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Author Topic: Leopard tactics in sports betting.  (Read 303 times)
BABY SHOES
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August 18, 2024, 02:20:28 PM
 #21


Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I think this rarely happens because bookmakers are experts and usually smarter than us. What I’ve noticed from my experience is that when I think the outcome is easy to predict, I often end up betting on the wrong side based on the game’s result. In short, it’s really unpredictable, which is why the majority of bettors or the public lose most of the time^^^the betting odds (point spread and totals) are very tricky.
The bookmakers will not miss a situation like this, they are like having a machine that always knows which teams are experiencing the problems referred to above, the bookmakers will affect the odds given in this market, of course we can determine whether it will be accurate or not.

I still remember when a few seasons ago Liverpool had injured players this affected the game to decline so I bet against the flow even though the bookmakers offered favorite odds on Liverpool because I chose the underdog team which in the end won the odds.

In short, it is very rare to find something like this can be bet correctly, tried for several times but the results failed because it could not be predicted.

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August 18, 2024, 02:47:15 PM
Merited by Julien_Olynpic (2)
 #22

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

In the situations I have seen, bookmakers place odds on teams from leagues that are not popular, mainly in games from some Asian leagues or in games involving national teams from Africa or games from the Brazilian top league. But there are not many cases in which bookmakers place high odds and get it wrong. That's why I don't focus on that. I choose games that involve teams and players that I know so that I can make a better analysis of the possible winner, the possible number of goals that can be scored. When it comes to games involving my country's national team, bookmakers place very high odds, because in the past my country's national team was extremely weak, but today it has good players, but bookmakers don't know these players, that's why I'm happy to bet on my country's national team every time and make a profit with their victory.

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August 18, 2024, 02:55:13 PM
 #23

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
No, I haven't used that Leopard tactics in sports betting, to be honest, it's the first time I'm even hearing about that term. I often avoid placing bets in the matches where prediction is hard and that way in very few matches I face some losses.

However, if that Leopard tactic is working for you then I believe there's nothing wrong in use of it. I believe it's more like a strategy than something that could harm a bookmaker and If I'm not wrong there's no restriction in using a strategy.

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August 18, 2024, 03:08:36 PM
 #24

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
Most of the bookmarks are even more active to list or knows all these because it one of the factor which makes them knows what odd gonna, most times you would feels is gonna end as you think but it does end up the other way round making it too hard for gambler to understand it. But we should also know and note that there winning still depends on chances which we can never be sure of those outcomes.

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August 18, 2024, 03:25:46 PM
 #25

I don't know if it's only me but I'd been amazed at how bookmakers are quite comprehensive in creating odds. It seems odds are released after all things are considered. Yeah, there were times when I thought I saw something that isn't observed by the majority of bettors and even including the bookmakers. Only to find out in the odds that they seem to have noticed what I noticed as well. Or perhaps the odds have already adjusted according to the latest developments as bettors are probably quick to take advantage of anything especially unexptected factors like injuries.
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August 18, 2024, 03:59:04 PM
Last edit: August 18, 2024, 04:09:41 PM by Saint-loup
 #26

To be honest I think I don't fully understand your analogy with the leopard tactic. You mean they only invest their energy in situations profitable for them? That is to say they only "play" when they have an edge against their prey. I'm not really sure about that, because they do hunt for eating, or feeding their children therefore it is not something optional they can do wherever they want it's something necessary for their survival. Do you understand what I mean?
Considering the examples you have cited, you are very unlikely to get any edge from them, all those parameters are already taking account by bookmakers.

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August 18, 2024, 05:09:50 PM
 #27

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
First time knowing about the leopard tactics in sports betting and I must say, this is an interesting and a very ideal tactics to influence our winning. When we talk about having some skills in sports betting, I believe what was meant was using the leopard tactics to our advantage. The ability to study the teams involved, know their strengths and weaknesses which makes the match easily predictable, then use the information at your disposal to place your bet. This may not guarantee a 100% win, but it will go a long way in influencing one's win and it is way better than betting without any actual plan which places one at the winning side. This is not something meant for professionals only, anyone who understands a particular sport can use the leopard tactics.

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August 18, 2024, 06:10:54 PM
 #28

I don't know if it's only me but I'd been amazed at how bookmakers are quite comprehensive in creating odds. It seems odds are released after all things are considered. Yeah, there were times when I thought I saw something that isn't observed by the majority of bettors and even including the bookmakers. Only to find out in the odds that they seem to have noticed what I noticed as well..
It is a job to bookmakers to create odds, so you should expect them to be really good with it. If a sport betting company has incompetent bookmakers, it will surely affect them, gamblers like you who are quick to observe, can take advantage of them. Bookmakers are very informed, and there will rarely be any situation that you observe that they won't observe too, or haven't observed already.

