Market Update For Aug 5TH

[VicManton]

● BTC's main downtrend has begun, and altcoins are generally declining.

● U.S. stock market crash is pushing for a rate cut in September. Buffett has sold his U.S. stocks for the first time in the recent years.



✏︎ Market Highlights:


✏︎ BTC plunged, weekly chart shows a downward expanding megaphone pattern. The trend is similar to 2019, where the bull market began again six months after the last rate cut. From the July 2019 rate cut to April 2020, and the first rate hike in March 2022. BTC surged significantly six months after the rate cut in March 2020, peaking in November 2021, approximately six months before the rate hike.

✏︎ JUP in the SOL ecosystem is rising. JUP is SOL's DEX, and it has been decided to reduce the number of tokens by 30%.

✏︎ POLITIFI's HARRIS is rising. Both candidates have close winning probabilities, but Harris has a market capitalization of 10 million USDT, while Trump has a market capitalization of 200 million USDT, a 20-fold difference.

[Oshosondy]

● BTC's main downtrend has begun, and altcoins are generally declining.

What makes you think that the market will continue to fall? What if the support at $50000 would be very strong? What if bitcoin will not decrease further than $48900 that it fell to yesterday? The market may not be bullish for now but also it may not be bearish but ranging within certain price and later become bullish.

[Doan9269]

● BTC's main downtrend has begun, and altcoins are generally declining.

No any down trend has begun yet, the recent dip was nothing to cause the market go on a downtrend because we are not done yet with the bull season as a post halving season, that is why you could record that as of now, the market is pumping back because the resistance was very strong in going against a market range of $50,000 and below, maybe we should expect for more pumps any time soon than bear on the market because there is more possible indications showing for more bull than bear while we still anticipated to see more of a new all time high in this season than going dip in the market.

[Yaunfitda]

● BTC's main downtrend has begun, and altcoins are generally declining.

What makes you think that the market will continue to fall? What if the support at $50000 would be very strong? What if bitcoin will not decrease further than $48900 that it fell to yesterday? The market may not be bullish for now but also it may not be bearish but ranging within certain price and later become bullish.

I do agree, there is no $50k, for us, on the contrary, it went and go up to $55k, so I guess the market has bounce back from the recent downtrend that we have seen. And it just shows how volatile the market is, as high as $70k in July and then suddenly in the next couple of days, it goes down hard.

But the thing is that it's resilient and so we should be very proud of the investors, as they are not willing to give up the market to the bears and so we have a good bounce already. We are showing strength, it has settled down a bit, and with that, the obvious next attempt is $58k and I think it's very possible this month.

[davis196]

I do agree, there is no $50k, for us, on the contrary, it went and go up to $55k, so I guess the market has bounce back from the recent downtrend that we have seen. And it just shows how volatile the market is, as high as $70k in July and then suddenly in the next couple of days, it goes down hard.

But the thing is that it's resilient and so we should be very proud of the investors, as they are not willing to give up the market to the bears and so we have a good bounce already. We are showing strength, it has settled down a bit, and with that, the obvious next attempt is $58k and I think it's very possible this month.

This bounce back might be a "dead cat bounce"(which isn't necessarily bad). I was expecting a price crash during the summer and my predictions were right. The price might drop below 40-50K in the next days and weeks, or it might go back above sixty thousand dollars(which is less likely to happen). There's no reason for FUD and panic. I'm still waiting for the 2025 bull market(and probably a new ATH price).
OP, what the hell is this "USDT market cap" for Trump and Harris? Is this the amount of USDT donations received by both candidates?
What does that supposed to mean for the current situation on the cryptocurrency markets?

[STT]

Trends should be taken relative to the time line you are considering.  For the very long term which is perfectly applicable in Bitcoin the trend remains bullish, even year to date this remains a positive and certainly longer term its done well and imo will continue.

Present selling may be serious, I dont even think its over but it will take a greater duration to alter the course on more important time frames then just near term.

[VicManton]

Please note that this is not a finacial advise and should only be viewed as a means of talking about market highlight as the title implies.

[bitgolden]

While this type of thing doesn't always look that great, I have to say that it is going to end up with nothing that great for the long turn, it is going to be something that will take some time and wouldn't be all that complicated. I believe that the best thing we can do right now would be just focus on whatever we can do, that's going to be the thing that could make it work one way or another.

In the end, we should be considering how to grow to be bigger, and for that reason the price is recovering right now. I know that it is going to take a while, but it will not be easy, so we can't make it work any other way.

I believe that we are going to see something that will take some time, so we can't really make it work if we keep thinking it is going down. Consider that it is going to go up, we need to consider this as the reality and we can't keep on thinking that it is going to be too hard at all times, we need to consider sometimes things going to be just easier and right now ahead of us is the easy time and we are going to see the price going higher, so it shouldn't really be an issue at all. I believe that we need to see that as the reality and can't really see any bigger situation to be existing about it.

