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Author Topic: 1.90 odds in sports gives you 50% chance fo winning.  (Read 1291 times)
Bushdark
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September 19, 2024, 08:51:02 PM
 #121

So if you keep choosing odds of 1.90 or lower with a 50% chance of winning, do you think you can win in the long run? This is like giving the house an edge of 10%, and that's too much to give, yet we are too confident in winning. Are we being realistic here, or are we just too confident in our skills that we believe we can win 60% of the time?

Are there any gamblers here which are betting with those kinds of odds that has already achieve a long term success?


Everyone has different targets and strategies in sports betting ,some people aim to get 2 odds or probably lower than that on a weekly or daily basis, the lower the odds the chances of it playing out is quite high but this doesn't guarantee a hundred percent successful outcome. I have played single games lower than 1.50 odds that turned out to be unsuccessful. Following this kind of strategy can be quite helpful but you can't always have winning streaks
Just like you have explained, strategy differs and their are people that will prefer to take 2 ofdd matches and stake close to $100 or more on them so that they have win 2X without bothering themselves about choosing more matches for a bigger win.
We all know what works for us and it is good we follow the strategy that best work for us in sport betting.
Having a bigger odds games do not mean that we have higher probability of winning since most sport bets are based on luck and strategies that are used.

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September 20, 2024, 02:31:13 AM
 #122

So if you keep choosing odds of 1.90 or lower with a 50% chance of winning, do you think you can win in the long run? This is like giving the house an edge of 10%, and that's too much to give, yet we are too confident in winning. Are we being realistic here, or are we just too confident in our skills that we believe we can win 60% of the time?

Are there any gamblers here which are betting with those kinds of odds that has already achieve a long term success?


Everyone has different targets and strategies in sports betting ,some people aim to get 2 odds or probably lower than that on a weekly or daily basis, the lower the odds the chances of it playing out is quite high but this doesn't guarantee a hundred percent successful outcome. I have played single games lower than 1.50 odds that turned out to be unsuccessful. Following this kind of strategy can be quite helpful but you can't always have winning streaks
That's right, I think odds of 1.90 also don't necessarily determine a bigger win, I also often bet with low odds, but the results are also not in accordance with predictions and often miss, besides that it also depends on the situation and condition of the club, each bettor in sports must analyze first before placing a bet, even though with low odds they don't immediately believe it, apart from observing how the club will play, if I myself bet less than 2, the profit is not much and the risk is not comparable to us betting with more than 2 if we win we will feel satisfied because we get more profit.

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September 20, 2024, 02:48:37 AM
 #123

The odds in sports betting are tricky because aren't decided by the team skills, odds in sports is decided by the markets, if you see a team with low odds that only means most of the users will bet on them, in other words, that team is the favorite and that's why they have low odds.

And for that reason, we see a lot of underdogs winning in sports, because they are not the favorites, they don't have a big fandom, but they have the right skills to win the game/match. And that's why i bet on underdogs most of the times in sports.

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September 20, 2024, 02:30:50 PM
 #124

No it is not certain that with the range of odd one can win constantly because I've also came across a post we have someone bet 1.4 million on a 1.08 odds and still lose the bet. This is to show that even the lowest odd does not guarantee winning but what matters is if your prediction is right most time or does not count to your winning but people would say that lesser odds guarantee's winning.

If judging by that post which that user made, a bet of 1.008 odd and stake 1.4 million dollars this could have shown that even the least odd can't guarantee winning for long run, but when a prediction is exacted to what you bet then there is every chances of winning, and of course you can win that continuously but we should also know about how matches are played most times and it would go against our bet.

In sports betting the odds are really not a factor because even an odd of 1.01 can end up going sideways. Few months ago I placed a bet of 50 odds with 5 thousand naira, I combined about 20 games to accumulate up to that odds amount , I remember quite well that there was a game I added that was 1.03 odds, the option I picked was over 1.5 goals but that game ended up as 0-0 I was quite disappointed because that was unexpected considering the fact that the odd was very small. Odds are just numbers nothing more
That is correct, I could remembered about few days or Last week sometime similar where Man City and Brentford, and Liverpool vs Nottingham were about 10 odds was give Nottingham, and people didn't bet much due to the high odds. Instead much priority was given to Liverpool and lot of people bet on liverpool to win but at least Nottingham won about 0-1 against Liverpool.

The reason I brought this up was, odds doesn't really matter though but the thing is, if you are that precisely with your selection it would be very easier for you to win than losing the bet. Yes we know it's luck based game but the tendency of losing is very slim if one knows how the games would play out. Okay, just take a look at those who stake on Nottingham with about 10 odds, if they bet without $1k which is about 10k I return including bonuses.