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
I remember last season when points was deducted from Everton in the premier league and they were threatened with relegation, the danger of relegation pulled the players together and made them give their all to ensure it did not happen. Some activities and situations in a team that they face together can increase their bonding and have good positive effect on their performance, although it can still go sideways because that possibility will always be there.

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August 18, 2024, 07:08:18 PM
 #29

I know what you mean, but the explanation is a bit awkward, because IMO you can't profit from the following points.

1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.

2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.

3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.

4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.

1. How do you know that? Are you a part of the team? Do you have insider information? The media can tell you things they want you to hear and be aware that if you can read the article or watch an interview, everybody else can.

2. When key players are injured the bookies will not give you a good deal. Everybody can see that the team is weakened and will not bet on it.

3. Same as above.

4. Again bookies will not pay well for that. You will have to bet a lot of money for that bet to matter.
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August 18, 2024, 07:24:44 PM
 #30

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
All these you have pointed out are not kinda new to sports bettors as it's common that it's a part of what we call or refer to as analysis we make between teams before making decisions on which option to go with for or against any of the two teams. We look at their head-to-head, recent results from other matches with other teams. All of these and more are requisite to making predictions that is with high probability to play instead of going in blindly or out of guess work. But relating it to leopard hunting tactics it's the first time for me on hearing this and am trying to find how it connects.

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August 18, 2024, 07:32:26 PM
 #31

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I am having hard time understanding the leopard tactics and sport betting and reading the replies many people felt that way too.

All the questions you asked will be taken into consideration and then only the odds are decided so the outcome can be all the possible outcomes but most favorable one will be the one with less odd and that's what most people will bet on but this often proves that all the stats are useless on the particular day when the one that everyone hoped will be lost give their best and make a history for themselves.

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August 18, 2024, 07:44:13 PM
 #32

This is the first time I heard about this strategy or tactics in sports betting, and from its name you can know how it is working on betting, leopard who is an animal that hunts smartly, carefully and get his victim and in this case for betting is a good outcome. That’s true, sometimes in lower leagues where bookies are not very good in studying or knowing how the teams are playing, compared to someone who’s focused and have knowledge about both team playing, this makes a great opportunity for a good outcome.

Most situations where a team is not playing well due a very obvious or clear reason that lead the player to not play well or manage to win, especially in famous and known leagues, the bookies are aware of them as well and they study these situations before giving the odds to profit with a smaller margin. That’s why you need to chase the good opportunity and take your chances. However, gambling stays the same and there is always luck involved.

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August 18, 2024, 08:05:31 PM
 #33

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?
No, I haven't used that Leopard tactics in sports betting, to be honest, it's the first time I'm even hearing about that term. I often avoid placing bets in the matches where prediction is hard and that way in very few matches I face some losses.

However, if that Leopard tactic is working for you then I believe there's nothing wrong in use of it. I believe it's more like a strategy than something that could harm a bookmaker and If I'm not wrong there's no restriction in using a strategy.

Me too, but it sounds fun and if it's working for somebody - that's the beauty of it, I agree Grin Maybe I will invest some time in the future to read into it. Time will tell.

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August 18, 2024, 08:40:18 PM
 #34

As for sports betting, I sometimes recall such an interesting analogy: a predatory animal in the savannah that hunts gazelles. Imagine a leopard or a cheetah that hunts a gazelle. The leopard could run aimlessly after gazelles all day until its strength leaves it and it does not catch a single gazelle.
But no predator does this. The leopard chooses situations when the gazelles allow the predator to get quite close to them and only then attacks.
You may ask, what do leopard tactics have in common with sports betting? In my opinion, there are also similar situations in sports betting, when one game becomes a little more predictable than others, but for the bookmaker this is not so.
What are these situations? These can be very different matches.
1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
2. When equal teams meet, but one of them has more injured players.
3. When a team is demoralized by frequent losses.
4. When there are a number of factors that make it difficult for this team to win: playing against a strong team, playing away from home, problems with the coach.
----------
Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?


This is quite new and unfamiliar to me but I will definitely look into it and see how it will help me out in this new football season, basically everything about this strategy is to do in-depth research on both teams, no 2 is very valid I agree with that, the team with the most injured players are more likely to lose the game due to their poor formation, no 4 is also a good point, when a team has a losing streak of five matches there's a very high chance they might lose their next game..These are very thoughtful points, you are very experienced

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August 19, 2024, 02:37:36 AM
 #35

I don't know if it's only me but I'd been amazed at how bookmakers are quite comprehensive in creating odds. It seems odds are released after all things are considered. Yeah, there were times when I thought I saw something that isn't observed by the majority of bettors and even including the bookmakers. Only to find out in the odds that they seem to have noticed what I noticed as well..
It is a job to bookmakers to create odds, so you should expect them to be really good with it. If a sport betting company has incompetent bookmakers, it will surely affect them, gamblers like you who are quick to observe, can take advantage of them. Bookmakers are very informed, and there will rarely be any situation that you observe that they won't observe too, or haven't observed already.

