk.com/mining-hardware-companies-miners-roundup/
http://www.coindesk.com/butterfly-labs-28nm-monarch-delivery-delayed-four-weeks/

240PH shipping over the next 2 moths?   

How many monarchs, ba, terras, hf, kncs have already been ordered?  Thousands!!!!

And all of those manufacturers are going to magically start shipping hardware in range of thousands of units a day, everyday for the next month? Now I know you're trolling. 

How many tigerdirect outlets are there?

Selling what, overpriced BFL hardware and Avalon knockoffs?   

You'll be lucky if your little precious S1s will produce $300 coins.  I think the above hardware might be producing $300 coins once
fully deployed.  Maybe $100 coins at first, but cost increasing within weeks, months.  I remember my mini rig was making 12 btcs/day
when I first got it end of July, within a month the earnings dropped to 3/day, and continued ever since then, now 0.04/day.

If you say so!   

Your S1 can easily drop their earnings by a factor of 5 once the flood gates are opened.  

Of course, S1 earnings dropping to 20% of what they are is likely inevitable.  But that's completely irrelevant to your argument that the average cost-per-coin is $300 at this point in time.

[Arghhh]

PBOC OFFICIALS are trashing Bitcoin, ask yourself why ? Because they want to legalize it ?  

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=552208.0

cosmofly trashing Bitcoin, ask yourself why ? Because he can't afford it ?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=389403.msg4225946#msg4225946

how much ? i don't have much money lol

[cosmofly]

When people create sock puppet accounts just to attack you proves just how right you are, argghh is one example  

What an idiot, that was for mooncoin, which was another scam coin FYI they bugged their wallets and stole all mooncoin I had if you read the whole thread chain ull know. I don't actually miss those coins look at the value Now

Keep trying hard, can't believe amount of time u haters spend to attack me  

[Zule]

Cosmo you relly need to be a epic twat to get hustled on internet by programmers 

[cosmofly]

Love the manipulation by Chinese truly masters of war.

Piglets who bought at 490$+ already panic selling

[Zule]

Love the manipulation by Chinese truly masters of war.

Piglets who bought at 490$+ already panic selling

Tell us about your engagement in shitcoin and how you think you got robbed and now you are butthurt

[roslinpl]

Love the manipulation by Chinese truly masters of war.

Piglets who bought at 490$+ already panic selling

Yes well 266$ will never come I see already nice uptrend in price

[Dr. LY]

Guys I just got back from the spastic farm down the road

There where heaps & heaps of autistic savants in that place ...I came loaded with fruit,pudding and for the extra special insight advice custard cup

I got them all in a room and we had a collective spastic hive mind chart analysis session

At the end i had more spastics where bullish with fruit cups than bears where with pudding

Once again science & pudding cups prevail .... BITCOIN wont go below 400 next 2 weeks I will wager a 6 pack of pudding & fruit cups on it

This is ridiculous. While I was wiping the poop off my retarded cousin's rear in the bathroom, he shouted that he wanted to eat fruit cups on the moon before he pooped right into my hand.

This clearly means that there is a 50% chance that we might possibly get close to retesting a nearby amount that is an even number (or an odd one).

GAME SET MATCH FUCKER

[DhaniBoy]

no $266 
price ready to climb again

[DhaniBoy]

why two posts are popping  
sorry OP

[crocko]

actually climbing: $490

[Cassius]

Well, this is a lesson for me: do not trust the posters on this forum. Fortunately I didn't sell during the low, and looked at previous events. Bitcoin still got too much life in it to die suddenly.

But yea, well done Cosmo. You couldn't have been more wrong. This is why I never predict the price of something, let alone Bitcoin.

Are you seriously saying you took this 'advice' at face value?
There are some extremely good technical analysts on this forum. Cosmofly is not one of them. He is a known troll with a track record of ridiculous 'predictions' and a load of other crap. You could have got that from reading the thread.
You'll get to know the people you can gain useful information from. For a start, they won't make wildly over-confident predictions. They'll give you a set of likely scenarios and the reasons for them. They won't try to push you into making a decision one way or another. And they won't feel the need to brag to get others to massage their egos for them.
Take a look at the main Wall thread for some smarter opinions, but take everything with a pinch of salt and don't assume that anyone knows what's actually going to happen.
Especially obvious trolls like cosmofly (and igorr, for that matter).

[master-P]

I'll keep that in mind then. But to speak to my mind regarding 'trust': I tend to trust the posters that look at a situation from multiple angles, but I rarely act according to their posts. I often find it difficult to distinguish the trolls from the real analysts, but you might have made that a bit easier for me.

MatTheCat and TERA are bears that usually give intelligent explanations for their predictions and analysis. You can usually tell the rubbish posters from their sensationalist titles and use of CAPS therein. For example:

China BANNED BITCOIN! This time for real!
URGENT: PBOC (CHINA) OFFICIALS Say "WALK AWAY FROM BITCOIN"
URGENT, Bitcoin is on the verge of collapse !!!
WHAT ARE U GUYS WAITING FOR? BTC to $100K!

Some of these posters are likely even the same people posting under different accounts.

[Cassius]

Well, this is a lesson for me: do not trust the posters on this forum. Fortunately I didn't sell during the low, and looked at previous events. Bitcoin still got too much life in it to die suddenly.

But yea, well done Cosmo. You couldn't have been more wrong. This is why I never predict the price of something, let alone Bitcoin.

Are you seriously saying you took this 'advice' at face value?
There are some extremely good technical analysts on this forum. Cosmofly is not one of them. He is a known troll with a track record of ridiculous 'predictions' and a load of other crap. You could have got that from reading the thread.
You'll get to know the people you can gain useful information from. For a start, they won't make wildly over-confident predictions. They'll give you a set of likely scenarios and the reasons for them. They won't try to push you into making a decision one way or another. And they won't feel the need to brag to get others to massage their egos for them.
Take a look at the main Wall thread for some smarter opinions, but take everything with a pinch of salt and don't assume that anyone knows what's actually going to happen.
Especially obvious trolls like cosmofly (and igorr, for that matter).

I'll keep that in mind then. But to speak to my mind regarding 'trust': I tend to trust the posters that look at a situation from multiple angles, but I rarely act according to their posts. I often find it difficult to distinguish the trolls from the real analysts, but you might have made that a bit easier for me.

You'll realise who they are fairly fast. Usually people's responses to them make it pretty clear who's respected and who's not. In cosmo's case, you will also need to dismiss the sycophantic adoration from newbie accounts whose only posts have been to praise his judgment despite everything. No surprise that they are never online at the same time as him...

[cosmofly]

Well, this is a lesson for me: do not trust the posters on this forum. Fortunately I didn't sell during the low, and looked at previous events. Bitcoin still got too much life in it to die suddenly.

But yea, well done Cosmo. You couldn't have been more wrong. This is why I never predict the price of something, let alone Bitcoin.

Are you seriously saying you took this 'advice' at face value?
There are some extremely good technical analysts on this forum. Cosmofly is not one of them. He is a known troll with a track record of ridiculous 'predictions' and a load of other crap. You could have got that from reading the thread.
You'll get to know the people you can gain useful information from. For a start, they won't make wildly over-confident predictions. They'll give you a set of likely scenarios and the reasons for them. They won't try to push you into making a decision one way or another. And they won't feel the need to brag to get others to massage their egos for them.
Take a look at the main Wall thread for some smarter opinions, but take everything with a pinch of salt and don't assume that anyone knows what's actually going to happen.
Especially obvious trolls like cosmofly (and igorr, for that matter).

I'll keep that in mind then. But to speak to my mind regarding 'trust': I tend to trust the posters that look at a situation from multiple angles, but I rarely act according to their posts. I often find it difficult to distinguish the trolls from the real analysts, but you might have made that a bit easier for me.

It's up to u to make up your mind but don't listen to the people here attacking me. Its common for people who are right to threaten others.

If u read my post I gave it 2 weeks, I also said I have 2 expectations, The upside potential is purely manipulative by Chinese markets, it will only extended the inevitable downtrend, how about u study when the rally actually happen? You didn't but I did.

A lot of people spread lies and hate I'm not sure why it can be confusing , if u see my track record I've always been right but never afraid to say I'm wrong but I still haven't been wrong. Some posters here even dug up earlier estimations and analysis by me that were spot on.

Again don't listen to the hate, see for yourself
 I only relay the truth

[fonzie]

Cosmofly you´re doin great in this forum. I really appreciat that.
Someday people will realize that they should have listened to you.
Keep up the good work!

[cosmofly]

My insider info has been confirmed, the ban is real people check it out: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/latest/china-clamps-down-on-bitcoin/story-e6frg90f-1226871648275

[Cassius]

^^^ classic cosmofly. See if you can spot just some of the many things wrong with this...

[kooke]

It's up to u to make up your mind but don't listen to the people here attacking me. Its common for people who are right to threaten others.

If u read my post I gave it 2 weeks, I also said I have 2 expectations, The upside potential is purely manipulative by Chinese markets, it will only extended the inevitable downtrend, how about u study when the rally actually happen? You didn't but I did.

A lot of people spread lies and hate I'm not sure why it can be confusing , if u see my track record I've always been right but never afraid to say I'm wrong but I still haven't been wrong. Some posters here even dug up earlier estimations and analysis by me that were spot on.

Again don't listen to the hate, see for yourself
 I only relay the truth

Hello Mr. Sampey Sir, i am poor man i live in a matchbox size room since 5 years, i don't have Bitcoin i cannot afford only 4 litecoin . I will be very happy if you send me Bitcoin 1GmXN6K6MzBXzGPZ8iv66UtezSPMFCnou4
thank you Mr Sampey !

I have $15,000 worth of BTC i want to invest it ALL AT ONCE into one or two coins, please put your suggestions here. It has to be a coin that is not overpriced, as in there is still room for like 10x-30x growth within the next 2 weeks, NOT WITHIN THE NEXT 1 year.

Thanks !