That's true, having a well precise prediction can give you a little leverage over the market it makes your chances of winning higher than just making random selections but the thing is analysis sometimes doesn't guarantee that the bet would be successful, look at the Nottingham game you talked about, logically you wouldn't just stake high on 10 odds to win but they ended up winning, if someone asked you to pick that option you wouldn't think of doing that. At the end of the day it's about luck

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September 22, 2024, 04:34:25 AM
 #125

The odds in sports betting are tricky because aren't decided by the team skills, odds in sports is decided by the markets, if you see a team with low odds that only means most of the users will bet on them, in other words, that team is the favorite and that's why they have low odds.
Yes, you are right that the odds are determined based on the market and the bookie, but often the bookie gives kind of trap by giving unreasonable odds, the favorite team does have lower odds because it is favored but often we find equal odds and that can make gamblers confused.
I personally don't really see odds as the main benchmark in betting because the most important thing is to see how each team performs, even though if you only look at the odds it seems impossible to win.

Quote
And for that reason, we see a lot of underdogs winning in sports, because they are not the favorites, they don't ave a big fandom, but they have the right skills to win the game/match. And that's why i bet on underdogs most of the times in sports.
For things like this, I think it natural thing to happen in sports matches, especially football, considering that there will always be surprises that make the lower team beat the top team, but not many matches can end like this.
If just keep betting on team that are not favored we do get big odds but there will always be much greater percentage chance of losing.

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September 22, 2024, 04:55:59 AM
 #126

And for that reason, we see a lot of underdogs winning in sports, because they are not the favorites, they don't have a big fandom, but they have the right skills to win the game/match. And that's why i bet on underdogs most of the times in sports.
Your attitude towards sports betting keeps me surprised, how can you use the odds as the basis to bet regardless of whether or not they are allocated the big or low odds?

Fine, the low odds indicate a better side and the high odds indicate the weaker side but notwithstanding, this can't still help anyone to conclude that a better team or underdog would win, what is thorough here is your analysis and you must do it with a neutral mind. This can be done with the right information at your disposal about the teams coming together which will help you select the preferred ones. Now, after careful analysis, you discovered that a team is better favoured to win, you mean you will still go for the opposite? That's awkward my friend. The reason is that, in my experience in sports betting, the better side wins more than the underdogs, so how do you quantify that if you win 2 out of 10 matches, for instance?

As much as I realise the risk of betting on the better side to win due to the low odds attached to them, the risk of betting on the weaker side is higher, this is why I ensure that the better side I opt for often has close to 2.0 odds to avoid temptation and enhance my risk management. I don't like going for 1.5 odds, even as 1.7 and above are still okay.

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September 22, 2024, 05:36:30 AM
 #127

So if you keep choosing odds of 1.90 or lower with a 50% chance of winning, do you think you can win in the long run? This is like giving the house an edge of 10%, and that's too much to give, yet we are too confident in winning. Are we being realistic here, or are we just too confident in our skills that we believe we can win 60% of the time?

Are there any gamblers here which are betting with those kinds of odds that has already achieve a long term success?


Everyone has different targets and strategies in sports betting ,some people aim to get 2 odds or probably lower than that on a weekly or daily basis, the lower the odds the chances of it playing out is quite high but this doesn't guarantee a hundred percent successful outcome. I have played single games lower than 1.50 odds that turned out to be unsuccessful. Following this kind of strategy can be quite helpful but you can't always have winning streaks
That's right, I think odds of 1.90 also don't necessarily determine a bigger win, I also often bet with low odds, but the results are also not in accordance with predictions and often miss, besides that it also depends on the situation and condition of the club, each bettor in sports must analyze first before placing a bet, even though with low odds they don't immediately believe it, apart from observing how the club will play, if I myself bet less than 2, the profit is not much and the risk is not comparable to us betting with more than 2 if we win we will feel satisfied because we get more profit.
The lower the odds doesnt really mean that it does have that higher chances of winning on which this is something that needs up to be realized into those people who had believing that
this is something which is really that having connection. Although making up some bets into those highly favorite teams will really be showing up that higher chance of winning on which there
are really sports bettors who do really loves on betting on favorites just because they do really believe that it is really that something that could make them win. We do know that
highly favorite will really be understandable that they are most likely to win. So it will really be just that depending on you on how you would really be dealing up with things accordingly
which always stick into your analysis for you to win up and if ever it would lose then there's no regret that you would be able to feel out.

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September 22, 2024, 11:06:02 AM
 #128

The odds in sports betting are tricky because aren't decided by the team skills, odds in sports is decided by the markets, if you see a team with low odds that only means most of the users will bet on them, in other words, that team is the favorite and that's why they have low odds.

And for that reason, we see a lot of underdogs winning in sports, because they are not the favorites, they don't have a big fandom, but they have the right skills to win the game/match. And that's why i bet on underdogs most of the times in sports.
As always, not all lower odds guarantee a win, and the same goes for higher odds. In the end, odds shouldn’t be our sole basis for betting. Because if odds can determine every outcome, then every gambler would only bet on the same odds. But we have given some options, and that is the reason why some win and some lose.

