Sports betting - How to determine if the line is a trap?

[Assface16678]

By looking at the line, you can already tell if there's something wrong with it, and you'll choose to be on the right side even if your heart says otherwise. So, guys, this is just my personal observation. Tell me if I'm overthinking, if I'm wrong about this, or if this really is the key to winning.

What matters is how long you have been using the strategy and how often you had success with the strategy, you already said that you have recorded many success with the strategy and other gamblers that have not used the strategy can not really tell more about it, like me, I don't know about it but I know that there are more than two strategy in sport betting. I even guess that every sport gambler has their strategy that is giving them success and some of those strategy are not also working.

If we can't prove that we are profitable in sports betting, then basically what we are doing is just gambling based on luck. Honestly, it's hard to be unrelistic when the record does not prove anything, and in order for that record to be reliable, it should be the result for long term gambling, not only on few months and then conclude that you already found the recipe for success.

Well, I cant still say that sports betting is more on luck, well its because you only have 50/50 chances of losing or winning the bet because you will only bet in one team or player per match so the chances od winning is pretty big you just have to be more analytic and of course you are familiar with what sports you are betting, for example like me I often or my favorite sports I bet on is NBA leagues because I'm too familiar with the players and teams and I like watching those matches so I have a slight idea which has the advantage and most likely to win in a match by using that I also like to see the team stats and player stats so that I could add that to my analysis wether there is a factor that could make a team win or have an advantage. I'm sure we all have different way of strategies on howbcan we determine our selves on which team is more stronger.

[Yatsan]

Lately, I've been using a simple strategy in sports betting by spotting lines that are overvalued or undervalued, which could easily attract public bets. Based on my record, I've had some success using this strategy. I realize that looking at stats alone to determine which team is better will not work. As gamblers, we have to do what others are not doing. A typical gambler will just look at the stats to determine the better team; they don't complicate things or consider other factors, which sometimes leads them to fall into traps.

By looking at the line, you can already tell if there's something wrong with it, and you'll choose to be on the right side even if your heart says otherwise. So, guys, this is just my personal observation. Tell me if I'm overthinking, if I'm wrong about this, or if this really is the key to winning.

Everything's a gamble, meaning without any assurance. Complicating sometimes result to bigger loss. The reason why many gamblers are complicating whenever they place a bet is simply because of frustration and struggle of winning which is normal. There are times I am winning more from betting at ease, especially whenever I'm just being lucky.  Thinking in a complicated manner will just be a wasted effort because in gambling, if it is not for you then it won't be in your hands. This is a better way in order to be able to accept how things really are going. Once you got frustrated from exerting too much effort on your bet and end up losing, you'll be just hungry of winning. Let things be, if I would be asked.

Do a couple of bets and from that, decide whether it is your day or not. Personally once I got consecutive loss, then I will just be taking a rest and try the other day I would be able to do so.

[alani123]

If a team has good chances to win but the odds placed on the opponent are giving out a low multiplier for your bet than expected, then I think this type of match is worth a look.
I'd say it's not that hard to figure this one out, but really it's something very often overlooked. People will go on to bet on their favorite team usually regardless of odds and won't even do much to adjust their bet size. A smart gambler would adjust his bets based on how risky a certain bet is. However betting blindly will just result in having no advantage and leaving things mostly to luck.

Surely you won't be able to change the outcomes, but by looking at the odds and choosing which bets are more worth than others you're making a choice that in the long term will help achieve better results in terms of performance. Really it's mostly about avoiding certain bets that have bad odds.

[Rockstarguy]

What do you mean by looking at the line?

I prefer to check some last matches of the clubs or team that are playing and also check their h2h. These help a lot. But I do not just bet like that because I still also let the match get close to the time it would begin and check the players that will play in the match.