Matthecat lost more money today, a perfect reason for him to excrete ass talk. So you say Bitcoin will crash even more to assed levels, lets see then where is the crash ? i can't see $500 BTC only more ass talk.

Supercoin: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=397562.0


All i could dig up from your past posts are lies, a failed attempt at an alt-coin, some begging, and failed price predictions.

[cosmofly]

It's up to u to make up your mind but don't listen to the people here attacking me. Its common for people who are right to threaten others.

If u read my post I gave it 2 weeks, I also said I have 2 expectations, The upside potential is purely manipulative by Chinese markets, it will only extended the inevitable downtrend, how about u study when the rally actually happen? You didn't but I did.

A lot of people spread lies and hate I'm not sure why it can be confusing , if u see my track record I've always been right but never afraid to say I'm wrong but I still haven't been wrong. Some posters here even dug up earlier estimations and analysis by me that were spot on.

Again don't listen to the hate, see for yourself
 I only relay the truth

Another idiot 

Ever heard of sarcasm? I was joking and being sarcastic with sampy he's a nice dude

I won't even bother replying to ur other accusations I already address them before.

U need to find better things to do with ur time that try to defame me 

[Zule]

Bastard's lucky nobody sued for stealing graphic material for his shit coin.
And of top of all he couldn't come up with a original name, so he nicked that as well.

[cosmofly]

Exchanges are already stopping cny deposits

[spazzdla]

China is trying harder and harder every day to crash BTC... I wonder what they r up to.

[infofront]

China is trying harder and harder every day to crash BTC... I wonder what they r up to.

The Commies are trying to solidify their power.

[cosmofly]

Litecoin took a pretty strong hit

Its now at $10

[spazzdla]

Litecoin took a pretty strong hit

Its now at $10

Will buy at $5.

[roslinpl]

Litecoin took a pretty strong hit

Its now at $10

Will buy at $5.

Umh you might never buy then

[cosmofly]

Litecoin took a pretty strong hit

Its now at $10

Will buy at $5.

Umh you might never buy then

true

[spazzdla]

Litecoin took a pretty strong hit

Its now at $10

Will buy at $5.

Umh you might never buy then

Then I will be a happy man.  I have LTC holdings.

[Sawadekub]

it wont fking hit 266 let alone <300 wake up dude.. bitcoin is getting stronger each day... fk off lol!

[fonzie]

it wont fking hit 266 let alone <300 wake up dude.. bitcoin is getting stronger each day... fk off lol!

Can i quote you when we hit 80$?

[K128kevin]

Can i quote you when we hit 80$?

Can I quote you when we never hit $80 dollars? You can quote me when we reach $500 within the next 24 hours

EDIT: Prediction is already starting to come true

[Sawadekub]

it wont fking hit 266 let alone <300 wake up dude.. bitcoin is getting stronger each day... fk off lol!

Can i quote you when we hit 80$?

sure why not?
u fking cant read chinese at all LOL!.. thanks for the huobi FUD news...

[BittBurger]

Cosmo:

When are you going to predict a rise?

That seems like the true test of mathematics.

As it stands, if you had any actual info on the last drops, it was probably because you had some info on bad news ahead of time.

If your brilliant friend is really a magical bitcoin prophet, lets see his dates for spikes in price.

Otherwise there's information missing from your story.

-B-

[YipYip]

Cosmo:

When are you going to predict a rise?

That seems like the true test of mathematics.

As it stands, if you had any actual info on the last drops, it was probably because you had some info on bad news ahead of time.

If your brilliant friend is really a magical bitcoin prophet, lets see his dates for spikes in price.

Otherwise there's information missing from your story.

-B-

He is a little biatch that lost his pocket money so now he wants teh whole world to go down in flames....

The maturity of a 2 yr old

This is why there will never be any POSITIVE news

[porcupine87]

Cosmo:

When are you going to predict a rise?

That seems like the true test of mathematics.

As it stands, if you had any actual info on the last drops, it was probably because you had some info on bad news ahead of time.

If your brilliant friend is really a magical bitcoin prophet, lets see his dates for spikes in price.

Otherwise there's information missing from your story.

-B-

you really think there is magical friend? Now he has so much money (because he is always right) so he is looking for other things than money. Glory? Envy? Recognition?
I think he is just joking around for fun or he wants to put the price down (maybe he want to buy low).

[Easy2Mine]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=553352.0
Cosmofly bragging about paying 1500 dollar for this girl.

Guess what I found?
http://picup69.com/homex/pic-20765-%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%B0%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%82%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B1%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%B5%E0%B9%88161-%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%B6%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%A3%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A2%E0%B8%A0%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%9E.html

Can a man still be trusted, lies after lies?

[Dr. LY]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=553352.0
Cosmofly bragging about paying 1500 dollar for this girl.

Guess what I found?
http://picup69.com/homex/pic-20765-%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%B0%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%82%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B1%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%B5%E0%B9%88161-%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%B6%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%A3%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A2%E0%B8%A0%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%9E.html

Can a man still be trusted, lies after lies?

Lol. This is priceless.

[kooke]

you really think there is magical friend? Now he has so much money (because he is always right) so he is looking for other things than money. Glory? Envy? Recognition?
I think he is just joking around for fun or he wants to put the price down (maybe he want to buy low).

Symptoms of pseudologia fantastica (pathological lying):

- The stories told are usually dazzling or fantastical, but never breach the realm of reality. The possibility of truth is key to the pathological liar's survival. They are not a manifestation of delusion or some broader type of psychosis: upon confrontation, the teller can admit them to be untrue, even if unwillingly.

- The stories told tend toward presenting the liar favorably. The liar "decorates their own person" by telling stories that present them as the hero or the victim. For example, the person might be presented as being fantastically brave, knowing or being related to many famous people, or claiming they earn more income than they do.

I think we all know someone in here who fits this.

[cosmofly]

Cosmo:

When are you going to predict a rise?

That seems like the true test of mathematics.

As it stands, if you had any actual info on the last drops, it was probably because you had some info on bad news ahead of time.

If your brilliant friend is really a magical bitcoin prophet, lets see his dates for spikes in price.

Otherwise there's information missing from your story.

-B-

Hi Bitburger

In my analysis I advised to provide 2 weeks, so up to April 15 or so for this to happen.

If it doesn't then I will reanalyze and post my next expectation. Remember I put forward two scenarios and I also was right about the China banking ban which indeed happened.

[cosmofly]

Cosmo:

When are you going to predict a rise?

That seems like the true test of mathematics.

As it stands, if you had any actual info on the last drops, it was probably because you had some info on bad news ahead of time.

If your brilliant friend is really a magical bitcoin prophet, lets see his dates for spikes in price.

Otherwise there's information missing from your story.

-B-

you really think there is magical friend? Now he has so much money (because he is always right) so he is looking for other things than money. Glory? Envy? Recognition?
I think he is just joking around for fun or he wants to put the price down (maybe he want to buy low).

People say I'm anti bitcoin but that's not true. I'm grateful to bitcoin because it made me wealthy

But I'm just saying it like it is, if things change again for the better then I will also say that

[K128kevin]

People say I'm anti bitcoin but that's not true. I'm grateful to bitcoin because it made me wealthy

But I'm just saying it like it is, if things change again for the better then I will also say that

Please respond to Easy2Mine's post.

[YipYip]

Cosmo:

When are you going to predict a rise?

That seems like the true test of mathematics.

As it stands, if you had any actual info on the last drops, it was probably because you had some info on bad news ahead of time.

If your brilliant friend is really a magical bitcoin prophet, lets see his dates for spikes in price.

Otherwise there's information missing from your story.

-B-

you really think there is magical friend? Now he has so much money (because he is always right) so he is looking for other things than money. Glory? Envy? Recognition?
I think he is just joking around for fun or he wants to put the price down (maybe he want to buy low).

People say I'm anti bitcoin but that's not true. I'm grateful to bitcoin because it made me wealthy

But I'm just saying it like it is, if things change again for the better then I will also say that

You are busted...... Let me guess there will be some of you sock puppets come to your defence

Stop the Lying as Its only hurting yourself

Once again you are so full of shit !!

ComoLIEopilis

[Xell]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=553352.0
Cosmofly bragging about paying 1500 dollar for this girl.

Guess what I found?
http://picup69.com/homex/pic-20765-%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%A5%E0%B8%B0%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%99%E0%B9%82%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B1%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%B5%E0%B9%88161-%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%B6%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%A3%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A2%E0%B8%A0%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%9E.html

Can a man still be trusted, lies after lies?

NSFW tag?

[jasonjm]

https://i.imgur.com/4Hlu72O.png

[Arghhh]

you really think there is magical friend? Now he has so much money (because he is always right) so he is looking for other things than money. Glory? Envy? Recognition?
I think he is just joking around for fun or he wants to put the price down (maybe he want to buy low).

Symptoms of pseudologia fantastica (pathological lying):

- The stories told are usually dazzling or fantastical, but never breach the realm of reality. The possibility of truth is key to the pathological liar's survival. They are not a manifestation of delusion or some broader type of psychosis: upon confrontation, the teller can admit them to be untrue, even if unwillingly.

- The stories told tend toward presenting the liar favorably. The liar "decorates their own person" by telling stories that present them as the hero or the victim. For example, the person might be presented as being fantastically brave, knowing or being related to many famous people, or claiming they earn more income than they do.

I think we all know someone in here who fits this.

THIS.

Notice that his symptoms are manifested in his fascination with Cosmopolis, and Supercoin.

Also, I deduced that he is worthless in terms of wealth (and as a human being). For every claim of his wealth, his early postings shows that he is strapped for cash.

I wouldn't mind bumping this thread when Bitcoin goes back up to 2k and beyond.

[Arghhh]

OMFG this Cosmofly guy is a scumbag

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=555551.msg6056153#msg6056153

[IamComrade]

Cosmofly is famous in off topic for trolling he does it on purpose for fun i don't care about that, there are many senior members here who also troll. What I care about is his analysis has been spot on always, people were saying buy at $500 to the moon but thanks to him I bought some coins at $418.