[Odusko]

● BTC's main downtrend has begun, and altcoins are generally declining.

What makes you think that the market will continue to fall? What if the support at $50000 would be very strong? What if bitcoin will not decrease further than $48900 that it fell to yesterday? The market may not be bullish for now but also it may not be bearish but ranging within certain price and later become bullish.

I guess at this point we are in for some long ride on the horizon, that can trigger up a total market down trends for a while, let not just bitcoin and we should also take note of what the impact of the current market situations Will have on altcoin who's market is like 10x in volitilities against bitcoin market, so all this should be considered, and we should try to include them in our cryptocurrency market analysis at each point in time, there is no one here that will say he have no portion of Their investment in other coins even though if bitcoin is the major coin of investment, we still hold some percentage of altcoins so we need to pay attention to their market also, unto say it a chain once their is a market reaction with bitcoin, it resultant effect on altcoin will be much greater.

[Dave1]

Please note that this is not a finacial advise and should only be viewed as a means of talking about market highlight as the title implies.

Right thanks for the disclaimer, but I guess everyone has our own opinion on the market right now and we really shouldn't take anyone's advise here. Nonetheless, you made your point and then the market going on the other direction.

Not only did it go on the opposite direction, it goes now as high as $57k. So the negative news might have settled down already. And investors are starting to buy again, and Bitcoin dominance is again at almost 60%. So it means that we have bounce back while altcoin market is still way back from what they are expecting I guess. But still very early, pivotal movement might happen in the last quarter of the year.

[tabas]

Not only did it go on the opposite direction, it goes now as high as $57k. So the negative news might have settled down already. And investors are starting to buy again, and Bitcoin dominance is again at almost 60%. So it means that we have bounce back while altcoin market is still way back from what they are expecting I guess. But still very early, pivotal movement might happen in the last quarter of the year.

It is $59k as per checking. The bouncing back was so quick and it didn't take a week for Bitcoin to recover, I don't know about other markets but it's possible that it's also doing the same. With this, it's not surprising that Bitcoin is able to recover. It has this attitude that it is very resilient and people have to recognize that and those that were able to buy at lows, soon we might be sticking to the $60k again. And currently, Bitcoin's dominance is at 56.1% and that's near about 60%. I missed seeing that it had gone as high as 70% but the price at that time was quite low for this cycle but nearly the ATHs that we've got.

[taufik123]

-snip-
soon we might be sticking to the $60k again. And currently, Bitcoin's dominance is at 56.1% and that's near about 60%. I missed seeing that it had gone as high as 70% but the price at that time was quite low for this cycle but nearly the ATHs that we've got.

It will continue, and it will only take a little more to be able to break out above the $60k price,
then Bitcoin will continue its rally and reach the top Resistance quickly.

But of course this will not be easy as long as the unfavorable narrative about bitcoin or the influence of the war is taking place,
so we also need to be prepared for a sudden decline.

Bitcoin's dominance is still quite high at the moment, at 57.29%, and it will head to 58%.
But the effect on altcoins will decline before finally bitcoin can sideways and altcoins will recover.

[skarais]

~~~

It will continue, and it will only take a little more to be able to break out above the $60k price,
then Bitcoin will continue its rally and reach the top Resistance quickly.

But of course this will not be easy as long as the unfavorable narrative about bitcoin or the influence of the war is taking place,
so we also need to be prepared for a sudden decline.

I really hope for the best recovery scenario in the current situation especially after the really deep correction of the last few days. Bitcoin price was testing the $60k resistance in the last few hours, but it will take more effort to break it considering there are large orders at that price range.For the last 4 hours I was really waiting for $60k to break, but this hasn't happened yet but the price is now $59,500 to $59,700.

If the $60k resistance is indeed broken, then of course I expect a nice rally after that. The market is gradually recovering as expected, but various issues including FUD should not be completely ignored.

[tabas]

-snip-
soon we might be sticking to the $60k again. And currently, Bitcoin's dominance is at 56.1% and that's near about 60%. I missed seeing that it had gone as high as 70% but the price at that time was quite low for this cycle but nearly the ATHs that we've got.

It will continue, and it will only take a little more to be able to break out above the $60k price,
then Bitcoin will continue its rally and reach the top Resistance quickly.

But of course this will not be easy as long as the unfavorable narrative about bitcoin or the influence of the war is taking place,
so we also need to be prepared for a sudden decline.

Bitcoin's dominance is still quite high at the moment, at 57.29%, and it will head to 58%.
But the effect on altcoins will decline before finally bitcoin can sideways and altcoins will recover.

Just a few more hundred and we're back to $60k again. The dominance of Bitcoin keeps on increasing and that's a good sign. We can see that most of the money that has been out of the market has been back again but mostly with Bitcoin. I'm still expecting some sideways as it reaches back to $59k and it's true that it's not going to be easy and might take a while. Either way, this is a good sign that we're seeing and we can only wish that it won't be back under $50k but if it does, for sure that many of those that have missed that price will start panicking to buy it.

[taufik123]

-snip-
If the $60k resistance is indeed broken, then of course I expect a nice rally after that. The market is gradually recovering as expected, but various issues including FUD should not be completely ignored.

And it really happened, the $60k resistance managed to break through Bitcoin and broke out at the price of $61,500.
This is a good position for bitcoin and a few hours that had a hit at $62,700.

Bitcoin in the 1D Time Frame is in the Flip trend area and this will depend on whether strong support is to hold and then Bitcoin tries to head towards the Uptrend area at the price of $65k++ which is quite a strong resistance.



This was also caused by Balckrock who started buying 2642 Bitcoins worth $164 million.
Bitcoin is back on track and is already preparing to continue its mission to $100k.
https://x.com/thomas_fahrer/status/1821707401839702247

Just a few more hundred and we're back to $60k again. The dominance of Bitcoin keeps on increasing and that's a good sign. We can see that most of the money that has been out of the market has been back again but mostly with Bitcoin. I'm still expecting some sideways as it reaches back to $59k and it's true that it's not going to be easy and might take a while. Either way, this is a good sign that we're seeing and we can only wish that it won't be back under $50k but if it does, for sure that many of those that have missed that price will start panicking to buy it.

Whales are back and starting to buy, and Sideways is indeed highly anticipated for now. But the best price for the sideways and making the altcoin price have a good recovery is above the $70k price, but it will certainly take some time to get it back, but nothing is impossible in crypto.

[bitterguy28]

● BTC's main downtrend has begun, and altcoins are generally declining.

● U.S. stock market crash is pushing for a rate cut in September. Buffett has sold his U.S. stocks for the first time in the recent years.

well things change in few days as market now goes back to its feet, though not completely high as what from last week at least now we are back in 60k and above .

[skarais]