I think just looking at the last match of a team to predict if the team will win the bet is not enough because their are teams that they find it difficult to win games and If they finally win in the match it doesn't mean they still have the chance of winning  game in the next match. The best way for me to predict if a team will win the match is to check the performance of the teams previous game in a row, if the team is able to win for or five times in a row then I can consider it. Another thing I check in a team before predicting is the performance of the team  so far for the season. The success that a team has been able to achieve in performance is important when making prediction,  though it is not a guarantee that bet must be won just because of the performance of a team in previous games.

[Questat]

By looking at the line, you can already tell if there's something wrong with it, and you'll choose to be on the right side even if your heart says otherwise. So, guys, this is just my personal observation. Tell me if I'm overthinking, if I'm wrong about this, or if this really is the key to winning.

What matters is how long you have been using the strategy and how often you had success with the strategy, you already said that you have recorded many success with the strategy and other gamblers that have not used the strategy can not really tell more about it, like me, I don't know about it but I know that there are more than two strategy in sport betting. I even guess that every sport gambler has their strategy that is giving them success and some of those strategy are not also working.

If we can't prove that we are profitable in sports betting, then basically what we are doing is just gambling based on luck. Honestly, it's hard to be unrelistic when the record does not prove anything, and in order for that record to be reliable, it should be the result for long term gambling, not only on few months and then conclude that you already found the recipe for success.

Well, I cant still say that sports betting is more on luck, well its because you only have 50/50 chances of losing or winning the bet because you will only bet in one team or player per match so the chances od winning is pretty big you just have to be more analytic and of course you are familiar with what sports you are betting, for example like me I often or my favorite sports I bet on is NBA leagues because I'm too familiar with the players and teams and I like watching those matches so I have a slight idea which has the advantage and most likely to win in a match by using that I also like to see the team stats and player stats so that I could add that to my analysis wether there is a factor that could make a team win or have an advantage. I'm sure we all have different way of strategies on howbcan we determine our selves on which team is more stronger.

It's easy to determine which team is stronger by simply looking at their standings and other factors such as statistics. It's true that the better team wins most of the time, but the question is: can it make us profitable as sports bettors? I'm sure you are familiar with the point spread and moneyline, and I believe bettors who are serious and want to minimize the house edge bet on the point spread rather than just picking the winning team on the moneyline, since the odds are usually lower than 1.50 when talking about a heavy favorite team.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Do a couple of bets and from that, decide whether it is your day or not. Personally once I got consecutive loss, then I will just be taking a rest and try the other day I would be able to do so.

I like that way of determining things, professionally I have not done something like that, but I am really going to take that advice because it seems that it is something quick, and there is not so much complication and I think that life is about that, not complicating things so much and seeing things as they are, I have always said something, when one is in a casino sometimes we think that it is a trap where we always lose money, but sometimes the casino system we must mature in understanding that it is basically an advantage of the house against which we fight, it is a very different thing to what is always done when the casinos are a fraud.

[stadus]

If a team has good chances to win but the odds placed on the opponent are giving out a low multiplier for your bet than expected, then I think this type of match is worth a look.
I'd say it's not that hard to figure this one out, but really it's something very often overlooked. People will go on to bet on their favorite team usually regardless of odds and won't even do much to adjust their bet size. A smart gambler would adjust his bets based on how risky a certain bet is. However betting blindly will just result in having no advantage and leaving things mostly to luck.

Surely you won't be able to change the outcomes, but by looking at the odds and choosing which bets are more worth than others you're making a choice that in the long term will help achieve better results in terms of performance. Really it's mostly about avoiding certain bets that have bad odds.

As explained in the OP.

here ; https://www.thegistsports.com/faq/sports-betting/

What’s a betting line?
A line actually refers to the point spread, or the specific number of points the sportsbook uses to determine the odds between an underdog and a favorite. The line is the margin between those two outcomes.

So that says it's not the betting odds which is known as moneyline when betting on a team to win straight up. We are discussing about the "point spread" here, it's the + - of the game which is harder to predict than just predicting the winner of the game.