[YipYip]

Cosmofly is famous in off topic for trolling he does it on purpose for fun i don't care about that, there are many senior members here who also troll. What I care about is his analysis has been spot on always, people were saying buy at $500 to the moon but thanks to him I bought some coins at $418.

Really you bought coinz at the absolute bottom ...wow ..comotard said buy coinz at 418 or are you just

sockpuppet num #1

Its getting boring now ....Stop the lies

[Cassius]

you really think there is magical friend? Now he has so much money (because he is always right) so he is looking for other things than money. Glory? Envy? Recognition?
I think he is just joking around for fun or he wants to put the price down (maybe he want to buy low).

Symptoms of pseudologia fantastica (pathological lying):

- The stories told are usually dazzling or fantastical, but never breach the realm of reality. The possibility of truth is key to the pathological liar's survival. They are not a manifestation of delusion or some broader type of psychosis: upon confrontation, the teller can admit them to be untrue, even if unwillingly.

- The stories told tend toward presenting the liar favorably. The liar "decorates their own person" by telling stories that present them as the hero or the victim. For example, the person might be presented as being fantastically brave, knowing or being related to many famous people, or claiming they earn more income than they do.

I think we all know someone in here who fits this.

THIS.

Notice that his symptoms are manifested in his fascination with Cosmopolis, and Supercoin.

Also, I deduced that he is worthless in terms of wealth (and as a human being). For every claim of his wealth, his early postings shows that he is strapped for cash.

I wouldn't mind bumping this thread when Bitcoin goes back up to 2k and beyond.

On the contrary. As of just now, cosmofly is worth precisely one satoshi.
I felt his hard work was worth rewarding, so I paid one into the account he posted on his profile: 1JVg3XoZGmkasMusk2vaMPCNGetMHyEy9V
It was sadly empty, so I can only assume that his vast wealth is sitting on an exchange or in cold storage.
May I invite other people to express their appreciation for our friend through the medium of 0.00000001 btc.
Thank you.

[cosmofly]

Lol jealous haters on the offense again   always failing

I already explained that I posted the pic I snapped of the escort on another forum that has VIP membership, notice how all the photos are different that's because they are user photos of VIP members on that forum. I don't only post on this forum

Yeah sure I like to get around with women paid or unpaid, deal with it its my habit

Also you haters seems to have reported me saying you find nudity offensive  

[cosmofly]

Cosmofly is famous in off topic for trolling he does it on purpose for fun i don't care about that, there are many senior members here who also troll. What I care about is his analysis has been spot on always, people were saying buy at $500 to the moon but thanks to him I bought some coins at $418.

Really you bought coinz at the absolute bottom ...wow ..comotard said buy coinz at 418 or are you just

sockpuppet num #1

Its getting boring now ....Stop the lies

Did u read the main post? I analyzed two outcomes but u decided instead to buy at $700

[TERA]

Here's why $265 is a likely support level.  It is not because of ATH.

[liexel]

i'll be quite happy if that happens. but i do really doubt that. it seems like theres quite a bit of buy support right now

[cosmofly]

Here's why $265 is a likely support level.  It is not because of ATH.

Thanks for the positive input Tera

[y3804]

Another input from LEE

“A general lack of domestic investment targets, coupled with the lack of understanding of bitcoin led to bitcoins becoming speculative grade. After the April 15 message, investors will re-evaluate bitcoin, an industry reshuffle may also occur.”

After the April 15 message. LEE CONFIRMED!

[spazzdla]

Anyone ever play wow and have the...pleasure... of being on the same server as copperfield?

Cosmo is copperfield 100%.

[Cassius]

Another input from LEE

“A general lack of domestic investment targets, coupled with the lack of understanding of bitcoin led to bitcoins becoming speculative grade. After the April 15 message, investors will re-evaluate bitcoin, an industry reshuffle may also occur.”

After the April 15 message. LEE CONFIRMED!

Meaning what?!
China shutting down bitcoin (or at least all banking relationships) is already confirmed.
This "reshuffle" is presumably party-speak for a funeral.

[y3804]

Another input from LEE

“A general lack of domestic investment targets, coupled with the lack of understanding of bitcoin led to bitcoins becoming speculative grade. After the April 15 message, investors will re-evaluate bitcoin, an industry reshuffle may also occur.”

After the April 15 message. LEE CONFIRMED!

Meaning what?!
China shutting down bitcoin (or at least all banking relationships) is already confirmed.
This "reshuffle" is presumably party-speak for a funeral.

Lee expects a massive crash. That's what it means.

[Cassius]

Another input from LEE

“A general lack of domestic investment targets, coupled with the lack of understanding of bitcoin led to bitcoins becoming speculative grade. After the April 15 message, investors will re-evaluate bitcoin, an industry reshuffle may also occur.”

After the April 15 message. LEE CONFIRMED!

Meaning what?!
China shutting down bitcoin (or at least all banking relationships) is already confirmed.
This "reshuffle" is presumably party-speak for a funeral.

Lee expects a massive crash. That's what it means.

Seems like anyone who waits until 15th might as well go down with the ship. News will have been out 2 weeks by then.

[cosmofly]

Another input from LEE

“A general lack of domestic investment targets, coupled with the lack of understanding of bitcoin led to bitcoins becoming speculative grade. After the April 15 message, investors will re-evaluate bitcoin, an industry reshuffle may also occur.”

After the April 15 message. LEE CONFIRMED!

Meaning what?!
China shutting down bitcoin (or at least all banking relationships) is already confirmed.
This "reshuffle" is presumably party-speak for a funeral.

Lee expects a massive crash. That's what it means.

Good to know thanks for the new info

[Easy2Mine]

Good to know that BTC will drop.
Less money for hookers.
Instead of 4 BTC you need 10000 BTC for a hooker which you don't have.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=553352.0

[uhoh]

Good to know that BTC will drop.
Less money for hookers.
Instead of 4 BTC you need 10000 BTC for a hooker which you don't have.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=553352.0

LOL!

Never understood why people brag about having to PAY to get laid !!

[p0peji]

Good to know that BTC will drop.
Less money for hookers.
Instead of 4 BTC you need 10000 BTC for a hooker which you don't have.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=553352.0

LOL!

Never understood why people brag about having to PAY to get laid !!

In the end all men pay to get laid.

[uhoh]

Good to know that BTC will drop.
Less money for hookers.
Instead of 4 BTC you need 10000 BTC for a hooker which you don't have.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=553352.0

LOL!

Never understood why people brag about having to PAY to get laid !!

In the end all men pay to get laid.

You know, I knew someone would make that comment 

[dropt]

Here's why $265 is a likely support level.  It is not because of ATH.

That's your reasoning for support at $265?  I expected better from you Tera.

[cosmofly]

LOL!

Never understood why people brag about having to PAY to get laid !!

Someone who says that statement never got laid

[uhoh]

LOL!

Never understood why people brag about having to PAY to get laid !!

Someone who says that statement never got laid

lol, my kids magically appeared..

[Easy2Mine]

What they found out about TA.
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2401230

[cosmofly]

LOL!

Never understood why people brag about having to PAY to get laid !!

Someone who says that statement never got laid

lol, my kids magically appeared..

Fair enough

[Easy2Mine]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=557300.msg6069803#msg6069803

You are sure you weren't 14 at that time?
Because 14*19=266. The magical 266 in the title of this thread.
 

[cosmofly]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=557300.msg6069803#msg6069803

You are sure you weren't 14 at that time?
Because 14*19=266. The magical 266 in the title of this thread.
 

I was 15

So it doesn't count here, would've been cool coincidence  though lol

[chesthing]

I fail to understand how a support level established before btc's ath, before China and Russia ban, before the enormous losses suffered by the Mt Gox disaster, before the IRS ruling btc is property and not a currency, when the mining landscape was far different, when the adoption landscape was far different, has any fucking meaning whatsoever.
But wtf do I know, I'm not a TA pro.

[Easy2Mine]

I fail to understand how a support level established before btc's ath, before China and Russia ban, before the enormous losses suffered by the Mt Gox disaster, before the IRS ruling btc is property and not a currency, when the mining landscape was far different, when the adoption landscape was far different, has any fucking meaning whatsoever.
But wtf do I know, I'm not a TA pro.

Read this article
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2401230

It has been confirmed by really smart people that people using TA lose more profit than people who don't use it.
A big financial corporation never ever use TA alone.
If you can get your hands at BTC address from the trolls here and analyze it through the blockchain, you will notice none of them have made profit, only big losses.

Everyone has the right to be a bull or a bear, but manipulating and misforming information is so annoying.

[spazzdla]

Good to know that BTC will drop.
Less money for hookers.
Instead of 4 BTC you need 10000 BTC for a hooker which you don't have.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=553352.0

LOL!

Never understood why people brag about having to PAY to get laid !!

In the end all men pay to get laid.

You know, I knew someone would make that comment 

LOL it's a good point.. my buddies go drop $3-400 at a bar and the only reason they are going is to get laid.. They are paying for the chance to get some.. IMO that is EVEN worse.  Not only are you paying double to triple but you have 50/50 chances...  lmao.

[jamesc760]

I agree with Easy2Mine above.

Technical Analysis does not adequately explain the trajectory of BTC. Due to the fact that TA rose from stock market analysis, there's the fundamental weakness. BTC does NOT behave like stocks. BTC is not a stock. Just because you can buy BTC at an exchange does not mean it is a kind of stock. BTC is a commodity, like gold and other metals. If anything, it behaves like gold in a market environment. I believe someone has done some work comparing and analyzing the relationship between btc and gold, I just can't find the link at the moment.

[dandirk]

I fail to understand how a support level established before btc's ath, before China and Russia ban, before the enormous losses suffered by the Mt Gox disaster, before the IRS ruling btc is property and not a currency, when the mining landscape was far different, when the adoption landscape was far different, has any fucking meaning whatsoever.
But wtf do I know, I'm not a TA pro.

