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Author Topic: Leopard tactics in sports betting.  (Read 303 times)
Julien_Olynpic (OP)
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August 18, 2024, 03:53:12 AM
 #1

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

 
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August 18, 2024, 04:17:59 AM
 #2

Experience.

Maybe the best record is being hold by a young and inexperienced team but they are super athletic. However, if they will face a team that has so much experienced, maybe they are already out of their primes but they could have that one last game in them to push themselves very hard and win. Usually this experienced team will try to proved that they still have it and so they are going to do anything in their capacity to pull that one big upset.

 
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August 18, 2024, 06:05:37 AM
 #3

I’ve never heard this term Leopard tactics in sports betting before but I will admit I look for situations like this sometimes. However, I’ve learned in these sorts of situations games can sometimes be even more unpredictable that normal. So typically when I’m betting a situation like this, I tend to take the underdog and hope for an unexpected outcome.

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August 18, 2024, 06:21:58 AM
 #4

 The leopard tactics is a strategy only know by those with long time experiences in sports. Most times the Coach have most of these ideas and tries to implement them on his team so they could be victorious. There are many similar situations like this, for instance in a match when some players have received various cards and are being warned by the ref. Let's say one read cards has already been issued to the opposing team. It would break their formation and leave a bigger chance for the other team to go into their defense strategy.

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August 18, 2024, 08:10:04 AM
 #5

5. When there are some idiots playing, usually these idiots can influence their teammates.
6. When people judge the teams based on the experience and history instead of the current performance.
7. When the teams are fighting for shitty trophies like FA Cup, DFB Pokal, Coppa Italia, Copa del Rey etc.
8. When the referee is very known as a robbery.

And there are many more thing, as long as they're playing to get the most prestigious trophies, all of the teams will all out.

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August 18, 2024, 08:47:58 AM
 #6

Actually, bookies always have way to gain an advantage in every sports match that they include in the betting options, bookie calculations will be much more accurate than gamblers and of course bookies can also do unexpected things like reversing or changing odds.
I think any tactic in sports betting can't really go according to expectations, the most important thing is how smart the gambler is in determining the betting options about what is chosen and bet on.

Quote
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
So far, the conditions like that that I can get are when in match it shows that half the game is over and the advantages of each team playing can be clearly seen.
This is condition that always makes it easier for me to have predictions and bets that are easier to win.

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August 18, 2024, 09:54:34 AM
Merited by un_rank (2)
 #7

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
All that you listed above have all been noticed by the bookmakers and they are using it to know the odd that they will let the bettors to choose from in a way it will not favour the bettors. I do not also see how this should be seen as a leopard tactics because the more chance you have in betting on those betting sites, the less money that you can win which is a disadvantage in long term.

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August 18, 2024, 10:07:19 AM
 #8

I am going to use the Boston Celtics standing as an example for this. They won 64 out of 82 games in the 2024 season before they became champions and they almost didn't lose in the playoffs.

Now, considering one gambler is a big fan of them and didn't even bet for any team, is he a winner? Yes, even if the gambler took the money lines only.
Their range is about x1.10 - x1.30 in most of their games it goes way below when they are up against a super-weak team.
The playoffs on the other hand were the most profitable one because the lines changed considering those teams who played there were not that weak anymore.
Still, it's like betting for the stronger team in a whole season and I think they became an underdog for just a minimal amount. There are injuries that happened to them but it's not that large of an effect.

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August 18, 2024, 10:41:55 AM
 #9

I’ve never heard this term Leopard tactics in sports betting before but I will admit I look for situations like this sometimes. However, I’ve learned in these sorts of situations games can sometimes be even more unpredictable that normal. So typically when I’m betting a situation like this, I tend to take the underdog and hope for an unexpected outcome.

Sport betting is a little more difficult and fun to predict than games you apply your training and expertise to win. If you're an expert in playing games like Ludo. It becomes a bit easier for you to gamble and win because you probably have an idea on your opponent already. Unlike sport betting where you apply the leopard situation because you literally derived your stakes from your instinct and most probably the strength of the clubs in competition. When smaller clubs play with bigger clubs, you expect the bigger and much experienced club to win particularly that they have a more experienced manager and a stronger squad depth. When placing a gamble, these are some of the things you consider including their past games and the current stats of both clubs in comparison with one another.

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August 18, 2024, 12:09:36 PM
 #10


What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
when you're looking from a distance, the general assumption is that the weaker team always comes with a mentality that they've already been beaten even before the game started but in reality that's far from the case. Even. Though you're an underdog, you always have the believe that you can win your opponent even when it's glairing that he's better than you in all ramification, it might not have paid well for most instances due to the obvious reason that the big clubs always have quality players but there isn't a thing as a game you're sure that will go in favour of a certain game because one is less experience than the other

During the last champions league, I know that a lot of people didn't imagine Dortmund to get to the finals in the manner it eventually happened and that's how unpredictable games can be. Even teams in the relegation zones that keep loosing most of thier matches aren't happy to find themselves in that position and are actively working too hard to break out from that position. They've always been underdog but still find ways of winning matches even against a more superior and popular opposition.