Yeah, and if indeed there are rare times when they release odds that seem to have missed certain factors, the market would be quick to notice and would certainly take advantage. Sooner or later, the odds would eventually adjust to all the circumstances. So there is only a small window to take advantage of odds with certain discrepancy so to speak.

However, I don't discount the possibility that certain bettors see things differently. Some bettors even see an 8.00 underdog to win.
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August 19, 2024, 02:56:17 AM
 #36

1. Situations in which a sports team has no motivation to win. When a victory does not fundamentally change anything for this team.
One scenario that I can think of is a bit similar to this, instead of them playing to win, they're fired up to spoil the chances of the other teams. Bookies tend to lean heavily on teams that have something to play for (playoffs, seeding, etc.), and certain teams struggle to perform under pressure.

We also have newly formed teams who empower themselves through momentum, at the start they don't look as impressive because they're losing or struggling as expected, but after a bunch of wins, they suddenly snowball to becoming one of the teams. We could say they're overperforming or improving at an unexpected rate because bookies don't easily favor new teams, unlike well-known teams who've been on the scene for several years.

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August 19, 2024, 04:35:04 AM
Merited by Julien_Olynpic (2)
 #37

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I guess the bookmakers are very smart these days, and they use good odds providers in their casinos. They are always aware of these types of situations and instantly modify the odds according to the situation. Still, if you want, I can quote you a situation where the winning probability increases without the bookmaker noticing it. Imagine if a strong player from a team gets injured and goes for rest and a substitute comes in place for fielding. Then in the innings break it is found out that the player has serious injury and won’t play the rest game, then a new player who is comparatively weak will play in place of him, and now this team has the low chances of winning. This is a situation that can happen in a cricket or football match, and the bookmakers will be slow to act on the changes. Here the gambler can take advantage like the leopard.

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August 19, 2024, 05:28:53 AM
 #38

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I guess the bookmakers are very smart these days, and they use good odds providers in their casinos. They are always aware of these types of situations and instantly modify the odds according to the situation. Still, if you want, I can quote you a situation where the winning probability increases without the bookmaker noticing it. Imagine if a strong player from a team gets injured and goes for rest and a substitute comes in place for fielding. Then in the innings break it is found out that the player has serious injury and won’t play the rest game, then a new player who is comparatively weak will play in place of him, and now this team has the low chances of winning. This is a situation that can happen in a cricket or football match, and the bookmakers will be slow to act on the changes. Here the gambler can take advantage like the leopard.
Yes, this is a good example. In general, I think that bets made within the match are more "leopard" than bets made before the game. Yes, the game for a simple bettor has few advantages over a bookmaker. In fact, what can a simple bettor do better than a professional bookmaker? As a rule, only if he knows his favorite team better and has more information than the bookmaker. And as a result of live betting, we can take advantage of the slowness of bookmakers. However, this is hard work and it is very stressful.

 
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August 19, 2024, 05:50:39 AM
 #39

Can you write your own situations in which the outcome of the match becomes a little more predictable and this is not always recognized by the bookmaker?

I guess the bookmakers are very smart these days, and they use good odds providers in their casinos. They are always aware of these types of situations and instantly modify the odds according to the situation. Still, if you want, I can quote you a situation where the winning probability increases without the bookmaker noticing it. Imagine if a strong player from a team gets injured and goes for rest and a substitute comes in place for fielding. Then in the innings break it is found out that the player has serious injury and won’t play the rest game, then a new player who is comparatively weak will play in place of him, and now this team has the low chances of winning. This is a situation that can happen in a cricket or football match, and the bookmakers will be slow to act on the changes. Here the gambler can take advantage like the leopard.
Yes, this is a good example. In general, I think that bets made within the match are more "leopard" than bets made before the game. Yes, the game for a simple bettor has few advantages over a bookmaker. In fact, what can a simple bettor do better than a professional bookmaker? As a rule, only if he knows his favorite team better and has more information than the bookmaker. And as a result of live betting, we can take advantage of the slowness of bookmakers. However, this is hard work and it is very stressful.

A good example! I may agree, that it's a hard-style option to monitor each situation with different factors and prerequisites at hand (which change constantly, thus swinging the odds), but the possibility is there for everybody to try it Grin

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August 19, 2024, 10:31:03 AM
 #40

Didn't thought of it as a leopard tactics but I just see that sometimes there are situations like this when you agree within yourself that  , "yes! This bet is a sure game because of the situation. " Sometimes, it could be when a very good player is added to the team and also when the defensive players are people that have have always made your previous prediction to be successful. Then the other ones you listed are quite a good criteria in having a great assumption for the success of one's prediction.

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