Read this article
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2401230

It has been confirmed by really smart people that people using TA lose more profit than people who don't use it.
A big financial corporation never ever use TA alone.
If you can get your hands at BTC address from the trolls here and analyze it through the blockchain, you will notice none of them have made profit, only big losses.

Everyone has the right to be a bull or a bear, but manipulating and misforming information is so annoying.

All I had to read was the Abstract where they gave multitude of reasons why their TA subjects had less returns.  Any one or more of those reasons could be the lion share of losses.   If TA was 100%, everyone would use it and it wouldn't work.  It may give insite and a bit of leverage like say counting cards but it doesn't predict the future.  You still need to have a diverse investment portfolio etc.

"Overall, our results indicate that individual investors who report using technical analysis are disproportionately prone to have speculation on short-term stock-market developments as their primary investment objective, hold more concentrated portfolios which they turn over at a higher rate, are less inclined to bet on reversals, choose risk exposures featuring a higher ratio of nonsystematic risk to total risk, engage in more options trading, and earn lower returns."

[GigaCoin]

I agree with Easy2Mine above.

Technical Analysis does not adequately explain the trajectory of BTC. Due to the fact that TA rose from stock market analysis, there's the fundamental weakness. BTC does NOT behave like stocks. BTC is not a stock. Just because you can buy BTC at an exchange does not mean it is a kind of stock. BTC is a commodity, like gold and other metals. If anything, it behaves like gold in a market environment. I believe someone has done some work comparing and analyzing the relationship between btc and gold, I just can't find the link at the moment.

Btc behaves like a stock, commodity and for ex, its being used for multiple purposes at the same time.

Indeed very difficult toTA

Best way is to go with your "gut feeling"   

[igorr]

Last 3 days, bull tried four times, but apparently impossible to break 455-460 usd !

[GigaCoin]

Last 3 days, bull tried four times, but apparently impossible to break 455-460 usd !

Quadrouple top with triple bottom 

[igorr]

It looks like a bull hungry and loses strength.

[cosmofly]

Last 3 days, bull tried four times, but apparently impossible to break 455-460 usd !

Quadrouple top with triple bottom 

Chinese Manipulators are busy selling coins at the highest prices they can get to the next fool before they let go.

[YipYip]

Cosmofly is famous in off topic for trolling he does it on purpose for fun i don't care about that, there are many senior members here who also troll. What I care about is his analysis has been spot on always, people were saying buy at $500 to the moon but thanks to him I bought some coins at $418.

Really you bought coinz at the absolute bottom ...wow ..comotard said buy coinz at 418 or are you just

sockpuppet num #1

Its getting boring now ....Stop the lies

Did u read the main post? I analyzed two outcomes but u decided instead to buy at $700

Moron I have not bought at any price yet ...its called sitting on your hands in a volitile market

[YipYip]

Here's why $265 is a likely support level.  It is not because of ATH.

That's your reasoning for support at $265?  I expected better from you Tera.

This is TA 101 ... yawn

There is no rocket science or insight going on with the 266 support lvl

Also the chinese news was out a couple of days b4 comotard started to perport to be the source of this news

[YipYip]

I agree with Easy2Mine above.

Technical Analysis does not adequately explain the trajectory of BTC. Due to the fact that TA rose from stock market analysis, there's the fundamental weakness. BTC does NOT behave like stocks. BTC is not a stock. Just because you can buy BTC at an exchange does not mean it is a kind of stock. BTC is a commodity, like gold and other metals. If anything, it behaves like gold in a market environment. I believe someone has done some work comparing and analyzing the relationship between btc and gold, I just can't find the link at the moment.

I think what you are trying to say is the relationship is that BTC trends hard ...just like gold

[cosmofly]

What they found out about TA.
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2401230

That's because most TA analysts look at it the wrong way, they draw lines and compare it to previous patterns which is wrong, history does not always repeat itself especially in highly manipulated markets such as bitcoin.

From my experience its all maths, pure mathematics. If you view the world in numbers like one huge matrix then you can be fairly accurate with trades.

[Arghhh]

What they found out about TA.
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2401230

That's because most TA analysts look at it the wrong way, they draw lines and compare it to previous patterns which is wrong, history does not always repeat itself especially in highly manipulated markets such as bitcoin.

From my experience its all maths, pure mathematics. If you view the world in numbers like one huge matrix then you can be fairly accurate with trades.

Stop faking that you know math, back up your analysis with math. Do it.
Judging by your history of lies in your posting, this is just another one and I doubt you can count past 2.

If you take both hands and pull your head out of your asshole, and check out this chart below (it's simple enough that a monkey like you can understand), it's clear that you can't afford bitcoins and won't ever in the future:



History repeated itself four times, your past and current prediction is zero.
History: 4, Cosmotard: 0

You're just mad that you didn't get in early like me. U mad bro?

[cosmofly]

What they found out about TA.
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2401230

That's because most TA analysts look at it the wrong way, they draw lines and compare it to previous patterns which is wrong, history does not always repeat itself especially in highly manipulated markets such as bitcoin.

From my experience its all maths, pure mathematics. If you view the world in numbers like one huge matrix then you can be fairly accurate with trades.

Stop faking that you know math, back up your analysis with math. Do it.
Judging by your history of lies in your posting, this is just another one and I doubt you can count past 2.

If you take both hands and pull your head out of your asshole, and check out this chart below (it's simple enough that a monkey like you can understand), it's clear that you can't afford bitcoins and won't ever in the future:



History repeated itself four times, your past and current prediction is zero.
History: 4, Cosmotard: 0

You're just mad that you didn't get in early like me. U mad bro?

Instead of blindly attacking me and fabricate lies against me, if u really like that chart (it seems you do), just Go back a bit and look at 2011, it was conveniently left out of the chart for a reason

Also if you really think history always repeats itself in marketw , why isn't gold $100,000 per ounce by now? And Google $1Billion per share ? It doesn't work that way things dont go up forever

[Arghhh]

What they found out about TA.
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2401230

That's because most TA analysts look at it the wrong way, they draw lines and compare it to previous patterns which is wrong, history does not always repeat itself especially in highly manipulated markets such as bitcoin.

From my experience its all maths, pure mathematics. If you view the world in numbers like one huge matrix then you can be fairly accurate with trades.

Stop faking that you know math, back up your analysis with math. Do it.
Judging by your history of lies in your posting, this is just another one and I doubt you can count past 2.

If you take both hands and pull your head out of your asshole, and check out this chart below (it's simple enough that a monkey like you can understand), it's clear that you can't afford bitcoins and won't ever in the future:



History repeated itself four times, your past and current prediction is zero.
History: 4, Cosmotard: 0

You're just mad that you didn't get in early like me. U mad bro?

Instead of blindly attacking me and fabricate lies against me, if u really like that chart (it seems you do), just Go back a bit and look at 2011, it was conveniently left out of the chart for a reason

Also if you really think history always repeats itself in marketw , why isn't gold $100,000 per ounce by now? And Google $1Billion per share ? It doesn't work that way things dont go up forever

wow sparky, all I did was show you a chart and you go off on me like a woman bleeding from her vagina...

Anyway, where's the math to back up your stupid opinion, sparky?

[fonzie]

Uhh the bulls are really gettin mad. Spitting out insults over everyone who isn´t convinced that history repeats itself and that we will see 5000-10000$coins this year.

[Arghhh]

Uhh the bulls are really gettin mad. Spitting out insults over everyone who isn´t convinced that history repeats itself and that we will see 5000-10000$coins this year.

haha sure buddy, I'm really mad that I have all this money while you don't.

will bump thread again in July for fun.

[jamesc760]

I get the feeling fonzie and cosmofly are ONE and the SAME person. They always pop up one after the other and back each other up. Not cool.

[fonzie]

I get the feeling fonzie and cosmofly are ONE and the SAME person. They always pop up one after the other and back each other up. Not cool.

Sorry to dissapoint you, but it´s not true. It has been a tough market in the last months but no need to get paranoid.

[Arghhh]

I get the feeling fonzie and cosmofly are ONE and the SAME person. They always pop up one after the other and back each other up. Not cool.

I noticed that they have the same flowery, self-important style of writing.

Everyone, be sure to be on the train, not the tracks, it's coming up hard and deep...

[Arghhh]

I get the feeling fonzie and cosmofly are ONE and the SAME person. They always pop up one after the other and back each other up. Not cool.

Focus on the BTC price movements.  Who cares who they are?
Speculate on the BTC price not the identify of the posters, it is irrelevant.

BTW, chipping away at 460, against all TA odds.  

The forum is moderating itself, and if there are any faggots cunting up the forum with trolling and outright lies (COUGH OP, COUGH), then mob justice is the only justice they'll get.

[Arghhh]

BTW, chipping away at 460, against all TA odds.  

Wall Street's buying up the chips... sharks are smelling blood in the water.

[GigaCoin]

BTW, chipping away at 460, against all TA odds.  

Wall Street's buying up the chips... sharks are smelling blood in the water.

Rest assured its not wall street, they dont trade at this time to start with, its Chinese buyers pushing up prices again.

[Arghhh]

BTW, chipping away at 460, against all TA odds.  

Wall Street's buying up the chips... sharks are smelling blood in the water.

Rest assured its not wall street, they dont trade at this time to start with, its Chinese buyers pushing up prices again.

Don't take it literally. Wall Street investors are buying it up before it hits the exchange in the summer.

[Arghhh]

A spike to 461 just now... OP, did you know that 266+195 is 461? Now you do!

[Arghhh]

... did you also know that 461-195 is 266? Wow! I wasn't sure you're gonna get that one! Give yourself a hand!

[GigaCoin]

BTW, chipping away at 460, against all TA odds.  

Wall Street's buying up the chips... sharks are smelling blood in the water.

Rest assured its not wall street, they dont trade at this time to start with, its Chinese buyers pushing up prices again.

Don't take it literally. Wall Street investors are buying it up before it hits the exchange in the summer.