~~~

And it really happened, the $60k resistance managed to break through Bitcoin and broke out at the price of $61,500.
This is a good position for bitcoin and a few hours that had a hit at $62,700.

Bitcoin in the 1D Time Frame is in the Flip trend area and this will depend on whether strong support is to hold and then Bitcoin tries to head towards the Uptrend area at the price of $65k++ which is quite a strong resistance.

I am grateful that in the end $60k has become support. It broke $62,700 for a while, but then the price dropped to $60k again. I don't expect $60k to be a strong support at the moment because however $60k seems weak to withstand a selloff. Dropping $2700+ in a few hours was exactly what I didn't want post an attempted recovery, but the market was still very volatile. There is still panic among traders that basically really affects prices, but over time I expect that wave of panic to subside.

I don't know, I'm not sure if a big rally will actually happen, but some investors have been accumulating as much as they can during the downturn. Unfortunately I have had to miss out on several opportunities to do so even though I would have loved to buy and collect more.

[khiholangkang]

● BTC's main downtrend has begun, and altcoins are generally declining.

● U.S. stock market crash is pushing for a rate cut in September. Buffett has sold his U.S. stocks for the first time in the recent years.

well things change in few days as market now goes back to its feet, though not completely high as what from last week at least now we are back in 60k and above .

ya bitcoin again experienced a significant increase after getting news that it was likely that interest rates would be cut, then the BOJ raised a very small interest rate so the possibility is quite clear that a reversal could occur, or this is just a bull trap, it could be that volatile assets experienced something like that.

But hopefully we can get a much better opportunity for the future and bitcoin does return to its bullish sentiment, because in my opinion those who enter bitcoin are not only retail but large institutions and countries, it should be much safer and not too volatile like the previous cycle in the bitcoin price range.

[Aanuoluwatofunmi]

Base on recent speculations, some were already predicting that the market may remain for now in-between the range of $50,000 to $60,000 depending on the side which raised more resistance over the market volatility, we have to consider also on how it has occurred on the recent time whereby bitcoin price surges to above $62,000 before it then comes down as low as @59,000 but currently as we speak, its around the band of $60,000 and if it can maintain this for a while, we should then expect more of the bull sooner till it achieve close to $70,000 before the month end.

[asriloni]

Base on recent speculations, some were already predicting that the market may remain for now in-between the range of $50,000 to $60,000 depending on the side which raised more resistance over the market volatility, we have to consider also on how it has occurred on the recent time whereby bitcoin price surges to above $62,000 before it then comes down as low as @59,000 but currently as we speak, its around the band of $60,000 and if it can maintain this for a while, we should then expect more of the bull sooner till it achieve close to $70,000 before the month end.

It may take some time for Bitcoin to be able to reclaim 62k again; I meant yesterday was in full swing. S&P500 was not performing quite well, and it affects the performance of Bitcoin's price to climb up. Also, it seems someone who put 12k BTC seller orders has already pulled off his order.

Considering we have no strong resistance, and i think we can go up as long as there will be a good news. But we're on the weekend now, and we may not be seeing a big movement from BTC.

It's quite weird to see how bitcoin's movement is now following US market.