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Author Topic: The US Factor: Why Bitcoin's Price is Tied to American News and Politics  (Read 33 times)
Jegileman (OP)
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July 24, 2024, 06:34:57 PM
 #1

Why is bitcoin price heavily affected by everything from the United States, when there’s a major news in America you’ll see speculators talking about how bitcoin price could go up or down as a result of that news. I saw that USA has the highest number of bitcoin miners, is anything related to why most of this news is affecting the price of bitcoin and is this how it will continue forever. Even when Biden decided to step down from the presidential race, many speculates that bitcoin could go up as a result of that.

legiteum
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July 24, 2024, 08:18:03 PM
 #2

You make a good point: Bitcoin's price is deeply tied to US politics.

Maybe this why crypto spending in the US election has surpassed every other industry including Big Oil and healthcare.

It's worth noting that this year is the last time anybody can credibly say that Bitcoin can't be manipulated by governments like (say) sovereign currencies can. In fact, Bitcoin can (and is) manipulated by governments--especially the US--more than any currency in history. The price of Bitcoin now hangs on the words of every US politician--far more than the value of the US dollar does, for instance...






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July 24, 2024, 08:36:40 PM
 #3

We started a whole thread about this in the Spanish forum. But we didn't come to a really convincing conclusion yet.

Regarding crypto users, the US seems to be only third in the world - of course there are only rough estimates, but it seems India and even China (despite the heavy restrictions) have more crypto users than the US, of course due to their larger population (see Triple-A estimates).

Main factors may be:

1) the US as the leading economy in general, and the presence of US news in the world's media headlines,
2) the US as the place where most modern "tech companies" reside -- in reality, most modern software companies, because industrial tech is mostly located in Asia Smiley
3) several founders of big cryptocurrency businesses (Binance, for example) and also altcoins are from the US or located in the US,
4) the Wall Street as the world's "money hotspot" and synonym of Capitalism in general, which is important above all for financial products like ETFs, but also crypto stocks,
5) of course, in recent years also the large mining sector (35-45% of the world's hashpower, according to estimates)

I think while these points of course are important, the importance for the crypto market in my opinion is disproportional. Much more bullish than a crypto-friendly legislation in the US, where already 15% of all people have owned crypto-assets, would be a crypto-friendly legislation in India for example, or a lifting of the restrictions in China. I'm thus quite bullish regarding the developments in Hong Kong (the authorization of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs there), because they can hint to a change in the Communist Party's views about Bitcoin and cryptos, and possible further removal of crypto restrictions in China.

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Zaguru12
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July 24, 2024, 10:15:07 PM
 #4


1) the US as the leading economy in general, and the presence of US news in the world's media headlines,

Among all the other keynotes I will simply say this is my strongest point, I think no matter how we try to make an argument for this, American been the leading economy means that’s it’s adoption of a new technology most especially when it has to do with the economy will have a major impact on the news than most countries, this doesn’t mean other country’s economy news or bitcoin related laws doesn’t have impact on it too. Remember when China banned mining or when the energy supply decreased due to the Russian/Ukraine war, they had their own impact too

It's worth noting that this year is the last time anybody can credibly say that Bitcoin can't be manipulated by governments like (say) sovereign currencies can. In fact, Bitcoin can (and is) manipulated by governments--especially the US--more than any currency in history. The price of Bitcoin now hangs on the words of every US politician--far more than the value of the US dollar does, for instance...

I don’t think, bitcoin isn’t manipulated rather investors are manipulated into making decisions which we all know will affect bitcoin, bitcoin price is dependent on the demand and supply of it, it is the investors that react to economic news which isn’t new. People feed on the words of the US election and make their decision. If a news broke out today and everyone doesn’t reacts that wouldn’t affect the market, so it is the supply and demand of investors that manipulate the bitcoin price

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