I thought ur referring to this very moment

[GigaCoin]

I get the feeling fonzie and cosmofly are ONE and the SAME person. They always pop up one after the other and back each other up. Not cool.

Focus on the BTC price movements.  Who cares who they are?
Speculate on the BTC price not the identify of the posters, it is irrelevant.

BTW, chipping away at 460, against all TA odds.  

Agreed

I also never understood why we viciously attack bears in this forum. Everyone is entitled to their own opinion or analysis, I don't really mind it.

[y3804]

I'm mindfucked right now. Why are we heading into the 500s?? This doesn't make any sense.

[bitcoinsrus]

I'm mindfucked right now. Why are we heading into the 500s?? This doesn't make any sense.

What were you expecting?

[y3804]

I'm mindfucked right now. Why are we heading into the 500s?? This doesn't make any sense.

What were you expecting?

China is driving the price up, which is unexpected imo. In an organic market, I believe most players would cash out following the bad news and leave the price around $420. Are we preparing for a mega pump n' dump?

In any case, I won't buy until the Chinese exchanges release their official statements regarding bank transfers. Be careful

[galbros]

Maybe the Chinese have figured out there must be something to owning something that their government does not seem to want them to have?

[Arghhh]

$266 is April ATH

Today is April 5th, did you know that $469 - $266 is $203?

[IamComrade]

I'm mindfucked right now. Why are we heading into the 500s?? This doesn't make any sense.

What were you expecting?

China is driving the price up, which is unexpected imo. In an organic market, I believe most players would cash out following the bad news and leave the price around $420. Are we preparing for a mega pump n' dump?

In any case, I won't buy until the Chinese exchanges release their official statements regarding bank transfers. Be careful

I think price maybe go up now until the next bad news from China lol

[Zule]

I think price maybe go up now until the next bad news from China lol

Are you sure its maybe going up?
What do you base it on? Sources pls?

[IamComrade]

I think price maybe go up now until the next bad news from China lol

Are you sure its maybe going up?
What do you base it on? Sources pls?

Just I see price go from $440 to $460 like it want to go up.

I bought at $418 but I only buy more if price crash again

[cosmofly]

Penta Top

[Arghhh]

Hiya sparky! How ya been? It's been awhile!

Today is April 7th, did you know that $446 - $266 = $180? It's getting closer!

... I've shown you my math, why don't you show me yours?

We have a 100% (rounded off) chance of retesting $266 +/- $100 margin of error within the next 2 weeks

You made your prediction on the 30th of March, which means you have until April 12th to be at $266!

I'm timing you! 4 laps! Chop chop!

[master-P]

$266 is April ATH

Today is April 5th, did you know that $469 - $266 is $203?

How dare you criticize cosmofly? Don't you know he's always right?

[cosmofly]

Gavin just quit Bitcoin Development, he realized how bad bitcoin is as a protocol and an investment

http://www.coindesk.com/gavin-andresen-steps-bitcoins-lead-developer/

[master-P]

Gavin just quit Bitcoin Development, he realized how bad bitcoin is as a protocol and an investment

http://www.coindesk.com/gavin-andresen-steps-bitcoins-lead-developer/

Bitcoin didn't die when Satoshi quit development.

[Arghhh]

Hiya sparky! How ya been? It's been awhile!

Today is April 8th, did you know that $448 - $266 = $182? Uh oh... you're slipping!

We have a 100% (rounded off) chance of retesting $266 +/- $100 margin of error within the next 2 weeks

You made your prediction on the 30th of March, which means you have until April 12th to be at $266!

You're slacking buddy... I'm still waiting for my $266 coins.

On the double! More FUD!

[Arghhh]

Gavin just quit Bitcoin Development, he realized how bad bitcoin is as a protocol and an investment

http://www.coindesk.com/gavin-andresen-steps-bitcoins-lead-developer/

"Andresen said he is not abandoning Bitcoin. He is only handing over core development responsibilities so that he can take up a bigger role as the currency’s chief scientist."

I think you need to read the actual article buddy.

[YipYip]

Gavin just quit Bitcoin Development, he realized how bad bitcoin is as a protocol and an investment

http://www.coindesk.com/gavin-andresen-steps-bitcoins-lead-developer/

Your a fucking FUD spreader ...he is actually going deeper into being the BITCOIN SCIENTIST i.e the architect of bitcoin

Good luck loser ... I am sorry u dont have any BTC

[GigaCoin]

The charts are indeed shaping up into a downward movement, its not looking good. Multiple attempts to go back to $500 failed miserably, this prediction may happen afterall,  not sure if it'll happen within 2 weeks maybe a bit off towards end April.

On the positive side, both selling and buying have dried up, so a buying spree could take us quickly away from $400

[DhaniBoy]

The charts are indeed shaping up into a downward movement, its not looking good. Multiple attempts to go back to $500 failed miserably, this prediction may happen afterall,  not sure if it'll happen within 2 weeks maybe a bit off towards end April.

On the positive side, both selling and buying have dried up, so a buying spree could take us quickly away from $400

yeah right, too hard for climb up to $500
many attemps always failed until now
why is so hard for BTC go back to $500?

[freedomno1]

Well Guess I'll join in the observation of this trend and see if it does occur or not

[Wolf Rainer]

Hiya sparky! How ya been? It's been awhile!

Today is April 8th, did you know that $448 - $266 = $182? Uh oh... you're slipping!

We have a 100% (rounded off) chance of retesting $266 +/- $100 margin of error within the next 2 weeks

You made your prediction on the 30th of March, which means you have until April 12th to be at $266!

You're slacking buddy... I'm still waiting for my $266 coins.

On the double! More FUD!

And what do you think now? At $410 and falling... And we have 46 more hours until 12 April. And he said ($266 +/- $100 margin) so if the price drops to $366 he will be right, and its only at $44 with two days to go, so...

[dropt]

And what do you think now? At $410 and falling... And we have 46 more hours until 12 April. And he said ($266 +/- $100 margin) so if the price drops to $366 he will be right, and its only at $44 with two days to go, so...

Just how retarded are you?

50%, that's a coin toss, and a $200 spread.   

Yeah, he's got this one all nailed down.

Did you catch that Massive Dip he called mid march?  I took a screen shot, I'll be sure to post it here so his autistic mathematics wizard friend can "analyse" it.

[Wolf Rainer]

And what do you think now? At $410 and falling... And we have 46 more hours until 12 April. And he said ($266 +/- $100 margin) so if the price drops to $366 he will be right, and its only at $44 with two days to go, so...

Just how retarded are you?

50%, that's a coin toss, and a $200 spread.   

Yeah, he's got this one all nailed down.

Did you catch that Massive Dip he called mid march?  I took a screen shot, I'll be sure to post it here so his autistic mathematics wizard friend can "analyse" it.

I don't really care about if he is a wizard or not... Im just saying that the fact of getting a 50% price drop in 2 weeks its possible. When he said that the price of Btc was over $500 and now its below $410 and keeps dropping. 

[dropt]

I don't really care about if he is a wizard or not... Im just saying that the fact of getting a 50% price drop in 2 weeks its possible. When he said that the price of Btc was over $500 and now its below $410 and keeps dropping.  

That's correct, and what was the price and trend in the weeks previous to $500?  Why was the market trending that direction, and has anything changed since then?  Do you think there's a reason he said that specific time range?

It's not rocket science.

[Wolf Rainer]

I don't really care about if he is a wizard or not... Im just saying that the fact of getting a 50% price drop in 2 weeks its possible. When he said that the price of Btc was over $500 and now its below $410 and keeps dropping.  

That's correct, and what was the price and trend in the weeks previous to $500?  Why was the market trending that direction, and has anything changed since then?  Do you think there's a reason he said that specific time range?

It's not rocket science.

I don't care why he said that... I was replying to another user.

[cosmofly]

I don't really care about if he is a wizard or not... Im just saying that the fact of getting a 50% price drop in 2 weeks its possible. When he said that the price of Btc was over $500 and now its below $410 and keeps dropping.  

That's correct, and what was the price and trend in the weeks previous to $500?  Why was the market trending that direction, and has anything changed since then?  Do you think there's a reason he said that specific time range?

It's not rocket science.

You guys will deny even if the truth is in front of you

All my predictions and analysis have been accurate , March 16 dip was spot on within the margin of error I mentioned, i gave that date one month before March 16 in a Bullish trend when people thought Bitcoin is going back to the moon. look at the chart yourself and you will see starting March 16 we kept going down to where we are now. All of you laughed at me and said buy at $750 look at the price now, how do you like your $700+ coins now

Also my insider info about China bank ban was true, you all said there is no ban buy at $550+ I said there is, what does the news say 1 week later?  

[YipYip]

I don't really care about if he is a wizard or not... Im just saying that the fact of getting a 50% price drop in 2 weeks its possible. When he said that the price of Btc was over $500 and now its below $410 and keeps dropping.  

That's correct, and what was the price and trend in the weeks previous to $500?  Why was the market trending that direction, and has anything changed since then?  Do you think there's a reason he said that specific time range?

It's not rocket science.

You guys will deny even if the truth is in front of you

All my predictions and analysis have been accurate , March 16 dip was spot on within the margin of error I mentioned, i gave that date one month before March 16 in a Bullish trend when people thought Bitcoin is going back to the moon. look at the chart yourself and you will see starting March 16 we kept going down to where we are now. All of you laughed at me and said buy at $750 look at the price now, how do you like your $700 coins now

Also my insider info about China bank ban was true, you all said there is no ban buy at $550+ I said there is, what does the news say 1 week later?  

hey fuckwit ...look at the titel of your post .. you have 2 days to go

COMOTARD

[GigaCoin]

Lol I don't get why Bears are attacked to oblivion on this forum even when they are proven right? I always viewed this forum as a place to discuss views From bulls and bears but bears barely get a voice.