The great thing about sports betting is that we actually have a better chance of winning compared to other games. It’s not just about luck; we have plenty of sources to analyze, giving us an edge over the competition.

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September 23, 2024, 04:23:43 PM
 #129

The odds in sports betting are tricky because aren't decided by the team skills, odds in sports is decided by the markets, if you see a team with low odds that only means most of the users will bet on them, in other words, that team is the favorite and that's why they have low odds.

And for that reason, we see a lot of underdogs winning in sports, because they are not the favorites, they don't have a big fandom, but they have the right skills to win the game/match. And that's why i bet on underdogs most of the times in sports.

You forgot to say the most important thing - what results did your strategy lead to?
Everyone understands that cashflow affects the odds of teams, but this is not the only factor based on which bookmakers list events. I would say that it is a great success to find a game where bookmakers, based on cashflow, quote teams incorrectly and there is an opportunity to make a value bet.

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September 23, 2024, 04:34:57 PM
 #130

That's true, having a well precise prediction can give you a little leverage over the market it makes your chances of winning higher than just making random selections but the thing is analysis sometimes doesn't guarantee that the bet would be successful, look at the Nottingham game you talked about, logically you wouldn't just stake high on 10 odds to win but they ended up winning, if someone asked you to pick that option you wouldn't think of doing that. At the end of the day it's about luck
It doesn't matter how safe you try to be, you can actually still end up loosing the game at some point, there a re times when a ten odd game will play while a 1.03 of game will be lost but they are games that are considered one to be very risky and the other to be safer meanwhile its supposed to be just gambling where we hope to stay lucky and not think too much that we are going to win or loose because of our skills. Thought it will help us a while but it can never be the ultimate.

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September 23, 2024, 08:19:07 PM
 #131

That's true, having a well precise prediction can give you a little leverage over the market it makes your chances of winning higher than just making random selections but the thing is analysis sometimes doesn't guarantee that the bet would be successful, look at the Nottingham game you talked about, logically you wouldn't just stake high on 10 odds to win but they ended up winning, if someone asked you to pick that option you wouldn't think of doing that. At the end of the day it's about luck
It doesn't matter how safe you try to be, you can actually still end up loosing the game at some point, there a re times when a ten odd game will play while a 1.03 of game will be lost but they are games that are considered one to be very risky and the other to be safer meanwhile its supposed to be just gambling where we hope to stay lucky and not think too much that we are going to win or loose because of our skills. Thought it will help us a while but it can never be the ultimate.
There's no assurance when it comes to betting on which same as you mentioned that there's no such thing about safe bet or lets say a sure bet on which you could be able to make sure that you could make
some profits or winning. It will really be just that making you desperate if you are really that making yourself having those kind of expectations. The key on here is that you should really be that making yourself stick in the general essence when it comes to gambling on where you should really be having that fun. Thinking off the odds and possible winning condition and thinking about on the profits will really be removing out
that kind of essence on which this shouldnt be supposedly be your main priority. Have fun and thrill on which this is the main purpose on why you do gamble but well we do know that reality that these things
only just come in second priority.   Wink

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September 23, 2024, 08:51:45 PM
 #132

When I see odds of 1.9 and think that there is 50% that this team will win this match, I immediately see that the bookmaker puts 10% in his pocket and I do not want to bet on this. Of course, the bookmaker does this in other matches, but here it is simply clearly visible. I still prefer to spend time and choose the best odds from all those offered, although I start searching from those in which I have been used to playing for a long time. Nevertheless, I do not bet on such odds, my strategy requires betting on riskier odds, although extremely rare, because I will choose the match in which I will be confident, the more matches with doubts.
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September 23, 2024, 09:44:24 PM
 #133

No it is not certain that with the range of odd one can win constantly because I've also came across a post we have someone bet 1.4 million on a 1.08 odds and still lose the bet. This is to show that even the lowest odd does not guarantee winning but what matters is if your prediction is right most time or does not count to your winning but people would say that lesser odds guarantee's winning.

If judging by that post which that user made, a bet of 1.008 odd and stake 1.4 million dollars this could have shown that even the least odd can't guarantee winning for long run, but when a prediction is exacted to what you bet then there is every chances of winning, and of course you can win that continuously but we should also know about how matches are played most times and it would go against our bet.

A friend of mine combined more than 20 games to get just 5 odds his idea was to make sure the games were as safe as possible so he picked odds less than 1.10 only which was really ridiculous to me..it doesn't matter how little the odds are it doesn't guarantee Profit, to cut the long story short he ended up losing the bet that he thought was hundred percent safe, there's nothing safe about gambling anything can happen.. don't get enticed by little odds they might be very tricky

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