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August 18, 2024, 12:27:49 PM
 #11

The leopard tactics is a strategy only know by those with long time experiences in sports. Most times the Coach have most of these ideas and tries to implement them on his team so they could be victorious. There are many similar situations like this, for instance in a match when some players have received various cards and are being warned by the ref. Let's say one read cards has already been issued to the opposing team. It would break their formation and leave a bigger chance for the other team to go into their defense strategy.
The worst of it all is when two players are given red card from the same team. That is a lost game already as long as the red cards was not given towards the end of the match.

If two players are given red card in the first half, it makes it impossible for such team to win the match be it a weak or a strong team. Shit happens in matches and that is why as a gambler consider that you can lose your bet easily than winning it in order for you not go gamble for profit.

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August 18, 2024, 12:33:05 PM
 #12


Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I think this rarely happens because bookmakers are experts and usually smarter than us. What I’ve noticed from my experience is that when I think the outcome is easy to predict, I often end up betting on the wrong side based on the game’s result. In short, it’s really unpredictable, which is why the majority of bettors or the public lose most of the time^^^the betting odds (point spread and totals) are very tricky.

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August 18, 2024, 01:05:54 PM
 #13

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

You state those examples and while it is possible that bookmakers may miss something in their calculations, they are fully aware of all the scenarios you listed. Not only that, they have many thousands of games that are instantly analyzed in order to determine the odds when those parameters are true. Take games where the team has no incentive to win, like they've already won the league for the year - the bookmaker knows that the manager might field a weaker team so there is less chance of star players being injured or giving newcomers a chance to shine. They'll drop the odds with that in mind and I've seen weaker odds on such games. What I do see sometimes mispriced is in play games, with scenarios like 10 man teams who are ahead yet the odds are still heavily against them.

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August 18, 2024, 01:13:56 PM
 #14

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

You have already mentioned the obvious ones which gives an added advantage to the users for betting.
This is a nice strategy I would say but you know that it doesn't work always.
I have been using strategy at times and used to place my bet in the last few minutes of ending the match.
While I won many times, I also lost few times when the match totally turned the opposite side in the last minute.
I guess it was just my bad luck but otherwise it's a nice option to try out.

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August 18, 2024, 01:27:20 PM
 #15

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
Rest assured that bookmakers factor all of these into the odds that are presented, whatever that can affect the outcome of the match and can be discovered easily by a little research goes into the odds.

- Jay -

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August 18, 2024, 01:38:35 PM
 #16

We have this scenario on our national team on Basketball. The chosen coach keep choosing the players that has strong connection with(favoritism if you may call it) without considering much the skills while putting on bench and allocate less play time to players that has real skills but has no connection with the coach.

The result is a disaster on our national team. I keep winning that time by betting against our national team. Luckily, this coach was already replaced and we dominant again basketball on SEA region and might compete on higher scale league.

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August 18, 2024, 01:41:48 PM
 #17

This is an exciting topic, knowing that bookmakers cannot predict 100%. It's like in Formula One, where the rain changes outcomes because of the unpredictable weather and what it could cause in the race.

Psychological factors are also something to consider because those people might feel pressure from their team captain or something.

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August 18, 2024, 02:08:22 PM
 #18

Situations where a team continues to change their coach almost every season.
when the team keeps selling off their key and important players every time to make more money.
when a team just signed new players and are trying to get them to adjust to the teams pattern and style of playing.
when a team get a red card or even more on the same day on the pitch on the same game at same time.
when an injury prone player who is a key player gets injured while playing a game.
when the coach is having issues with some of his players and sometimes the management.

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August 18, 2024, 02:12:15 PM
 #19

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

It is very difficult that the bookmaker in this case the casino does not know the same information as you do,unless you have some insider info in some lower leagues in any major leagues you start in disadvantage compared to the bookmaker as the bookmaker has a team working on information and checking every little detail before placing their odds,if you have noticed,odds increasing or decreasing as we get close to the start of an event shows the information that the bookmaker knows and act accordingly to such information.The number one statement,the motivation you never should play any team who has no motivation whatsoever.The third point is one which can make you money,if a team has lost in a consecutive ways chances are high they will continue to do so,in this case I would bet against that team.Number four statement is most of the times irrelevant and does not impact the choice.

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August 18, 2024, 02:18:32 PM
 #20

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
Whether I have a Tactic or a Situation when I place a sports bet, in my judgment for now I place a normal bet like most people do, my guideline is on a strong team, even though on the field the results are different.

If I'm not mistaken, sports betting bookies are like that too, they lower and raise the Odds 1x2 score, based on the team situation, sometimes they are very quick to change bets where the first team situation has a lower percentage chance of winning, be it the condition of the players, the field and other factors that they believe do not create good opportunities for that match.

However, the situation that I often do to open sports bets and to make it easier for me to win is that I usually place bets in the final minutes of the initial match, In such a situation I can monitor both teams how they play on the field and also the players, usually situations like that make me often successful, even though the odds I take are low, but I am satisfied to bet.

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