Everyone has their own way to express even if its overdramatic like Cosmo

Personally I welcome everyone's opinions here, I've seen many get laughed at, insulted etc only to be right at the end, but people tend to ignore that fact

We are definitely in dark times, would be nice to see the sun rise soon

[Cassius]

You said we had a 50-50 ('rounded off') chance of going below $400.
And that if we did the price would end up between $166 and $366.
This isn't a prediction. It means 'The price might go below $400 and if it does it will end up below $400.'
^^^
This is for the benefit of newbies who might be tempted to take cosmo seriously. The other threads people have dug up on you tell people everything they need to know about you.

For me, I think it's time you joined igorr on my ignorr list. I believe you'll get on well together.

EDIT: for the record, bearish short term and think that $400 holding is optimistic, but it doesn't make a difference to me either way. I earn my btc and will continue to do so over the long term regardless of price. Long term I think bitcoin has a bright future. Sentiments here are based on troll moronity, not fear that the wiggly lines on the charts might wiggle more than usual.

[kooke]

Lol I don't get why Bears are attacked to oblivion on this forum even when they are proven right? I always viewed this forum as a place to discuss views From bulls and bears but bears barely get a voice.

Everyone has their own way to express even if its overdramatic like Cosmo

Personally I welcome everyone's opinions here, I've seen many get laughed at, insulted etc only to be right at the end, but people tend to ignore that fact

We are definitely in dark times, would be nice to see the sun rise soon

Maybe it's because out of 10 predictions only one turns out to be correct. Any common fool can post endless threads making predictions and eventually get one right. And being a pathological liar doesn't really lend him any credibility either.

[IamComrade]

Lol I don't get why Bears are attacked to oblivion on this forum even when they are proven right? I always viewed this forum as a place to discuss views From bulls and bears but bears barely get a voice.

Everyone has their own way to express even if its overdramatic like Cosmo

Personally I welcome everyone's opinions here, I've seen many get laughed at, insulted etc only to be right at the end, but people tend to ignore that fact

We are definitely in dark times, would be nice to see the sun rise soon

Maybe it's because out of 10 predictions only one turns out to be correct. Any common fool can post endless threads making predictions and eventually get one right. And being a pathological liar doesn't really lend him any credibility either.

i follow cosmofly since a while and he has been spot on every single time but ppl here insult him and only cheer for bulls but bears are slaughtered  look now everyone hate TERA 

[GigaCoin]

Lol I don't get why Bears are attacked to oblivion on this forum even when they are proven right? I always viewed this forum as a place to discuss views From bulls and bears but bears barely get a voice.

Everyone has their own way to express even if its overdramatic like Cosmo

Personally I welcome everyone's opinions here, I've seen many get laughed at, insulted etc only to be right at the end, but people tend to ignore that fact

We are definitely in dark times, would be nice to see the sun rise soon

Maybe it's because out of 10 predictions only one turns out to be correct. Any common fool can post endless threads making predictions and eventually get one right. And being a pathological liar doesn't really lend him any credibility either.

Well to be fair i only read 3 threads of his analysis or predictions, and all were spot on, all in a row. And we just went to $380 which is just $14 away from Cosmofly's target (based on his margin of error) so i'm gonna give him this one too. It was also within his specific time range of 2 weeks

Having said that i honestly i don't really follow or base my trades on anyone's advise here, i make my own, but i find it interesting when one is able to accurately time the market time after time, i also don't believe in attacking bears (or bulls), i also don't care for their mannerisms, but's good to hear everyones opinions rather than call them names.

There was another interesting guy a few months ago who also was spot on multiple times but stopped posting not sure where he went (and forgot his name lol)

[spazzdla]

IMO it's going sub 300 before/just after the 15th.  Need buyers from Euro/NA

[jamesc760]

There are no new buyers from the NA or the EU, we are all tapped out.

[K128kevin]

You said we had a 50-50 ('rounded off') chance of going below $400.
And that if we did the price would end up between $166 and $366.
This isn't a prediction. It means 'The price might go below $400 and if it does it will end up below $400.'
^^^
This is for the benefit of newbies who might be tempted to take cosmo seriously. The other threads people have dug up on you tell people everything they need to know about you.

For me, I think it's time you joined igorr on my ignorr list. I believe you'll get on well together.

EDIT: for the record, bearish short term and think that $400 holding is optimistic, but it doesn't make a difference to me either way. I earn my btc and will continue to do so over the long term regardless of price. Long term I think bitcoin has a bright future. Sentiments here are based on troll moronity, not fear that the wiggly lines on the charts might wiggle more than usual.

Exactly this... his prediction was a truism. He's saying that there's a chance it will go below $400, and if it does, then it will be below $400. It's not a prediction. Plus he gave a two week period of time for this to happen. If you're going to make a prediction, give a 2 day period MAX and give a more specific price for it to drop to.

An equivalent prediction to cosmofly's would be like if I said that there is a 50% chance that the price will go above $450 in the next 2 weeks and if it does, there is a 50% chance it will reach $500 and a 50% chance that it will stay in the mid $400s.

[GigaCoin]

There are no new buyers from the NA or the EU, we are all tapped out.

NA & Europe are Broke in fiat and now broke in Bitcoin 

[kooke]

Well to be fair i only read 3 threads of his analysis or predictions, and all were spot on, all in a row. And we just went to $380 which is just $14 away from Cosmofly's target (based on his margin of error) so i'm gonna give him this one too. It was also within his specific time range of 2 weeks

Having said that i honestly i don't really follow or base my trades on anyone's advise here, i make my own, but i find it interesting when one is able to accurately time the market time after time, i also don't believe in attacking bears (or bulls), i also don't care for their mannerisms, but's good to hear everyones opinions rather than call them names.

There was another interesting guy a few months ago who also was spot on multiple times but stopped posting not sure where he went (and forgot his name lol)

Matthecat lost more money today, a perfect reason for him to excrete ass talk. So you say Bitcoin will crash even more to assed levels, lets see then where is the crash ? i can't see $500 BTC only more ass talk.

He predicted earlier that BTC won't crash below $500. Follow him or not, it's your choice. Even this prediction of bitcoin testing $266 hasn't come to fruition. Not even +/- $100 yet, although that is a significant margin of error (Nearly 38%). Do you believe he has a math genius autistic friend too?

[spazzdla]

There are no new buyers from the NA or the EU, we are all tapped out.

I've got lots of cash ready to buy after the 15th comes.

[dropt]

He predicted earlier that BTC won't crash below $500. Follow him or not, it's your choice. Even this prediction of bitcoin testing $266 hasn't come to fruition. Not even +/- $100 yet, although that is a significant margin of error (Nearly 38%). Do you believe he has a math genius autistic friend too?

Not to mention there's no analysis here.

[cosmofly]

Matthecat lost more money today, a perfect reason for him to excrete ass talk. So you say Bitcoin will crash even more to assed levels, lets see then where is the crash ? i can't see $500 BTC only more ass talk.

He predicted earlier that BTC won't crash below $500. Follow him or not, it's your choice. Even this prediction of bitcoin testing $266 hasn't come to fruition. Not even +/- $100 yet, although that is a significant margin of error (Nearly 38%). Do you believe he has a math genius autistic friend too?

The $500 thing was a while ago when I was bullish, like any intelligent investor (unlike u who bought all the way down from $1200) I switch to bull or bear in the right moment. Its really pathetic that u went so far in the last to get that shows how desperate you are in discrediting me  

I love how haters will deny when my predictions and analysis come true, in reality they are panicking looking for the next bullish forum thread to post "to the moon" just to fill the void of their misery

I won't even bother addressing anymore hate as its reached new low levels of desperation and trolling 

[kooke]

Matthecat lost more money today, a perfect reason for him to excrete ass talk. So you say Bitcoin will crash even more to assed levels, lets see then where is the crash ? i can't see $500 BTC only more ass talk.

He predicted earlier that BTC won't crash below $500. Follow him or not, it's your choice. Even this prediction of bitcoin testing $266 hasn't come to fruition. Not even +/- $100 yet, although that is a significant margin of error (Nearly 38%). Do you believe he has a math genius autistic friend too?

The $500 thing was a while ago when I was bullish, like any intelligent investor (unlike u who bought all the way down from $1200) I switch to bull or bear in the right moment. Its really pathetic that u went so far in the last to get that shows how desperate you are in discrediting me  

I love how haters will deny when my predictions and analysis come true, in reality they are panicking looking for the next bullish forum thread to post "to the moon" just to fill the void of their misery

I won't even bother addressing anymore hate as its reached new low levels of desperation and trolling 

Your prediction hasn't come true. We haven't re-tested $266. Bitcoin was dropping from $750 when you posted that bullish thread. By the way I've been bearish for quite a while before you posted your rubbish thread, it's just that some of us will call out a liar and fraud for what they really are.

[jamesc760]

Let's leave MatTheCat out of this thread. I haven't heard from him lately and I respect the man for his technical analysis.

As much as I hate cosmopolis's style, I must admit he's on to something here. With the Chinese pulling out of BTC, we are going to see the extent of BTC fundamentals and infrastructure value. By the 20th April, dust should settle and reveal the true value of BTC.

If bitcoin retains its value around $400 on April 20th, there's a great chance that it will shoot straight through the moon soon afterwards.

If bitcoin crashes hard by that day, we may see $100 again.

[dropt]

Let's leave MatTheCat out of this thread. I haven't heard from him lately and I respect the man for his technical analysis.

He didn't/doesn't know which way is up.  Guy couldn't hang on to a thought or prediction for more than 10 minutes.  Should probably get himself a Dexedrine prescription.

[ampere9765]

Let's leave MatTheCat out of this thread. I haven't heard from him lately and I respect the man for his technical analysis.

He didn't/doesn't know which way is up.  Guy couldn't hang on to a thought or prediction for more than 10 minutes.  Should probably get himself a Dexedrine prescription.

He made some decent calls

Got whipsawed a few times and couldn't handle it though

[YipYip]

Well to be fair i only read 3 threads of his analysis or predictions, and all were spot on, all in a row. And we just went to $380 which is just $14 away from Cosmofly's target (based on his margin of error) so i'm gonna give him this one too. It was also within his specific time range of 2 weeks

Having said that i honestly i don't really follow or base my trades on anyone's advise here, i make my own, but i find it interesting when one is able to accurately time the market time after time, i also don't believe in attacking bears (or bulls), i also don't care for their mannerisms, but's good to hear everyones opinions rather than call them names.

There was another interesting guy a few months ago who also was spot on multiple times but stopped posting not sure where he went (and forgot his name lol)

Matthecat lost more money today, a perfect reason for him to excrete ass talk. So you say Bitcoin will crash even more to assed levels, lets see then where is the crash ? i can't see $500 BTC only more ass talk.

He predicted earlier that BTC won't crash below $500. Follow him or not, it's your choice. Even this prediction of bitcoin testing $266 hasn't come to fruition. Not even +/- $100 yet, although that is a significant margin of error (Nearly 38%). Do you believe he has a math genius autistic friend too?

+/- 38% like come on the psychic at the market fair does not even ask for that margin of error

If it touch's sub 300 I will say he was right as that gives a normal +/- 10%

He is a pathological liar as has been proven many times
He has been spinning fud non stop ....i.e GAVIN ANDERSON ABANDONS BITCOIN ....as one example

The times when he has been wrong or caught lying it is always glossed over...

[Arghhh]

If you look at his posting history you'll see several things:

1. He is poor.
2. He created a shitcoin while calling other people's altcoin a scam.
3. He post pictures of online models and claims that he's been with them.
4. His lying is pathological. Almost every of his posting is a lie. This has been exposed numerous times.

This dude has severe issues and I wouldn't be surprised if he started a public shooting.

[YipYip]

If you look at his posting history you'll see several things:

1. He is poor.
2. He created a shitcoin while calling other people's altcoin a scam.
3. He post pictures of online models and claims that he's been with them.
4. His lying is pathological. Almost every of his posting is a lie. This has been exposed numerous times.

This dude has severe issues and I wouldn't be surprised if he started a public shooting.

Agreed....I am happy to jump up & down and carry on like monkey in a bannana factory on meth ...but we have enough lies and deception in crypto as it is

If he is right I will say it ..also when he is wrong I expect him to own it ..currently I agree there is some really bad emotional imbalances and i think most of it is a cry for attention  ..

imbalanced and he makes me look normal...

thats funny ..lolz

[cosmofly]

It does look like rain

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B6znoxP_AE4

But there is hope

[cosmofly]

IMO it's going sub 300 before/just after the 15th.  Need buyers from Euro/NA

My custom programmed bot executed a few buys at $345, well within my projected margin of error. It will sell upon a sufficient upswing

[GigaCoin]

I've put in a buy order at $350 woke up and was executed, looks good

This prediction happened within the margin of error provided and within the timeframe provided I give it a pass.

[YipYip]

I've put in a buy order at $350 woke up and was executed, looks good

This prediction happened within the margin of error provided and within the timeframe provided I give it a pass.

+/- 40% is not acceptable

[porcupine87]

Let's leave MatTheCat out of this thread. I haven't heard from him lately and I respect the man for his technical analysis.

He is just guessing. Did you ever play roulette? Several people bet on a single number and claim to be a prophet. If one person gets his prediction true is he really a prophet? There are so many people predicting stuff and guess what. Some of this guesses are right. This is just the law of stochastics!

There are people guessing that Bitcoin will go to 1$ or 10 000$ within the next 3 months. Depending on the news both is possible but not likely. Imagine in the next months we find a serious bug in the Bitcoin protocol which cannot be fixed. 1$ is possible then. Or the US parliament claims to be Bitcoin the new legal tender in 1-2 years. 10 000$ is possible then. But are there some prophets by just guessing?

[cosmofly]

I've put in a buy order at $350 woke up and was executed, looks good

This prediction happened within the margin of error provided and within the timeframe provided I give it a pass.

+/- 40% is not acceptable

I've put in place a margin of error that was spot on, infact more than, don't blame me you bought high, if you read my post that is, ive put this thread 2 weeks before we hit $330 from about $500

Also I never insulted you even when you've trolled my thread since day one but you said you will admit when I am right. Well I am now so let's see if you stick to your word or you'll bring up more excuses

[cosmofly]

This has been another successful prediction and analysis, I've executed excellent buys and now fetching great profit. Those who followed me as always made decent returns  

Those who followed my haters and ignored my analysis and prediction unfortunately made huge losses and sitting on expensive coins, always waiting for that day to break even   and always making up excuses when the facts are infront of them, so jump on the right bus next time!

This thread has been read 9000+ Times , as all my predictions and analysis threads have very high rates of readers. I have a huge following, a lot of senior members and new comers constantly post here and send me PM asking advice and thanking me.

Due to this high demand I will be providing more details soon. Meanwhile I will provide more updates in this thread

[inca]

This user is currently ignored.

Bliss.

[roslinpl]

$266 wont come hehehe it was so close 26~hours ago

but ... will not come not soon or perhaps imo NEVER !

So sorry OP.

♥BTC

[esse83]

This user is currently ignored.

Bliss.

Still you are in his thread.

[YipYip]

I've put in a buy order at $350 woke up and was executed, looks good

This prediction happened within the margin of error provided and within the timeframe provided I give it a pass.

+/- 40% is not acceptable

I've put in place a margin of error that was spot on, infact more than, don't blame me you bought high, if you read my post that is, ive put this thread 2 weeks before we hit $330 from about $500

Also I never insulted you even when you've trolled my thread since day one but you said you will admit when I am right. Well I am now so let's see if you stick to your word or you'll bring up more excuses

I said if we hit sub 300 you would have been right which gave you +/- 10% ...which we did not ... what I will say is you where close.. Ill give you that... +/- 40% margin of error is not "RIGHT"


 ..... Now thats out of the way what about owning up to all the other lies you have spewed forth on the forums ??

Let me guess...crickets

[dropt]

I've put in place a margin of error that was spot on, infact more than, don't blame me you bought high, if you read my post that is, ive put this thread 2 weeks before we hit $330 from about $500

+/- %40 isn't a "margin of error"  it's a cover-up for failure.

I said if we hit sub 300 you would have been right which gave you +/- 10% ...which we did not ... what I will say is you where close.. Ill give you that... +/- 40% margin of error is not "RIGHT"

 ..... Now thats out of the way what about owning up to all the other lies you have spewed forth on the forums ??

Let me guess...crickets

Cracked $397 on CaVirtex.  Didn't even hit the ridiculous margin of error.

[favelle75]

Have we hit $266 yet?

[jparsley]

Nice work. Will buy if it goes btw 14th -20th i also think a lot of buys orders wont let price drop that much.

[jparsley]

Nice work. Will buy if it goes down btw 14th -20th i also think a lot of buys orders wont let price drop that much.

[igorr]

Have we hit $266 yet?

please be patient

[GigaCoin]

Nice work. Will buy if it goes down btw 14th -20th i also think a lot of buys orders wont let price drop that much.

Slow exit by the Chinese possible, traps to sell at highest possible price before final sell off?

Coindesk says huobi,okcoin and btcchina is planning to move overseas, that's not a good sign. I think Chinese money is exiting the market for the short term atleast

[dropt]

Nice work. Will buy if it goes down btw 14th -20th i also think a lot of buys orders wont let price drop that much.

Slow exit by the Chinese possible, traps to sell at highest possible price before final sell off?

Coindesk says huobi,okcoin and btcchina is planning to move overseas, that's not a good sign. I think Chinese money is exiting the market for the short term atleast

If the capital flight theories have any merit the Chinese should be buying the fuck out of Bitcoin right now.

For all you know they are, and it's the Western "day traders" (Read: noob idiots) that are causing all this BS.

[y3804]

Nice work. Will buy if it goes down btw 14th -20th i also think a lot of buys orders wont let price drop that much.

Slow exit by the Chinese possible, traps to sell at highest possible price before final sell off?

Coindesk says huobi,okcoin and btcchina is planning to move overseas, that's not a good sign. I think Chinese money is exiting the market for the short term atleast

If the capital flight theories have any merit the Chinese should be buying the fuck out of Bitcoin right now.

For all you know they are, and it's the Western "day traders" (Read: noob idiots) that are causing all this BS.

That's a very small % of Chinese traders. Most are interested in short term profits

Yes I'm a noob idiot. but it looks like im right with my predictions

[dropt]

That's a very small % of Chinese traders. Most are interested in short term profits

That's not what the results of my investigatory inquiries have turned up.  But you go ahead on continue believing whatever you want.

What predictions?  You don't predict anything short of recycling garbage you find on the internet.  You're the Bitcoin equivalent of a dumpster diver.  That's not necessarily something I would be proud of.  To each their own I suppose.

[y3804]

That's a very small % of Chinese traders. Most are interested in short term profits

That's not what the results of my investigatory inquiries have turned up.  But you go ahead on continue believing whatever you want.

Actually you're right about that. Sorry

There's a $50K limit however now IIRC for offshore deposits, which will make the task harder

[GigaCoin]

Nice work. Will buy if it goes down btw 14th -20th i also think a lot of buys orders wont let price drop that much.

Slow exit by the Chinese possible, traps to sell at highest possible price before final sell off?

Coindesk says huobi,okcoin and btcchina is planning to move overseas, that's not a good sign. I think Chinese money is exiting the market for the short term atleast

If the capital flight theories have any merit the Chinese should be buying the fuck out of Bitcoin right now.

For all you know they are, and it's the Western "day traders" (Read: noob idiots) that are causing all this BS.

In a way that's true it would make sense for them to buy it. I think what's important right now is reassurance from Chinese exchanges that everything will be OK etc etc in an official annoucment on their website not an interview. From my observation that seems to calm Chinese investors

[y3804]

That's a very small % of Chinese traders. Most are interested in short term profits

That's not what the results of my investigatory inquiries have turned up.  But you go ahead on continue believing whatever you want.

What predictions?  You don't predict anything short of recycling garbage you find on the internet.  You're the Bitcoin equivalent of a dumpster diver.  That's not necessarily something I would be proud of.  To each their own I suppose.

garbage turns out to be true sometimes

[birr]

I've put in place a margin of error that was spot on

How can a margin of error be accurate? 

[dropt]

Actually you're right about that. Sorry

There's a $50K limit however now IIRC for offshore deposits, which will make the task harder

I'm actually just spouting bullshit, but yes, if there was ever an opportunity for the Chinese mainlanders to circumvent those controls, now is it and the window is closing fast.  Maybe that's what we're actually seeing?  Maybe the mini bull rallies are crazy buyers buying, and then the subsequent Western market dumps are those big buyers dumping into foreign currencies.

[dropt]

Nice work. Will buy if it goes down btw 14th -20th i also think a lot of buys orders wont let price drop that much.

Slow exit by the Chinese possible, traps to sell at highest possible price before final sell off?

Coindesk says huobi,okcoin and btcchina is planning to move overseas, that's not a good sign. I think Chinese money is exiting the market for the short term atleast

If the capital flight theories have any merit the Chinese should be buying the fuck out of Bitcoin right now.

For all you know they are, and it's the Western "day traders" (Read: noob idiots) that are causing all this BS.

In a way that's true it would make sense for them to buy it. I think what's important right now is reassurance from Chinese exchanges that everything will be OK etc etc in an official annoucment on their website not an interview. From my observation that seems to calm Chinese investors

I read something the other day where Chinese investors are mad as hell because the Westerners keep spreading rumours, getting freaked out and dumping all over the place. 

[p0peji]

Nice work. Will buy if it goes down btw 14th -20th i also think a lot of buys orders wont let price drop that much.

Slow exit by the Chinese possible, traps to sell at highest possible price before final sell off?

Coindesk says huobi,okcoin and btcchina is planning to move overseas, that's not a good sign. I think Chinese money is exiting the market for the short term atleast

If the capital flight theories have any merit the Chinese should be buying the fuck out of Bitcoin right now.

For all you know they are, and it's the Western "day traders" (Read: noob idiots) that are causing all this BS.

In a way that's true it would make sense for them to buy it. I think what's important right now is reassurance from Chinese exchanges that everything will be OK etc etc in an official annoucment on their website not an interview. From my observation that seems to calm Chinese investors

I read something the other day where Chinese investors are mad as hell because the Westerners keep spreading rumours, getting freaked out and dumping all over the place.  

They are just mad because they are losing money. Guess what would have happened if the Chinese would have been the first to buy into bitcoin, they would have done exactly that what they are accusing the Westerners of.

[favelle75]

Have we hit $266 yet?

please be patient

By patient do you mean never?  Ok, I can wait that long.

[GreenDude]

Good old days.

[favelle75]

Have we hit $266 yet or was this just a joke thread???

[YipYip]

Have we hit $266 yet or was this just a joke thread???

He gave himself a margin of +/- 40% and even with this he did not succeed

OP Pathological liar who needs help

[hyphymikey]

Lol

[dandirk]

I've put in place a margin of error that was spot on

How can a margin of error be accurate? 

In the same way as my 100% margin of error is inaccurate 0% of the time.

[kooke]

I wonder where the OP went...

Probably wishing he bought some of those cheap coins.

[Dalmar]

I wonder where the OP went...

Probably wishing he bought some of those cheap coins.

Bitcoin is not out of the triangle of doom yet. 260-280 retest is still very possible in a few weeks from now:

https://www.tradingview.com/v/fYhqvd8H/

[YipYip]

I wonder where the OP went...

Probably wishing he bought some of those cheap coins.

Bitcoin is not out of the triangle of doom yet. 260-280 retest is still very possible in a few weeks from now:

https://www.tradingview.com/v/fYhqvd8H/

lolzzz..yeah... umm.. NOPE !@

[Dalmar]

lolzzz..yeah... umm.. NOPE !@

DanV is a TA king. He called all major bitcoin drops the past few months. So, I doubt he will be wrong this time.  

[chessnut]

lolzzz..yeah... umm.. NOPE !@

DanV is a TA king. He predicted all major bitcoin drops the past few months. So, I doubt he will be wrong this time. 

....TA does not forecast. TA is risk management.

[Dalmar]

....TA does not forecast. TA is risk management.

Of course. It's just about probabilities and based on human emotions.

[DubFX]

....TA does not forecast. TA is risk management.

Of course. It's just about probabilities and based on human emotions.

True i guess it's only based on his feelings and that he feels that his feelings gotta be right wich doesn't really mean it's going to happen.
You can't predict future..

[YipYip]

lolzzz..yeah... umm.. NOPE !@

DanV is a TA king. He predicted all major bitcoin drops the past few months. So, I doubt he will be wrong this time.  

Who the fuck is DanV

I think he lives near IDontgiveafuck & HeIsWrong town  

[Cassius]

....TA does not forecast. TA is risk management.

Of course. It's just about probabilities and based on human emotions.

True i guess it's only based on his feelings and that he feels that his feelings gotta be right wich doesn't really mean it's going to happen.
You can't predict future..

Which is just one of the reasons that 'prediction' threads like this one are so asinine...
Best TA I've seen on these boards are the ones that suggest different scenarios and key price points, not the ones that say 'xxx is going to happen by yyy'.

[cosmofly]

....TA does not forecast. TA is risk management.

Of course. It's just about probabilities and based on human emotions.

True i guess it's only based on his feelings and that he feels that his feelings gotta be right wich doesn't really mean it's going to happen.
You can't predict future..

...
Best TA I've seen on these boards are the ones that suggest different scenarios and key price points, not the ones that say 'xxx is going to happen by yyy'.

Those random TA threads are mainly useless scribbles they offer nothing to the public only confusion.

What I offered to my readers is precise analysis And predictions allowing you to set buy ins

If you read this thread and put your buys from $366 and below you will be sitting on 100% profit soon

Those who followed all my threads made excellent profits, rather than listen to perma bulls who made people buy at $700+, most perma bulls who attack me here are mainly waiting to break even since forever 

As i stated earlier I'm happy with my buy ins at the low 300's within my margin. So far my incline is short term bullish and will reassess soon.

[cosmofly]

Have we hit $266 yet or was this just a joke thread???

He gave himself a margin and even with this he did not succeed

My margin started from $366 , Bitstamp and Btce hit $339. 

Plenty of space to set buy ins downwards from the start point if you listened to me rather than troll my thread. A lot of ppl followed me and now sitting on large returns.

Also don't tell me you buy from an exchange that sells at a 30% premium like that idiot "hero member" dropt stated earlier 

[kooke]

How about your insider information that the China ban is real? Doesn't look like China banned anything...

But you're always right, right?

[YipYip]

Have we hit $266 yet or was this just a joke thread???

He gave himself a margin and even with this he did not succeed

My margin started from $366 , Bitstamp and Btce hit $339. 

Plenty of space to set buy ins downwards from the start point if you listened to me rather than troll my thread. A lot of ppl followed me and now sitting on large returns.

Also don't tell me you buy from an exchange that sells at a 30% premium like that idiot "hero member" dropt stated earlier 

wow .. you re-appear ..awesome ...cosmo these are the things that we are "on the same page"

AGREED

1) You pointed out the china news as real (you did not break said news as it was out in the public domain for 2 days b4 you grabbed it and started running around with etc )
2) You called the downtred impact for this news on teh price 5 days b4 it hit ..i.e you came close


DISAGREE

1) you broke the china news
2) you achieved your stated variables .. you came close but no cigar ... we would have to broken sub 300 to achieve even your generous +/- carpola

A lot of statements that where just fud

My fav was gavid anderson leaving bitcoin

So now taht we are in a safety circle of agreement ... own up to you have been a bit hard and fast with some facts and I will respect you forever

You obviously have some talent but currently there is a lot other crap that is distorting your message

All i ask is taht you say that you where wrong on some stuff and we are all good

..Also i am kee to here what your predictions for the current up swing are ?

Lets see if you can rise to teh occasion ..I have faith taht you will do the right thing .. cheers

[frienemy]

Have we hit $266 yet or was this just a joke thread???

He gave himself a margin and even with this he did not succeed

My margin started from $366 , Bitstamp and Btce hit $339. 

Plenty of space to set buy ins downwards from the start point if you listened to me rather than troll my thread. A lot of ppl followed me and now sitting on large returns.

Also don't tell me you buy from an exchange that sells at a 30% premium like that idiot "hero member" dropt stated earlier 

wow .. you re-appear ..awesome ...cosmo these are the things that we are "on the same page"

AGREED

1) You pointed out the china news as real (you did not break said news as it was out in the public domain for 2 days b4 you grabbed it and started running around with etc )
2) You called the downtred impact for this news on teh price 5 days b4 it hit ..i.e you came close


DISAGREE

1) you broke the china news
2) you achieved your stated variables .. you came close but no cigar ... we would have to broken sub 300 to achieve even your generous +/- carpola

A lot of statements that where just fud

My fav was gavid anderson leaving bitcoin

So now taht we are in a safety circle of agreement ... own up to you have been a bit hard and fast with some facts and I will respect you forever

You obviously have some talent but currently there is a lot other crap that is distorting your message

All i ask is taht you say that you where wrong on some stuff and we are all good

..Also i am kee to here what your predictions for the current up swing are ?

Lets see if you can rise to teh occasion ..I have faith taht you will do the right thing .. cheers

+1 except the typos

[akujin]

I have a dying psychic math genius autistic friend with athletes foot who can predict the future. He told me that the bottom is within $500 +/-99.999% before he died. He once predicted that bitcoin's value would be within $65 +/-$10k range in nov-dec 2013! I was amazed that his predictions are really accurate! I hope this post helps you guys

Only the intelligent ones in this forum will understand this:

Oh, I almost forgot....
The gf pic




 

[knightcoin]

btw, regards to the movie Cosmopolis... is really that hard to predict/modelling China economics ?

[jamesc760]

"The gf pic"

Can I put a brown paperbag over her head and do her?